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Time of India
4 days ago
- Climate
- Time of India
Monsoon break likely in early August; Gadgchiroli's Mulchera receives 240mm in 24 hours
Pune: Meteorologists have warned of a potential monsoon break in early Aug, a period traditionally prone to such disruptions, while triple-digit rainfall lashed multiple locations in Maharashtra, with Mulchera (240mm) in Gadchiroli emerging as one of the wettest stations in the 24-hour period ending Thursday morning. Tired of too many ads? go ad free now Weather experts said preliminary signs suggested that the monsoon trough might shift northward because of a low-pressure system moving across central India. If this continues, it may signal the northward displacement of the monsoon trough. The positioning of the trough along the Himalayan foothills could trigger the season's first break-in-monsoon condition, they said. India Meteorological Department (IMD) said remnants of tropical cyclone 'Wipha' emerged over the north Bay of Bengal, leading to the formation of a low pressure area over the same region on Thursday. GP Sharma, president of Skymet Weather, said: "The low-pressure system that has formed over the Bay of Bengal will not behave like a normal monsoon system. Usually, these systems track along the eastern parts, move through central regions and progress to northern areas, possibly reaching Rajasthan. This system is, however, displaying somewhat different behaviour. There are specific reasons for this deviation." Sharma attributed the unusual pattern to an anticyclone system. "A strong anticyclone over northwest India may prevent the system from moving towards northwestern regions, potentially forcing its movement closer to Himalayan foothills and causing the trough line to shift north of its normal position. When the trough line shifts closer to the foothills of the Himalayas, rainfall reduces significantly over most western, southern and central parts, including Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, Maharashtra and the southern peninsula," Sharma said. Tired of too many ads? go ad free now He, however, said the next 3-4 days would provide a clearer picture. In an updated advisory, the Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services has revised its high-wave warning, now predicting higher waves of 3.8 to 4.7 metres along the coasts of Thane, Mumbai city and suburbs, Raigad, Ratnagiri, Palghar and Sindhudurg districts than previously predicted. The warning period has been extended from 5.30pm on Thursday to 8.30pm on Saturday. Small boats have been strictly advised against venturing into the sea during this period. Speaking about the likely break in monsoon, a senior IMD official said, "Early Aug is generally considered a break-prone period meteorologically. Some forecasts suggest that a break phase may occur in late July or early Aug. In one sense, a break phase can be beneficial. There has already been substantial rainfall over the core monsoon zone, so a pause allows for much-needed sunlight. At the same time, regions in the Himalayas and parts of northeast India that have so far received less rain may benefit too, as they often get more rainfall during such phases. " In a separate incident in Gadchiroli district, a gram sevak was successfully rescued after being trapped in the suddenly rising floodwaters of Kolpalli nullah in Gomani village. Police and local rescue teams responded immediately to ensure his safe evacuation. Pune: Meteorologists have warned of a potential monsoon break in early Aug, a period traditionally prone to such disruptions, while triple-digit rainfall lashed multiple locations in Maharashtra, with Mulchera (240mm) in Gadchiroli emerging as one of the wettest stations in the 24-hour period ending Thursday morning. Weather experts said preliminary signs suggested that the monsoon trough might shift northward because of a low-pressure system moving across central India. If this continues, it may signal the northward displacement of the monsoon trough. The positioning of the trough along the Himalayan foothills could trigger the season's first break-in-monsoon condition, they said. India Meteorological Department (IMD) said remnants of tropical cyclone 'Wipha' emerged over the north Bay of Bengal, leading to the formation of a low pressure area over the same region on Thursday. GP Sharma, president of Skymet Weather, said: "The low-pressure system that has formed over the Bay of Bengal will not behave like a normal monsoon system. Usually, these systems track along the eastern parts, move through central regions and progress to northern areas, possibly reaching Rajasthan. This system is, however, displaying somewhat different behaviour. There are specific reasons for this deviation." Sharma attributed the unusual pattern to an anticyclone system. "A strong anticyclone over northwest India may prevent the system from moving towards northwestern regions, potentially forcing its movement closer to Himalayan foothills and causing the trough line to shift north of its normal position. When the trough line shifts closer to the foothills of the Himalayas, rainfall reduces significantly over most western, southern and central parts, including Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, Maharashtra and the southern peninsula," Sharma said. He, however, said the next 3-4 days would provide a clearer picture. In an updated advisory, the Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services has revised its high-wave warning, now predicting higher waves of 3.8 to 4.7 metres along the coasts of Thane, Mumbai city and suburbs, Raigad, Ratnagiri, Palghar and Sindhudurg districts than previously predicted. The warning period has been extended from 5.30pm on Thursday to 8.30pm on Saturday. Small boats have been strictly advised against venturing into the sea during this period. Speaking about the likely break in monsoon, a senior IMD official said, "Early Aug is generally considered a break-prone period meteorologically. Some forecasts suggest that a break phase may occur in late July or early Aug. In one sense, a break phase can be beneficial. There has already been substantial rainfall over the core monsoon zone, so a pause allows for much-needed sunlight. At the same time, regions in the Himalayas and parts of northeast India that have so far received less rain may benefit too, as they often get more rainfall during such phases. " In a separate incident in Gadchiroli district, a gram sevak was successfully rescued after being trapped in the suddenly rising floodwaters of Kolpalli nullah in Gomani village. Police and local rescue teams responded immediately to ensure his safe evacuation.
Economic Times
11-06-2025
- Climate
- Economic Times
Where is the monsoon? IMD gives an update as heatwave worsens, rain stalled since May 29
After a stall since May 29, the southwest monsoon is poised to resume its northward journey around June 14, according to the IMD and Skymet Weather Services. Strengthening Bay of Bengal systems are expected to invigorate rainfall across central and eastern India, alleviating the ongoing heatwave in the northern regions. Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Bay of Bengal systems to strengthen rainfall Cyclonic circulations to drive monsoon into new areas Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads IMD confirms favourable conditions Heatwave continues across northern India Monsoon likely to pick up from June 14 The southwest monsoon, which has remained stalled since May 29, is likely to resume its northward progress by June 14, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and private weather agency Skymet Weather Services. The rain-bearing system is currently active over Mumbai in the west and Sikkim-Sub Himalayan West Bengal in the attribute the expected revival of the monsoon to multiple weather systems forming over the Bay of Bengal. GP Sharma, president of Skymet Weather Services, said two monsoon systems, including one that is still developing, will likely reinvigorate rainfall where the monsoon has already arrived and help push it further north and west.'A cyclonic circulation has formed over west-central Bay of Bengal, and may bring rain to coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema and Karnataka. By the weekend, heavy showers are likely to reach Konkan and Goa,' Sharma added that another cyclonic circulation is expected to form over the north Bay of Bengal on June 14. This system is projected to travel through Odisha, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, and Maharashtra, aiding the forward movement of the monsoon.'The combined impact of these systems is expected to reinvigorate the monsoon in areas where it has weakened post-onset and extend its reach to cover the remaining parts of West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, and East Madhya Pradesh,' Sharma said.'Additionally, the northern limit of the monsoon is expected to expand in the coming days, alleviating the ongoing heatwave in northern India,' he IMD official confirmed that conditions are turning favourable for the monsoon to advance into central and east India by June 14. However, the official noted that the confirmation of the second Bay of Bengal system is still official also mentioned a cyclonic circulation positioned over north Odisha and nearby areas, which is strengthening monsoon winds. 'From June 12, we expect decent rainfall activity in South Maharashtra and later in other areas in the state. Kerala and Karnataka are already experiencing a strengthening monsoon with a forecast of light to moderate rainfall at most or many places in the next few days,' the official IMD bulletin on Tuesday reported ongoing heatwave conditions in many parts of northern and northwestern India. These include most places in northern Madhya Pradesh, as well as several locations in west Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, and southwest Uttar Pradesh. Severe heatwave conditions were also reported in parts of Rajasthan, Punjab, and Jammu & IMD forecasts gradual relief from the heat starting June 13, as monsoon systems begin to move IMD confirmed that the monsoon had not advanced on June 10 and that the movement is expected to resume by June 14. 'Further progression of the monsoon will result from the westward movement of the existing weather system along the Odisha coast,' an IMD official official highlighted the presence of an east-west trough from north Tamil Nadu to the south Maharashtra coast. 'This shear zone roughly along latitude 15°N is also an indicator of monsoon revival. This will strengthen monsoon winds and facilitate the northward progress of rainfall in the coming days,' the official said.(Inputs from TOI)
Time of India
11-06-2025
- Climate
- Time of India
Where is the monsoon? IMD gives an update as heatwave worsens, rain stalled since May 29
The southwest monsoon, which has remained stalled since May 29, is likely to resume its northward progress by June 14, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and private weather agency Skymet Weather Services. The rain-bearing system is currently active over Mumbai in the west and Sikkim-Sub Himalayan West Bengal in the east. Bay of Bengal systems to strengthen rainfall Meteorologists attribute the expected revival of the monsoon to multiple weather systems forming over the Bay of Bengal. GP Sharma, president of Skymet Weather Services, said two monsoon systems, including one that is still developing, will likely reinvigorate rainfall where the monsoon has already arrived and help push it further north and west. 'A cyclonic circulation has formed over west-central Bay of Bengal, and may bring rain to coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema and Karnataka. By the weekend, heavy showers are likely to reach Konkan and Goa,' Sharma said. by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like I lost my wife, now my son is in danger, please help him! Donate For Health Donate Now Undo Cyclonic circulations to drive monsoon into new areas Sharma added that another cyclonic circulation is expected to form over the north Bay of Bengal on June 14. This system is projected to travel through Odisha, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, and Maharashtra, aiding the forward movement of the monsoon. 'The combined impact of these systems is expected to reinvigorate the monsoon in areas where it has weakened post-onset and extend its reach to cover the remaining parts of West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, and East Madhya Pradesh,' Sharma said. Live Events 'Additionally, the northern limit of the monsoon is expected to expand in the coming days, alleviating the ongoing heatwave in northern India,' he added. IMD confirms favourable conditions An IMD official confirmed that conditions are turning favourable for the monsoon to advance into central and east India by June 14. However, the official noted that the confirmation of the second Bay of Bengal system is still awaited. The official also mentioned a cyclonic circulation positioned over north Odisha and nearby areas, which is strengthening monsoon winds. 'From June 12, we expect decent rainfall activity in South Maharashtra and later in other areas in the state. Kerala and Karnataka are already experiencing a strengthening monsoon with a forecast of light to moderate rainfall at most or many places in the next few days,' the official said. Heatwave continues across northern India The IMD bulletin on Tuesday reported ongoing heatwave conditions in many parts of northern and northwestern India. These include most places in northern Madhya Pradesh, as well as several locations in west Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, and southwest Uttar Pradesh. Severe heatwave conditions were also reported in parts of Rajasthan, Punjab, and Jammu & Kashmir. However, IMD forecasts gradual relief from the heat starting June 13, as monsoon systems begin to move westward. Monsoon likely to pick up from June 14 The IMD confirmed that the monsoon had not advanced on June 10 and that the movement is expected to resume by June 14. 'Further progression of the monsoon will result from the westward movement of the existing weather system along the Odisha coast,' an IMD official said. Another official highlighted the presence of an east-west trough from north Tamil Nadu to the south Maharashtra coast. 'This shear zone roughly along latitude 15°N is also an indicator of monsoon revival. This will strengthen monsoon winds and facilitate the northward progress of rainfall in the coming days,' the official said. (Inputs from TOI)
Time of India
10-06-2025
- Climate
- Time of India
After 13-day pause, monsoon set to resume northward march
1 2 3 Pune: Monsoon is poised to resume its northward march after a 13-day pause since May 29, both IMD and private forecaster Skymet Weather Services said on Tuesday. Currently anchored over Mumbai in the west and Sikkim-Sub Himalayan West Bengal in the east, the monsoon stream is expected to gain momentum due to the weather systems over the Bay of Bengal. Skymet president GP Sharma said two successive monsoon systems (one of which is likely to form later) over the Bay of Bengal, may revitalise rainfall in regions where the monsoon has already arrived and push it into new areas. An IMD official corroborated the projections, and said favourable conditions could see the monsoon progressing over parts of central and east India around June 14. However, the official cautioned that confirmation of the second Bay of Bengal system was still pending. Sharma said: "A cyclonic circulation has formed over west-central Bay of Bengal, and may bring rain to coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema and Karnataka. By the weekend, heavy showers are likely to reach Konkan and Goa." He added that another cyclonic circulation was expected over north Bay of Bengal on June 14, which will traverse Odisha, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra, driving the monsoon's advance. by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like Good News: You May Be Richer Than You Think Undo "The combined impact of these systems is expected to reinvigorate the monsoon in areas where it has weakened post-onset and extend its reach to cover the remaining parts of West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, and East Madhya Pradesh. Sharma said: "Additionally, the northern limit of the monsoon is expected to expand in the coming days, alleviating the ongoing heatwave in northern India." IMD in its bulletin on Tuesday said heatwave conditions were reported at most places with isolated severe heatwave over northern parts of Madhya Pradesh. Heatwave conditions were also reported at many places over west Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and southwest UP with isolated severe heatwave conditions over west Rajasthan, Punjab and Jammu & Kashmir. The IMD bulletin stated that gradual respite from the heatwave conditions over northwest India likely from June 13. An IMD official said: "There is a cyclonic circulation positioned over north Odisha and its surrounding areas that is strengthening monsoon winds. From June 12, we expect decent rainfall activity in South Maharashtra and later in other areas in the state. Kerala and Karnataka are already experiencing a strengthening monsoon with a forecast of light to moderate rainfall at most or many places in the next few days. " Monsoon has not progressed since May 29. The official said: "On June 10 too, there was no further advancement. It should start progressing again by June 14. Further progression of the monsoon will result from the westward movement of the existing weather system along the Odisha coast," he said. Another IMD official said the Bay of Bengal cyclonic circulation was expected to move westward, which might lead to significant rainfall and support monsoon progression in parts of central and east India. "An east-west trough from north Tamil Nadu to the south Maharashtra coast, forming a shear zone roughly along latitude 15°N over the Indian region, is also an indicator of monsoon revival. This will strengthen monsoon winds and facilitate the northward progress of rainfall in the coming days. "
The Guardian
30-04-2025
- Climate
- The Guardian
India and Pakistan already sweltering in ‘new normal' heatwave conditions
The summer conditions south Asian countries dread each year have arrived alarmingly early, and it's only April. Much of India and Pakistan is already sweltering in heatwave conditions, in what scientists say is fast becoming the 'new normal'. Temperatures in the region typically climb through May, peaking in June before the monsoon brings relief. But this year, the heat has come early. 'As far as Asia and the Indian subcontinent are concerned, there was a quick transition from a short window of spring conditions to summer-like heat,' said GP Sharma, the meteorology president of Skymet, India's leading private forecaster. South Asia, home to 1.9 billion people, is particularly vulnerable. Many live in areas highly exposed to extreme heat and lack access to basic cooling, healthcare or water. In Delhi, where spring usually offers a short spell of mild temperatures, thermometers have risen past 40C in April – 'up to 5C above the seasonal average' – according to a report by ClimaMeter, a platform that tracks extreme weather events. 'Human-driven climate change' is to blame for the 'dangerous' kind of heat seen in recent weeks, it said. 'These spring heatwaves are not anomalies. They're signals. We need to move beyond awareness into action,' said Gianmarco Mengaldo, a climate expert at the National University of Singapore and co-author of the report. Delhi authorities urged schools to cancel afternoon assemblies on Tuesday and issued emergency guidelines to ensure water breaks and stocks of oral rehydration salts in first aid kits, and to treat any signs of heat stress immediately. Temperatures in Jaipur, the capital of Rajasthan, hit 44C, triggering heatstroke reports among construction workers and farmers. Other states are also grappling with intense heat. The Indian Meteorological Department has reported an 'above-normal number of heatwave days'. Temperatures are expected to climb steadily across the subcontinent, with the highest readings forecast for Wednesday and Thursday. Pakistan is also reeling. In the city of Shaheed Benazirabad in Sindh province, the mercury has soared to 50C – nearly 8.5C above the April average. In other parts of the country, temperatures have hovered in the high 40s. 'What was once considered rare has become alarmingly common, as climate change accelerates the frequency and severity of such events,' said an editorial in the Pakistani newspaper Dawn. The country 'remains woefully unprepared for the escalating climate crisis', it said. Urban heat is making things worse. Data comparing 1950–1986 with 1987–2023 shows that cities such as Delhi and Islamabad are now up to 3C hotter on average than nearby rural areas. 'When it comes to heatwaves, the question is no longer if they are linked to climate change, but what kind of thresholds we are reaching,' said Mengaldo. 'Preparedness is essential. But right now, our infrastructure is not well adapted.' Natural climate variability such as the El Niño cycle can affect regional weather, but it is now in a neutral phase. ClimaMeter said: 'Compared to pre-1986 levels, similar meteorological conditions now produce temperatures up to 4C higher – almost entirely due to human-driven climate change.' Sign up to Down to Earth The planet's most important stories. Get all the week's environment news - the good, the bad and the essential after newsletter promotion South Asia is not alone. 'In the northern hemisphere spring months, we are already seeing conditions in parts of the Middle East that are incompatible with human life,' said Mengaldo. 'This is very serious for the populations … we also expect summer temperatures in Spain and France to reach unprecedented levels in the next few years,' he said. 'Many of the events predicted for 2050 or 2070 are already happening. We underestimated the speed of change. What we're seeing now is an acceleration – a failure of our predictive models.' David Faranda, a senior climate scientist with the French National Centre for Scientific Research and co-author of the report, said: 'The only sustainable solution is to stop burning fossil fuels and reduce emissions. Without drastically reducing emissions and building climate resilience through better insulation, use of green energy, and other moves, the implications are alarming.' 'Even if we act now, the climate system will take decades – sometimes over a century – to cool down,' Mengaldo added. 'The sea level rise is already locked in for hundreds of years.' Both researchers stressed economic inequality and infrastructure played a critical role in determining who survives extreme heat. 'There are different temperature thresholds – actual temperature, [humidity index] and others,' said Mengaldo. 'Economic levels play a huge role in how people can cope and sustain themselves.' Delhi has updated its heat action plan, focusing on vulnerable groups such as elderly people, construction workers, and street vendors. But implementation is inconsistent. Faranda said adaptation was increasingly unaffordable for many heat-prone countries, with electricity grids buckling and causing widespread power cuts. 'When multiple events occur, there's often no escape,' he said. Mengaldo highlighted the need for innovation: 'We need better-insulated housing, materials that prevent energy loss, and architectural designs that promote natural cooling. These can significantly reduce energy demand during extreme heat.' Faranda also said people must change their lifestyles. 'Energy demand keeps increasing. If we want to survive the coming decades, we must not only build more renewables but also reduce energy consumption overall: through lifestyle changes, efficient architecture, and better materials.'
