Latest news with #MacquarieEquities
The Age
4 days ago
- Business
- The Age
The collateral damage from Monash IVF's colossal embryo bungles
The next part of the script unusually involves activists calling for enhanced regulation or better laws. Advocates are also lobbying for all those who use assisted reproductive technology to have their babies DNA tested, which, if implemented, could uncover if other mistakes have gone undetected. And no scandal is complete without a politician or two making some hay by grabbing a microphone and castigating the culprits. Victorian Health Minister Mary-Anne Thomas was the first to step up this week, calling the embryo mix-up 'completely unacceptable'. 'It's very clear to me that the board of Monash IVF needs to have a very good look at what's going on,' Thomas said. Loading 'Clearly their clinical governance standards are not what they should be.' But amid the outrage there is another group that will also sustain collateral damage – the shareholders – although sympathy for this group will be way more muted. They have seen the share price of Monash IVF plunge after the first incident was revealed in April and after the company cut its 2025 full-year profit guidance by 11 per cent. It took another dive this week when the second implant bungle was revealed, taking this calendar year's stock performance down by 50 per cent. The shares kicked up by 5.7 per cent on Thursday on the news of the departing chief, but this represents a small recovery. Enter the investment bank analysts who use their sophisticated models to provide commentary on the impacts of these types of events on a company's market share and future earnings. In the case of Monash, their opinions run the gamut of possibilities. RBC Capital markets suggests that the fallout from the original bungle in Monash's Queensland clinic would confine the loss of market share to that state, and not impact too heavily on other state operations. But given there have now been two separate embryo transfer incidents in different states, it believes there is risk of a greater impact of a spread of reputational damage and market share losses. It has a negative stance on the stock. Macquarie Equities has a somewhat different view. It acknowledges the reputational damage, but says the stock is oversold and represents a good buying opportunity. You could characterise its advice as 'don't throw the baby out with the bathwater'.
Sydney Morning Herald
4 days ago
- Business
- Sydney Morning Herald
The collateral damage from Monash IVF's colossal embryo bungles
The next part of the script unusually involves activists calling for enhanced regulation or better laws. Advocates are also lobbying for all those who use assisted reproductive technology to have their babies DNA tested, which, if implemented, could uncover if other mistakes have gone undetected. And no scandal is complete without a politician or two making some hay by grabbing a microphone and castigating the culprits. Victorian Health Minister Mary-Anne Thomas was the first to step up this week, calling the embryo mix-up 'completely unacceptable'. 'It's very clear to me that the board of Monash IVF needs to have a very good look at what's going on,' Thomas said. Loading 'Clearly their clinical governance standards are not what they should be.' But amid the outrage there is another group that will also sustain collateral damage – the shareholders – although sympathy for this group will be way more muted. They have seen the share price of Monash IVF plunge after the first incident was revealed in April and after the company cut its 2025 full-year profit guidance by 11 per cent. It took another dive this week when the second implant bungle was revealed, taking this calendar year's stock performance down by 50 per cent. The shares kicked up by 5.7 per cent on Thursday on the news of the departing chief, but this represents a small recovery. Enter the investment bank analysts who use their sophisticated models to provide commentary on the impacts of these types of events on a company's market share and future earnings. In the case of Monash, their opinions run the gamut of possibilities. RBC Capital markets suggests that the fallout from the original bungle in Monash's Queensland clinic would confine the loss of market share to that state, and not impact too heavily on other state operations. But given there have now been two separate embryo transfer incidents in different states, it believes there is risk of a greater impact of a spread of reputational damage and market share losses. It has a negative stance on the stock. Macquarie Equities has a somewhat different view. It acknowledges the reputational damage, but says the stock is oversold and represents a good buying opportunity. You could characterise its advice as 'don't throw the baby out with the bathwater'.
News.com.au
04-06-2025
- Business
- News.com.au
Health Check: Whether stoic or simply too poor, Australians spurn GP visits
Doctor visits dipped in April, reversing a recovery trend Mayne Pharma threatens to go legal in takeover dispute … but peace erupts at Cann Group with settlement of legal spat We're either a healthy lot, rely on Dr Google or simply can't afford to visit a GP anymore. Take your pick as to why our doctor visitations are running below the historic trend. Medicare data for April shows a resumption of a decline in doctors' visits, thus reversing a recent recovery. Bell Potter says the 12-month rolling rate slipped back to 0.8% from 2.3% in March and now is below the long-term median 1.4% growth. In April last year, the rolling rate had dipped to -3%. The slippage was most apparent in Queensland, which shows what stoic souls they are up north. Or maybe they couldn't get to their clinics because they were hemmed in by floods. The rate of doctors' visits has a direct impact on diagnostic imaging volumes and thus is relevant for stocks such as Sonic Healthcare (ASX:SHL), Integral Diagnostics (ASX:IDX), Healius (ASX:HLS) and Australian Clinical Labs (ASX:ACL). (Healius sold its 69 medical centres to private equity firm BGH Capital for $500 million in November 2020.) Macquarie Equities says both pathology and imaging volumes grew 4% in April, year on year. But the DI providers look to be protected by more expensive procedures – 'higher fee modalities', as the firm puts it – with benefits paid rising 8% in April for pathology and 7% for imaging. On the bright side, face-to-face GP visits have held up relative to telehealth and the former is likely to result in diagnostic referrals. So it's a bit of a mixed picture. The re-elected Albo's pledge to extend bulk billing might also ramp up volumes. What will restrain the pain at Mayne? Mayne Pharma's (ASX:MYX) takeover is in the balance, with a 10-day consultation period expiring without suitor Cosette Pharmaceuticals pulling the plug. Cosette alleged that events had resulted in a 'material adverse change', thus triggering the consultation period. Mayne denies these events were material. The FDA has accused Mayne Pharma of downplaying the risks of its oral birth control pill, Nextstellis. Mayne Pharma now says the agency is satisfied the company has addressed the identified issues. Mayne is also in a tat-for-tat legal dispute with the Nasdaq-listed Therapeutics MD, relating to Mayne's purchase of assets from the latter in 2022. While Cosette is yet to walk, the terms of the scheme implementation deed (SID) enable the suitor to do so any time up to the second court hearing to approve the deal. The affair may end up in the courts in a different way, given Mayne 'intends to take all reasonable steps to enforce its rights under the SID.' This includes litigation, of course. Mayne shares this morning surged 5%, but they remain 32% below Cosette's $7.40 a share cash offer. So investors are saying the deal might have a pulse, but not at the original offer price. Cann Group pots legal settlement Medical cannabis play Cann Group (ASX:CAN) has settled a legal dispute with the NZ-listed Rua Biosciences, which had sued a Cann subsidiary over a manufacturing and supply agreement. As is the norm, the agreement is confidential but doesn't involve any money changing hands. Instead, the parties have agreed that Cann will supply 'certain medicinal cannabis products' to Rua under 'agreed market standard commercial terms.' As far as legal spats go, it sounds like a reasonable result. Across the Tasman, Rua shares were up more than 7% this morning Cann shares were about 3% off the pace, having lost 65% of their value year to date. The first Australian company to receive an Australian cannabis research and cultivation licence, Cann produces from its modern Mildura facility. But in the current oversupplied market, it's not easy being green. Radiopharm tackles HER-2 cancers Radiopharm Theranostics (ASX:RAD) has dosed the first patient in its phase I trial to treat advanced HER2-positive solid tumours. A human epidermal growth factor receptor, HER2 is expressed in a variety of tumours including some breast cancers. Dubbed Heat, the study road tests Radiopharm's lutetium isotope-based therapy. Taking place at multiple local centres, the study has the usual safety and tolerability remits. It also aims for the optimal dosage for a phase II trial, as well as early efficacy signals. 'Despite progressive improvements in the management of metastatic HER2-positive disease, the majority of patients experience disease progression on current standard of care and require further therapeutic options,' Radiopharm CEO Riccardo Canevari says. On Monday, the company said preclinical data from another program showed 'favorable biodistribution and ... maintained tumor uptake.' This one refers to its lutetium-based monoclonal antibody RV01, which targets solid tumours expressing the B7H3 protein. This one is via a joint venture with Houston's MD Anderson Cancer Center to develop at least four radiopharmaceutical products. The next step is FDA assent to run a first-in-human trial, which the company hopes to kick off in 2026.
