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Time of India
14-07-2025
- Business
- Time of India
Gold price prediction: What's the gold rate outlook for July 14, 2025 week - should you buy or sell?
Gold price prediction: Focus this week will be on inflation data from major economies and US PPI, retail sales and industrial production. (AI image) Gold price prediction today: US President Donald Trump's tariff and trade policies will continue to add uncertainty to the global economic environment, implying that gold as a safe haven asset will continue to be in focus. Manav Modi, Senior Analyst, Commodity Research at Motilal Oswal Financial services Ltd shares his outlook on gold prices and strategy for gold investors: Last week, silver reached an all-time high domestically and hovered near $40 on COMEX, while gold touched a three-week high driven by safe-haven demand amid escalating trade tensions. US President Donald Trump announced plans to impose 30% tariffs on imports from the European Union and Mexico starting August 1, sparking strong opposition and prompting the EU to extend its suspension of countermeasures while seeking negotiated solutions. Trump also sent tariff notices to 14 countries, including Japan and South Korea, with higher duties set to begin in August, alongside new 50% tariffs on US copper imports and goods from Brazil. These moves stirred volatility in precious metals, with prices dipping as hopes for trade agreements grew. The US dollar index steadied near a two-week high, and Treasury yields hovered close to three-week peaks amid inflation concerns linked to tariffs. by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like Lợi ích khi giao dịch CFD Bitcoin IC Markets Tìm hiểu thêm Undo Fed officials sent mixed signals over rate cut this year, with some favouring 50 bps cut by Dec '25 while others preferred to wait for tariff impact on inflation. Market expectations shifted toward fewer immediate rate reductions, with a more gradual easing anticipated later in the year. Meanwhile, US jobless claims unexpectedly fell to a seven-week low, signaling stable employment and reducing pressure on the Federal Reserve. Overall, last week reflected rising uncertainty around global trade policies, inflation outlooks, and monetary policy, influencing precious metals and broader markets. Focus this week will be on inflation data from major economies and US PPI, retail sales and industrial production. Stance: Gold to be range bound - Rs 99,000 - Rs 96,000 Stay informed with the latest business news, updates on bank holidays and public holidays . AI Masterclass for Students. Upskill Young Ones Today!– Join Now
Time of India
07-07-2025
- Business
- Time of India
Gold price prediction: What's the gold rate outlook for July 7, 2025 week - should you buy or sell?
Gold price prediction: Gold prices saw notable fluctuations over the last week, ultimately settling near a six-week low. (AI image) Gold price prediction today: Gold prices are expected to continue being volatile in the near future on the back of uncertainties regarding US President Donald Trump's tariff policies, the approaching July 9 deadline, possible trade deals, and the fresh threat of additional 10% tariffs on BRICS countries that align with 'anti-American policies'. Manav Modi, Senior Analyst, Commodity Research at Motilal Oswal Financial services Ltd shares his outlook on gold prices and strategy for gold investors: Gold prices saw notable fluctuations over the last week, ultimately settling near a six-week low amid easing global tensions and shifting investor sentiment. The softening of US-China trade hostilities, including agreements on rare earth shipments, dampened safe-haven demand for gold. On other hand, a tentative Iran-Israel ceasefire and Trump's tariff reprieve on multiple countries also reduced geopolitical risk premiums. Despite the US dollar weakening to its lowest in over three years, gold prices were weighed down by stronger-than-expected US nonfarm payroll data and mixed labour market signals, which cast doubt on near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts. President Trump intensified his push for lower rates, even sending annotated global rate comparisons to Fed Chair Powell, though Powell maintained a cautious "wait and see" stance. Political developments added further complexity: Senate Republicans passed Trump's aggressive tax-and-spending bill, while trade negotiations also picked up pace over the weekend. US is close to finalizing several trade agreements in the coming days and will notify other countries of higher tariff rates by July 9, President Trump mentioned over the weekend, with higher rates scheduled to take effect on August 1. President Trump's tariff decision on BRICS nation will also be important to keep an eye on. Elsewhere, the first session of indirect Hamas-Israel ceasefire talks in Qatar ended inconclusively, adding that Israeli delegation didn't have a sufficient mandate to reach an agreement with Hamas. The USDINR hovered just below 86, influencing domestic prices. With the FOMC minutes and tariff deadlines approaching, market attention remains sharply focused on Fed policy cues and global trade dynamics. Gold Stance: Sideways to lower Gold Price Range: Rs 96,000 – 98,000, break below lower range could take prices to Rs 94,000. Stay informed with the latest business news, updates on bank holidays and public holidays . AI Masterclass for Students. Upskill Young Ones Today!– Join Now
Time of India
30-06-2025
- Business
- Time of India
Gold price prediction: What's the gold rate outlook for June 30, 2025 week - should you buy or sell?
Gold price prediction: The holiday-shortened week ahead could see subdued volumes, but volatility may persist depending on economic data and geopolitical updates. (AI image) Gold price prediction today: Gold prices have been trading lower as geopolitical tensions ease and demand for safe haven assets falls. However, the downside has been capped by a weaker US dollar. What's the outlook for the gold rate in the coming days and what's the range in which gold prices are likely to trade? Manav Modi, Senior Analyst, Commodity Research at Motilal Oswal Financial services Ltd shares his outlook on gold prices and strategy for gold investors: Gold prices traded largely steady last week, weighed by easing Middle East tensions and muted US economic cues. While investors initially remained cautious over potential Iranian retaliation following US and Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, a ceasefire brokered by President Trump brought some calm, with both Iran and Israel signalling commitment to halt hostilities. This reduced safe-haven demand, pushing gold to a near six-week low. Still, a weaker dollar and bargain hunting helped limit further losses. In the US, Federal Reserve officials struck a mixed tone, with Vice Chair Bowman indicating that rate cuts may soon be necessary due to risks to the labor market, while others like Cleveland Fed President Hammack urged caution amid inflation uncertainty. Market participants now await for more clarity on the Fed's rate path. by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like Memperdagangkan CFD Emas dengan salah satu spread terendah? IC Markets Mendaftar Undo On the geopolitical front, investors remain watchful for any ceasefire violations or renewed tensions. Meanwhile, progress in US-China trade talks, especially over rare earth shipments, helped boost broader risk appetite, though President Trump reignited tensions with Canada over digital taxes. The holiday-shortened week ahead could see subdued volumes, but volatility may persist depending on economic data and geopolitical updates. Gold Price Outlook Stance: Sideways to lower. Broad range: 93,500-96,500 Stay informed with the latest business news, updates on bank holidays and public holidays . AI Masterclass for Students. Upskill Young Ones Today!– Join Now
Time of India
23-06-2025
- Business
- Time of India
Gold price prediction: What's the gold rate outlook for June 23, 2025 week amidst Israel-Iran conflict - should you buy or sell?
Gold prices remained volatile throughout last week, hovering around the ₹1 lakh mark domestically. (AI image) Gold price prediction today: Gold is in focus with heightened geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel and with the US bombing nuclear facilities in Iran. Will gold prices resume a conclusive upward trend amidst growing global uncertainties? Manav Modi, Senior Analyst, Commodity Research at Motilal Oswal Financial services Ltd shares his outlook on gold prices and strategy for gold investors: Gold prices remained volatile throughout last week, hovering around the ₹1 lakh mark domestically, as geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran escalated, boosting safe-haven demand. Despite this, gold's upward momentum was capped by a firm dollar, which was hovering slightly below 100. Investors are closely monitoring the US Federal Reserve's policy stance after it left interest rates unchanged while signalling a more gradual rate cut path ahead. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized caution, citing stable unemployment and expectations of rising inflation due to tariffs. Markets are pricing in rate cuts totalling 50 bps in 2025, but less aggressive easing for 2026–27. Meanwhile, US data revealed weaker-than-expected retail sales and industrial production, indicating potential economic softness, though jobless claims were lower, suggesting resilience in the labor market. Market participants now await Powell's upcoming testimony and key economic indicators including preliminary PMIs, GDP, consumer confidence, and the PCE price index. In global developments, China's central bank held steady on its loan prime rates, adding pressure to industrial metals. Domestically, silver saw some profit booking from all-time highs. Despite tensions and US intervention in the Iran-Israel conflict, Iran' s stance on Strait of Hormus is very important for further direction in the market. Stance On Gold: Sideways to positive: Support Rs 97,000 - Rs 98,000; Resistance: Rs 100,000 - Rs 100,100 Stay informed with the latest business news, updates on bank holidays and public holidays . AI Masterclass for Students. Upskill Young Ones Today!– Join Now
Time of India
16-06-2025
- Business
- Time of India
Gold price prediction: What's the gold rate outlook for June 16, 2025 week amidst Israel-Iran conflict - should you buy or sell?
Gold prices witnessed heightened volatility last week as escalating geopolitical tensions took center stage. (AI image) Gold price prediction today: Gold is back in focus amidst the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict which has added to its safe haven appeal in times of increased geopolitical tensions and uncertainties. Positive news on the US-China trade deal talks and better-than-expected US economic data have on the other hand diminished demand for gold. As gold price fluctuations continue, investors are wondering which direction gold will move in, and what should their strategy be? Manav Modi, Senior Analyst, Commodity Research at Motilal Oswal Financial services Ltd shares his outlook on gold prices and strategy for gold investors: Gold prices witnessed heightened volatility last week as escalating geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran took center stage, overshadowing ongoing trade talks and economic data. Israel launched aggressive strikes targeting Iran's nuclear facilities and oil & gas infrastructure, prompting a strong retaliation from Tehran, which significantly intensified the conflict. This sharp escalation has kept market participants on edge, driving a renewed wave of safe-haven demand. As a result, gold prices surged globally and, on the domestic front, crossed the ₹1 lakh mark for the first time, reflecting the elevated risk premium priced into markets. by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like เทรดทองCFDsกับโบรกเกอร์ที่เชื่อถือได้| เปิดบัญชีวันนี้ IC Markets สมัคร Undo While earlier last week optimism over the US-China trade negotiations and strong US jobs data weighed on bullion, the geopolitical shock quickly reversed sentiment. Additionally, mixed US economic indicators, including cooler-than-expected CPI and stronger non-farm payrolls, added to the uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's next move, though markets are still pricing in a 68% chance of a rate cut by September. Meanwhile, China's central bank continued to boost its gold reserves for a seventh straight month, signaling sustained long-term demand. Overall, gold remained in sharp focus as a safe-haven asset amid an increasingly unstable global backdrop. With traders closely watching further developments in the Middle East that could continue to influence bullion's trajectory. Gold Strategy and View: Buy on dips Stay informed with the latest business news, updates on bank holidays and public holidays . AI Masterclass for Students. Upskill Young Ones Today!– Join Now
