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CTV News
5 hours ago
- Climate
- CTV News
Tropical Storm Erin could become Atlantic season's 1st hurricane later this week, forecasters say
This image provided by the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration shows Tropical Storm Erin on Monday, Aug. 11, 2025. (NOAA via AP) MIAMI — Tropical Storm Erin formed Monday in the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean and could become the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic season later this week, forecasters say. In the Pacific Ocean, Hurricane Henriette strengthened well away from Hawaii. But the Miami-based National Hurricane Center said no coastal watches or warnings are in effect for either storm. By Monday afternoon, Erin was about 690 kilometres west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands and had maximum sustained winds of 72 km/h, according to the hurricane centre. It said Erin was moving westward at 32 km/h and is expected to continue on that general path for several days. Gradual strengthening was forecast over the next several days and forecasters said Erin could reach hurricane intensity by the latter part of the week. The hurricane centre said it remains too early to determine possible impacts, if any, from Erin as it moves closer to the northern Leeward Islands. Elsewhere, Hurricane Henriette was a Category 1 storm in the central Pacific on Monday and was expected to retain hurricane status for another day or two before weakening. Henriette had maximum sustained winds of 140 km/h, the NHC said. The storm was located about 945 kilometres northwest of Honolulu. Also in the Pacific, remnants of onetime Tropical Storm Ivo degenerated on Monday about 990 kilometres west of the southern tip of Mexico's Baja California peninsula. Forecasters said the remains of Ivo pose no threat to land. The Associated Press
Forbes
a day ago
- Climate
- Forbes
What To Know About Tropical Storm Erin—Expected To Become Major Hurricane
Tropical Storm Erin formed Monday and is expected to become a major hurricane as it moves across the Atlantic Ocean, according to the National Hurricane Center, though the potential risks to the U.S. remain unclear. Erin is expected to form into a hurricane by Friday. (Photo by) Getty Images The tropical storm, which formed in the eastern Atlantic on Monday and is now west of the Cabo Verde Islands, has 45 mph maximum sustained winds. The storm is forecast to form into a hurricane by early Friday morning and a major hurricane by Saturday, when the National Hurricane Center projects it to be located northeast of Puerto Rico. It is expected to be a Category 3 storm with 115 mph sustained winds at that time. The track after that is largely unclear, with forecasters noting the spread in model guidance increases 'markedly' at the end of the five-day projection. Get Forbes Breaking News Text Alerts : We're launching text message alerts so you'll always know the biggest stories shaping the day's headlines. Text 'Alerts' to (201) 335-0739 or sign up here . Five, with Erin being the fifth. None have reached hurricane strength. However, Tropical Storm Chantal managed to directly hit the East Coast early last month, bringing flooding and tornadoes to the Carolinas, where at least six people died. Hurricane Henriette formed in the Central Pacific Ocean on Sunday. The system is north of Hawaii and is expected to continue northward before weakening around Wednesday and Thursday. Key Background The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration updated its hurricane season forecast last week, forecasting the number of named storms this season to reach between 13 and 18. Of those storms, five to nine could become hurricanes and two to five could be major hurricanes. NOAA predicts a 50% chance for an above-normal season, a 35% chance of a near-normal season and a 15% chance of a below-normal season. An average season has 14 named storms. Outside of Tropical Storm Chantal's deadly landfall in July, the U.S. has so far been spared of direct impacts this season. NOAA says warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic and Caribbean have contributed to its predictions for a busy hurricane season. Further Reading Prediction remains on track for above-normal Atlantic hurricane season (NOAA)
Gizmodo
a day ago
- Climate
- Gizmodo
What You Need to Know About This Week's Looming Hurricane
Hurricane trackers are keeping a close eye on a storm with a 90% chance of developing into a hurricane this week. If it does, it would be the first hurricane of the Atlantic season. Tropical Storm Erin, the fifth named storm of the 2025 season, formed off the coast of West Africa on Monday, August 11, according to the National Hurricane Center. As Erin treks westward across the Atlantic, NHC forecasters expect it to strengthen significantly, reaching major hurricane status northeast of Puerto Rico by 8 a.m. ET on Saturday, August 16. The storm is currently bringing thunderstorms, heavy rain, and gusty winds to Cabo Verde, an island nation off the coast of Senegal. Most models show Erin gradually intensifying during its 3,000-mile-long journey, according to the Washington Post. Once it encounters warmer sea surface temperatures north of the Caribbean Islands, it could strengthen into a Category 3 hurricane. Record-high ocean temperatures near the East Coast could heighten landfall risks to the U.S., but the most reliable models currently show Erin tracking north of the Caribbean and turning back out to sea before reaching the Bahamas or the U.S., according to Miami-based hurricane specialist Michael Lowry. James Spann, chief meteorologist at the ABC affiliate for Birmingham, Alabama, agrees. 'A weakness in the upper ridge north of the system should allow for a turn northward into the open Atlantic well before reaching the U.S. East Coast,' he stated in a Monday X post. 'No tropical storms or hurricanes are expected across the Gulf for at least the next seven days.' Still, it's too early to tell exactly where this storm will end up, and forecasters aren't ruling out impacts to land. Its potential paths should have the eastern U.S., eastern Canada, the Leeward Islands, and the Bahamas on alert, the Washington Post reports. Last week, hurricane forecasters warned that the Atlantic season was about to ramp up, citing above-average sea surface temperatures and storm-conducive atmospheric conditions. On Sunday, August 3, Lowry shared NOAA data showing a marine heatwave—a persistent period of above-average ocean temperatures—across the western Atlantic and the Gulf of Mexico. Warmer sea surface temperatures add energy to storms, helping them intensify into hurricanes. The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season has produced four named storms so far, but no hurricanes. It appears to be ramping up right on schedule, as the season historically peaks in September. Despite a lack of hurricanes, the U.S. has already seen significant storm impacts this year. Over the July 4 weekend, remnants of Tropical Storm Barry contributed to deadly flash flooding in the Texas Hill Country, and Chantal caused significant damage in North Carolina. Though it's still unclear whether Erin will hit the U.S., its potential to rapidly strengthen has all eyes on the Atlantic this week.
CBS News
a day ago
- Climate
- CBS News
Will Tropical Storm Erin impact South Florida? Here's the path.
Tropical Storm Erin officially formed in the eastern Atlantic on Monday morning, just west of the Cabo Verde islands. This system is expected to continue moving west to west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Forecast models have remained consistent on the track continuing west-northwest, staying north of the Leeward Islands over the course of the week. Early models show the storm is expected to strengthen and could become the first hurricane of the season around Thursday. Some intensity forecasts suggest this could even become a major hurricane by the weekend. A number of forecast models show a turn to the north and northeast by the beginning of next week. This has been the forecast trend but it could easily shift back to the west. A few forecast models continue the western movement continuing over the weekend, but they remain the minority. Depending on when this turn begins will play a role in whether or not impacts will be expected in the U.S. The NEXT Weather team will continue to provide consistent updates over the week. The National Weather Service predicted an above-normal season for the Atlantic basin this year with an expected number of named storms between 13 and 18, five to nine of which could become hurricanes.
Daily Mail
a day ago
- Climate
- Daily Mail
Erin could become first Atlantic hurricane of 2025
Senior meteorologist Chad Merrill said: 'Several factors are working in its favor, including lack of dust, warm water and a lack of disruptive breezes.' The storm, currently known as Invest 97L, has a 90 percent chance of developing into a cyclone within the next seven days, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Locally heavy rain and gusty winds are expected across the Cabo Verde Islands into early this week as the storm moves westward over the Atlantic. 'However, rough surf and rip currents could increase along East Coast beaches next weekend into early the following week.' The system rates less than one on the AccuWeather RealImpact Scale for the islands. By late week, it is forecast to turn northward just north of the Caribbean. 'Invest 97L has already drawn attention as a contender for the next named storm of the season (Erin),' WeatherTiger meteorologist Ryan Truchelut told USA Today. The NHC noted the system will continue moving west to west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Meteorologist Jim Cantore wrote on X that there is strong confidence the system will intensify as it crosses the Atlantic. 'It's already the best-looking wave of the season,' he said. 'Most reliable hurricane guidance makes it a hurricane by midweek. 'The question is how much. Does it stall? Is the timing of a mid-latitude trough in play or not? Lots to watch, but our first 2025 Atlantic hurricane, and then some, is highly probable.' Whether the storm stays well offshore, potentially threatening Bermuda, or shifts toward the US coastline remains uncertain. The NHC is also monitoring AL96 in the Atlantic, a weak trough of low pressure producing only limited showers and thunderstorms. Significant development is unlikely as the system drifts northward, with just a 10 percent chance of formation over both the next 48 hours and the next seven days.
