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Why does the federal jobs report get revised?
Why does the federal jobs report get revised?

The Hill

timea day ago

  • Business
  • The Hill

Why does the federal jobs report get revised?

Revisions to the jobs report issued by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) are at the center of a political firestorm after President Trump fired the agency's head earlier this month. The agency's most recent report revised down employment numbers for May and June by a whopping 258,000 jobs, drawing accusations by the president and his allies that the numbers were manipulated for political purposes. That's not true, most economists say. BLS instead revises its numbers to account for more information from its nationwide surveys, and the agency remains the gold standard for macroeconomic data in the U.S. Still, there are measures that the bureau could take, its supporters say, to modernize the collection of its survey data, particularly for its population survey — one of two surveys used to compile the jobs report. A group of former BLS heads has asked Congress to fund the agency with at least $770 million for the upcoming fiscal year. 'The greatest way to restore confidence would be ensuring that they have the resources they need,' said Kyle Ross, a fellow at the left-leaning Center for American Progress. Why the jobs report gets revised Each month, the BLS surveys a sample of more than 120,000 employers by email and phone, aiming to collect data on wages, total employment and other characteristics. At the end of the month, it publishes an initial estimate of how many jobs the U.S. has added from the data it has. The BLS also conducts a survey of households to track the employment status and take-home wages for the country at large. In the next two months, the bureau issues updates to its estimates, incorporating additional responses to the surveys and adjustments for seasonal changes. While the August revisions surprised many economists, they weren't the first time the BLS made large changes. During the pandemic, the agency had to make significant revisions to many of its estimates; in the summer of 2021, for example, it marked down its estimate for June to September job growth by 626,000 positions. Several key BLS surveys have struggled with falling response rates over the past two decades. The Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco estimates that response rates to the employment survey are around 45 percent, down to about 60 percent prior to the pandemic. However, the limited responses do not appear to have impacted the size of the BLS's revisions after 2022, the bank said in March. Over more than 60 years of data collection, the agency's initial job estimates have gradually become more accurate, according to analysis by Ernie Tedeschi, an economist at the Yale Budget Lab. Concerns over other BLS metrics Advocates say that while Trump's claims of political bias are baseless, the agency could use extra funding to be able to modernize particularly on its Current Population Survey, which polls households instead of businesses on employment. Friends of the BLS, an advocacy group that includes former commissioners William Beach and Erica Groshen, asked Congress in May to fund the agency with at least $770 million for the upcoming fiscal year. In a letter to appropriators, the group said that additional Congressional funding would allow the agency to go forward with long-planned updates to its data collection and methods. Among other modernization efforts, the agency is hoping to implement an online response model for its Current Population Survey. Additional funding, Beach and Groshen said, would also help the BLS maintain detailed data for important statistics like the Consumer Price Index, which tracks price inflation. The agency relies in part on data collectors who fan out across the country to monitor prices of goods and services. 'The field person will literally pick up a jar of, if I could say Pringles, and they'll say, well last month, we had 36 Pringles in here, and it's this month, it's the same price, but we only have 32 Pringles in here,' Beach, who was Trump's BLS pick during his first administration, told the Bloomberg podcast Odd Lots in April. 'That means that the product has actually gone up in price.' Last summer, in response to budget constraints, BLS mulled cutting the population survey's sample size by 5,000 households.

Phillies' Bryce Harper Says 'Standstill' is Reason for Monday Return to Lineup
Phillies' Bryce Harper Says 'Standstill' is Reason for Monday Return to Lineup

Yahoo

time01-07-2025

  • Sport
  • Yahoo

Phillies' Bryce Harper Says 'Standstill' is Reason for Monday Return to Lineup

Phillies' Bryce Harper Says 'Standstill' is Reason for Monday Return to Lineup originally appeared on Athlon Sports. After what seemed like a painstakingly long month of June, Bryce Harper is set to make his return to the Philadelphia Phillies' lineup. Harper will bat third and play first base Monday night against the San Diego Padres. Advertisement Bryce had missed the previous 22 games with right wrist inflammation - shortly before that, he sat out for most of six outings following a fastball to the elbow. When asked about why he is returning to action tonight, Harper had a candid answer: "I didn't think I was going to take any other steps forward of feeling better or anything," Harper said before Monday's game. "I thought we were kinda at a standstill and feeling the same the last couple of days. From BP to live (pitching), stuff like that, gave us the same results each day, so I thought today was good." Harper had previously stated that the wrist issue was something he tried to play through early in the season. His response here seems to indicate that his discomfort is not completely gone, but it's now manageable enough again. Advertisement It's also a good sign that he is returning straight to first base, as opposed to extended time at DH like in 2022 and early 2023. Bryce Harper started 56 games at first base this season before landing on the injured Ross-Imagn Images Harper slashed .258/.368/.446 with nine home runs, 13 doubles, and 34 RBI before missing most of last month. His bat will hopefully reignite a Philly offense that has sputtered in terms of power numbers lately - they scored only one run all series at the Houston Astros, then three combined between Saturday and Sunday at the Atlanta Braves. First pitch against the Padres is scheduled for 6:35 PM, with Harper and the Phillies facing off against 28-year-old righty Matt Waldron. Advertisement Related: Phillies' Recent Offensive Struggles Reveal Major Drop in Production Against This Pitch Related: Could Young Phillies Outfielder Be Trade Candidate Ahead of Deadline? This story was originally reported by Athlon Sports on Jun 30, 2025, where it first appeared.

Analysis-Soccer-Brazilian flair trumps European complacency as Flamengo humble Chelsea
Analysis-Soccer-Brazilian flair trumps European complacency as Flamengo humble Chelsea

The Star

time20-06-2025

  • Sport
  • The Star

Analysis-Soccer-Brazilian flair trumps European complacency as Flamengo humble Chelsea

Soccer Football - FIFA Club World Cup - Group D - Flamengo v Chelsea - Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S. - June 20, 2025 Flamengo fans celebrate after Bruno Henrique scores their first goal IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters/Kyle Ross PHILADELPHIA (Reuters) -Flamengo delivered a potent reminder that the so-called superiority of European teams in club football is fading quickly after the Brazilian outfit beat Chelsea 3-1 in a Club World Cup contest that felt like a home match thousands of miles from Rio. The Brazilian champions turned Philadelphia's Lincoln Financial Field into a tropical carnival, with 55,000 passionate supporters creating an atmosphere that was in stark contrast to Chelsea's casual approach to the tournament. Just 24 hours after Chelsea manager Enzo Maresca said the competition had "a pre-season feeling" to it and that he would rotate key starters throughout the group stage, his side became the second European giants in two days to be humbled by Brazilian opposition. Friday's result followed Paris St Germain's shock 1-0 defeat by Botafogo a day earlier that had ended Europe's 13-year dominance over South American opposition in intercontinental club football. Pedro Neto's opener for Chelsea proved to be a false start as they were given the run around following the interval. Flamengo, under the tactical guidance of former Blues defender Filipe Luis, responded with a ruthlessness that their theoretically superior rivals could not match. Bruno Henrique and Danilo struck in quick succession to flip the contest, before Nicolas Jackson's reckless red card – for a studs-up challenge that illustrated Chelsea's loss of composure – paved the way for youngster Wallace Yan to deliver the coup de grace. "When we conceded the first goal their fans started to be loud, and immediately after we conceded the second one," Chelsea's Marc Cucurella told DAZN, his words revealing the psychological impact of Flamengo's thunderous support. Following Yan's goal, the supporters let out synchronised chants of "olé" to hail their team's achievement. On Thursday, Botafogo put on a brilliant defensive performance to pull off the unexpected win over PSG, who had been in imperious form as they followed up their 5-0 thrashing of Inter Milan in the Champions League final by routing Atletico Madrid 4-0 in their Club World Cup opener. Botafogo's solid discipline left PSG looking feeble and a shadow of the team that dominated European football throughout the season. "Botafogo were the team that has defended best against us all season. They were efficient. The only thing left for me is to congratulate them," PSG boss Luis Enrique told reporters. With Lionel Messi's Inter Miami also victorious against Porto, European clubs are in danger of returning home empty-handed from a tournament they had been odds on favourite to win. (Reporting by Fernando Kallas, editing by Pritha Sarkar)

Educational support workers in Winnipeg School Division give strike mandate to union
Educational support workers in Winnipeg School Division give strike mandate to union

CBC

time19-06-2025

  • Politics
  • CBC

Educational support workers in Winnipeg School Division give strike mandate to union

Support workers in the Winnipeg School Division have given their union bargaining committee a strike mandate. The Manitoba Government and General Employees' Union represents about 1,800 educational assistants, clerks and other support workers, such as library techs, crossing guards, dispatchers, computer techs and food co-ordinators. They've been without a contract since July 1, 2024. Voting to support a strike took place from June 16-18 but there is no plan yet to hit the picket lines, a union spokesperson said, adding the bargaining committee will continue its work during the summer. The vote follows a recent member survey which showed growing dissatisfaction, with many saying they have considered leaving their job in the past year for better wages elsewhere as the cost of living keeps rising, a news release from MGEU said. Other school divisions pay support workers more, which puts the Winnipeg School Division at risk of losing staff, MGEU president Kyle Ross said in the release.

Dominant Flamengo beat Esperance 2-0 at Club World Cup
Dominant Flamengo beat Esperance 2-0 at Club World Cup

Straits Times

time17-06-2025

  • Sport
  • Straits Times

Dominant Flamengo beat Esperance 2-0 at Club World Cup

Soccer Football - FIFA Club World Cup - Group D - Flamengo v Esperance Sportive de Tunis - Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S. - June 16, 2025 Flamengo's Leo Pereira in action IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters/Kyle Ross REUTERS Soccer Football - FIFA Club World Cup - Group D - Flamengo v Esperance Sportive de Tunis - Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S. - June 16, 2025 Esperance Sportive de Tunis' Youcef Belaili shoots at goal IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters/Kyle Ross REUTERS Soccer Football - FIFA Club World Cup - Group D - Flamengo v Esperance Sportive de Tunis - Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S. - June 16, 2025 Flamengo's Bruno Henrique in action with Esperance Sportive de Tunis' Mohamed Amine Tougai IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters/Kyle Ross REUTERS Soccer Football - FIFA Club World Cup - Group D - Flamengo v Esperance Sportive de Tunis - Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S. - June 16, 2025 Flamengo's Luiz Araujo scores their second goal past Esperance Sportive de Tunis' Ben Said REUTERS/Lee Smith PHILADELPHIA - Flamengo began their Club World Cup campaign with a comfortable 2-0 victory over Esperance de Tunis in their Group D opener in Philadelphia on Monday thanks to goals from Giorgian de Arrascaeta and Luiz Araujo. The Brazilian side dominated from start to finish on a chilly evening at a half-empty Lincoln Financial Field, with Esperance managing only two attempts on goal. Flamengo opened the scoring in the 17th minute when Guillermo Varela surged down the right and delivered a pinpoint cross to Luiz Araujo, who cushioned the ball into the path of Arrascaeta to fire home. Esperance struggled to get a foothold on the match, with Flamengo enjoying 80% possession, but they enjoyed their best moments after the break with Youcef Belaili providing a rare spark. After curling a shot narrowly wide in the 63rd minute, Belaili forced Flamengo goalkeeper Augustin Rossi into a sharp save with a close-range effort five minutes later. However, Flamengo quickly reasserted control to silence the lively Tunisian support behind the south goal and in the 70th minute they doubled their lead through Araujo. Former Chelsea and Arsenal midfielder Jorginho played an incisive through ball for Araujo to break the offside trap and after cutting inside he curled a precise left-footed strike into the bottom corner. The win puts Flamengo level on points with Chelsea at the top of Group D, after the London club also secured a 2-0 victory over LAFC earlier in the day. Flamengo and Chelsea meet on Friday in a match likely to determine the group winner. REUTERS Join ST's Telegram channel and get the latest breaking news delivered to you.

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