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Yahoo
2 days ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Option Volatility And Earnings Report For Aug 11
There is a big lull in earnings reports this week before some bigger names start to report again the week after. This week, we just have Cisco Systems (CSCO), Applied Materials (AMAT), Sea Ltd (SE), Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR), Nu Holdings (NU), Coreweave (CRWV) and (JD) reporting. More News from Barchart Microsoft's Impressive Free Cash Flow - MSFT Stock Could Be Worth 28% More Tired of missing midday reversals? The FREE Barchart Brief newsletter keeps you in the know. Sign up now! Before a company reports earnings, implied volatility is usually high because the market is unsure about the outcome of the report. Speculators and hedgers create huge demand for the company's options which increases the implied volatility, and therefore, the price of options. After the earnings announcement, implied volatility usually drops back down to normal levels. Let's take a look at the expected range for these stocks. To calculate the expected range, look up the option chain and add together the price of the at-the-money put option and the at-the-money call option. Use the first expiry date after the earnings date. While this approach is not as accurate as a detailed calculation, it does serve as a reasonably accurate estimate. Monday Nothing of note Tuesday SE – 11.3% CRWV – 18.4% Wednesday CSCO – 5.3% Thursday AMAT – 6.0% PBR – 4.0% NU – 8.6% JD – 6.2% Friday Nothing of note Option traders can use these expected moves to structure trades. Bearish traders can look at selling bear call spreads outside the expected range. Bullish traders can sell bull put spreads outside the expected range, or look at naked puts for those with a higher risk tolerance. Neutral traders can look at iron condors. When trading iron condors over earnings, it is best to keep the short strikes outside the expected range. When trading options over earnings, it is best to stick to risk defined strategies and keep position size small. If the stock makes a larger than expected move and the trade suffers a full loss, it should not have more than a 1-3% effect on your portfolio. Stocks With High Implied Volatility We can use Barchart's Stock Screener to find other stocks with high implied volatility. Let's run the stock screener with the following filters: Total call volume: Greater than 5,000 Market Cap: Greater than 40 billion IV Percentile: Greater than 50% This screener produces the following results sorted by IV Percentile. You can refer to this article for details of how to find option trades for this earnings season. Last Week's Earnings Moves PLTR +7.9% vs 12.1% expected WMB -2.1% vs 4.2% expected AMD -6.4% vs 8.9% expected PFE +5.2% vs 4.2% expected ANET +17.5% vs 9.5% expected BP +3.4% vs 3.9% expected CAT +0.1% vs 5.2% expected APP +12.0% vs 16.6% expected UBER -0.2% vs 7.8% expected DIS -2.7% vs 6.3% expected SHOP +22.0% vs 11.6% expected OXY +2.5% vs 4.9% expected ABNB -8.0% vs 7.9% expected MCD +3.0% vs 3.6% expected FTNT -22.0% vs 9.2% expected DASH +5.0% vs 9.9% expected LLY -14.1% vs -6.7% expected XYZ -4.5% vs 10.6% expected TTD -38.6% vs 13.3% expected DDOG -0.4% vs 8.7% expected Overall, there were 13 out of 20 that stayed within the expected range. 10 out of 20 moved higher following their announcement. Unusual Options Activity TTD, WBD, TSLA, AAPL, MSTR, CRWV, CVNA and UPST and all experienced unusual options activity last week. Other stocks with unusual options activity are shown below: Please remember that options are risky, and investors can lose 100% of their investment. This article is for education purposes only and not a trade recommendation. Remember to always do your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. On the date of publication, Gavin McMaster did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on
Yahoo
2 days ago
- Automotive
- Yahoo
What Is China's 'Anti-Involution' Campaign?
China's electric vehicle makers and food delivery giants including BYD Co. and are locked in a fierce price war, prompting government concern over deflationary pressures and long-term sustainability. In response, President Xi Jinping has launched an "anti-involution" campaign to curb these practices. Bloomberg TV's Minmin Low explains.
Bloomberg
2 days ago
- Automotive
- Bloomberg
What Is China's 'Anti-Involution' Campaign?
China's electric vehicle makers and food delivery giants including BYD Co. and are locked in a fierce price war, prompting government concern over deflationary pressures and long-term sustainability. In response, President Xi Jinping has launched an "anti-involution" campaign to curb these practices. Bloomberg TV's Minmin Low explains. (Source: Bloomberg)
South China Morning Post
3 days ago
- Business
- South China Morning Post
Alibaba's world-leading AI lab becomes a target for talent poaching by Chinese rivals
Top artificial intelligence talent at Alibaba Group Holding 's Tongyi Lab, developer of the widely used open-source Qwen models, has become highly sought after, with a number of leading experts leaving to join rival tech giants amid a heated recruitment race. Recent departures include Yan Zhijie and Bo Liefeng, two senior figures at Tongyi. Yan, who joined Alibaba in 2015, was an early member of the company's cutting-edge Damo Academy and later led Tongyi's speech lab. He left Alibaba in February and recently joined 's Explore Academy, a research division founded in 2020 to focus on frontier technology, Chinese media reported. did not directly comment on Yan's recruitment, but said on Monday that 'Explore Academy is proceeding as planned, actively recruiting top AI talent from across the industry, including technical experts and members of our Tech Genius Team'. Following his departure from Alibaba, Yan briefly joined Tencent Holdings , but left soon after an internal restructuring, according to Chinese media reports. Li Xiangang, co-founder of start-up took his place In June. Tencent's booth at World Artificial Intelligence Conference in Shanghai in July. Photo: Wency Chen Separately, Bo, who headed Tongyi's applied vision division after previous roles at and recently transitioned to Tencent's Hunyuan AI model team, Chinese media reported.
Yahoo
3 days ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Is Now The Time To Put JD.com (NASDAQ:JD) On Your Watchlist?
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. Unfortunately, these high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson. Loss making companies can act like a sponge for capital - so investors should be cautious that they're not throwing good money after bad. So if this idea of high risk and high reward doesn't suit, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like (NASDAQ:JD). Now this is not to say that the company presents the best investment opportunity around, but profitability is a key component to success in business. This technology could replace computers: discover the 20 stocks are working to make quantum computing a reality. How Fast Is Growing Its Earnings Per Share? Over the last three years, has grown earnings per share (EPS) at as impressive rate from a relatively low point, resulting in a three year percentage growth rate that isn't particularly indicative of expected future performance. Thus, it makes sense to focus on more recent growth rates, instead. In impressive fashion, EPS grew from CN¥15.94 to CN¥31.30, over the previous 12 months. It's a rarity to see 96% year-on-year growth like that. Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. While we note achieved similar EBIT margins to last year, revenue grew by a solid 8.9% to CN¥1.2t. That's a real positive. In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers. View our latest analysis for Of course the knack is to find stocks that have their best days in the future, not in the past. You could base your opinion on past performance, of course, but you may also want to check this interactive graph of professional analyst EPS forecasts for Are Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders? Owing to the size of we wouldn't expect insiders to hold a significant proportion of the company. But we do take comfort from the fact that they are investors in the company. Notably, they have an enviable stake in the company, worth CN¥5.2b. Investors will appreciate management having this amount of skin in the game as it shows their commitment to the company's future. Does Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist? earnings per share growth have been climbing higher at an appreciable rate. That sort of growth is nothing short of eye-catching, and the large investment held by insiders should certainly brighten the view of the company. The hope is, of course, that the strong growth marks a fundamental improvement in the business economics. So based on this quick analysis, we do think it's worth considering for a spot on your watchlist. Now, you could try to make up your mind on by focusing on just these factors, or you could also consider how its price-to-earnings ratio compares to other companies in its industry. Although certainly looks good, it may appeal to more investors if insiders were buying up shares. If you like to see companies with more skin in the game, then check out this handpicked selection of companies that not only boast of strong growth but have strong insider backing. Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
