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Boston Globe
18 hours ago
- Climate
- Boston Globe
Forecasters closely monitor two more potential tropical systems in an extremely warm Atlantic
According to the National Hurricane Center, the first major hurricane would typically form in early September; this year, that occurred in mid-August. NHC Forecasters are closely monitoring two other tropical systems in the Atlantic. The National Hurricane Center said a tropical disturbance in Erin's wake in the central Atlantic has a decent chance of developing into a tropical depression by the weekend, while another disturbance, Invest 99L, located off the western coast of Africa, has a lower chance of developing into an organized storm. Early and late in the hurricane season, more storms form in the Gulf and in the Western Caribbean. But as we continue through August and into September, we have more of those storms that form off the coast of Africa and then move westward toward the United States. The track of hurricanes is determined by high pressure that sits out in the Atlantic. Depending on the configuration of that high, the storms can either wrap around and move northward between the East Coast and Bermuda, similar to what we're seeing with Erin this week. But if the high-pressure system is anchored differently, the storms can be funneled toward the Gulf Coast or even the Eastern Seaboard. Advertisement Tropical development shifts east as the season progresses and then south and west deeper in the fall. NOAA Advertisement This year, the The forecast is for up to five major hurricanes this year, with as many as 18 named storms, which include tropical systems. NOAA The season itself ramps up very quickly from this point forward, with the statistical peak on Sept. 10. From there, things taper off fairly quickly through the rest of September into October as the waters of the Atlantic cool. Hurricane season does not officially end until Nov. 30. For us here in New England, we still have not had a hurricane reach the shores of the area The number of hurricane strikes by counties here in the Northeast is highest over Cape Cod and the Islands. NHC Even if we don't have a hurricane, a tropical storm can still bring plenty of damage. The remnants of Sandy in 2012 and the remnants of Irene the year before both brought significant flooding, tree damage, and power outages to the Northeast. Even though these storms were not officially hurricanes when they reached our latitude, they still were formidable weather events. You can see the many hurricane strikes, below, that occurred from Texas up through Cape Cod from 1900 to 2010. There have been many hurricanes to hit the US, from Texas to Massachusetts, since 1950. NCEI Advertisement


New York Post
a day ago
- Climate
- New York Post
Tropical waves brew behind Hurricane Erin as Atlantic's Main Development Region roars to life with 2 areas to watch
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring two areas to watch for tropical development behind Hurricane Erin as the Atlantic Ocean's Main Development Region roars to life. Development odds grow for an area to watch right behind Hurricane Erin The first area has been under the eyes of the NHC for a few days as it emerged off Africa's west coast. The NHC says the large group of disorganized thunderstorms now located in the central tropical Atlantic will encounter favorable conditions for development as it moves toward the Caribbean islands. The NHC says that the system has a medium chance of development over the next seven days. 'Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form late this week or over the weekend while it moves near or north of the northern Leeward Islands,' the NHC said in its Tuesday evening outlook. FOX Weather Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross says it's still too early to know where this system will track if it develops. 3 In this Monday, Aug. 18, 2025 satellite image released by NASA, Hurricane Erin continues its slow west-northwest trajectory across the Atlantic Ocean. AP 'The system's path over next weekend and into next week is an open question,' Norcross wrote on Monday. 'The computer forecasts have been flopping around, although the consensus is that the system will follow Erin to the north well offshore of the U.S. East Coast.' The next name on the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season list is Fernand. Invest 99L tagged as area of storms emerges off Africa 3 The first area has been under the eyes of the NHC for a few days as it emerged off Africa's west coast. Fox Weather Invest 99L was designated by the NHC off the coast of Africa early Tuesday morning. An invest is a term used by the NHC to designate an area they are investigating for possible development into a tropical depression or tropical storm within the next seven days. The invest designation allows the NHC to run specialized computer forecast models on the system to obtain more information about its future track and intensity. 3 Rough ocean water and waves in the Far Rockaways near Beach 145th Street, Queens, NY. Gregory P. Mango A tropical wave 'continues to produce shower and thunderstorm activity while it moves westward at about 15 mph,' the NHC wrote Tuesday evening. 'A short-lived tropical depression could form during the next day or two before unfavorable environmental conditions develop late this week.' Start your day with all you need to know Morning Report delivers the latest news, videos, photos and more. Thanks for signing up! Enter your email address Please provide a valid email address. By clicking above you agree to the Terms of Use and Privacy Policy. Never miss a story. Check out more newsletters However, this system currently only has a low chance of development over the next seven days. Should that storm find favorable conditions to eventually develop into a tropical storm, it would earn the name Gabrielle. The FOX Forecast Center will continue to watch these areas throughout the week as the peak of hurricane season approaches on Sept. 10.
Yahoo
a day ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
Hurricane Erin leads a train of tropical activity. Are more storms coming?
Hurricane Erin isn't the only game in town. Forecasters are also monitoring two other tropical systems in the Atlantic Ocean on Aug. 19 as the heart of the hurricane season approaches. Hurricane Erin is located a few hundred miles off the coast of Florida and is moving slowly to the northwest, the National Hurricane Center said. Although the storm center is expected to remain offshore, large waves and rough surf driven by the powerful hurricane were expected to pound the Atlantic Coast from Central Florida to Canada. Much farther to the east in the central Atlantic, a tropical wave could become a tropical depression toward the end of the week or over the weekend as it moves west toward the United States and Caribbean. More: What does fierce Hurricane Erin mean for the rest of the season? And yet another tropical wave off the coast of Africa has a low chance for development but has been designated as "Invest 99L" by the hurricane center. If one of the systems becomes a named storm, the next storm of the Atlantic hurricane season will be Fernand. Fortunately, neither system appears to be a land threat at this time, said Houston-based meteorologist Matt Lanza on his Eyewall blog. Tropical wave in the central Atlantic "The westernmost wave that's located in the central Atlantic remains discombobulated, with disorganized showers and thunderstorms stretching for hundreds of miles," said WPLG-TV hurricane specialist Michael Lowry on his Substack blog. "Until it becomes more coherent and consolidated, we won't have a great handle on its future track and development. "That said, generally models take the system off toward the west-northwest this week and near or north of the (Caribbean) islands from Friday into the weekend," Lowry said. The hurricane center is giving the system – the orange x on the map below – a 60% chance of development within the next seven days as it moves west across the Atlantic. However, "until we can better lock down where it may come together, we can't speculate on whether it'll be a longer-term problem for the U.S." Lowry said. Invest 99L in the eastern Atlantic A tropical wave – dubbed Invest 99L – located a couple of hundred miles to the southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms, the hurricane center said. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for additional development over the next couple of days as the system – the yellow x on the map above – moves westward at around 15 mph. Towards the end of this week, this system could encounter a less favorable environment, limiting its development chances after that time. The wave is "at least 10 days from probably doing anything, so we have plenty of time to watch and it's nothing anyone needs to worry about right now," noted Lanza. When is the busiest part of the Atlantic hurricane season? The most active period of the Atlantic hurricane season historically has been from mid-August through mid-October. The peak hits Sept. 10. Seasonal forecasters expect the season to be a busy one, with more storms than normal, based on their analysis of ocean conditions and weather patterns. Already, five named storms have formed, one of which is a hurricane (Erin). This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: More tropical systems follow Erin; NHC watching 2 in Atlantic
Yahoo
a day ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
NHC Tracking 2 Tropical Waves In Atlantic
In addition to Erin, the National Hurricane Center is keeping a close eye on two tropical waves in the Atlantic. The tropical wave directly behind Erin could develop into a tropical depression by the end of the week as it passes over or near the Leeward Islands on Friday. The tropical wave near the Cabo Verde Islands, designated Invest 99L, also has a chance of development over the next few days. Solve the daily Crossword


USA Today
a day ago
- Climate
- USA Today
Hurricane Erin leads a train of tropical activity. Are more storms coming?
Forecasters are monitoring two other tropical systems in the Atlantic Ocean on Aug. 19 as the heart of the 2025 hurricane season approaches. Hurricane Erin isn't the only game in town. Forecasters are also monitoring two other tropical systems in the Atlantic Ocean on Aug. 19 as the heart of the hurricane season approaches. Hurricane Erin is located a few hundred miles off the coast of Florida and is moving slowly to the northwest, the National Hurricane Center said. Although the storm center is expected to remain offshore, large waves and rough surf driven by the powerful hurricane were expected to pound the Atlantic Coast from Central Florida to Canada. Much farther to the east in the central Atlantic, a tropical wave could become a tropical depression toward the end of the week or over the weekend as it moves west toward the United States and Caribbean. More: What does fierce Hurricane Erin mean for the rest of the season? And yet another tropical wave off the coast of Africa has a low chance for development but has been designated as "Invest 99L" by the hurricane center. If one of the systems becomes a named storm, the next storm of the Atlantic hurricane season will be Fernand. Fortunately, neither system appears to be a land threat at this time, said Houston-based meteorologist Matt Lanza on his Eyewall blog. Tropical wave in the central Atlantic "The westernmost wave that's located in the central Atlantic remains discombobulated, with disorganized showers and thunderstorms stretching for hundreds of miles," said WPLG-TV hurricane specialist Michael Lowry on his Substack blog. "Until it becomes more coherent and consolidated, we won't have a great handle on its future track and development. "That said, generally models take the system off toward the west-northwest this week and near or north of the (Caribbean) islands from Friday into the weekend," Lowry said. The hurricane center is giving the system – the orange x on the map below – a 60% chance of development within the next seven days as it moves west across the Atlantic. However, "until we can better lock down where it may come together, we can't speculate on whether it'll be a longer-term problem for the U.S." Lowry said. Invest 99L in the eastern Atlantic A tropical wave – dubbed Invest 99L – located a couple of hundred miles to the southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms, the hurricane center said. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for additional development over the next couple of days as the system – the yellow x on the map above – moves westward at around 15 mph. Towards the end of this week, this system could encounter a less favorable environment, limiting its development chances after that time. The wave is "at least 10 days from probably doing anything, so we have plenty of time to watch and it's nothing anyone needs to worry about right now," noted Lanza. When is the busiest part of the Atlantic hurricane season? The most active period of the Atlantic hurricane season historically has been from mid-August through mid-October. The peak hits Sept. 10. Seasonal forecasters expect the season to be a busy one, with more storms than normal, based on their analysis of ocean conditions and weather patterns. Already, five named storms have formed, one of which is a hurricane (Erin).