Gold Analysis & Targets
(GCM25)
From last week,
Monday it got right back above 3300.00 and then hit the short term target of 78.6% at 3446.00 which is also a major Gann square. A failure to make a new high in the area of a 78.6% retracement can be the end of the Bull market, or just send it back 78.6% of where it just came from based on the ONE 44 78.6% rule. Friday's low was just short of 78.6% the other way at 3268.00, so this will be the key level for the next week.
Use 3268.00 as the swing point for the week.
Below it, the short term target is 3164.40, this is a major Gann square and 38.2% back to the 11/14/25 low. The longer term target is 23.6% back to the 2022 low at 3070.50, this is also a major Gann square. The long term target is also the long term swing point at 2810.00, this 38.2% back to the 2022 low and a major Gann square.
The failure to make a new high in the area of a 78.6% retracement (also a major Gann square) hit the first target of 78.6% the other way at 3268.00 per the ONE44 78.6% rule and we will now see if it is also the end of the Bull run for now. It traded below the short term target of 3164.40, but never closed below it, this was 38.2% back to the 11/14/24 low and a major Gann square. This will be the key level for next week.
Use 3164.40 as the swing point for the week.
Above it, being a 38.2% retracement, holding it can send this market to a new high per the ONE44 38.2% rule. The longer term target is 78.6% back to the 4/22/25 high at 4340.00. The short term target area is the 3356.70 major Gann square and 61.8% back to the same high at 3366.00. Any rally that can't get above 38.2% of the same move at 3273.00 is very negative and a new low can quickly follow.
Below it, the short term target is 23.6% back to the 2022 low at 3070.50, this is also a major Gann square. The long term target is also the long term swing point at 2810.00, this 38.2% back to the 2022 low and a major Gann square, before then there are major Gann squares to look for support and then use as the swing point when closed below at 2982.20 and 2896.20.
We have done 47 videos on how to use the Fibonacci retracements with the ONE44 rules and guidelines. These Videos are worth watching even if it is not in the market you are trading, as the ONE44 rules and guidelines are the same for every market. You will also see why we believe the Fibonacci retracements are the underlying structure of ALL markets.
Here is the latest.
Sign up for free updates for Gold, Crude Oil, SP 500 and Bitcoin here.
ONE44 Analytics where the analysis is concise and to the point
Our goal is to not only give you actionable information, but to help you understand why we think this is happening based on pure price analysis with Fibonacci retracements, that we believe are the underlying structure of all markets and Gann squares.
If you like this type of analysis and trade the Grain/Livestock futures you can become a Premium Member.
You can also follow us on YouTube for more examples of how to use the Fibonacci retracements with the ONE44 rules and guidelines.
FULL RISK DISCLOSURE: Futures trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Commission Rule 4.41(b)(1)(I) hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Globe and Mail
7 minutes ago
- Globe and Mail
Should You Buy The Trade Desk Stock After Its 40% Crash Post-Earnings? Wall Street Says This Will Happen Next.
Key Points The Trade Desk stock plummeted nearly 40% following its second-quarter financial report as investors reacted to slowing revenue growth and tariff uncertainty. The Trade Desk's independent business model has helped the company forge important partnerships across the connected TV and retail advertising landscape. Wall Street expects adjusted earnings to increase at 14% annually through 2026, which makes the current valuation of 31 times adjusted earnings look tolerable. 10 stocks we like better than The Trade Desk › The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) had its worst day as a public company on Friday, Aug. 8. Shares dropped nearly 40% as investors processed second-quarter financial results, the departure of CFO Alex Kayyal, and a cautious outlook due to tariff uncertainty. Most Wall Street analysts think the market overreacted. The Trade Desk still has a median target price of $80 per share, which implies 48% upside from its current share price of $54. However, forecasts range from $45 per share at the low end (implying 17% downside) to $135 per share at the high end (implying 150% upside). Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue » Here's what investors should know before buying the post-earnings dip. The Trade Desk's independence differentiates it from Amazon, Google, and Meta Platforms The Trade Desk operates the leading independent demand-side platform (DSP), a type of adtech software that helps media buyers plan, measure, and optimize advertising campaigns across digital channels. Its platform leans on artificial intelligence to help clients manage budgets, customize bids, and dynamically target consumers. The Trade Desk's independence -- meaning it does not own media content that might bias ad spending on its platform -- distinguishes it from larger competitors, such as Alphabet 's Google, Meta Platforms, and Amazon. Those companies have a clear incentive to steer media buyers toward their own ad inventory on websites like Google Search and Instagram, which creates a conflict of interest. In other words, The Trade Desk is more transparent. The company's independence has allowed it to form a number of critical partnerships. It sources ad inventory from streaming platforms Netflix, Roku, Walt Disney, and Spotify. It sources data from retailers Albertsons, Target, and Walmart. That creates opportunities brands cannot find on other platforms, such that The Trade Desk has become a leader in connected TV (CTV) advertising and a formidable player in retail advertising. Importantly, the company has consistently taken market share in digital advertising, and CEO Jeff Green believes that trend will continue for the foreseeable future. That sets The Trade Desk up for solid growth in years to come. Adtech spending is projected to increase at 14% annually through 2030, according to Grand View Research. The Trade Desk reported slowing growth in the second quarter and gave weak guidance that unsettled investors Despite the sharp decline in the stock, The Trade Desk actually reported reasonably good second-quarter financial results that beat estimates on the top and bottom lines. Revenue rose 19% to $694 million, and non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) net income jumped 5% to $0.41 per diluted share. "With our leadership in CTV as well as other areas such as retail media, digital audio, identity, measurement, and data, we are winning more business," said CEO Jeff Green. Nevertheless, investors were clearly concerned about slowing growth, particularly because larger competitors delivered stronger results. Meta Platforms and Amazon said advertising revenue increased 21% and 23%, respectively, in the second quarter. The Trade Desk has historically outpaced its largest rivals, so the latest report raises questions about its ability to do so in the future. That is particularly true because the company provided weak guidance for the third quarter. Management says revenue will increase by 14% to $717 million, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) will increase 8% to $277 million. But newly appointed CFO Laura Schenkein said actual results could be worse if tariff uncertainty leads to a less favorable economic environment. That gloomy outlook caused the stock to plunge nearly 40% following the report. Bank of America analyst Jessica Ehrlich downgraded the stock to hold and slashed her target price to $55 per share (down from $130 per share). She still thinks The Trade Desk's revenue will increase at a double-digit pace in the future, but no longer believes a premium valuation is justified because the company is losing momentum. MoffettNathanson also downgraded the stock to sell for similar reasons, slashing its target price to $45 per share. What Wall Street expects from The Trade Desk in the coming quarters The Trade Desk's second-quarter report raised questions about its ability to grow revenue faster than 20% annually, and Wall Street analysts are clearly divided on the issue. The company reorganized its sales team earlier this year after missing its own guidance in the fourth quarter for the first time in 33 quarters. Growth could reaccelerate as those changes improve workflows, especially once tariff uncertainty dissipates. Regardless, Wall Street currently estimates The Trade Desk's adjusted earnings will increase by 14% annually through 2026. That forecast makes the current valuation of 31 times adjusted earnings look tolerable, and it leaves room for upside if the company manages a material reacceleration in sales growth in the future. To that end, patient investors should consider buying the stock on the post-earnings dip. Should you invest $1,000 in The Trade Desk right now? Before you buy stock in The Trade Desk, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and The Trade Desk wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $653,427!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,119,863!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,060% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 182% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of August 4, 2025 Bank of America is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Trevor Jennewine has positions in Amazon, Roku, and The Trade Desk. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Netflix, Roku, Spotify Technology, Target, The Trade Desk, Walmart, and Walt Disney. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Globe and Mail
3 hours ago
- Globe and Mail
HighPeak Energy, Inc. Announces 2025 Second Quarter Earnings Release and Conference Call Dates
FORT WORTH, Texas, July 28, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- HighPeak Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ: HPK) ('HighPeak Energy'), today announced that it plans to release its 2025 second quarter financial and operating results after the close of trading on Monday, August 11, 2025. HighPeak Energy will host a conference call and webcast on Tuesday, August 12, 2025 at 10:00 a.m. Central Time for investors and analysts to discuss its 2025 sceond quarter financial results and operational highlights. Participants may register for the call here. Access to the live audio-only webcast and replay of the earnings release conference call may be found here. A live broadcast of the earnings conference call will also be available on HighPeak Energy's website at under the 'Investors' section of the website. About HighPeak Energy, Inc. HighPeak Energy is a publicly traded independent oil and natural gas company, headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas, focused on the acquisition, development, exploration and exploitation of oil and natural gas reserves in the Midland Basin in West Texas. For more information, please visit our website at Source: HighPeak Energy, Inc.
Globe and Mail
7 hours ago
- Globe and Mail
Rivian Investors Face a Real Setback
Key Points Rivian's net loss narrowed, but tariff impacts weighed on results. Losing regulatory credit sales is a big loss for Rivian. The company's future increasingly relies on the upcoming R2 EV. 10 stocks we like better than Rivian Automotive › It's been a bumpy ride so far this year for Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN). With the much-hyped R2 not launching until 2026, the company's sales have been sluggish and the addition of tariffs on imported auto parts threw a curveball few, if any, were ready for. Let's take a quick look at Rivian's second quarter and one very real setback investors may not have prepared for. Brief Q2 recap Rivian's second-quarter revenue rose 13% from the prior year to $1.3 billion, and its second quarter checked in with a net loss of $1.1 billion. The net loss was an improvement over the prior year's $1.5 billion net loss. Rivian's adjusted earnings per share checked in at a loss of $0.97, much worse than analysts expected at a loss of $0.80 per share, per Factset. Rivian did reaffirm its 2025 delivery guidance of 40,000 to 46,000 vehicles -- though it's going to take a strong second-half performance to reach. Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue » Another important metric for investors to follow is Rivian's gross loss, which checked in at a $206 million loss during the second quarter, still better than the prior year's loss of $451 million. But it's still a slight disappointment considering investors hoped Rivian would be gross-profit positive for the full year after posting gross profits during both the fourth and first quarters. Rivian also lowered its adjusted EBITDA loss forecast for the full year, expecting it to check in between $2 billion and $2.5 billion, compared to the previous forecast of between $1.7 billion and $1.9 billion. But there was one big glaring hurdle facing Rivian and its investors. Goodbye gravy-train? Rivian investors should be well aware the company manufactures and sells an electric SUV, truck, and delivery van, but they might not be aware that the company also generates a significant chunk of its business from selling zero-emissions credits. This is how it works in a simplified explanation. Manufacturers such as Tesla, Rivian, and Lucid that produce and sell electric vehicles receive credits for those vehicles meeting emissions standards. On the flip side, automakers were previously penalized for missing those emissions targets, and one way to meet the requirements was to simply purchase zero-emission credits from automakers that didn't have to worry about offsetting an internal combustion vehicle lineup. But the administration's removal of the emissions penalty did one huge thing -- it completely removed the incentive for automakers to purchase zero-emission credits since they are no longer penalized for missing targets. It's the equivalent of shutting off a hose that was flowing cash. "We do not expect to earn revenue from these programs for the remainder of 2025. We expect total 2025 regulatory credit sales to be approximately $160 million as compared to our prior outlook of $300 million," Rivian CFO Claire McDonough said. What it all means It's not a stretch to say even Tesla may have shuttered its doors in the early days without sales of these credits. They're incredibly important to young EV makers. This is a big loss for Rivian, and without sales of zero-emission credits the company will almost certainly fall short of gross profits during 2025. The silver lining is that Rivian already completed its task of two consecutive quarters of gross profits, which secured $1 billion of direct equity from Volkswagen as a part of their joint venture. Losing revenue from zero-emission credits is certainly a setback, and a letdown investors likely didn't anticipate when initially investing in the automaker. But it's not a death sentence either. The company's future still largely remains in the hands of its upcoming and highly anticipated R2 electric SUV, R3, and R3X, with the first R2 rolling out of production in the first half of 2026. If the R2 is a success, investors will forget about lost revenue and profits from zero-emission credits. Should you invest $1,000 in Rivian Automotive right now? Before you buy stock in Rivian Automotive, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Rivian Automotive wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $653,427!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,119,863!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,060% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 182% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of August 4, 2025
