3 days ago
'Skill and talent': NHL stats analysts with high praise for Oilers defencemen
This in from TSN stats analyst and hockey writer Travis Yost, his ranking of NHL defences, where he places the Edmonton Oilers in the top tier.
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Said Yost of the Oilers: 'The goaltending can terrify you on any given night but a key reason why the Oilers have emerged as perennial Stanley Cup contenders – OK, setting aside the two-headed monster of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl – is a deepening of skill and talent on the blueline. You need puck movers capable of igniting an attack with this collection of forwards, and Edmonton has that in spades – now featuring one of the best trade deadline acquisitions of the 2024-25 season in Jake Walman.'
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Other teams in Yost's Top Tier include Colorado, Carolina, Dallas and Ottawa.
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Yost analysis follows the work of another strong stats analyst Dom Luszczyszyn of The Athletic, who recently did valuations of players on all 32 NHL teams (essentially translating each player's individual performance into a dollar amount) and found that the Oilers have the most high-performing and valuable d-man unit in the entire NHL.
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Of the Top 60 highest performing d-men in the NHL, the Oilers had four, as per Luszczyszyn's model, with Evan Bouchard ranked seventh, Mattias Ekholm 16th, Jake Walman 29th and Darnell Nurse 52nd. Top ranked was Colorado's Cale Makar at $15.4 million.
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Edmonton's Top 6 d-men were valued, on average at $7.2 million each, with the next most valuable d-men on Montreal, $6.7 million, Colorado, $6.5 million. (For the Habs, I had to estimate Lane Hutson's value, as Luszczyszyn does not rate Entry Level Contracts in this post on contract efficiency).
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Luszczyszyn values Bouchard at $12.8 million, Ekholm, $9.8 million, Walman, $7.9 million, Nurse, $6.5 million, Kulak, $3.9 million and Ty Emberson at $2.5 million.
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My take
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1. For the many wretched years of the Decade of Darkness-plus, the Oilers defence was the blackest of holes, with iffy players like Mark Fayne, Corey Potter, Cam Barker, Theo Peckham, Martin Marincin, Kurtis Foster and Nikita Nikitin often thrust into Top 4 roles at even strength. Especially lacking during those darkest times were d-men who could move the puck. But now almost every Oilers d-man is above average-to-top tier when it comes to puck moving.
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2. The Oilers d-men still make a significant number of mistakes on defence, but their passing ability has shot up since the last rancid season of that horrible decade, 2017-18.
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As recently as the 2021-22 season, the d-men averaged as a group 0.9 major contributions to Grade A shots per 15 minutes of play. This past season, 2024-25, that average was at 1.3 major contributions per 15.
