Latest news with #MohamedMahmoudAbdelwahab
See - Sada Elbalad
22-07-2025
- Politics
- See - Sada Elbalad
Could the DR Congo Rwanda Agreement Reshape Africa's Development Map?
By: Dr. Mohamed Mahmoud Abdelwahab In pursuit of lasting regional stability, the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and the M23 movement have signed a Declaration of Principles committing to a permanent ceasefire, an end to hate speech, and the renunciation of any efforts to seize new territory by force. The agreement was brokered by Qatar, with the presence of US envoy Masad Boulos, and marks an important addition to the American-brokered peace deal signed in June between the DRC and Rwanda. That deal had focused on disengagement, disarmament, and the conditional integration of armed groups. The two peace agreements are expected to pave the way for further diplomatic steps, including a meeting at the White House, where President Biden plans to host the presidents of the DRC and Rwanda. The United States sees these efforts as a gateway to securing its economic and strategic interests—especially in energy and mining—in this vital part of the African continent. The main driver of international interest in the Great Lakes region lies in its enormous natural wealth, particularly in the DRC, which holds 70 percent of global cobalt reserves, 67 percent of the world's coltan production (used in nuclear and electronic industries), ranks fourth in industrial diamond production, and has large deposits of lithium and high-grade copper. The DRC and Zambia together produce around 3 million tons of copper and cobalt annually. These mediation efforts in eastern Congo reflect a growing American role in African conflict resolution, with hopes of redirecting energy and resources toward meaningful development. The DRC has been in conflict since 1998, resulting in the deaths of nearly 6 million people, the displacement of 7 million, and the presence of more than 100 armed groups competing for control in the mineral-rich east. As people in the region hope for peace and the elimination of ethnic violence and armed militias, another element attracting global attention is the Lobito Corridor—a multi-country infrastructure project. Backed by the United States, it involves a major railway linking the DRC, Zambia, and Angola, allowing copper and cobalt to be exported through the Port of Lobito. In December 2024, the US pledged an additional $560 million, bringing total support to $4 billion for the project. At the same time, Russia has signed an agreement with Congo-Brazzaville to construct a pipeline from Pointe-Noire to Brazzaville, signaling Moscow's interest in expanding its energy footprint. In June 2025, Angola hosted the 17th US–Africa Summit, which focused heavily on minerals, energy, and infrastructure—key sectors shaping global competition on the continent. Global and emerging powers increasingly view Africa as a center of future economic growth. There is a noticeable shift toward economic diplomacy, with governments negotiating investment deals and trade partnerships across Africa. The recent DRC agreements with Rwanda and M23 are seen as breakthroughs after a period of sharp tensions, including Rwanda's June 7 withdrawal from the Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS). That move came after Equatorial Guinea's presidency of the group was extended, bypassing Rwanda, due to opposition from the DRC and Burundi. ECCAS member states cover 20.4 percent of Africa's landmass, and their combined oil reserves are estimated at 31.3 billion barrels, nearly 28 percent of the continent's total. In a related development, Angola recently announced the discovery of its first-ever natural gas well in the Congo Basin, holding an estimated 1 trillion cubic feet of gas—a major turning point in Central Africa's energy future. In February 2024, the DRC began exporting liquefied natural gas (LNG) for the first time, with proven reserves estimated at 283 billion cubic meters, drawing more international focus to energy security and development in Central Africa. This increasing attention is also fueled by the ongoing US–China competition. In 2024, China opened the China–Africa Chamber of Commerce in Addis Ababa and pledged $51 billion in financial support to African countries. Beijing has also removed tariffs on goods from the continent's least developed nations. Chinese investment in Africa has now surpassed $40 billion. The United States, meanwhile, is shifting from an aid-driven model to one focused on trade and investment. A recent meeting hosted by former President Donald Trump at the White House with the leaders of five African nations is seen as part of a larger effort to increase US influence, especially in strategic minerals and energy areas central to the rivalry with China and Russia. read more Analysis- Turkey Has 0 Regional Allies... Why? Analysis: Russia, Turkey... Libya in Return For Syria? Analysis: Who Will Gain Trump's Peace Plan Fruits? Analysis: Will Turkey's Erdogan Resort to Snap Election? Analysis: What Are Turkey's Aspirations in Iraq? Opinion & Analysis Analysis: Mercenaries In Libya... Who Should Be Blamed? Opinion & Analysis Analysis- How 'Libya Nightmare' Takes Erdogan to Algiers Opinion & Analysis Analysis: What Happens After Brexit? Opinion & Analysis Analysis: Strategic Significance of Libya's Sirte, Jufra! 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See - Sada Elbalad
01-07-2025
- Business
- See - Sada Elbalad
The Reality and Future of Ongoing Settlements for Eastern Democratic Republic of Congo Crisis
Dr. Mohamed Mahmoud Abdelwahab The Democratic Republic of the Congo and Rwanda signed a peace agreement brokered by the United States to help end the fighting that has persisted for decades in eastern Congo. Washington's mediation does not come under the banner of 'for God and for humanity' as much as it grants the US government and its companies competitive advantages in accessing vital minerals in the region. President Trump stated in a press conference that he managed to broker a deal for one of the worst wars ever, and secured for the United States many mineral rights from the DRC. Meanwhile, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio described the move as a significant moment after 30 years of war. This aligns with estimates suggesting that Washington is primarily focused on increasing its economic benefits in eastern Congo. Media expect the agreement to pave the way for major American investments in energy and mining sectors, especially as Washington seeks to reduce its dependence on supply chains controlled by China. Eastern Congo is a strategic region due to the possession of 80% of the world's coltan reserves which is a metal used in the production of nuclear reactors. The majority of this wealth is concentrated in the eastern part of the country. Erik Prince who is a supporter of President Trump and founder of Blackwater recently agreed with the Congolese government to join a partnership in the vital minerals sector. This comes in parallel with notable Russian interest in energy projects in regional countries. Moscow recently signed an agreement with the Republic of the Congo to construct a pipeline extending from Pointe-Noire port to the capital, Brazzaville. Regarding international and media expectations of the agreement signed in Washington, some quickly promoted it as a major step to peace. This was reflected in remarks by Bintou Keita, Head of the UN Organization Stabilization Mission in the DRC, who said that the signing of the peace agreement between Congo and Rwanda is a significant step forward toward ending the conflict. Others took a more cautious view, considering it a step within ongoing peace efforts in the region. Rwanda's ambassador to the UN Security Council stated that although the road ahead is still long, the path to lasting peace in the Great Lakes region is now clearer than ever. Regional media coverage was generally balanced. Mohamed Tourshan, a researcher specializing in conflict and security issues in Africa, told Asharq Al-Awsat newspaper that the agreement reached between Rwanda and the DRC in Washington represents a historic agreement that could end years-long conflict. The agreement may represent an opportunity to achieve peace and stability in a region suffering from conflicts. However, the success of this agreement fundamentally depends on the seriousness and commitment of all parties. The international community is watching closely to see whether a deal will be signed between the Congolese government and the M23 rebel movement—especially as Rwanda announced on June 7, 2025, its intention to withdraw from the Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS). The member states of this group account for 20.4% of Africa's area, and their proven oil reserves are estimated at about 31 billion barrels, 28% of Africa's total reserves. Former Congolese President Joseph Kabila adopted an opposing situation, describing the agreement as nothing more than a commercial deal and asserting that his country was not at war with the states appearing at the signing table. It can be said that this agreement did not prevent officials from several European countries, especially those interested in African affairs, from voicing concerns over the US administration's push to reach a peace deal hastily, in a manner resembling commercial transactions, without truly addressing the root causes of the conflict. This concern is pushing France to consider organizing a conference on the humanitarian situation in the Great Lakes region in the near future. Moreover, the agreement did not halt the ongoing exchange of accusations between the warring parties. The DRC's representative to the Security Council stated that the security situation in the east of the country continues to be characterized by Rwandan aggression. Civilians are still suffering massacres, the rape of women and young girls, the forced recruitment of youth, and other violations of human rights and international humanitarian law. The M23 rebels declared that the agreement would not be binding for their movement, as they did not directly participate in the peace deal—despite taking part in other ongoing peace talks. This suggests that positions remain far apart, even as the agreement's mediators voiced optimism. Yet, the challenges persist, as noted by Christian Mulyeka, a political expert at the Congolese Depol Research Center, who described the agreement as a 'major turning point' but stated that it will by no means resolve all conflict-related issues. In parallel, there is growing influence and operational capability of ISIS in eastern Congo. The organization is activating its dormant cells in eastern Congo through its regional branch known as 'Islamic State Central Africa Province' in Uganda. This represents a growing security threat to the African continent's regions already facing activity from the Islamic State in West Africa Province, the Islamic State in Somalia, and ISIS in the Greater Sahara, as well as other regional branches of the organization. read more Analysis- Turkey Has 0 Regional Allies... Why? Analysis: Russia, Turkey... Libya in Return For Syria? Analysis: Who Will Gain Trump's Peace Plan Fruits? Analysis: Will Turkey's Erdogan Resort to Snap Election? Analysis: What Are Turkey's Aspirations in Iraq? Opinion & Analysis Analysis: Mercenaries In Libya... Who Should Be Blamed? Opinion & Analysis Analysis- How 'Libya Nightmare' Takes Erdogan to Algiers Opinion & Analysis Analysis: What Happens After Brexit? Opinion & Analysis Analysis: Strategic Significance of Libya's Sirte, Jufra! 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See - Sada Elbalad
18-06-2025
- Politics
- See - Sada Elbalad
Israel-Iran Tensions Rise: Western Analysts Warn of Escalation Spiral: Op-ed
Dr. Mohamed Mahmoud Abdelwahab Following a recent phone call between US President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Trump publicly stated that Iran was discussed among other topics, hinting at potential developments by saying, 'We'll know soon.' On the same day, Israeli daily Haaretz reported Israel was intensifying preparations for a military strike on Iran, including defensive measures against potential retaliation. The report cited high-level meetings between Israeli and US security officials, reflecting growing doubts in Israeli intelligence circles about the success of nuclear negotiations with Washington. The New York Times later highlighted a strategic miscalculation by Iran, noting that despite expecting possible Israeli action, Iranian leaders had dismissed warnings of an imminent strike as psychological pressure. As a result, key Iranian military figures remained in civilian locations during the surprise attack. According to security analysts, Israel's strike, described as unprecedented, targeted core Iranian decision-making and military infrastructure. The strike coincided with an IAEA report accusing Iran of failing to uphold nuclear commitments, a development viewed as a diplomatic pretext for military escalation. Israel reportedly carried out over 100 covert attacks in Iran over the past year, using F-35 jets, naval units, and long-range missiles. A report by the Atlantic Council described the Israeli strike as a risky "geo-security shift" that breaks with long-standing strategic doctrine. The analysis suggested the operation effectively collapsed nuclear talks in Oman and signals a dangerous turn toward militarization of the conflict. It warned that Iranian retaliation, either directly or through regional proxies, could expand the conflict and threaten global stability, especially via threats to the Strait of Hormuz. Despite public displays of coordination, the report noted a widening gap between 'America First' and 'Israel First' strategies, which may complicate U.S.-Israeli military cooperation and future aid negotiations. However, it argued that Israeli leadership remains adept at aligning with US policy interests, even amid apparent disagreements. In an interview with Reuters, Trump said he was not concerned about a regional war and questioned whether Iran still maintained a nuclear program after the strike. He justified the Israeli action as a move to ensure Tehran never acquires nuclear weapons, but added there was still time for a new agreement. US media offered contrasting takes: Fox News hinted the Trump administration had prior knowledge of the Israeli attack, while Foreign Policy criticized Israel's unilateral strike for jeopardizing nuclear diplomacy. The latter noted U.S. precautionary evacuations suggest awareness of the operation, undermining official denials. The conflict's economic impact was immediate. Brent crude rose 7.54%, oil shipping futures jumped 15%, and Gulf insurance premiums surged 20%. Gas flows from Israel to Egypt and Jordan were suspended due to security concerns. Regional markets lost over 3% of value, and U.S. stock indices fell as investors fled to treasury bonds. Strategic research centers warn Iran may respond by expanding its target list, escalating its nuclear program, and threatening broader conflict, potentially triggering a multi-front regional war with global consequences for energy security and supply chains. read more Analysis- Turkey Has 0 Regional Allies... Why? Analysis: Russia, Turkey... Libya in Return For Syria? Analysis: Who Will Gain Trump's Peace Plan Fruits? Analysis: Will Turkey's Erdogan Resort to Snap Election? Analysis: What Are Turkey's Aspirations in Iraq? Opinion & Analysis Analysis: Mercenaries In Libya... Who Should Be Blamed? Opinion & Analysis Analysis- How 'Libya Nightmare' Takes Erdogan to Algiers Opinion & Analysis Analysis: What Happens After Brexit? Opinion & Analysis Analysis: Strategic Significance of Libya's Sirte, Jufra! News China Launches Largest Ever Aircraft Carrier Sports Former Al Zamalek Player Ibrahim Shika Passes away after Long Battle with Cancer Lifestyle Get to Know 2025 Eid Al Adha Prayer Times in Egypt Business Fear & Greed Index Plummets to Lowest Level Ever Recorded amid Global Trade War Arts & Culture Zahi Hawass: Claims of Columns Beneath the Pyramid of Khafre Are Lies News Flights suspended at Port Sudan Airport after Drone Attacks Videos & Features Video: Trending Lifestyle TikToker Valeria Márquez Shot Dead during Live Stream News Shell Unveils Cost-Cutting, LNG Growth Plan Technology 50-Year Soviet Spacecraft 'Kosmos 482' Crashes into Indian Ocean News 3 Killed in Shooting Attack in Thailand
See - Sada Elbalad
11-06-2025
- Politics
- See - Sada Elbalad
Social and Political Divisions in the United States over Immigration Policies
Dr. Mohamed Mahmoud Abdelwahab The media is following the widespread protests that have erupted in Los Angeles since the end of last week, following raids carried out by Federal immigration authorities against undocumented immigrants, which resulted in the arrest of dozens. The protests were concentrated in predominantly Latino neighborhoods and, in some areas, turned into violent confrontations between demonstrators and security forces. This prompted Donald Trump to order the deployment of 2,000 National Guard troops to the city, with Marines placed on alert. The mayor of Los Angeles and the governor of California considered this an "Unjustified" escalation, given that Los Angeles is home to one of the largest Latino and immigrant communities in America. The arrests and escalation are part of the Trump administration's efforts to tighten immigration policies and target what are known as "sanctuary cities" that refuse to cooperate with federal authorities. Trump has pledged to deport record numbers of people in the country illegally and lock down the U.S.-Mexico border. The White House has set a goal for immigration authorities to detain at least 3,000 migrants per day. This has made California and Los Angeles a constant flashpoint for tension between federal and local authorities over immigration issues. California is a Democratic stronghold, and Trump has repeatedly criticized its policies. The state embraces liberal policies on immigration, environmental, and civil rights issues, while the US president promotes conservative and hardline policies, particularly on immigration. It can be argued that the protests and popular anger witnessed in some cities reflect the extent of the societal and political division in the United States over immigration policies and also highlight the confrontation between the federal government, state authorities, and major cities. As everyone awaits the repercussions of relations between Washington and the California authorities, and the future of immigration policies, the protests spread from Los Angeles to other cities in California, such as San Francisco, where police arrested 60 demonstrators during violent confrontations. Houston and San Antonio, Texas, also witnessed mass demonstrations demanding an end to forced deportations. California Governor Gavin Newsom also criticized President Trump's decision to deploy the National Guard troops to Los Angeles and called for its revocation, while Department for Homeland Security spokesperson Trisha McLaughlin described the stance of both the governor and the mayor as "Disgusting," and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem Los Angeles protests are "professionally done," with demonstrators being "paid," adding that the mayor had protected criminals for years. The media debate resulted in sharp partisan polarization, which was reflected in the speech of Democratic Senator Bernie Sanders, who stated that Trump seeks to transform America into an "authoritarian state that silences the opposition." On the other hand, Republican Rep. Tony Gonzales of Texas praised the deployment of the National Guard, considering that what is happening in Los Angeles is "Just the tip of the iceberg," noting in this context what candidate Trump said in November 2024 and his criticism of the previous administration by saying that the current administration - Biden - is obstructing the construction of a border wall with Mexico. The Guardian published a report titled " Trump Uses LA Protests to Redirect Dissent from Policy Failures ". The report focuses on Trump's use of the Los Angeles protests as a tool to direct public anger away from "the enemy from within," his opponents on the radical left. This is the first time in six decades that a US president has activated the National Guard without a request from the state governor. Political circles view this as an authoritarian move and a dangerous escalation of the undermining of democratic norms, amid threats to use the military and the Insurrection Act against protesters. Trump has been criticized for rewriting the history of political violence and inciting his base through right-wing media, with no dissenting voices within the new administration, which is different from Trump's first term, as the current staff does not review his decisions and directions. CNN reported in mid-November that Trump's plans to implement strict border measures were already underway and that the Trump team had laid the groundwork for plans to expand detention centers on the border and had developed plans to deport undocumented immigrants from all over America. It is also worth noting an opinion poll conducted by Reuters in April 2025, which showed that Donald Trump's popularity had declined to its lowest level since his return to the White House. The results of the poll, which was conducted over 6 days, were as follows: * Trump's job approval rating fell to 42%, compared to 43% three weeks ago and 47% after his inauguration. * Despite the decline, Trump's popularity remains higher than during most of Joe Biden's presidency. * 83% of respondents agreed that the president should comply with federal court rulings, even if he was against his wishes. * 57%, including one-third of Republicans, disagreed with the statement that "it's okay for a U.S. president to withhold funding from universities if the president doesn't agree with how the university is run,'. * 66% said the president should not run prestigious cultural institutions such as museums and theaters. * On issues such as inflation, immigration, taxes, and the rule of law, those who disapproved of Trump's performance outnumbered those who supported him. * On immigration, 45% approved of his performance, while 46% disapproved. Notable, Donald Trump declared at the end of last April that he had achieved in the first 100 days of his presidency, which began last January, "What no previous administration in the history of the United States had achieved,' defending his policies since taking office last January, especially about imposing tariffs on all countries of the world, deporting immigrants, and heralded that this was the country's golden age. read more Analysis- Turkey Has 0 Regional Allies... Why? Analysis: Russia, Turkey... Libya in Return For Syria? Analysis: Who Will Gain Trump's Peace Plan Fruits? Analysis: Will Turkey's Erdogan Resort to Snap Election? Analysis: What Are Turkey's Aspirations in Iraq? Opinion & Analysis Analysis: Mercenaries In Libya... Who Should Be Blamed? Opinion & Analysis Analysis- How 'Libya Nightmare' Takes Erdogan to Algiers Opinion & Analysis Analysis: What Happens After Brexit? Opinion & Analysis Analysis: Strategic Significance of Libya's Sirte, Jufra! 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See - Sada Elbalad
05-06-2025
- Business
- See - Sada Elbalad
Scenes of Sports Diplomacy in Trump's Gulf Tour
Mohamed Mahmoud Abdelwahab The visit of the President of the United States to the Gulf region in mid-May was not traditional; Trump is an exceptional figure, and the version of his second term differs greatly from the first, as he does not care much for diplomatic norms and their boundaries. How could he commit to them if even geographic boundaries do not constrain his economic and investment visions? Talking about annexing Canada to the United States reveals much about his political and economic propositions inside and outside the United States. And if Trump's statements often involve intimidating rhetoric and rough diplomacy, can he be imagined to believe in the importance of soft power in enhancing the state's image and its foreign relations? Does he realize that public diplomacy might contribute to improving political communication between leaders? And can his administration succeed in using the hosting of international sports events, such as the Club World Cup next June and the joint hosting of the 2026 World Cup, to improve relations with neighboring countries like Canada and Mexico? Despite all these questions, the evidence points to an exceptional diplomatic pattern that may evolve into a new school in international relations attributed to Trump , who is eager to achieve accomplishments credited to him. This is in addition to what the first five months of his second term have shown, whether in superiority diplomacy (as seen in his conversation with the President of South Africa at the White House), acquisition diplomacy (such as the mineral deal with Ukraine), and other features that characterize his handling of foreign policy files, although he has some ideas about developing sports and sports investment, and he has good relations with athletes. And due to Trump's lack of conviction in the value of traditional tools for implementing his foreign policies and his preference to rely on advisors and influential economic figures — who accompanied him on his first foreign tour, along with the presence of the FIFA president in two stops of the tour — it is important to pause at some scenes of sports diplomacy during his visit to Gulf countries, as football and sports investment are among the most prominent images of public diplomacy. Especially considering that, despite the presence of the FIFA president among the delegation of investors and CEOs accompanying Trump, and Infantino's pride in participating in a tour full of historic agreements, he faced sharp criticism from members of the FIFA Congress — especially the Europeans — for being late to the Congress meeting in Paraguay, considering his visits to Riyadh and Doha as coming at the expense of official obligations and favoring his personal ambitions. Thus, even sports are not free from political calculations at the level of federations. Scene One: During his participation in the Saudi-American Investment Forum, in the session titled 'The Road to 2034… Partnerships and Progress Towards the World Cup in Saudi Arabia', Infantino affirmed in his speech that Saudi Arabia is one of the world's leading investors in football and that its hosting of the World Cup is a pivotal moment in the history of the world's most popular game. He added that football represents a massive economy, with its related global GDP estimated at about $270 billion annually. Scene Two: The Emir of Qatar presented Trump with the official ball of the 2022 World Cup, enhancing the role of sports diplomacy in strengthening ties between peoples and countries and showing the position of football in the political and diplomatic arena. Qatar has a successful model in sponsoring European competitions, and Paris Saint-Germain's Champions League title supports that investment which began years ago. Scene Three: The conversation that took place in Abu Dhabi between Trump and Khaldoon Al Mubarak, Chairman of City Group, which addressed the preparations for the opening of the New York City stadium before the 2028 Olympics. Trump showed clear interest in the conversation, which highlights how sports diplomacy contributes to supporting countries' infrastructure, noting that City Group, backed by the Mubadala investment fund, has interests in European and Latin American countries. These scenes reflect the development of the relationship between sport and investment. It is no longer limited to club acquisitions, but now includes integrated systems involving teams, stadiums, and brand names. The Russian model in Chelsea, followed by the entry of Chinese investors and the Arab investment that began with Mohamed Al-Fayed entering the field of investing in English clubs — all these moves developed rapidly. Sports investment has become more complex and interconnected both locally and internationally. In conclusion, Trump's visit to Riyadh, Doha, and Abu Dhabi draws new features of the intersection between sports, economy, and politics, and affirms the importance of sports diplomacy, which is gaining increasing interest from world leaders as an effective tool to present soft power and strengthen ties between countries beyond the traditional constraints of politics. Gulf countries are among the most prominent models in employing sports to enhance their foreign interests. read more Analysis- Turkey Has 0 Regional Allies... Why? Analysis: Russia, Turkey... Libya in Return For Syria? Analysis: Who Will Gain Trump's Peace Plan Fruits? 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