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National Hurricane Center watching system off Florida for possible tropical development
National Hurricane Center watching system off Florida for possible tropical development

Yahoo

time10 hours ago

  • Climate
  • Yahoo

National Hurricane Center watching system off Florida for possible tropical development

Keep an eye open for potential tropical development of a system off Florida's coast in the coming days, especially if it remains offshore. The first indication of potential tropical development close to the southeastern United States appeared on the National Hurricane Center's tropical outlook Monday afternoon, June 3. ➤ Track all active storms ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location Chances for development over the next two days ticked up slightly by 8 a.m. Tuesday, June 3, increasing from 0 percent June 2 to 10 percent. Meanwhile, storms continue to bring rain to much of Florida, with a flood watch issued for four counties in South Florida. Saharan dust moving across the Atlantic and moving into Florida this week is helping to keep the tropics quiet. The dust helps prevent storms from developing or strengthening. Historically, tropical systems in June develop close to the U.S., off the southeast coast or in the Gulf of America or Caribbean. Later in the season, storms typically form out of tropical waves moving off the coast of Africa. The Atlantic hurricane season officially began Sunday, June 1, and meteorologists from NOAA to AccuWeather are predicting an above-normal season. The first named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will be Andrea. Here's the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center as of 8 a.m., June 3. A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form near or offshore of the southeastern U.S. coast along a frontal boundary during the next couple of days, according to the National Hurricane Center. "If the low remains offshore, it could gradually develop some subtropical or tropical characteristics later this week while moving northeastward at 10 to 15 mph." Formation chance through 48 hours: low10 percent. Formation chance through 7 days: low, 10 percent. The National Hurricane Center also is monitoring a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic. It's moving west at 11 mph. Forecasters urge all residents to keep an eye on the tropics and to always be prepared. The hatched areas on the National Hurricane Center's tropical outlook map indicate "areas where a tropical cyclone — which could be a tropical depression, tropical storm or hurricane — could develop," said National Hurricane Center Deputy Director Jamie Rhome. The colors make it visibly clear how likely a system could develop, with yellow being low, orange medium, and red high. The National Hurricane Center generally doesn't issue tropical advisories until there is a named storm, but there is an exception. "If a system is near land and there is potential for development, the National Hurricane Center won't wait before it issues advisories, even if the system hasn't become an actual storm. This gives residents time to prepare," Rhome said. A tropical wave is a system of low pressure that moves westward across the tropics. Waves can lead to the formation of tropical cyclones, under the right conditions, according to the National Weather Service. The majority of tropical cyclones develop out of tropical waves, which also are called easterly waves, according to NOAA. AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski said 85% of all tropical storms can trace their origins to tropical waves. "If a tropical wave survives its journey westward, it will find increasingly warm waters and moist air as it approaches the Lesser Antilles, a group of islands in the Caribbean Sea," AccuWeather said. Historically, named storms that develop in June pop up off the southeastern coast of the U.S. and the Gulf of America, according to data from NOAA and the National Weather Service. By August, storms usually develop in the Atlantic or as they emerge as tropical waves off the coast of Africa. AccuWeather meteorologists said while the area off the southeastern coast of the U.S. has a low risk for development, heavy rain, rip currents and rough surf are all possible from mid- to late week. Another area being watched for potential tropical development between June 8 and June 13 is the western Caribbean and eastern Gulf of America. Over the next week to 10 days, moist and dry air will alternate over the Caribbean and as far north as Florida waters in the Gulf and Atlantic, according to AccuWeather. Saharan dust is expected to move into Florida by mid week, with some areas noticing hazy skies as early as June 3. It's expected to hang around into Saturday. ➤ 'Wall of dust': See impacts of Saharan dust, smoke from Canadian wildfires in Florida The next few days will bring multiple rounds of heavy rainfall and the potential for localized flooding, the National Weather Service Miami posted on X. One to 3 inches of rain is likely across most of South Florida June 3, with localized amounts around 6 inches. A flood watch has been issued for Broward, Collier, Miami-Dade and Monroe counties. Just over 4 inches of rain was recorded over the past 24 hours, the National Weather Service Miami reported at 7 a.m. ➤ Excessive rainfall forecast Along Florida's west coast and Southwest Florida, up to 5 inches of rain is possible in some locations, according to the National Weather Service Tampa Bay. The National Weather Service Melbourne warned residents of Central and east Florida while rain won't be continuous June 3, it will be heavy at times and lead to localized flooding. In Florida's Panhandle, localized heavy downpours are possible through Wednesday, June 4, along with gusty winds up to 40 mph. The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said. The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories. The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center. Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include: We will update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Palm Beach Post: NHC tracking system off Florida. See chances for tropical development

Hurricane Season 2025: Are forecasters ready despite budget concerns?
Hurricane Season 2025: Are forecasters ready despite budget concerns?

Yahoo

time4 days ago

  • Climate
  • Yahoo

Hurricane Season 2025: Are forecasters ready despite budget concerns?

The Brief The 2025 hurricane season begins this weekend, and Floridians are preparing. The National Hurricane Center said it's ready — despite possible future federal budget cuts. Uncertainty remains over how funding reductions could affect weather tracking tools like balloons and buoys. TAMPA, Fla. - The National Hurricane Center (NHC) said it's fully staffed and ready for the 2025 hurricane season, which officially kicks off on June 1. What we know Deputy Director Jamie Rhome told FOX 13 that they have the personnel needed to cover all operational shifts and have made strategic adjustments to maintain accurate storm forecasting. Follow FOX 13 on YouTube Critical data for hurricane tracking comes from weather balloons, ocean buoys and hurricane aircraft, all of which feed key information into weather models. What we don't know While the NHC said it's ready for this season, there's uncertainty about the longer-term effects of federal budget cuts. A proposed 27% reduction — more than $1.5 billion — to NOAA's budget could impact future staffing and equipment use, but how exactly this will play out isn't fully clear yet. What they're saying FOX 13 Chief Meteorologist Paul Dellegatto underscored the importance of these weather tools. READ: Advanced technology will help Manatee County during 2025 Hurricane Season "The buoy data is critical, because we're getting information about all of the water that surrounds us — the Gulf, the Caribbean, the Atlantic," he said. "The water temperature, the wave heights — critical. Now, balloons are really important. They measure wind speeds and all of the weather above us, and all of that data ends up going into the weather models." Rhome assured: "If you take one observation away or one is unrepaired for a little bit of time, it's not like a house of cards comes down. There are other observations that we can lean on." The Source This reporting is based on interviews conducted with Jamie Rhome, the deputy director of the National Hurricane Center, and FOX 13 Chief Meteorologist Paul Dellegatto. WATCH FOX 13 NEWS: STAY CONNECTED WITH FOX 13 TAMPA: Download the FOX Local app for your smart TV Download FOX Local mobile app:Apple |Android Download the FOX 13 News app for breaking news alerts, latest headlines Download the SkyTower Radar app Sign up for FOX 13's daily newsletter

National Hurricane Center's 1st advisory of 2025 season should be wake-up call. Here's what to do
National Hurricane Center's 1st advisory of 2025 season should be wake-up call. Here's what to do

Yahoo

time18-03-2025

  • Climate
  • Yahoo

National Hurricane Center's 1st advisory of 2025 season should be wake-up call. Here's what to do

The National Hurricane Center issued its first advisory of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season Monday, March 17, just in time for St. Patrick's Day. It wasn't a joke, and while the non-tropical area of low pressure well off Florida's coast didn't bring any subsequent advisories, it should be a wake-up call for all residents in Florida: Now is the time to prepare for the season. ➤ Track all active storms ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location Tropical storms and hurricanes do occur outside "the season." Here's what's happening today, along with a few suggestions on what you can do now to get ready for what's ahead. No. But shortly before 1 p.m. Monday, March 17, the National Hurricane Center issued an advisory about a "non-tropical area of low pressure" located about 700 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. The system was not expected to develop as it moved northwest into an area of dry air and upper-level winds Monday and Tuesday. Both conditions inhibit tropical development. Formation chance when the advisory was issued was low, at 10 percent. No additional advisories have been issued and the National Hurricane Center said Monday no further outlooks were scheduled unless conditions warrant. The hatched area on the tropical outlook map indicated "areas where a tropical cyclone — which could be a tropical depression, tropical storm or hurricane — could develop," said National Hurricane Center Deputy Director Jamie Rhome. The colors make it visibly clear how likely a system could develop with yellow being low, orange medium and red high. The National Hurricane Center generally doesn't issue tropical advisories until a there is a named storm, but there is an exception. "If a system is near land and there is potential for development, the National Hurricane Center won't wait before it issues advisories, even if the system hasn't become an actual storm. This gives residents time to prepare," Rhome said. Daily "tropical outlooks" will begin on May 15. The exception, like what happened March 17, is if a system showing some potential for development pops up — even if chances are low. Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and to always be prepared. ➤ New to Florida and hurricanes? Here's what you should know as hurricane season approaches The Florida Department of Emergency Management offered these suggestions to get you started: Make a plan: Make a plan that is specific to the needs of your household, including children, pets and seniors. Know your zone: Is your home in an evacuation zone or flood-prone area? Go to Know Your Zone and enter your address to find out and learn the differences between various evacuation zones. Zone A is the most vulnerable and the most likely to be asked to evacuate first. ➤ Do you know if you live in a Florida evacuation zone? Here's how to find out Know your home: How strong is your home? Do you live in a manufactured home? Is your home able to withstand strong winds and heavy rain? Generally, homes built after 2002 include features that make them more resilient to hurricanes. There are also improvements you can make to your home now to strengthen it against future storms. Make needed repairs to your home now, including to the roof, windows and gutters Cut down dead trees or limbs. Check your shutters. If you need new plywood, start gathering and Have multiple ways to receive weather alerts: You'll want to stay informed at all times so have multiple ways to receive weather alerts. Officials encourage every household to have a battery-operated or hand-crank weather radio to receive alerts from the National Weather Service in the event of power outages or damaged cell towers. Sign up now for local emergency alerts at Sign up to get weather alerts via text from USA Today Network-Florida Restock your disaster supply kit: A disaster supply kit is essential. Make sure there is enough food, water and medicine to last each member of a household (including pets) for at least seven days. For a checklist of recommended supplies, visit Since 2003, there have been 15 tropical cyclones that have formed before June 1. Eleven of those storms formed in May. There have even been occasions when a tropical cyclone has formed in January. Here's a look back at a few of them: Jan. 16-17, 2023: Unnamed subtropical storm. May 22-23, 2021: Tropical Storm Ana. May 16-19, 2020: Tropical Storm Arthur. May 27-28, 2020: Tropical Storm Bertha. May 20-21, 2019: Subtropical Storm Andrea. May 25-31, 2018: Tropical Storm Alberto. April 19-21, 2017: Tropical Storm Arlene. Jan. 12-15, 2016: Hurricane Alex May 27-June 4, 2016: Tropical Storm Bonnie May 8-11, 2015: Tropical Storm Ana. May 19-22, 2012: Tropical Storm Alberto. May 26-30, 2012: Tropical Storm Beryl. May 31-June 1, 2008: Tropical Storm Arthur. May 9-11, 2007: Subtropical Storm Andrea. April 20-24, 2003: Tropical Storm Ana. Here are the names for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, along with how to pronounce them: Andrea: AN-dree uh Barry: BAIR-ree Chantal: shahn-TAHL Dexter: DEHK-ster Erin: AIR-rin Fernand: fair-NAHN Gabrielle: ga-bree-ELL Humberto: oom-BAIR-toh Imelda: ee-MEHL-dah Jerry: JEHR-ee Karen: KAIR-ren Lorenzo: loh-REN-zoh Melissa: meh-LIH-suh Nestor: NES-tor Olga: OAL-guh Pablo: PAHB-lo Rebekah: reh-BEH-kuh Sebastien: se-BAS-tee-en Tanya: TAHN-yuh Van: van Wendy: WEN-dee The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America. NOAA changed its naming convention for the Gulf of Mexico after the U.S. Geological Survey changed the name on U.S. maps per President Trump's order. The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center. We will start our daily tropical weather coverage on May 15. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Palm Beach Post: NHC issues first advisory of 2025 hurricane season. How to prepare

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