Latest news with #MattGoodwin
Epoch Times
8 hours ago
- Politics
- Epoch Times
White Brits Will Be a Minority in UK Within 40 Years, Report Predicts
White Brits will become a minority in the UK by the year 2063, according to a new report which predicts that at least one in five people living in the country will be Muslim by the turn of the century. Authored by Professor Matt Goodwin, an academic and political commentator, the report uses data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) and the census to analyse the rapidly shifting demographics in the UK amid growing concern about immigration and the falling birth rate in the British-born white population. In conjunction with the University of Buckinghamshire, Goodwin's analysis of migration, birth, and death rates up until the end of the 21st century predicts that the proportion of white British people will decline from 73 percent to 57 percent by 2050, before becoming the minority by 2063. Majority Feel 'Unsettled' Goodwin, a presenter for GB News, told The Epoch Times that the findings of his report point to 'the dramatic scale and pace of change that is now going to unfold in the UK. Some people will not see this as an issue, but a much larger majority of people will feel very unsettled by the fact that white Brits are set to become a minority.' He added that it is not only white British people who will be disconcerted by the rapidly shifting demographics and the accompanying cultural shifts. 'Minority Britons will also feel concerned about the change because we know that they too identify with the dominant group, and they like the idea of Britain being defined by a set of institutions and a way of life, and a particular set of values, so this isn't really a trend that's only going to concern white Britons, and more fundamentally, what we see in the data is the way in which the country is going to be transformed culturally,' he said. 'Much of the inward migration will come from outside of Europe from countries that I would argue are culturally different, if not incompatible, and over the next 30 to 50 years, we're going to see changes that are so profound that it's going to dwarf anything we've seen until this point.' Related Stories 12/18/2024 12/5/2023 Goodwin acknowledges that population data can be difficult to predict, but explained his methodology on his 'And what we find is that unless there is a radical change of policy, unless the country changes its current direction of travel, then the share of the population that is White British —defined as people who tick 'White: English, Welsh, Scottish, Northern Irish, or British' in the most recent census— will collapse over the next seventy-five years, from over 70 per cent today to below 34 per cent by the year 2100.' In the UK census of 1991, when Margaret Thatcher was prime minister, some 94.6 percent of people described themselves as 'white British.' Pedestrians walk past Union Jack flags at Oxford Circus in London on May 25, 2023. Daniel Leal/ AFP/Getty Images 'Tipping Point' The report forecasts that white Brits will be an overall minority within 38 years but Goodwin predicts the 'tipping point' for under-40s will come within just 25 years, meaning that a white British child born today will be in the minority in their peer group by the middle of the century. The report suggests that by the beginning of the next century, the white British could make up only around one third of the population, with more than six in 10 people either not having been born in the UK or having at least one immigrant parent. The Muslim population, currently at around 7 percent, is predicted to increase to more than one in 10 (11.2 percent) within the next 25 years and to account for almost one in five (19.2 percent) of all people in the UK by the turn of the century. Goodwin also modelled for a potential higher level of Muslim immigration, because of the volatile situation in the Middle East and parts of Africa, and said that under this scenario, one in four people living in the UK could be of the Islamic faith by the year 2200. Under this scenario, one in three young people could be Muslims by the end of this century. The report finds that the changing demographics are not based only on race or religion, but on country of origin, with fewer and fewer British-born people in the population following soaring levels of immigration under successive Labour and Conservative-led governments. Since the UK voted out of the European Union in 2016, the percentage coming to the country from outside of Europe has climbed, and now accounts for 81 percent of immigration. Goodwin wrote: 'The underlying ties to our nation —to its sense of history, culture, ways of life, identity, collective memory, and inheritance, in other words— will become much weaker in the years and decades ahead. 'While Britain's identity will increasingly be reshaped, by its ruling class, around the celebration of 'diversity', a rapidly dwindling number of people will actually be rooted in the distinctive identity, history, culture, and collective memory that is ultimately what make these islands distinctive to begin with.' 'Island of Strangers' Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer said last month that the UK risked becoming an 'island of strangers' as Labour outlined a fresh strategy in a Following criticism from pro-immigration lobby groups and MPs, Starmer denied that his new, seemingly tougher approach, had come in response to Reform UK's recent strong showing at the polls, with Nigel Farage's party having consistently taken a clear stance against mass, uncontrolled immigration. While he paid tribute to the positive contribution made by many immigrants to the UK, Starmer took aim at the previous Conservative government for its immigration policies, saying, 'It was a choice, a choice made even as they told you, told the country, they were doing the opposite.' 'A One Nation experiment in open borders conducted on a country that voted for control. Well, no more. Today, this Labour government is shutting down the lab. The experiment is over,' he added. British Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer announcing new immigration policy in the briefing room at 10 Downing Street in London on May 12, 2025. PA Media The four nations of the UK will be impacted at different rates, Goodwin predicted, with foreign-born people and their offspring set to become a majority in England in 2079, in Wales by 2081, in Scotland by 2093, and in Northern Ireland at some point after 2122. The pace of change is happening far more quickly in major cities, with the 2021 census revealing that London and Birmingham had already become minority white cities. Falling Fertility Rate Goodwin made his predictions by applying age and sex-specific fertility, mortality, and migration rates to a base population derived from the latest census data and calibrating these figures to the 2022-based ONS population projections. Since the fertility rate is Philip Kiszely, an academic from Leeds University who is opposed to critical race theory, commented on the study, saying on 'Identity discourse builds a pathological grudge culture which legitimises racial violence.' Referring to the phrase used historically by 'black power' movements, Kiszely added: ''Any means necessary?' We ain't seen nothing yet.' 'Great Replacement' a 'Fact' Editor of the Daily Sceptic and founder of the Free Speech Union, Lord Toby Young, also Goodwin said that he published the report not to be 'alarmist,' but rather so that people to pay attention to the profound effects of government policies over the past 30 years, and what this means for the future of the UK. He said in terms of trying to manage the change, the government must 'dramatically slash' both legal and illegal immigration, and 'invest much more seriously in social integration and cohesion.' Alongside this, he said that in order to try and unify the country, rather than championing diversity, the government must, 'Try and assert the the identity, history and cultural values of what is still the dominant, majority group.'
Russia Today
2 days ago
- Politics
- Russia Today
Whites to become minority in UK in 40 years
White Britons will become a minority in their own country in less than four decades, a recent study has suggested. The UK has seen a massive influx of legal and illegal migration under successive Conservative and Labour governments, with a record high of 906,000 new arrivals in 2023, according to The Telegraph. In 2022, the census revealed that London and Birmingham had become minority white cities. In an article on Tuesday, the newspaper cited an analysis by professor Matt Goodwin of Buckingham University, showing that the share of white Britons in the total population of the UK will slide from the current 73% to 57% by 2050. The study predicts they will slip into minority by 2063, and by the end of the century, the white population in the country may shrink to around 33%. The analysis goes on to project that six in ten people in the UK will be foreign-born or have at least one immigrant parent by the end of the century. The share of Muslims in the UK population is expected to rise from the current 7% to 19.2% within the same period. Goodwin told The Telegraph that his study factors in migration, as well as birth and death rates among various ethnic and religious groups, based on Office for National Statistics and census data. The author of the study told the newspaper that his findings raise 'enormous questions about the capacity of our country and leaders to unify people around a shared sense of identity, values, ways of life, and culture.' He also noted that the concerns that his study is liable to spark among many Britons 'will need to be recognised, respected and addressed if the UK is to avoid considerable political turbulence and polarisation in the years and decades ahead.'
The Sun
2 days ago
- Business
- The Sun
White Brits will become a MINORITY in the UK in less than 40 years, shock study warns
WHITE British people will become a minority in the UK in less than 40 years, a population study warns. The current proportion of around 73 per cent will fall to 57 per cent by 2050, a migration report predicts, slipping below half by 2063. 2 By the end of the century, just 33.7 per cent of the UK population will have no immigrant parents, falling to 28 per cent for under-40s, according to Professor Matt Goodwin. His research, based on official current population data, also forecasts a sharp rise in people with immigrant backgrounds — from below 20 per cent today to 60.6 per cent by 2100. Prof Goodwin, a right-wing commentator, said: 'By the end of the century, most of the people on these islands will not be able to trace their roots in this country back more than one or two generations.' The share of UK-born people is also projected to collapse from 81 per cent today to 39 per cent. The Muslim population could rise from seven per cent to 19.2 per cent. Prof Goodwin said: 'This raises enormous questions about the capacity of our country and leaders to unify people around a shared sense of identity, values, ways of life, and culture, and avoid the very real risk of us becoming what Sir Keir Starmer referred to in May as 'an island of strangers'.' He argued these changes were likely to spark 'anxiety, concern and political opposition' among those who want to preserve the UK's 'symbols, traditions, culture and ways of life'. It comes amid pressure to reduce record levels of legal and illegal migration. Last month, Labour unveiled a new white paper proposing tighter rules on migrants living, working and studying in the country. Earth population to 'peak' in 2080s as scientists share exact human count we'll hit before 'lower fertility' sparks fall 2
New European
2 days ago
- General
- New European
Matt Goodwin's curious definition of ‘white British people'
Goodwin's report claims that 'an analysis of migration, birth and death rates up to the end of the 21st century' predicts that 'white British people' will decline from their current position of 73 per cent of the population to 57 per cent by 2050 before becoming a minority by 2063. Matt Goodwin – the academic turned hard right rabble-rouser – is out stirring things up again, this time with an article in the (inevitably) Daily Telegraph claiming that 'white British people will be a minority in 40 years'. For the purposes of the report, Goodwin defines 'white British people' as 'people who do not have an immigrant parent' – a definition which not only has nobody actually ever used before, but is so broad as to include Winston Churchill, Nigel Farage's children (two born to his Irish first wife, two to his German second), England football captain Harry Kane, England cricket captain Ben Stokes, former ERG chairman Mark Francois, right-wing 'comedian' Jim Davidson, Sunday Telegraph editor Allister Heath and the actual King. Suggested Reading Matthew Goodwin finally sees the light Rats in a Sack Illustrating his findings with a back-of–a-fag-packet graph of when we will all be subsumed by alien races – the sort popular with 'great replacement' conspiracy types, and which does not add up to 100%, because he's strangely not included non-British white people – Goodwin dons his Morris dancer's uniform to bemoan 'the symbols, traditions, culture and ways of life of the traditional majority group'. 'By the year 2100, and again unless things change, our immediate descendants will be living in a country in which the white British will only comprise one third of the population,' writes Goodwin, fretting about the country he will live in when just 119 years old. Goodwin's Law of the 'white British people' is obviously complete racist nonsense, although its broad sweep has just single-handedly upped the diversity of a Last Night at the Proms audience. And if it allows us to deport Prince Andrew…
Telegraph
2 days ago
- Business
- Telegraph
The Daily T: Why it matters that Britain is becoming less white
A stark new report suggests the white British population could become a minority in the UK within the next 40 years. 73 per cent of the British population is white, but is predicted to drop to 57 per cent by 2050. Camilla and Gordon are joined by Professor Matt Goodwin, who led the research, to unpack what the data tells us about the UK's changing demographics, why these shifts are happening, and what they could mean for the country's future. Elsewhere, Donald Trump's administration has renewed their attacks on the BBC over its coverage of Gaza, with press secretary Karoline Leavitt accusing the corporation taking 'the word of Hamas with total truth', an allegation the broadcaster denies. Camilla and Gordon speak to former BBC director of television Danny Cohen, who agrees with the US President, saying that the broadcaster's coverage is 'driving hate' towards Israel and Jews, and that there are 'two tiers of racism at the BBC'.
