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NBC News
11-07-2025
- Business
- NBC News
Takeaways from Trump's latest interview and how his bill plays in the states: From the Politics Desk
Welcome to the online version of From the Politics Desk, an evening newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team's latest reporting and analysis from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign trail. In today's edition, Adam Edelman looks at the blue states seeking quick action to adjust their budgets following the passage of President Donald Trump's big domestic policy legislation. Plus, Kristen Welker analyzes the key takeaways from her interview with Trump. — Scott Bland Blue-state leaders weigh new laws to deal with financial fallout from Trump's big bill By Adam Edelman State lawmakers are scrambling to deal with the expected financial fallout from President Donald Trump's One Big Beautiful Bill Act, with many in blue states demanding special legislative sessions they say are necessary to shore up funding for health care and food assistance programs affected by the new law. Democratic governors in at least five states are weighing such special sessions, and Democratic lawmakers in several more are urging their governors to convene them to address expected funding shortfalls. In Colorado, Democratic Gov. Jared Polis' Office of State Planning and Budgeting has projected that the state would receive about $500 million less in revenue yearly — and could see about the same amount in additional costs — because of the new law's impact on Medicaid and food assistance. Democratic state Sen. Iman Jodeh said a special session is 'absolutely necessary' to deal with the state's new financial landscape, predicting that it was 'imminent' that Polis convenes one. 'We have to do it,' said Jodeh, a member of the Senate Health and Human Services Committee. 'Our budget just cannot absorb the backfill, the shortfall, the cuts.' Polis spokesperson Shelby Wieman said in email that Polis 'has previously indicated we may need to reconvene the General Assembly to deal with the terrible impacts from the bill — and we are still reviewing the impacts of this new law to evaluate next steps, including a potential special session.' Jodeh said that because of Colorado's unique Taxpayer Bill of Rights — a 1992 measure that effectively limits how much the state can raise taxes — it will be exceedingly difficult for Democrats, despite their control of the governorship and both legislative chambers, to avoid mostly cutting and freezing social programs to address the expected shortfalls. 'We're all incredibly scared about how we can possibly navigate this,' she said. 'What are those programs that we're going to have to freeze or defund or do away with altogether? Those will be the questions that we're going to have to answer during the special session.' Analysis by Kristen Welker I spoke with President Donald Trump yesterday in a wide-ranging 20-minute phone call, where we discussed his approach to tariffs, his response to the devastating floods in Texas, his views of the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine, and more. One key takeaway from our conversation is that the president signaled he is looking to pivot from policy to politics now that his sweeping tax and spending proposal, which he dubbed the One Big Beautiful Bill, has become law. I asked Trump if he plans to hit the road to talk about the measure and he said 'a little bit,' later adding, 'But honestly, it's been received so well I don't think I have to, but a little bit. And certainly before midterms we'll be doing a lot but a little bit.' That focus on next year's midterm elections underscores the tough fight ahead for the GOP as it tries to hold onto its narrow majorities in both chambers. Democrats need to net just three seats to flip the House and four seats to take control of the Senate — a tougher task given the general lean of the states holding Senate races next year. And Democrats plan to campaign on the sweeping tax and spending measure, emphasizing cuts to Medicaid. But the president did not seem overly concerned that his party would lose seats in Congress. 'They said that about 2024 too. They said, 'We're going to win seats,'' Trump said of Democrats. 'They didn't. They said — we're going to do great in the presidency, and I won all seven swing states, won the popular vote by millions, etc. So you know, they always say that. They've lost their way. They've lost their minds, and they've lost their way, not necessarily in that order.' Meanwhile, the president is walking a fine line with his MAGA supporters, who Republicans need to turn out in droves to hold onto control of Congress next year. These voters have more isolationist views of foreign policy, creating some tension when it comes to assistance to Ukraine. Trump made some news on that front yesterday, when he stressed that NATO, not the U.S., would be covering the cost of additional weapons for Ukraine. 'We're sending weapons to NATO, and NATO is paying for those weapons, 100%,' Trump told me. 'So what we're doing is the weapons that are going out are going to NATO, and then NATO is going to be giving those weapons and NATO is paying for those weapons.' 'We are not paying for any more weapons,' the president later added. The details of that agreement with NATO are still unclear, though the president did tease a 'major statement' on Russia coming on Monday. NATO spokesperson Allison Hart responded to Trump's comments in a statement on Friday. 'Allies continue to work to ensure Ukraine has the support they need to defend themselves against Russia's aggression. This includes urgent efforts to procure key supplies from the United States, including air defence and ammunition,' she said. We'll delve more into all of this on Sunday's 'Meet the Press,' where I'll speak to Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, Republican Sen. John Barrasso of Wyoming, and Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear of Kentucky. ✉️ Mailbag: When do the provisions of Trump's new law go into effect? Thanks to everyone who emailed us! This week's reader question, from Cindy Scruggs, is about how Trump's big domestic policy law will be implemented. 'Knowing that many of the cuts will be put into effect after the 2026 elections, what parts of the bill or associated fallout (if any) will occur before the midterms?' One of our Congress experts, senior national political reporter Sahil Kapur, provided an answer: This is an important and somewhat complicated question. The short answer is that Republicans backloaded the most significant cuts under Medicaid, SNAP and the Affordable Care Act until after the 2026 election. That was a deliberate effort to manage political pain — hard-right Republicans wanted the Medicaid work requirements to take effect right away, but the party reached a deal to trigger them on the last day of 2026, just weeks after the midterms. Some GOP lawmakers have told us they believe (or hope) this will insulate them in the 2026 elections. Beyond that, many of the law's cutbacks are phased in over the coming decade. As KFF health policy expert Larry Levitt put it to me, 'There's not going to be a day where we wake up and there are suddenly millions more people without health insurance.' That said, some effects will still be felt beforehand. There are already reports of at least one hospital in Nebraska shutting down, citing the 'anticipated federal budget cuts to Medicaid,' a huge source of funding for hospitals. Sometimes, anticipation of an unpopular law taking effect can make for effective politicking: Republicans made Democrats paid a heavy political price in the 2010 midterms for the then-unpopular Affordable Care Act, even though it hadn't kicked in yet. In 2018, vast swaths of voters barely felt the benefits of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which Trump sold as the greatest tax cut in history, and House Democrats won 40 seats in that year's midterm election. Finally, the impacts of Trump's 'Big Beautiful Bill' will certainly be felt by the 2028 presidential election, and if this law takes effect as designed, Democrats are sure to make that an issue.
NBC News
11-07-2025
- Health
- NBC News
Blue-state leaders weigh new laws to deal with financial fallout from Trump's big bill
State lawmakers are scrambling to deal with the expected financial fallout from President Donald Trump's ' One Big Beautiful Bill,' with many in blue states demanding special legislative sessions they say are necessary to shore up funding for health care and food assistance programs affected by the new law. Democratic governors in at least five states are weighing such special sessions, and Democratic lawmakers in several more are urging their governors to convene them to address expected funding shortfalls. Trump's law institutes steep cuts to Medicaid and food aid benefits, mostly by establishing new work requirements. It also restricts state-levied fees on health care providers that are mostly used to fund Medicaid, which 72 million people rely on for health care coverage. The federal government is also no longer responsible for reimbursing states. The changes will have an outsized effect on people in rural areas, who are likelier to receive their health insurance through Medicaid, and the cuts especially affect the 41 states that voted to expand Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act. The law also means millions of low-income people will lose eligibility for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, also known as food stamps, and it shifts administrative costs to states. The combination has state lawmakers saying they face new burdens on their own budgets, and groups of them are clamoring for their legislatures to rapidly identify solutions that can help fill in the shortfalls or avoid major state budget deficits. In Colorado, Democratic Gov. Jared Polis' Office of State Planning and Budgeting has projected that the state would receive about $500 billion less in revenue yearly — and could see about the same amount in additional costs — because of the new law's impact on Medicaid and food assistance. Lawmakers and health care advocates have predicted the changes could prompt hundreds of thousands of people in Colorado to lose their health care coverage, mostly because it implemented one of the most robust Medicaid expansions in the United States under the Affordable Care Act. Democratic state Rep. Iman Jodeh said a special session is 'absolutely necessary' to deal with the state's new financial landscape, predicting that it was 'imminent' that Polis convenes one. 'We have to do it,' said Jodeh, a member of the House Health and Human Services Committee. 'Our budget just cannot absorb the backfill, the shortfall, the cuts." Polis spokesperson Shelby Wieman said in email that Polis 'has previously indicated we may need to reconvene the General Assembly to deal with the terrible impacts from the bill — and we are still reviewing the impacts of this new law to evaluate next steps, including a potential special session.' Jodeh said that because of Colorado's unique Taxpayer Bill of Rights — a 1992 measure that effectively limits how much the state can raise taxes — it will be exceedingly difficult for Democrats, despite their control of the governorship and both legislative chambers, to avoid mostly cutting and freezing social programs to address the expected shortfalls. 'We're all incredibly scared about how we can possibly navigate this,' she said. 'What are those programs that we're going to have to freeze or defund or do away with all together? Those will be the questions that we're going to have to answer during the special session.' Democratic lawmakers in Minnesota — another state that expanded Medicaid early under the Affordable Care Act — said they're concerned about the same issues. They are also just weeks removed from a special legislative session that featured bruising budget negotiations that included passage of a bill to end state-funded health care for undocumented adults. Erin Murphy, the Democratic majority leader of the state Senate, said she was 'eager' for Democratic Gov. Tim Walz to call another special session 'to address the harm that is coming to Minnesota as a result of Trump's bill.' 'What the Congress has passed is going to blow a hole in our budget — one that we worked very hard to balance,' Murphy said. 'For us to prepare and protect Minnesotans, we need to have a special session ... to figure out how we're going to pay for a loss of coverage for people here.' Walz spokesperson Claire Lancaster said that the governor's office was 'still combing through to determine the extent of the impacts' of the new federal law and that it was 'too soon to say' whether Walz would call another special session. The Minnesota House is evenly divided, while Democrats control the Senate. Walz and Minnesota Democrats have said up to 250,000 people could lose their health coverage because of the law and that the state may lose up to $500 million in federal funding yearly. In Connecticut, state Sen. Matt Lesser, the Democratic deputy majority leader and chair of the Senate Human Services Committee, said state Democrats 'were moving in the direction' of a September special session intended specifically to address the budget gaps stemming from the new federal law. 'Nobody can absorb the kinds of cuts that we're anticipating for the next few years,' Lesser said. Unlike in Minnesota and Colorado, Lesser predicted that a Connecticut special session might seek to raise taxes or find other sources of revenue to address the expected shortfalls to social safety net programs. The Kaiser Family Foundation has estimated that the state could lose $13 billion in Medicaid funding over 10 years as a result of Trump's law. Lesser said that the impacts of the changes to SNAP aren't fully understood yet — but that early estimates suggested Connecticut would have to pick up 75% of the program's cost, or about $40 million a year. 'A lot of what the 'OBBB' does is just a cost shift from the federal government to the states,' he said. Rob Blanchard, a spokesperson for Gov. Ned Lamont, a Democrat, responded to questions about whether he'd call a special session by saying that the "administration is dedicated to doing what we can do mitigate some of the impact from this bill" and that it is "analyzing" it. 'We will be meeting agency leaders and, later, our colleagues in the General Assembly to discuss next steps,' Blanchard said. Democrats control the governorship and both legislative chambers in Connecticut. The Democratic governors of New Mexico and Washington — where Democrats also enjoy full control of state government — have also indicated they're considering calling special legislative sessions to tackle expected funding shortfalls. Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham "is strongly considering a special session to help mitigate harm to New Mexicans from this disastrous Republican budget bill,' spokesperson Michael Coleman said in an email. New Mexico lawmakers and health care advocates have predicted that up to 89,000 residents might be kicked off Medicaid and that up to 58,000 could lose their SNAP benefits because of the law. Washington Gov. Bob Ferguson said in an email that 'there is no question the impacts of President Trump's Big Betrayal Bill are dire for Washingtonians in terms of cuts to Medicaid and other important benefits.' Ferguson added that, 'at this time, we do not believe a special session is needed,' but he said he 'will definitely be having conversations with legislative leaders and my team about whether a special session is needed.' Ferguson's office has estimated that the law will cause Washington to lose $3 billion a year in federal Medicaid funding and that it would be on the hook for at least an additional $188 million related to the SNAP changes. Democrats in states with Republican governors are also roaring for their leaders to address the expected funding gaps — though their expectations for special sessions are close to zero. Georgia Democrats have advocated publicly for Republican Gov. Brian Kemp to call a special session — though a bipartisan group of legislators has said they'll wait until their regular session convenes in January to address the budget. Georgia stands to lose about $10 billion in Medicaid funding over the next 10 years, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation. Meanwhile, Nebraska Democrats said they're particularly concerned about the law's impact on rural hospitals. One — the Curtis Medical Center — has already announced plans to close, citing the cuts to Medicaid implemented by Trump's law. And legislators say six more rural hospitals could close within the next two years as the law is implemented. 'I just want to underscore how devastating this is — particularly for rural parts of our state,' said state Sen. John Fredrickson, a Democrat. Still, Fredrickson said he did 'not anticipate' a special session in Nebraska, where Republicans control the governorship and its single legislative chamber. A spokesperson for Republican Gov. Jim Pillen didn't respond to questions about a possible special session. 'As we go into session next year, we are going to have to make significant adjustments to our budget based on this bill's passage,' Fredrickson said. 'This bill is going to have a significant impact on the state's ability to provide and fund basic social needs, and those services are going to be at risk as a result."
