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The Hill
03-07-2025
- Politics
- The Hill
Elbridge Colby's bleak vision could lead to Ukraine's defeat
Elbridge Colby, President Trump's Undersecretary of Defense for Policy, is fast becoming the new Jake Sullivan on Capitol Hill — well meaning, perhaps, yet befuddled and self-defeating. In attempting to hoard U.S. military assets, Colby is about to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory — intentionally or not. We first witnessed this in the lead up to Trump's bold strikes against the Iran's nuclear weapons program. As reported by Semafor, Gen. Michael Kurilla, the head of U.S. Central Command, ran into 'resistance' from Colby, 'who has long opposed moving U.S. military assets from Asia to the Middle East.' Colby, eerily echoing Krook — a character from Charles Dickens' classic novel 'Bleak House' who squirrels away legal documents — is yet again trying to hoard American hardware. The White House confirmed that it is withholding '155mm artillery rounds, Patriot air defense, Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System, Stinger, AIM-7 and Hellfire missiles' previously intended for Ukraine. Colby's rationale is that they are needed for a potential future confrontation with China in the Indo-Pacific. Yet again, Colby myopically fails to see that, amid the ideological war already underway between the U.S. and China, Washington can deter Beijing's designs on Taiwan by denying the 'Axis of Evil' wins in Iran and Ukraine. Ukraine will pay the immediate price for Colby's short-sighted policies. Russian President Vladmir Putin is intentionally targeting and killing Ukrainian civilians — and now, wittingly or not, Colby is playing into the hands of the Kremlin. Colby's capitulation to Moscow could not come at a better time for Putin. Ukraine is taking the fight to Russia, and Putin is slowly losing whatever leverage over Ukraine he believed he once had – air attacks and mass. Russia's economy is on the brink. Citizens in Moscow are regularly experiencing firsthand the effects of war, and Sergei Shoigu has been back to North Korea begging for more help, securing an additional 30,000 soldiers to do Russia's fighting in Ukraine. Momentum is beginning to shift back in Ukraine's favor. You can feel Putin's growing desperation, but he keeps adding new demands. His latest is that NATO must stop training Ukrainian soldiers in the West. Ukraine's 'Operation Spiderweb' was a wakeup call. Ukrainian special forces launched drone strikes against four strategic Russian air bases — Belaya, Olenya, Dyagilevo, and Ivanovo — reportedly destroying 34 percent of the Russian strategic bomber fleet used to launch cruise missile attacks against Ukrainian cities. Ukraine has now demonstrated operational reach. Russian forces are vulnerable nearly everywhere to Ukrainian drones, missiles, and guided bombs. On Tuesday, Ukraine's reach resulted in the destruction of Russia's Eighth Army headquarters in the Donetsk region. Its commander, Colonel Ruslan Goryachkin was killed in the Storm Shadow missile strike — and Moscow's strategic assaults against the strategic Ukrainian towns of Pokrovsk and Toretsk disrupted. Against all odds, Ukraine is masterfully waging a campaign of interdiction and deep strikes. They are targeting Russian weapon systems used to attack Ukrainian civilians and critical energy infrastructure and the Kremlin's air defense systems defending them. Ukraine is also strategically striking Putin's ballistic missile launchers and the airfields where bombers armed with cruise missiles and glide bombs are stationed. Kyiv is also targeting and destroying oil refineries, production facilities, airbases and storage facilities deeper and deeper inside the Russian interior using domestically produced long-range drones. By mid-June, Ukraine had already conducted long-range strikes against the Kristall oil depot, Engels-2 and Dyagilevo air bases, Savasleyka airfield , Azot chemical plant, Kazan gunpowder plant, and VNIIR-Progress facility. On Tuesday, Ukrainian drones struck the Kupol Electromechanical Plant in Izhevsk, about 620 miles east of Moscow, which produced air defense systems and drones for the Russian military. Russia and Crimea remain vulnerable to these attacks. Russian air defense networks have not been able to defeat, much less defend, their forward-deployed headquarters, defense industry facilities, air bases, seaports, and oil-gas infrastructure. Colonel-General Viktor Afzalov, chief of the Russian Aerospace Forces, is in a precarious position. Meanwhile, Ukraine continues to hold its own in the close fight. Russia's highly anticipated summer offensive, launched in May, experienced initial success in the Donetsk region but has since flatlined. According to Ukrainian Gen. Oleksandr Syrskyi, Russian forces were unsuccessful in penetrating Ukrainian defenses. Significantly, Ukrainian forces continue to make the Kremlin pay for every inch of terrain they gain. To date, Russia has surpassed 1,022,090 casualties, including 21,750 since June 12, for an average of 1,087 per day. Yet tragically, even as the Russian army continues to falter on the battlefield, the Kremlin has increased its targeting of Ukrainian civilians in their homes, schools, churches and markets with relentless drone attacks — 5,438 in June alone. Colby must understand that, despite Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov blaming 'Kyiv and Washington for the lack of progress in peace talks,' Russian President Vladimir Putin has no desire to negotiate a ceasefire, much less a peace deal. Nor does Beijing strategically want one anytime soon. Putin believes Ukraine is Russia, and on June 20 at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, he said just that. 'I have said many times that I consider the Russian and Ukrainian peoples to be one people,' he said. 'In this sense, all of Ukraine is ours. … We have an old rule. Wherever a Russian soldier sets foot is ours.' Colby is dangerously close to creating a very bleak outcome for Team Trump and the White House in Ukraine. As Mark Rutte, NATO's Secretary General discussed with Brian Kilmeade Wednesday on FOX and Friends, Putin is deeply concerned by Trump's success in getting NATO member-states to increase their defense spending goal to 5 percent GDP. Like the fictional Krook in 'Bleak House,' Colby, in part, holds Trump's key to winning the global war that Russia, China, Iran and North Korea are waging against the West. Colby must not be allowed to hoard America's military might in the Pacific when the path to victory is now alongside our allies in Ukraine. Kurilla won that battle against Colby in Iran. Now, the newly appointed commander of U.S. European Command and NATO Supreme Allied Commander, Gen. Alexus Grynkewich, must do so for Ukraine. As we argued last month, for Team Trump, World War III begins in Iran and ends in Ukraine. Col. (Ret.) Jonathan Sweet served 30 years as an Army intelligence officer. Mark Toth writes on national security and foreign policy.


Scoop
02-07-2025
- Politics
- Scoop
How To Justify 400,000 Palestinian Deaths In Gaza: Ask ‘Zelda'
I have published three previous blog posts on Israel's ethnic cleansing of Palestinians in Gaza by means of genocide. Ethnic cleansing of Palestinians in the occupied West Bank is also occurring although through violent repression rather than genocide. The first (5 March) discussed Zionist Israel's close supportive relationship with South Africa under apartheid and, since 1948, the former's continued status as an apartheid state: When Apartheid meets Zionism. The second (28 May) discussed the logic behind supporting ethnic cleansing and genocide: Reasons for supporting ethnic cleansing through genocide in Palestine. The third (4 June) was a postscript to the second with the added emphasis on the New Zealand government recognising the state of Palestine: Ethnic cleansing, genocide and recognition of Palestine. All the above posts have been in the context of advocating that the New Zealand government should recognise Palestine as an official state along with sanctions and other actions. Now one Zelda has come to the fore providing further grunt for this advocacy. How to justify genocide and ethnic cleansing: enter Zelda My blogs are republished (with permission) on the politically turbocharged Bomber Bradbury's hyperactive The Daily Blog. It led to a prompt strident biblically dogmatic response (5 June) from a person called Zelda. Zelda may well be a pseudonym. It is a primarily female name of German origin. Some consider it to be a diminutive of the German Griselda, which has a similar meaning of 'dark' or 'gray battle'. Zelda is also a Yiddish name that means 'fortunate' or 'happy'. It was originally a short form of the name Griselda. I can do no more that quote verbatim Zelda's justification for the ethnic cleansing through genocide of Palestinians by the Israeli government. There are other claimed justifications but hers goes to the core; it provides the stem for everything else. In Zelda's words: Gaza belongs to Israel! This is not just a political claim; it is a sacred, unbreakable decree from Almighty God Himself. If any government from around the world recognises Palestine, the United States needs to declare it part of the Axis of Evil The land was promised by divine covenant to the people of Israel, chosen by God to be His light in the darkness. No enemy, no terrorist, no foreign power can wrest it away. Those who reject this truth stand against God's will and will face His judgment. If Palestinians want aid and peace, they must recognize Israel's God-given right and leave Gaza forever. Only under God's blessing can this land flourish, and all who defy His plan will be cast down. What more can one say! If one believes this it is barely a hop, skip and a jump from believing that while Israeli lives are valuable, Palestinians lives are of no value at all. Further, while Israelis have an absolute right to self-determination by any means necessary, Palestinians have no right at all. Understanding Palestinian deaths in Gaza Zelda's justification has to be seen in the context of the reality of Gaza beginning with its size. It is roughly the same geographic size as the Kāpiti Coast in the lower North Island where I live. Both have coastlines running their full lengths. Putting aside the absence of ethnic cleansing and genocide, the population of my 'home turf' is a mere 2-3% of Gaza's Palestinian population. The highly regarded British medical journal The Lancet (10 July 2024) provided additional context about Gaza death rates: Counting the Gaza dead. By 19 June 2024, the official tally of Palestinian deaths since Israel's murderous war in Gaza began was nearly 38,000. These figures are accepted by the United Nations and the World Health Organisation along with official Israeli intelligence but not the Israeli government. However, the article reports the number of reported deaths is likely an underestimate. Not all names of identifiable victims are included in the list and the number of bodies still buried in the rubble was likely substantial (some estimates were over 10,000). Further, based on analyses of recent conflicts, indirect deaths (such as through starvation) range from three to 15 times the number of direct deaths. Consequently, The Lancet concluded that by applying a conservative estimate it was not implausible to estimate that up to 186000 or even more deaths could be attributable to the current conflict in Gaza. Now contrast this above estimate with the officially recognised tally of nearly 38,000 (around 20% of the estimated actual deaths). Direct from the Israel Defence Force If ever a country's army was to be designated a terrorist organisation, it should be the Israel Defence Force (IDF). For its brutality towards Palestinians, it deserved this designation well before its implementation of the current genocide in Gaza. It should be noted, however, that many Israeli reservists who had served in the IDF have courageously spoken out against this terrorism. It should also be noted that the IDF does collect useful data on its exploits. Such is the level of repressed internal disgust that it leaks, or brave academics sometime succeed in extrapolating it. Dr Raj Thamotheram worked for many years in finance, particularly investment. Now he is fully independent. He is the Founder and was the Executive Chair of Preventable Surprises, a 'think-do' tank focused on how investors can better manage systemic risks. Medical sociologist Professor Peter Davis has done New Zealanders a favour by reposting a LinkedIn post (25 June) by Thamotheram. In the latter's words: An Israeli academic has just released a report using IDF's own internal estimates, and the findings are staggering. According to Professor Yaakov Garb from Ben-Gurion University, around 1.85 million Palestinians remain alive in Gaza. That means over 370,000 people – most of them civilians – may have been killed. This number is echoed by estimates from The Lancet Group and independent researchers, suggesting a death toll that could already exceed 400,000. Among them, more than 150,000 are likely to be children. That's not a typo – it's a generation of young lives, gone. And many more are at risk today – not just from bombs, but from hunger, disease, and the collapse of basic healthcare. Garb also analyzed international aid distribution compounds inside Gaza. His conclusion is chilling: these sites, shaped by a military mindset, are making things worse. Instead of providing safety, their chaotic layout is fueling panic and putting civilians in the line of fire. But this devastation isn't inevitable. It's the result of choices – and that means it can still be changed. Humanitarian groups, legal experts, and brave citizens across the world are working to stop the killing, get aid where it's needed, and hold those responsible to account. But a lot depends on those who are still bystanding. On the movable middle. You have a choice. To speak out. To demand that our governments act. To stand with people fighting not just for survival – but for dignity, justice, and peace. What's happening in Gaza is not just a tragedy. It's a test of who we are – and what we're willing to stand for. Time for New Zealand government to belatedly do the right thing This estimate (give or take) of 400,000 Palestinian deaths due to Israel's genocide strategy has to been seen in the context of the current official estimate of nearly 60,000 (15% of the actual rate estimated from IDF data). Particularly when put in the context of the core justification for the genocide, as so well enunciated by Zelda, it is time for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's government to provide ethics based political leadership. To date, its performance has ranged from limp to deplorable. This leadership should include: Recognising the Palestinian Territories as an official independent state. Sanctioning IDF visitors. Close the Israel Embassy Trade and bilateral sanctions Suspend Israel from the United Nations. Genocide is genocide (no ifs or buts). It should be called out as such and acted upon. Ethically there is no option.

26-06-2025
- Politics
The US and Iran have had bitter relations for decades. After the bombs, a new chapter begins
WASHINGTON -- Now comes a new chapter in U.S.-Iran relations, whether for the better or the even worse. For nearly a half century, the world has witnessed an enmity for the ages — the threats, the plotting, the poisonous rhetoric between the 'Great Satan' of Iranian lore and the 'Axis of Evil' troublemaker of the Middle East, in America's eyes. Now we have a U.S. president saying, of all things, 'God bless Iran.' This change of tone, however fleeting, came after the intense U.S. bombing of Iranian nuclear-development sites this week, Iran's retaliatory yet restrained attack on a U.S. military base in Qatar and the tentative ceasefire brokered by President Donald Trump in the Israel-Iran war. The U.S. attack on three targets inflicted serious damage but did not destroy them, a U.S. intelligence report found, contradicting Trump's assertion that the attack 'obliterated' Iran's nuclear program. Here are some questions and answers about the long history of bad blood between the two countries: In the first blush of a ceasefire agreement, even before Israel and Iran appeared to be fully on board, Trump exulted in the achievement. 'God bless Israel,' he posted on social media. 'God bless Iran.' He wished blessings on the Middle East, America and the world, too. When it became clear that all hostilities had not immediately ceased after all, he took to swearing instead. 'We basically have two countries that have been fighting so long and so hard that they don't know what the f— they're doing,' he said on camera. In that moment, Trump was especially critical of Israel, the steadfast U.S. ally, for seeming less attached to the pause in fighting than the country that has been shouting 'Death to America' for generations and is accused of trying to assassinate him. In two words, Operation Ajax. That was the 1953 coup orchestrated by the CIA, with British support, that overthrew Iran's democratically elected government and handed power to the shah, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi. The Western powers had feared the rise of Soviet influence and the nationalization of Iran's oil industry. The shah was a strategic U.S. ally who repaired official relations with Washington. But grievances simmered among Iranians over his autocratic rule and his bowing to America's interests. All of that boiled over in 1979 when the shah fled the country and the theocratic revolutionaries took control, imposing their own hard line. Profoundly. On Nov. 4, 1979, with anti-American sentiment at a fever pitch, Iranian students took 66 American diplomats and citizens hostage and held more than 50 of them in captivity for 444 days. It was a humiliating spectacle for the United States and President Jimmy Carter, who ordered a secret rescue mission months into the Iran hostage crisis. In Operation Eagle Claw, eight Navy helicopters and six Air Force transport planes were sent to rendezvous in the Iranian desert. A sand storm aborted the mission and eight service members died when a helicopter crashed into a C-120 refueling plane. Diplomatic ties were severed in 1980 and remain broken. Iran released the hostages minutes after Ronald Reagan's presidential inauguration on Jan. 20, 1981. That was just long enough to ensure that Carter, bogged in the crisis for over a year, would not see them freed in his term. No. But the last big one was at sea. On April 18, 1988, the U.S. Navy sank two Iranian ships, damaged another and destroyed two surveillance platforms in its largest surface engagement since World War II. Operation Praying Mantis was in retaliation against the mining of the USS Samuel B. Roberts in the Persian Gulf four days earlier. Ten sailors were injured and the explosion left a gaping hole in the hull. Not officially, but essentially. The U.S. provided economic aid, intelligence sharing and military-adjacent technology to Iraq, concerned that an Iranian victory would spread instability through the region and strain oil supplies. Iran and Iraq emerged from the 1980-1988 war with no clear victor and the loss of hundreds of thousands of lives, while U.S.-Iraq relations fractured spectacularly in the years after. An example of U.S.-Iran cooperation of sorts — an illegal, and secret, one until it wasn't. Not long after the U.S. designated Iran a state sponsor of terrorism in 1984 — a status that remains — it emerged that America was illicitly selling arms to Iran. One purpose was to win the release of hostages in Lebanon under the control of Iran-backed Hezbollah. The other was to raise secret money for the Contra rebels in Nicaragua in defiance of a U.S. ban on supporting them. President Ronald Reagan fumbled his way through the scandal but emerged unscathed — legally if not reputationally. Only four: Iran, North Korea, Cuba and Syria. The designation makes those countries the target of broad sanctions. Syria's designation is being reviewed in light of the fall of Bashar Assad's government. From President George W. Bush in his 2002 State of the Union address. He spoke five months after the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks and the year before he launched the invasion of Iraq on the wrong premise that Saddam Hussein possessed weapons of mass destruction. He singled out Iran, North Korea and Saddam's Iraq and said: 'States like these, and their terrorist allies, constitute an axis of evil, arming to threaten the peace of the world.' In response, Iran and some of its anti-American proxies and allies in the region took to calling their informal coalition an Axis of Resistance at times. Some, like Hezbollah and Hamas, are degraded due to Israel's fierce and sustained assault on them. In Syria, Assad fled to safety in Moscow after losing power to rebels once tied to al-Qaida but now cautiously welcomed by Trump. In Yemen, Houthi rebels who have attacked commercial ships in the Red Sea and pledged common cause with Palestinians have been bombed by the U.S. and Britain. In Iraq, armed Shia factions controlled or supported by Iran still operate and attract periodic attacks from the United States. In 2015, President Barack Obama and other powers struck a deal with Iran to limit its nuclear development in return for the easing of sanctions. Iran agreed to get rid of an enriched uranium stockpile, dismantle most centrifuges and give international inspectors more access to see what it was doing. Trump assailed the deal in his 2016 campaign and scrapped it two years later as president, imposing a "maximum pressure" campaign of sanctions. He argued the deal only delayed the development of nuclear weapons and did nothing to restrain Iran's aggression in the region. Iran's nuclear program resumed over time and, according to inspectors, accelerated in recent months. Trump's exit from the nuclear deal brought a warning from Hassan Rouhani, then Iran's president, in 2018: 'America must understand well that peace with Iran is the mother of all peace. And war with Iran is the mother of all wars.' In January 2020, Trump ordered the drone strike that killed Qassem Soleimani, Iran's top commander, when he was in Iraq. Then Iran came after him, according to President Joe Biden's attorney general, Merrick Garland. Days after Trump won last year's election, the Justice Department filed charges against an Iranian man believed to still be in his country and two alleged associates in New York. 'The Justice Department has charged an asset of the Iranian regime who was tasked by the regime to direct a network of criminal associates to further Iran's assassination plots against its targets, including President-elect Donald Trump," Garland said. Now, Trump is seeking peace at the table after ordering bombs dropped on Iran, and offering blessings. It is potentially the mother of all turnarounds.
Yahoo
26-06-2025
- Politics
- Yahoo
The US and Iran have had bitter relations for decades. After the bombs, a new chapter begins
WASHINGTON (AP) — Now comes a new chapter in U.S.-Iran relations, whether for the better or the even worse. For nearly a half century, the world has witnessed an enmity for the ages — the threats, the plotting, the poisonous rhetoric between the 'Great Satan' of Iranian lore and the 'Axis of Evil' troublemaker of the Middle East, in America's eyes. Now we have a U.S. president saying, of all things, 'God bless Iran.' This change of tone, however fleeting, came after the intense U.S. bombing of Iranian nuclear-development sites this week, Iran's retaliatory yet restrained attack on a U.S. military base in Qatar and the tentative ceasefire brokered by President Donald Trump in the Israel-Iran war. The U.S. attack on three targets inflicted serious damage but did not destroy them, a U.S. intelligence report found, contradicting Trump's assertion that the attack 'obliterated' Iran's nuclear program. Here are some questions and answers about the long history of bad blood between the two countries: Why did Trump offer blessings all around? In the first blush of a ceasefire agreement, even before Israel and Iran appeared to be fully on board, Trump exulted in the achievement. 'God bless Israel,' he posted on social media. 'God bless Iran.' He wished blessings on the Middle East, America and the world, too. When it became clear that all hostilities had not immediately ceased after all, he took to swearing instead. 'We basically have two countries that have been fighting so long and so hard that they don't know what the f— they're doing,' he said on camera. In that moment, Trump was especially critical of Israel, the steadfast U.S. ally, for seeming less attached to the pause in fighting than the country that has been shouting 'Death to America' for generations and is accused of trying to assassinate him. Why did U.S.-Iran relations sour in the first place? In two words, Operation Ajax. That was the 1953 coup orchestrated by the CIA, with British support, that overthrew Iran's democratically elected government and handed power to the shah, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi. The Western powers had feared the rise of Soviet influence and the nationalization of Iran's oil industry. The shah was a strategic U.S. ally who repaired official relations with Washington. But grievances simmered among Iranians over his autocratic rule and his bowing to America's interests. All of that boiled over in 1979 when the shah fled the country and the theocratic revolutionaries took control, imposing their own hard line. How did the Iranian revolution deepen tensions? Profoundly. On Nov. 4, 1979, with anti-American sentiment at a fever pitch, Iranian students took 66 American diplomats and citizens hostage and held more than 50 of them in captivity for 444 days. It was a humiliating spectacle for the United States and President Jimmy Carter, who ordered a secret rescue mission months into the Iran hostage crisis. In Operation Eagle Claw, eight Navy helicopters and six Air Force transport planes were sent to rendezvous in the Iranian desert. A sand storm aborted the mission and eight service members died when a helicopter crashed into a C-120 refueling plane. Diplomatic ties were severed in 1980 and remain broken. Iran released the hostages minutes after Ronald Reagan's presidential inauguration on Jan. 20, 1981. That was just long enough to ensure that Carter, bogged in the crisis for over a year, would not see them freed in his term. Was this week's U.S. attack the first against Iran? No. But the last big one was at sea. On April 18, 1988, the U.S. Navy sank two Iranian ships, damaged another and destroyed two surveillance platforms in its largest surface engagement since World War II. Operation Praying Mantis was in retaliation against the mining of the USS Samuel B. Roberts in the Persian Gulf four days earlier. Ten sailors were injured and the explosion left a gaping hole in the hull. Did the U.S. take sides in the Iran-Iraq war? Not officially, but essentially. The U.S. provided economic aid, intelligence sharing and military-adjacent technology to Iraq, concerned that an Iranian victory would spread instability through the region and strain oil supplies. Iran and Iraq emerged from the 1980-1988 war with no clear victor and the loss of hundreds of thousands of lives, while U.S.-Iraq relations fractured spectacularly in the years after. What was the Iran-Contra affair? An example of U.S.-Iran cooperation of sorts — an illegal, and secret, one until it wasn't. Not long after the U.S. designated Iran a state sponsor of terrorism in 1984 — a status that remains — it emerged that America was illicitly selling arms to Iran. One purpose was to win the release of hostages in Lebanon under the control of Iran-backed Hezbollah. The other was to raise secret money for the Contra rebels in Nicaragua in defiance of a U.S. ban on supporting them. President Ronald Reagan fumbled his way through the scandal but emerged unscathed — legally if not reputationally. How many nations does the U.S. designate as state sponsors of terrorism? Only four: Iran, North Korea, Cuba and Syria. The designation makes those countries the target of broad sanctions. Syria's designation is being reviewed in light of the fall of Bashar Assad's government. Where did the term 'Axis of Evil' come from? From President George W. Bush in his 2002 State of the Union address. He spoke five months after the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks and the year before he launched the invasion of Iraq on the wrong premise that Saddam Hussein possessed weapons of mass destruction. He singled out Iran, North Korea and Saddam's Iraq and said: 'States like these, and their terrorist allies, constitute an axis of evil, arming to threaten the peace of the world.' In response, Iran and some of its anti-American proxies and allies in the region took to calling their informal coalition an Axis of Resistance at times. What about those proxies and allies? Some, like Hezbollah and Hamas, are degraded due to Israel's fierce and sustained assault on them. In Syria, Assad fled to safety in Moscow after losing power to rebels once tied to al-Qaida but now cautiously welcomed by Trump. In Yemen, Houthi rebels who have attacked commercial ships in the Red Sea and pledged common cause with Palestinians have been bombed by the U.S. and Britain. In Iraq, armed Shia factions controlled or supported by Iran still operate and attract periodic attacks from the United States. What about Iran's nuclear program? In 2015, President Barack Obama and other powers struck a deal with Iran to limit its nuclear development in return for the easing of sanctions. Iran agreed to get rid of an enriched uranium stockpile, dismantle most centrifuges and give international inspectors more access to see what it was doing. Trump assailed the deal in his 2016 campaign and scrapped it two years later as president, imposing a "maximum pressure" campaign of sanctions. He argued the deal only delayed the development of nuclear weapons and did nothing to restrain Iran's aggression in the region. Iran's nuclear program resumed over time and, according to inspectors, accelerated in recent months. Trump's exit from the nuclear deal brought a warning from Hassan Rouhani, then Iran's president, in 2018: 'America must understand well that peace with Iran is the mother of all peace. And war with Iran is the mother of all wars.' How did Trump respond to Iran's provocations? In January 2020, Trump ordered the drone strike that killed Qassem Soleimani, Iran's top commander, when he was in Iraq. Then Iran came after him, according to President Joe Biden's attorney general, Merrick Garland. Days after Trump won last year's election, the Justice Department filed charges against an Iranian man believed to still be in his country and two alleged associates in New York. 'The Justice Department has charged an asset of the Iranian regime who was tasked by the regime to direct a network of criminal associates to further Iran's assassination plots against its targets, including President-elect Donald Trump," Garland said. Now, Trump is seeking peace at the table after ordering bombs dropped on Iran, and offering blessings. It is potentially the mother of all turnarounds. ___ This story has been updated to correct that the Syrian rebels who came to power after Bashar Assad fled to Moscow had been tied to al-Qaida, not the Islamic State.


Toronto Star
25-06-2025
- Politics
- Toronto Star
The US and Iran have had bitter relations for decades. After the bombs, a new chapter begins
WASHINGTON (AP) — Now comes a new chapter in U.S.-Iran relations, whether for the better or the even worse. For nearly a half century, the world has witnessed an enmity for the ages — the threats, the plotting, the poisonous rhetoric between the 'Great Satan' of Iranian lore and the 'Axis of Evil' troublemaker of the Middle East, in America's eyes.