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The Sun
3 hours ago
- Climate
- The Sun
Hurricane Erin batters Caribbean, threatens US East Coast with flooding
WASHINGTON: Hurricane Erin unleashed powerful winds and torrential rain across the Caribbean on Monday, with its effects expected to reach the US East Coast later this week. The storm rapidly intensified over the weekend, briefly reaching Category 5 strength before weakening to a Category 3 hurricane. The US National Hurricane Center reported maximum sustained winds of 125 miles per hour as Erin moved northwest at 8 mph. Jamie Rhome, the NHC deputy director, warned coastal residents not to underestimate Erin's offshore threat. 'Nothing could be further from the truth for portions of the Mid-Atlantic, especially the Outer Banks of North Carolina,' he said. Evacuations were ordered for Ocracoke and Hatteras islands in North Carolina ahead of anticipated coastal flooding. Scientists linked Erin's rapid intensification to unusually warm ocean temperatures amplified by climate change. 'Erin is one of the fastest, most intensifying storms in the modern record,' said Climate Central scientist Daniel Gilford. The Atlantic hurricane season has entered its historical peak period with predictions of above-normal activity. NOAA forecasts increased storm formation due to warmer Atlantic waters and an active West African monsoon. Climate change is making hurricanes more intense by increasing wind speeds, rainfall, and storm surge impacts. Puerto Rico experienced widespread power outages and flooding from Erin's outer bands over the weekend. The storm's effects will continue through Tuesday across Cuba, the Dominican Republic, and the Bahamas. Forecasters warn of life-threatening rip currents along much of the US East Coast from Tuesday onward. - AFP
Newsweek
2 days ago
- Climate
- Newsweek
Hurricane Erin Spaghetti Models Show Potential Paths As Warning Issued
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Erin, the first hurricane to develop over the Atlantic this year, is moving toward the Caribbean islands and is expected to create dangerous conditions in much of the East Coast next week, according to forecasters. After quickly strengthening to a Category 5 storm on Saturday, Erin was downgraded to Category 3 early on Sunday as its wind speed slowed down a little, offering some relief to those on its path. Why It Matters The East Coast is on high alert as this year's Atlantic hurricane season has reached a time when more activity is expected. The season runs from June 1 to November 30, but the busiest times are expected between mid-August and mid-October, according to the National Hurricane Center. Every year, tropical storms and hurricanes cause billions of dollars in damage across the U.S., shaking up the life of residents affected. This year, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) expects an above-average season with about 13 to 19 named storms, including three to five major hurricanes. So far, five tropical cyclones have formed, and one storm that turned into a hurricane. What To Know Spaghetti models are a type of weather forecasting map that experts use to predict where the center of a storm will be five, seven or 14 days in the future. Each long strand in the model shows a potential path for the storm; the closer these strands are, the more confident experts feel that is the likely trajectory the storm will follow. A spaghetti model created by Tropical Tidbits shows Erin's projected trajectory as of August 17. A spaghetti model created by Tropical Tidbits shows Erin's projected trajectory as of August 17. Tropical Tidbits According to forecasters, Erin is moving toward the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. This is not a truth set in stone: forecasters' predictions are based on the most likely path of the storm, but things could still change as the storm moves on. Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center also say that the Turks and Caicos and the southeastern Bahamas should remain on high alert. Currently, tropical storm watches are in effect for St. Martin, St. Barthelemy, Sint Maarten and the Turks and Caicos. Jamie Rhome, Deputy Director of the National Hurricane Center, looks at a screen showing paths that Tropical Storm Erin could take at the National Hurricane Center in Miami on August 13, 2025. Jamie Rhome, Deputy Director of the National Hurricane Center, looks at a screen showing paths that Tropical Storm Erin could take at the National Hurricane Center in Miami on August 13, Erin won't make a direct hit on the U.S., the hurricane is expected to create dangerous surf and rip currents in parts of the East Coast, including Florida. It could also affect the beaches of the Bahamas and Atlantic Canada. Florida beaches can expect dangerous conditions next week, including large ocean wells, rip currents and rough, high surf with breakers greater than 7 feet, according to the National Weather Service (NWS) office in Jacksonville. 🌀Hurricane Erin Update 🌀 ➡️Though the forecast track has nudged slightly westward, the system is still expected to turn north to northeast away from the area Sunday and next week. ➡️Rough surf and high rip current risk still expected next week at area beaches — NWS Jacksonville (@NWSJacksonville) August 17, 2025 What People Are Saying The National Hurricane Center wrote on X: "Erin is expected to grow in size. Life-threatening surf and rip currents are expected along U.S. east coast beaches beginning Monday and lasting most of next week." Meteorologist Matthew Cappucci wrote on X: "Erin is a maelstrom of meteorological mayhem as it puts on a pageant of power and elegance. It has rapidly intensified at three times the rate needed to qualify." In case you're wondering what EXTREME rapid intensification looks like (55 mph/13 hours), behold. Erin is a maelstrom of meteorological mayhem as it puts on a pageant of power and elegance. It has rapidly intensified at three time the rate needed to qualify. — Matthew Cappucci (@MatthewCappucci) August 16, 2025 Hurricane expert Michael Lowry wrote on X: "Erin is only the 5th Category 5 hurricane on record to form this early in the hurricane season and the only Category 5 observed outside the Gulf or Caribbean this early in the year." AccuWeather senior meteorologist Dan Pydynowski told USA TODAY: "We still expect this to eventually make a more northward turn and stay offshore of the East Coast of the United States. So that certainly is good news when dealing with a storm this powerful." The NWS Miami wrote on social media: "Regardless of pre season forecasts or the final storm tally, it only takes one storm to make it an impactful year for your community. Hurricane season is a marathon, not a sprint." What Happens Next Florida is possibly the single most vulnerable state in the country to hurricanes, with the most devastating storms tending to hit after the season's September peak.
New York Post
4 days ago
- Climate
- New York Post
Hurricane Erin strengthens, may undergo rapid intensification into extremely dangerous Category 4 storm
Hurricane Erin formed on Friday, becoming the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. Now, all eyes are watching what this system does next as it treks just north of the Caribbean islands. The National Hurricane Center said that Hurricane Erin reached 75 mph Friday morning, officially designating it as a hurricane. Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for Anguilla, Barbuda, St. Barthelemy, St. Martin, Saba, and St. Eustatius, which means tropical storm conditions are possible during the next 48 hours. Forecast models show Erin has the potential to become a major Category 4 hurricane with winds reaching at least 130 mph on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Erin's center is expected to move near or just north of the northern Leeward Islands over the weekend, according to the NHC. There is still some uncertainty regarding Erin's exact impact on the East Coast of the U.S., the Bahamas, and Bermuda, the Hurricane Center said in its Friday morning discussion. While at this point it doesn't appear as though the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, or Puerto Rico will take a direct hit from Hurricane Erin, preparations for potential impacts are underway nonetheless. 4 Jamie Rhome, deputy director of the National Hurricane Center, monitors the paths of Tropical Storm Erin and an area of low pressure over the Bay of Campeche at the National Hurricane Center on Aug. 14, 2025. AP 4 Tropical Storm Erin formed into Hurricane Erin on Friday, becoming the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. FOXWeather Erin was designated a tropical storm on Monday, after first being an area worth further investigation known as Invest 97L. Before even becoming a named system, Invest 97L brought heavy rain to the Cabo Verde islands, causing multiple deaths and major flooding damage. Until now, the 2025 season has produced four tropical storms – Andrea, Barry, Chantal and Dexter – but no hurricanes. Erin's formation comes as Hurricane Hunters have been investigating a tropical disturbance, tagged Invest 98L, that has moved into the Gulf this week as Texas watches for the potential of heavy rainfall from the system. 4 The National Hurricane Center said that Hurricane Erin reached 75 mph Friday morning, officially designating it as a hurricane. AP 4 There is still some uncertainty regarding Erin's exact impact on the East Coast of the U.S., the Bahamas, and Bermuda, the Hurricane Center said in its Friday morning discussion. NOAA The peak of the Atlantic hurricane season occurs on Sept. 10. The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to Nov. 30. This story is developing. Check back frequently for updates.
9 News
4 days ago
- Climate
- 9 News
Caribbean officials warn of heavy rains and big waves as Tropical Storm Erin nears
Your web browser is no longer supported. To improve your experience update it here Officials in the northern Caribbean warned Thursday of heavy rains and dangerous swells as Tropical Storm Erin approached the region. The storm is expected to remain over open waters and move north-northeast of islands including Antigua and Barbuda, the US and British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, according to the National Hurricane Centre in Miami. Erin was located about 790 miles (1,270 kilometres) east of the Northern Leeward Islands. Jamie Rhome, deputy director of the National Hurricane Center, gives an update on Tropical Storm Erin at the National Hurricane Center, Thursday, Aug. 14, 2025, in Miami. (AP Photo/Lynne Sladky) (AP) It had maximum sustained winds of 60 mph (95 kph) and was moving west at 17 mph (28 kph). Tropical storm watches were in effect for Anguilla and Barbuda; St. Martin and St. Barthelemy; Saba and St. Eustatius; and St. Maarten. Erin is forecast to become a hurricane by Friday and strengthen into a Category 3 storm by late Saturday, which would mark the first major storm this season. 'Erin is moving into an area of the Atlantic primed for rapid intensification. The waters are incredibly warm," said Alex DaSilva, lead hurricane expert for AccuWeather. Jamie Rhome, deputy director of the National Hurricane Center, gives an update on Tropical Storm Erin at the National Hurricane Center, Thursday, Aug. 14, 2025, in Miami. (AP Photo/Lynne Sladky) (AP) Tropical-storm force winds could occur in parts of the northern Leeward Islands, the US and British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico this weekend, forecasters said. 'There is still a greater than normal uncertainty about what impacts Erin may bring to portions of the Bahamas, the east coast of the United States, and Bermuda in the long range,' the hurricane centre said. Hurricane specialist and storm surge expert Michael Lowry said nearly all models have Erin turning 'safely east of the broader US next week.' Senior hurricane specialist Jack Bevin prepares an advisory on Tropical Storm Erin at the National Hurricane Center, Thursday, Aug. 14, 2025, in Miami. (AP Photo/Lynne Sladk (AP) Erin is the fifth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30. Forecasters are expecting another unusually busy season for the Atlantic, with predictions calling for six to 10 hurricanes, with up to half reaching major status. Sign up here to receive our daily newsletters and breaking news alerts, sent straight to your inbox. CONTACT US
Yahoo
27-06-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
National Hurricane Center monitors multiple systems ahead of possible tropical increase
A tropical disturbance in the northwestern Caribbean popped up Thursday night and is showing a low chance for development over the next few days. Elsewhere in the tropics, the National Hurricane Center is keeping an eye on four tropical waves, including two in the Caribbean. ➤ Track all active storms ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location There's been only one named storm in the Atlantic basin so far this season but forecasters are keeping an eye on areas close to the U.S. showing some potential for development as we get close to the Fourth of July weekend. The next named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season will be Barry. Keep an umbrella handy today. Showers and thunderstorms are predicted across most of Florida Friday, June 27, according to the National Weather Service. Here's the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center as of 2 p.m., June 27. A broad area of low pressure has formed over the Yucatan Peninsula in association with a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the Yucatan Peninsula. Some additional development is possible over the next few days when the system moves into the Bay of Campeche this weekend. By early next week this system should move inland over Mexico, ending its chances of additional development. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of Belize, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. Formation chance through 48 hours: 20 percent. Formation chance through seven days: 30 percent. Tropical waves Tropical wave 1: An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 35W from 15N southward, and moving west around 11 mph. Tropical wave 2: A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 52W from 17N southward, and moving west around 11 mph. Tropical wave 3: A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 83W from 16N southward across western Panama into the East Pacific. It is moving west at 11 mph. Tropical wave 4: Another tropical wave is along 90W from the northern Yucatan Peninsula southward across Guatemala and El Salvador into the East Pacific. It is moving west at around 6 mph. The hatched areas on the National Hurricane Center's tropical outlook map indicate "areas where a tropical cyclone — which could be a tropical depression, tropical storm or hurricane — could develop," said National Hurricane Center Deputy Director Jamie Rhome. The colors make it visibly clear how likely a system could develop, with yellow being low, orange medium, and red high. The National Hurricane Center generally doesn't issue tropical advisories until there is a named storm, but there is an exception. "If a system is near land and there is potential for development, the National Hurricane Center won't wait before it issues advisories, even if the system hasn't become an actual storm. This gives residents time to prepare," Rhome said. There's no tropical system threatening Florida at this time. However, AccuWeather forecasters are warning there is a potential for tropical development in the Gulf or off the southeast coast of the U.S. in early July, the holiday weekend. 'The potential is definitely there off the Southeast Coast or in the Gulf," said Alex DaSilva, AccuWeather lead hurricane expert via email. "The water temperatures are warm enough to support tropical development in that area and the wind shear looks to be fairly low overall in that area.' 'We're forecasting a low chance that anything develops at this point, but this time of the year, this is where we would typically see tropical activity spin up in late June and early July, If anything develops over the next two weeks, it will happen close to home. "There's nothing unusual here. We would typically look close to home for possible tropical development early in the season. If anything develops, it's likely that rainfall would be the primary concern. 'A cold front during the first couple of days of July will come off the southeast coast and stall. The tail of the front will essentially extend across Florida and into the Gulf. If that frontal boundary stalls for a couple of days and we see any convection, that's how we could end up with tropical development next week." 'We expect tropical activity to pick up later on in the hurricane season. This very well could be a back-half loaded season," DaSilva said. Right now, dry air and wind shear are helping keep tropical storms from developing, which isn't unusual for early in the hurricane season, which started June 1. "The second named storm in the Atlantic basin typically doesn't develop until mid to late July. We are on pace with the historical average. Records show that the first hurricane of the season typically doesn't develop until Aug. 11," DaSilva said. Predictions issued by NOAA, AccuWeather and Colorado State University all forecast an above-normal hurricane season. "We're forecasting a wet pattern across the Southeast in early July, regardless of any tropical development," DaSilva said. 'Much of Florida and the Southeast will see plenty of showers and thunderstorms during early July, and that could impact outdoor plans for the Fourth of July. 'Northern Florida and the Panhandle will see more rainfall than South Florida in early July.' 'There is a big plume of dust coming across the Atlantic right now. We expect more Saharan dust to reach portions of the southern U.S. from South Florida to Texas. 'We could have some Saharan dust high in the sky for the Fourth of July, especially across South Florida.' 'We could see some dirty rain across Florida that can make a mess on your car and other surfaces outside, thanks to the Saharan dust.' Florida weather forecast for June 27, 2025 Pensacola, western Panhandle: Early start to the morning with showers and storms already firing up along the coastline and out over the Gulf this morning. High near 87. Tallahassee, central Panhandle: Showers and thunderstorms likely today, with high near 92. Jacksonville, North/Northeast Florida: Thunderstorm chances Increasing this afternoon and few severe storms are possible. Expect storms to develop along the sea breezes and northward from central Florida during the afternoon hours. The main threat with storms will be strong wind gusts. High near 91. Daytona Beach to Stuart, East/Central Florida: Plenty of thunderstorms expected this afternoon-evening from increasing moisture and a sea breeze collision near the Orlando metro area. Strong storms are possible and there is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms across much of the state. Temperatures expected to range from 88 in Daytona Beach to 87 in Stuart. West Palm Beach to Naples, South/Southwest Florida: Quiet across South Florida this morning with the exception of a thunderstorm with plenty of lightning just offshore of Naples. Scattered storms and showers pick up in coverage this afternoon. Naples high near 90; West Palm Beach high near 84. Fort Myers to Sarasota, West/Southwest Florida: Interior portions of the forecast area are under a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms today with a threat of damaging wind gusts, hail 1inches in diameter or greater and locally heavy rainfall. Fort Myers high near 92 with heat index as high as 99; Sarasota high near 87. The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said. The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories. The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center. Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include: Tropical cyclone is the generic term used by the National Weather Service, NOAA and the National Hurricane Center for any tropical system, even if it's in the tropical Atlantic basin. To be more precise, a tropical cyclone is a "rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and has closed, low-level circulation," NOAA sadi. Once maximum sustained winds reach 74 mph, what it is called is determined by where it originated: : for storms in the North Atlantic, central North Pacific, and eastern North Pacific. : for storms in the Northwest Pacific. : for storms in the South Pacific and Indian Ocean. We will update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This story was updated to add a gallery and new information. This article originally appeared on Florida Times-Union: National Hurricane Center monitors multiple systems ahead of possible tropical increase
