Latest news with #Pydynowski
Newsweek
08-08-2025
- Climate
- Newsweek
Map Shows Tropical Storm Timeline as Experts Predict 5 Storms This Month
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. AccuWeather meteorologists are predicting that up to four more named storms could form this month for the Atlantic hurricane season as experts monitor multiple disturbances that could strengthen into tropical storms. Tropical Storm Dexter, the first named storm of August, disintegrated on Thursday. Why It Matters The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is tracking two disturbances in the Atlantic, one with a low chance of forming within the next week and one with a moderate chance of doing so. Earlier in the season, AccuWeather meteorologists warned that the Atlantic hurricane season typically doesn't hit its peak until the first few weeks of September. Now, the waters are beginning to warm in the eastern and central Atlantic, AccuWeather senior meteorologist Dan Pydynowski told Newsweek, and tropical waves coming off the coast of Africa will moisten the atmosphere and eliminate the Saharan dust that prohibits tropical development. What To Know On Friday morning, AccuWeather announced that its expert tropical meteorologists are forecasting three to five named storms to form this month. The most immediate system has a low chance of developing offshore of the East Coast between August 9 and 10. There also is a high chance of tropical development from August 9 to 11 in the central Atlantic Ocean as a tropical wave works its way west from Africa. Meteorologists are monitoring a third area in the northeastern Gulf, which has a low chance of developing between August 10 and 11. Slightly further out, meteorologists are tracking an area in the central Atlantic that has a medium risk of developing between August 13 and 15. "The average August contains around four [named storms], so getting three to five named storms in August would be pretty typical for a relatively average hurricane season," Pydynowski told Newsweek. "We've already had one, of course, with Dexter." The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is predicting from 13 to 19 named storms for this year's Atlantic hurricane season, with six to 10 strengthening into hurricanes and three to five into major hurricanes. Meanwhile, AccuWeather is predicting between 13 and 18 named storms, with seven to 10 hurricanes and three to five major hurricanes. Of the named storms that form this year, AccuWeather forecast three to six direct impacts to the U.S. this season. A map from AccuWeather shows the areas where tropical storms could form in the coming weeks. A map from AccuWeather shows the areas where tropical storms could form in the coming weeks. AccuWeather What People Are Saying AccuWeather senior meteorologist Dan Pydynowski told Newsweek: "All the ingredients are starting to come together, especially as you get deeper into the month of August." NHC in an outlook regarding the tropical wave in the central Atlantic: "A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic is producing minimal shower activity. Development of this system appears unlikely during the next day or two due to surrounding dry air, but environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive in a few days. A tropical depression could form during the early or middle part of next week while the system moves northwestward to northward across the central tropical and subtropical Atlantic." What Happens Next? There are no tropical storm or hurricane watches or warnings in place for the Atlantic hurricane season. However, people living in hurricane-prone areas are urged to make adequate preparations before a storm arrives, such as stocking up on emergency supplies and creating an evacuation plan.
UPI
13-06-2025
- Climate
- UPI
New tropical storm forms in Pacific as Atlantic basin remains dormant
AccuWeather's Enhanced RealVue™ Satellite of Tropical Depression 4-E south of Mexico on Friday afternoon. (AccuWeather) The eastern Pacific Ocean has spawned a new tropical storm, Dalila, which will swipe southern Mexico with flooding downpours and gusty winds. Meanwhile, the Atlantic basin remains dormant for now, but AccuWeather hurricane experts say it may spring to life during the second half of the month. The East Pacific is quickly gaining momentum following a slow start to the season, which officially began on May 15. Four storms have been named since May 28 -- Alvin, Barbara, Cosme and now Dalila. Dalila, which AccuWeather identified as a tropical rainstorm ahead of all other known sources on Thursday, was designated Tropical Depression 4-E by the National Hurricane Center on Friday morning before quickly being upgraded to a tropical storm. "Rain and wind from Dalila is likely to skirt the western coast of Mexico through this weekend before the storm moves westward into the open waters of the Pacific," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said. Most of the wind associated with the tropical storm will stay offshore, but gusts can occasionally reach 40-60 mph along the immediate southern coastline of Mexico. The most significant impact in the region will be in the form of rain, with a swath of 2-4 inches expected with an AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 8 inches. Flooding and mudslides can occur, especially since this zone recently got hit with tropical downpours from Barbara. Due to flooding rain and gusty winds, Tropical Storm Dalila is rated less than one on the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes in Mexico. "Beyond Dalila, another area could develop between June 17 and 20. This area of concern would be farther to the east, likely just offshore of the far southern coast of Mexico or even just offshore of Guatemala, but would likely take a similar track," Pydynowski said. When will the Atlantic basin spring to life? Copious amounts of wind shear and dry, dusty air from the Sahara Desert have put a lid on tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean since the start of the basin's hurricane season on June 1. "There are some signs that tropical development could occur later in the month, however, just east of the Yucatan Peninsula or in the Bay of Campeche, between June 17 and 21," Pydynowski said. Even if a tropical depression or storm does not organize, tropical downpours are expected to frequent portions of Central America and southeastern Mexico into late June, which can enhance the risk of flooding and mudslides. "Any potential tropical depression or storm would likely be short-lived and remain mainly south of the United States, but some of its tropical moisture could be drawn northward into South Texas, even if there is no organized tropical development," Pydynowski said. AccuWeather is expecting a near- to above-historical-average Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane season for 2025. Between three and six named tropical cyclones are forecast to directly impact the U.S.
Yahoo
13-06-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
New tropical storm forms south of Mexico as Atlantic basin remains dormant
The eastern Pacific Ocean has spawned a new tropical storm, Dalila, which will swipe southern Mexico with flooding downpours and gusty winds. Meanwhile, the Atlantic basin remains dormant for now, but AccuWeather hurricane experts say it may spring to life during the second half of the month. The East Pacific is quickly gaining momentum following a slow start to the season, which officially began on May 15. Four storms have been named since May 28 -- Alvin, Barbara, Cosme and now Dalila. Dalila, which AccuWeather identified as a tropical rainstorm ahead of all other known sources on Thursday, was designated Tropical Depression 4-E by the National Hurricane Center on Friday morning before quickly being upgraded to a tropical storm. "Rain and wind from Dalila is likely to skirt the western coast of Mexico through this weekend before the storm moves westward into the open waters of the Pacific," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said. Most of the wind associated with the tropical storm will stay offshore, but gusts can occasionally reach 40-60 mph along the immediate southern coastline of Mexico. The most significant impact in the region will be in the form of rain, with a swath of 2-4 inches expected with an AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 8 inches. Flooding and mudslides can occur, especially since this zone recently got hit with tropical downpours from the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ Due to flooding rain and gusty winds, Tropical Storm Dalila is rated less than one on the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes in Mexico. "Beyond Dalila, another area could develop between June 17 and 20. This area of concern would be farther to the east, likely just offshore of the far southern coast of Mexico or even just offshore of Guatemala, but would likely take a similar track," Pydynowski said. When will the Atlantic basin spring to life? Copious amounts of wind shear and dry, dusty air from the Sahara Desert have put a lid on tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean since the start of the basin's hurricane season on June 1. "There are some signs that tropical development could occur later in the month, however, just east of the Yucatan Peninsula or in the Bay of Campeche, between June 17 and 21," Pydynowski said. Even if a tropical depression or storm does not organize, tropical downpours are expected to frequent portions of Central America and southeastern Mexico into late June, which can enhance the risk of flooding and mudslides. "Any potential tropical depression or storm would likely be short-lived and remain mainly south of the United States, but some of its tropical moisture could be drawn northward into South Texas, even if there is no organized tropical development," Pydynowski said. AccuWeather is expecting a near- to above-historical-average Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane season for 2025. Between three and six named tropical cyclones are forecast to directly impact the U.S. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.
Yahoo
04-06-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Heat records in jeopardy as season's first 90-degree readings expected in Northwest
Mother Nature is about to turn up the thermostat in the Pacific Northwest, with record high temperatures in the forecast for a few days beginning this weekend, say AccuWeather meteorologists. For some areas away from the coast and in valleys, it will be the first time venturing into the 90s this year, while many other communities will make it into the 80s, well above historical averages for early June. "Those with outdoor plans this weekend will want to schedule their activities in the morning or evenings to avoid the peak heating hours during the day," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said. "If you must be outside, drink plenty of water and take as many breaks in the shade and indoors in air conditioning as possible." The increase in temperature will be driven by a building area of high pressure across the West, replacing an area of low pressure which was leading to locally heavy showers and thunderstorms into midweek, especially across the Southwest and Rockies. After another rather typical early-June day temperature-wise on Wednesday, the warmth will begin to ratchet up on Thursday and Friday before records begin to be challenged on Saturday. "The first 90-degree readings of the year thus far are expected in Portland, Oregon, this weekend," said Pydynowski. "Both Saturday and Sunday's forecast high temperatures will challenge or even break daily records." The record high temperature in Portland on Saturday of 93 from 1948 may be safe, but it appears the daily record of 94 from 1955 on Sunday is in jeopardy of tumbling, with AccuWeather forecasters expecting a high temperature well into the the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ Typically, Portland experiences its first 90-degree reading of the year in mid- to late June, so the intrusion of warmth expected this weekend is a couple of weeks ahead of the historical average. "The historical average first date for 95-degree heat in Portland is July 21," pointed out AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Chad Merrill. Seattle, while not expected to venture into the 90s, will not be exempt from the warmth. High temperatures well into the 80s are on tap for Sunday and Monday, with Sunday's forecast high close to the daily record of 87 set a decade ago. Smaller towns east of the Cascades will also be roasting beginning this weekend. "Spokane, Washington, will flirt with daily records Saturday, Sunday and Monday with highs in the lower 90s expected," added Pydynowski. "Meanwhile, Omak, Washington, will challenge a long-standing record by next Monday, as the high tops out near 99, which is a mark that has stood for over 100 years, since 1918." While heat waves of this magnitude are not unusual in the Pacific Northwest, especially during midsummer, they can be impactful and potentially deadly. Only 53 percent of buildings in Washington state have air conditioning equipment, the second-lowest percentage in the U.S. behind Alaska, according to data from the Haas School of Business at the University of California in Berkeley. In Oregon, only about three-quarters of buildings have such cooling capabilities. "In the wake of a deadly heat wave in June 2021, a study by the National Weather Service indicated homes without air conditioning were warmest between 9 p.m. and 11 p.m.," said Merrill. "For those without air conditioning, staying at a friend's or relative's home with air conditioning overnights this weekend is advised." For those looking for a reprieve from the early-season heat, it is forecast to fade by the middle of next week, as the area of high pressure moves east. Temperatures will return to more typical readings in the 60s and 70s. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.
Yahoo
09-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Will the Northeast catch a rain break in time for Mother's Day?
A storm clearing out of the Northeast this weekend will pave the way for sunshine and seasonable spring temperatures just in time to celebrate moms and mother figures alike on Sunday. "A zone of high pressure over the Northeast will set the stage for a sunny and comfortable Mother's Day," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said. Rain will linger across New England on Saturday as drier air noses southward into the mid-Atlantic. By Sunday, the entire region will be largely free of cloud cover and wet conditions. "Many areas across the interior of New England, New York state and northern Pennsylvania will start off chilly on Sunday morning with temperatures in the 30s F, so Mom may need a jacket if you are taking her out to breakfast," Pydynowski said. Sensitive plants or flowers may need to be covered or brought indoors on Saturday and Sunday nights to prevent possible damage. "By Sunday afternoon, plenty of sunshine will boost temperatures into the 60s and 70s across much of the Northeast, making for great conditions for an afternoon cookout or picnic," Pydynowski the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ Washington, D.C., Pittsburgh, Philadelphia and New York City are expected to string together three consecutive dry days from Saturday through Monday, a welcome reprieve following the daily bouts of rain during the first full week of May. The weather observation site in Central Park has recorded 2.10 inches of rain as of May 8, which is 208% of the month-to-date historical average rainfall. "The consecutive dry days in these areas will give plenty of flexibility for catching up on lawn maintenance, outdoor exercise, yard sales, college graduations and sports-related activities," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said. Changes will be on the horizon heading into the middle of next week as a storm drenching the Southeast through the weekend crawls northward Tuesday into Wednesday. "Moisture will move across parts of the Midwest, mid-Atlantic and Northeast, resulting in increased rain chances," Pydynowski said. The slow-moving nature of the storm and light winds in the atmosphere can result in downpours that sit over the same area for several hours, increasing the risk of localized flooding. A few stronger thunderstorms are also possible along the Southeast coast, perhaps as far north as the Delmarva Peninsula. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.
