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USA Today
2 days ago
- Sport
- USA Today
Big 12 football 2025 win-loss record predictions, per ESPN's FPI
Big 12 football 2025 win-loss record predictions, per ESPN's FPI The 2025 Big 12 football season continues to inch closer. Only 83 days remain until Colorado kicks off against Georgia Tech on Friday, August 29. Important offseason events continue to come and go as we get closer to the season. Over the past few weeks, ESPN released its power rating metrics, SP+ and Football Power Index. When those ratings receive updates after the spring, it means we have a good feeling for what each team will look like during the upcoming season. ESPN released its FPI for the 2025 season earlier this week. Within those ratings, we have conference championship chances and the likelihood that a team reaches six or more wins. As a reminder, here is how ESPN describes the methodology behind its Football Power Index: The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily. FPI data from seasons prior to 2019 may not be complete. The ratings span the entire college football landscape, but you can also sort by specific conferences. In such a crowded Big 12, it is essential to focus on how the 16 teams stack up. With that in mind, here are ESPN's FPI's record predictions for every Big 12 football team in 2025, ordered from lowest to highest. They're also compared with our recent win-loss projections for each team after spring camp. Projected Win-Loss: 4.8-7.2 Buffaloes Wire Record Prediction: 6-6 (3-6 Big 12) FPI Rating: -3.7 (No. 75 overall) Houston is one of the few teams where our prediction differs from FPI. The Cougars hold the easiest conference schedule in the Big 12 and the No. 15 easiest overall schedule. ESPN's FPI gives Houston a 34.8% chance to win six games, and I think they get there. 15. Arizona Wildcats Projected Win-Loss: 4.9-7.1 Buffaloes Wire Record Prediction: 3-9 (1-8 Big 12) FPI Rating: -1.0 (No. 69 overall) Arizona does not have high expectations going into 2025. Brent Brennan's team does have Noah Fifita under center, but other than him, the talent cabinet is bleak. 14. West Virginia Mountaineers Projected Win-Loss: 5.2-6.9 Buffaloes Wire Record Prediction: 3-9 (1-8 Big 12) FPI Rating: 0.5 (No. 66 overall) Rich Rodriguez is back in Morgantown, tasked with rebuilding the program. It won't be easy and 2025 should be viewed as a growth year. West Virginia is another team that I see falling short of its SP+ record projection. Projected Win-Loss: 5.5-6.6 Buffaloes Wire Record Prediction: 4-8 (2-7 Big 12) FPI Rating: 0.3 (No. 67 overall) Mike Gundy's team should be a lot better than they were last year when it finished last in the Big 12. The Cowboys might not be back to their elite ways, but they should be much improved. 12. Cincinnati Bearcats Projected Win-Loss: 6.4-5.7 Buffaloes Wire Record Prediction: 4-8 (2-7 Big 12) FPI Rating: 3.6 (No. 53 overall) Cincinnati is a difficult team to pin down heading into 2025. Will they improve from their 2024 5-7 record and make a bowl game, or take a step back? They have a few tossups, so anywhere around 6-6 sounds about right. 11. Utah Utes Projected Win-Loss: 6.4-5.6 Buffaloes Wire Record Prediction: 8-4 (5-4 Big 12) FPI Rating: 4.8 (No. 46 overall) Utah, similar to Oklahoma State, should be a significantly better team than it was in 2024. FPI doesn't think the Utes will be dramatically better, but I see them finishing with a winning record in conference play. Projected Win-Loss: 6.5-5.5 Buffaloes Wire Record Prediction: 6-6 (3-6 Big 12) FPI Rating: 4.2 (No. 49 overall) Colorado finishing above Utah would be a surprise, but FPI thinks it is possible. Deion Sanders' Buffaloes team will need to reshape their identity in 2025 with the departures of Shedeur Sanders and Travis Hunter. A 9-3 season is unlikely, but with a challenging schedule, becoming bowl-eligible should be considered a major win. 9. Iowa State Cyclones Projected Win-Loss: 6.7-5.4 Buffaloes Wire Record Prediction: 8-4 (5-4 Big 12) FPI Rating: 4.8 (No. 45 overall) I don't see a significant regression from the Cyclones after a program-best 11-win season a year ago. They might not win 11 games again, but Iowa State should remain in the hunt and, at the very least, win seven games. 8. UCF Knights Projected Win-Loss: 7.2-4.9 Buffaloes Wire Record Prediction: 5-7 (3-6 Big 12) FPI Rating: 6.9 (No. 37 overall) I just don't see UCF being the eighth-best team in the Big 12. Scott Frost is retooling the roster, and the Knights lost their top player in running back RJ Harvey. Frost likely improves upon last season's 4-8 record, but I don't see them touching seven or eight wins. 7. TCU Horned Frogs Projected Win-Loss: 7.2-5.0 Buffaloes Wire Record Prediction: 8-4 (5-4 Big 12) FPI Rating: 8.2 (No. 32 overall) TCU could win 10 games, or they could win six. Right now, I have them right in the middle with eight projected victories. Of the teams with a better than 5% chance to win the conference, the Horned Frogs have the lowest chance (79.1%) to win six games. 6. Baylor Bears Projected Win-Loss: 7.2-5.0 Buffaloes Wire Record Prediction: 10-2 (7-2 Big 12) FPI Rating: 8.0 (No. 33 overall) Maybe I am too high on Baylor, predicting a 10-win regular season. But after they closed out the 2024 conference slate with six straight wins, there are more wins in the tank. If the Bears sweep their tough nonconference games against Auburn and SMU, then a full-on breakout is possible. Projected Win-Loss: 7.9-4.3 Buffaloes Wire Record Prediction: 9-3 (6-3 Big 12) FPI Rating: 8.4 (No. 30 overall) I am a big fan of the Jayhawks. Jalon Daniels is a talented quarterback who can win you a few games by himself. Lance Leipold's squad should be the most improved team in the conference. 4. Texas Tech Red Raiders Projected Win-Loss: 7.9-4.2 Buffaloes Wire Record Prediction: 10-2 (7-2 Big 12) FPI Rating: 7.4 (No. 35 overall) I think Texas Tech could win the Big 12 and more. They brought in the nation's No. 1 transfer portal class and have an experienced quarterback, Behren Morton, set to take another step forward. 3. BYU Cougars Projected Win-Loss: 8.0-4.2 Buffaloes Wire Record Prediction: 10-2 (7-2 Big 12) FPI Rating: 8.4 (No. 29 overall) The Big 12 becomes very crowded at the top with several teams projected around the same record. BYU is one of those teams, and they own a very manageable schedule. A three-game stretch against Utah, Iowa State and Texas Tech will determine if the Cougars play for the Big 12 title in December. 2. Arizona State Sun Devils Projected Win-Loss: 8.3-3.9 Buffaloes Wire Record Prediction: 9-3 (6-3 Big 12) FPI Rating: 9.5 (No. 24 overall) The Sun Devils won't fly under the radar anymore after winning the Big 12 in 2024. Sam Leavitt is a star at quarterback and Kenny Dillingham is an ascending young coach. The schedule is not too difficult, making another 10-win year within reach. Projected Win-Loss: 8.6-3.7 Buffaloes Wire Record Prediction: 10-2 (7-2 Big 12) FPI Rating: 10.8 (No. 21 overall) The Big 12 title favorite according to FPI and a solid top 20 team in the country. Kansas State might have the best quarterback in the Big 12 (Avery Johnson) and head coach Chris Klieman, who seems to only win football games. That is a potent combination, making the Wildcats deserving to be talked about as the top team in the conference going into the season.
USA Today
03-05-2025
- Sport
- USA Today
Shedeur Sanders treated draft process like he was being \
Shedeur Sanders treated draft process like he was being "recruited" says one NFL GM Much has been made about why Shedeur Sanders fell to the fifth round in the NFL draft, and there are likely several reasons. Many reports surfaced following the draft that Sanders did not take the pre-draft process seriously and mishandled interviews. After speaking with an unspecified NFL general manager, Mike Florio of Pro Football Talk elaborated on those reports this week. "Sanders, in the assessment of the general manager, treated the pre-draft process as if he was being 'recruited,' not as if he was being 'interviewed,'" Florio wrote. The unnamed general manager makes the fascinating point that perhaps Sanders was evaluating NFL teams to see if they were the right fit for him, instead of attempting to make himself more appealing to the organization. If true, Sanders' pre-draft plan was severely flawed. Draft prospects, especially those lacking elite talent like Sanders, need to make themselves as "draftable" as possible and, more often than not, do not have the leeway to "choose" their NFL home. This particular general manager thought that was the case, and it hindered Sanders' draft stock. Florio also suggests that Sanders's lack of an agent contributed to his draft slide. "The agent, whoever it may have been, could have explained to Shedeur that ... NFL teams that have the power to draft players are far less concerned about trying to make the player want the team and far more concerned about trying to figure out whether the team wants the player," Florio stated. We likely won't know the whole story about the Shedeur Sanders draft slide, but Florio provides some interesting context on why teams might have passed on the Colorado quarterback. Follow Charlie Strella on X, Threads and Instagram. Contact/Follow us @BuffaloesWire on X (formerly Twitter) and like our page on Facebook for ongoing coverage of Colorado news, notes and opinions.
USA Today
19-04-2025
- Sport
- USA Today
Colorado spring game availability report
Colorado spring game availability report Colorado's Black & Gold Spring game is today as we cap off the third spring under head coach Deion Sanders. The weather cleared up in Boulder, and it looks like a fantastic day for some football along the Flatirons. Before the game kicks off, there is some news on the availability front. The following will not be suiting up for Saturday's game: RB Micah Welch RB Charlie Offerdahl WR Omarion Miller CB Colton Hood OL Kareen Harden OL Phillip Houston OL Jay Gardenhire OL Aki Ogunbiyi DB Preston Hidge WR Kaleb Mathis LB Keaten Wade DL Amari McNeill DL Taurean Carter DE Samuel Okunlola The number of absences is not surprising, considering it's only a spring game. However, a few of the above players seemed to be deep into position battles, so it's a missed opportunity for specific players. Overall, 74 players are suited up for Colorado's spring game. Follow Charlie Strella on X, Threads, and Instagram. Contact/Follow us @BuffaloesWire on X (Twitter), and like our page on Facebook for ongoing coverage of Colorado news, notes and opinions.
Yahoo
19-04-2025
- Sport
- Yahoo
Colorado spring game standout stars and surprise player predictions
Here are some of the predictions our staff at Buffaloes Wire has to share heading into Colorado's spring game. This year's spring game is fascinating to watch because the Buffaloes will be without Shedeur Sanders and Travis Hunter for the first time under head coach Deion Sanders. There are plenty of questions that Saturday's Black & Gold Game should hopefully answer regarding position battles and starting roles. Advertisement Every spring seems to have a surprise performance that few saw coming. Two years ago, Coach Prime's first spring game in Boulder, with over 40,000 in attendance, and the debuts of Shedeur Sanders and Travis Hunter highlighted the afternoon. Last spring, it was the loaded wide receiver room that gave a preview of what was to come in the fall. What will be some of the players to watch closely in this year's game? Our staff offers some predictions for the spring game below. Xavier: Julian Lewis shines. While I think Liberty transfer Kaidon Salter will start, that doesn't mean Lewis won't put on a show during the game. Lewis will show a glimpse into the future for the Buffaloes in the spring game with his elite arm talent, for which CU recruited him. Keep an eye on Tulsa transfer Joseph Williams. If the clips from spring practices have proven anything, it is that Williams is going to be a great option at wide receiver. His 6-foot-2 frame and athleticism should remind Buffs fans of Will Sheppard. I think he shows off his ability at Folsom Field on Saturday and sets a precedent for his 2025 season. Advertisement Charlie: For my standout star of Saturday's spring game, I'm going with true sophomore wide receiver Drelon Miller. I think he has a good chance to be Colorado's top offensive weapon in 2025, and Saturday will give him a chance to show off his talents to a national audience. I expect him to line up all over the formations, and that is always fun to watch in a scrimmage-type setting. I will also be watching the quarterback and linebacker position battles unfold on the field, as they are, in my opinion, the two biggest unknowns when it comes to starters. Colorado's spring game is scheduled to start at 2:30 p.m. MT at Folsom Stadium. Here is how to watch the Black & Gold spring game on TV or livestream. Contact/Follow us @BuffaloesWire on X (Twitter), and like our page on Facebook for ongoing coverage of Colorado news, notes and opinions. This article originally appeared on Buffaloes Wire: Colorado spring game: Predictions and potential stars
USA Today
15-04-2025
- Sport
- USA Today
Colorado's leading rusher from last year officially enters transfer portal
Colorado's leading rusher from last year officially enters transfer portal A week after being removed from Colorado football's spring roster update, running back Isaiah Augustave has officially entered the transfer portal. Augustave, Colorado's leading rusher in 2024, was a surprise entrant into the portal, as he was penciled in as the starting running back entering the season. His departure leaves an opening for true sophomore running back Micah Welch to grab the lead running back job. Deion Sadners and company will likely look to add a running back later this spring from the transfer portal. Augustave transferred to Colorado after spending his first collegiate season at Arkansas. Many thought he was one of the best backs in the transfer portal last year, and his performance showed there was talent there. He just was not used a ton in pass-heavy offense. In 2024, Augustave led the Buffs with 384 yards on 85 carries and four touchdowns. He also flashed in the passing game with 11 receptions for 62 yards. Before he arrived in Boulder, Augustave played in 11 games and made one start for Arkansas as a true freshman. He totaled 202 yards and a touchdown on 35 carries. Follow Charlie Strella on X, Threads, and Instagram. Contact/Follow us @BuffaloesWire on X (Twitter), and like our page on Facebook for ongoing coverage of Colorado news, notes and opinions.
