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Globe and Mail
31-07-2025
- Business
- Globe and Mail
Gold Stopped by Another 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement, Updated & New Video!
This is our latest Video for Gold & Live Cattle. Gold Stopped by Another 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement, Updated The chart is key to this analysis. (GCQ25) In our post 4 days ago our short term target after hitting 78.6% at 3427.00 and the 3446.20 major Gann square was 78.6% the other way at 3292.50 per the ONE44 78.6% rule, this was also a major Gann square. Today it closed below there and it will now be our swing point for the week. Use 3292.50 as the swing point for the week. Above it, the short term target is 78.6% the other way again and this time it is 3410.00. Below it, the short term target is the completion of the 78.6% at 3459.00 on 6/16/25 to 78.6% of the 5/15/25 low and 6/16/25 high at 3219.00. You can sign up here for Free Gold, Crude Oil, SP500 & Bitcoin Updates. GCQ25 Previous Update, From last week, The market held 38.2% at 3195.00 on 5/15/25 keeping the trend very strong, but has been unable to make a new high since then. It did fail to make a new high at a 78.6% retracement on 6/16/25 and that did send the market over $200 lower and is caught between 78.6% retracements. Overall even with the sideways trade since the ATH the trend remains very strong. The key area to get through above is 78.6% of the 6/16/25 high and 6/30/25 low at 3426.00 and the 3446.20 major Gann square, failing to get above this can send the market quickly lower, when and if it can clear this area it can cause another sharp rally like the one between 4/7/25 and 4/22/25. This week's high hit the key area above between 78.6% (3426.00) and the 3446.20 major Gann square. With 3426.00 being a 78.6% retracement we will be using the ONE44 78.6% rule for the short term target. It has hit a 78.6% retracement twice before, once on 5/7/25 and that sent it to 38.2% back to the 11/14/25 low at 3198.00 on 5/15/25 and then on 6/16/25 when it sent it back to the previous major Gann square at 3292.50. We will be watching to see if this can be the end of the Bull run for now, or just another setback building for another big run higher. Use 3446.20 as the swing point for the week. Above it, there are only major Gann squares above to look for resistance and then use as the swing point when closed above, the next two are 3619.60 and 3774.40. Below it, the short term target is 78.6% the other way at 3292.50, per the ONE44 78.6% rule, this is also a major Gann square. If this is all it can setback, look for a quick run to new highs. The longer term target is 23.6% back on the continuation chart at 3107.00. The long term swing point from the same move is 38.2% at 2840.00. ONE44 Analytics where the analysis is concise and to the point Our goal is to not only give you actionable information, but to help you understand why we think this is happening based on pure price analysis with Fibonacci retracements, that we believe are the underlying structure of all markets and Gann squares. If you like this type of analysis and trade the Grain/Livestock futures you can become a Premium Member. You can also follow us on YouTube for more examples of how to use the Fibonacci retracements with the ONE44 rules and guidelines. FULL RISK DISCLOSURE: Futures trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Commission Rule 4.41(b)(1)(I) hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Globe and Mail
25-05-2025
- Business
- Globe and Mail
Gold Analysis & Targets 5/25/25
Gold Futures Analysis The chart is key to this update. (GCM25) From last week, The failure to make a new high in the area of a 78.6% retracement (also a major Gann square) hit the first target of 78.6% the other way at 3268.00 per the ONE44 78.6% rule and we will now see if it is also the end of the Bull run for now. It traded below the short term target of 3164.40, but never closed below it, this was 38.2% back to the 11/14/24 low and a major Gann square. This will be the key level for next week. Use 3164.40 as the swing point for the week. Above it, being a 38.2% retracement, holding it can send this market to a new high per the ONE44 38.2% rule. The longer term target is 78.6% back to the 4/22/25 high at 3430.00. The short term target area is the 3356.70 major Gann square and 61.8% back to the same high at 3366.00. Any rally that can't get above 38.2% of the same move at 3273.00 is very negative and a new low can quickly follow. 5/25/25 After spiking below 38.2% at 3164.00 (also a major Gann square), but never closing below it, it has rallied $200 and now hit the short term target area of the 3356.70 major Gann square and 61.8% back to the 4/22/25 high at 3366.00, this will be the key level for next week. We will use the ONE44 61.8% rule to get the short term downside target. Use 3366.00 as the swing point for the week. Above it, The low on 5/15/25 held 38.2% at 3164.40 and following the ONE44 38.2% rule we are still looking for a new ATH from it for the long term target. The short term target area is 78.6% of the same move at 3430.00 and the 3446.00 major Gann square. Below it, a setback from a 61.8% retracement can send it 61.8% the other way at 3220.00 per the ONE44 61.8% rule, this is the short term target. The long term target area is 78.6% of the same move at 3178.00 and the 3164.40 major Gann square. Any setback that holds 38.2% at 3276.00 keeps the short term trend extremely positive and a new high can quickly follow. We have done 47 videos on how to use the Fibonacci retracements with the ONE44 rules and guidelines. These Videos are worth watching even if it is not in the market you are trading, as the ONE44 rules and guidelines are the same for every market. You will also see why we believe the Fibonacci retracements are the underlying structure of ALL markets. Here is the latest. Sign up for free updates for Gold, Crude Oil, SP 500 and Bitcoin here. ONE44 Analytics where the analysis is concise and to the point Our goal is to not only give you actionable information, but to help you understand why we think this is happening based on pure price analysis with Fibonacci retracements, that we believe are the underlying structure of all markets and Gann squares. If you like this type of analysis and trade the Grain/Livestock futures you can become a Premium Member. You can also follow us on YouTube for more examples of how to use the Fibonacci retracements with the ONE44 rules and guidelines. FULL RISK DISCLOSURE: Futures trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Commission Rule 4.41(b)(1)(I) hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Globe and Mail
19-05-2025
- Business
- Globe and Mail
Gold Analysis & Targets
Gold Analysis (GCM25) From last week, Monday it got right back above 3300.00 and then hit the short term target of 78.6% at 3446.00 which is also a major Gann square. A failure to make a new high in the area of a 78.6% retracement can be the end of the Bull market, or just send it back 78.6% of where it just came from based on the ONE 44 78.6% rule. Friday's low was just short of 78.6% the other way at 3268.00, so this will be the key level for the next week. Use 3268.00 as the swing point for the week. Below it, the short term target is 3164.40, this is a major Gann square and 38.2% back to the 11/14/25 low. The longer term target is 23.6% back to the 2022 low at 3070.50, this is also a major Gann square. The long term target is also the long term swing point at 2810.00, this 38.2% back to the 2022 low and a major Gann square. The failure to make a new high in the area of a 78.6% retracement (also a major Gann square) hit the first target of 78.6% the other way at 3268.00 per the ONE44 78.6% rule and we will now see if it is also the end of the Bull run for now. It traded below the short term target of 3164.40, but never closed below it, this was 38.2% back to the 11/14/24 low and a major Gann square. This will be the key level for next week. Use 3164.40 as the swing point for the week. Above it, being a 38.2% retracement, holding it can send this market to a new high per the ONE44 38.2% rule. The longer term target is 78.6% back to the 4/22/25 high at 4340.00. The short term target area is the 3356.70 major Gann square and 61.8% back to the same high at 3366.00. Any rally that can't get above 38.2% of the same move at 3273.00 is very negative and a new low can quickly follow. Below it, the short term target is 23.6% back to the 2022 low at 3070.50, this is also a major Gann square. The long term target is also the long term swing point at 2810.00, this 38.2% back to the 2022 low and a major Gann square, before then there are major Gann squares to look for support and then use as the swing point when closed below at 2982.20 and 2896.20. We have done 47 videos on how to use the Fibonacci retracements with the ONE44 rules and guidelines. These Videos are worth watching even if it is not in the market you are trading, as the ONE44 rules and guidelines are the same for every market. You will also see why we believe the Fibonacci retracements are the underlying structure of ALL markets. Here is the latest. Sign up for free updates for Gold, Crude Oil, SP 500 and Bitcoin here. ONE44 Analytics where the analysis is concise and to the point Our goal is to not only give you actionable information, but to help you understand why we think this is happening based on pure price analysis with Fibonacci retracements, that we believe are the underlying structure of all markets and Gann squares. If you like this type of analysis and trade the Grain/Livestock futures you can become a Premium Member. You can also follow us on YouTube for more examples of how to use the Fibonacci retracements with the ONE44 rules and guidelines. FULL RISK DISCLOSURE: Futures trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Commission Rule 4.41(b)(1)(I) hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
