Map Shows Tropical Storm Timeline as Experts Predict 5 Storms This Month
Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content.
AccuWeather meteorologists are predicting that up to four more named storms could form this month for the Atlantic hurricane season as experts monitor multiple disturbances that could strengthen into tropical storms.
Tropical Storm Dexter, the first named storm of August, disintegrated on Thursday.
Why It Matters
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is tracking two disturbances in the Atlantic, one with a low chance of forming within the next week and one with a moderate chance of doing so.
Earlier in the season, AccuWeather meteorologists warned that the Atlantic hurricane season typically doesn't hit its peak until the first few weeks of September.
Now, the waters are beginning to warm in the eastern and central Atlantic, AccuWeather senior meteorologist Dan Pydynowski told Newsweek, and tropical waves coming off the coast of Africa will moisten the atmosphere and eliminate the Saharan dust that prohibits tropical development.
What To Know
On Friday morning, AccuWeather announced that its expert tropical meteorologists are forecasting three to five named storms to form this month. The most immediate system has a low chance of developing offshore of the East Coast between August 9 and 10.
There also is a high chance of tropical development from August 9 to 11 in the central Atlantic Ocean as a tropical wave works its way west from Africa.
Meteorologists are monitoring a third area in the northeastern Gulf, which has a low chance of developing between August 10 and 11. Slightly further out, meteorologists are tracking an area in the central Atlantic that has a medium risk of developing between August 13 and 15.
"The average August contains around four [named storms], so getting three to five named storms in August would be pretty typical for a relatively average hurricane season," Pydynowski told Newsweek. "We've already had one, of course, with Dexter."
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is predicting from 13 to 19 named storms for this year's Atlantic hurricane season, with six to 10 strengthening into hurricanes and three to five into major hurricanes. Meanwhile, AccuWeather is predicting between 13 and 18 named storms, with seven to 10 hurricanes and three to five major hurricanes. Of the named storms that form this year, AccuWeather forecast three to six direct impacts to the U.S. this season.
A map from AccuWeather shows the areas where tropical storms could form in the coming weeks.
A map from AccuWeather shows the areas where tropical storms could form in the coming weeks.
AccuWeather
What People Are Saying
AccuWeather senior meteorologist Dan Pydynowski told Newsweek: "All the ingredients are starting to come together, especially as you get deeper into the month of August."
NHC in an outlook regarding the tropical wave in the central Atlantic: "A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic is producing minimal shower activity. Development of this system appears unlikely during the next day or two due to surrounding dry air, but environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive in a few days. A tropical depression could form during the early or middle part of next week while the system moves northwestward to northward across the central tropical and subtropical Atlantic."
What Happens Next?
There are no tropical storm or hurricane watches or warnings in place for the Atlantic hurricane season. However, people living in hurricane-prone areas are urged to make adequate preparations before a storm arrives, such as stocking up on emergency supplies and creating an evacuation plan.
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Epoch Times
30 minutes ago
- Epoch Times
Officials Issue Beach Warnings for East Coast as Hurricane Erin Moves North
US Although the center of the storm will stay far offshore, its outer edges are expected to bring high winds, large swells, and life-threatening rip currents. Hurricane Erin continued to churn northward as federal forecasters warned people at East Coast beaches not to go into the water due to potentially life-threatening conditions. National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecasters say they are confident that the center of the storm will stay far offshore, although its outer edges are expected to bring high winds, large swells, and rip currents on Thursday and Friday.
Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
Will Hurricane Erin impact Massachusetts? Yes, here's where and how
While Hurricane Erin will stay off-shore of Massachusetts, the coastal part of the state will feel the impact. The National Weather Service Boston says the storm will "was well southeast of Nantucket on Friday," with the coastline of southeaster New England feeling the impact. "High surf and dangerous rip currents along with beach erosion are anticipated on south-facing beaches, dangerous marine conditions from gale force wind gusts and high offshore waves, and potential minor coastal flooding on the Islands are the main impacts as Erin passes well offshore," the National Weather Service Boston said. "Dry weather for this weekend." Further South, the storm is bringing 40 to 60 mph winds to the Outer Banks region of North Carolina, where evacuations orders were issued for some areas due to an expectation the waves would shut down the only highway access to Ocracoke and Hatteras islands. More: Hurricane Erin to bring 'powerful' 20-foot waves along East Coast: Live updates The Category 2 hurricane saw its winds weaken to as low as 100 mph on Aug. 19 as its north side battled winds, but the National Hurricane Center said early on Aug. 20 that the storm had reformed an inner eye wall, and a Hurricane Hunter mission this morning is expected to help the center determine if winds have increased in response. "Erin is a large hurricane and growing," the weather service said the morning of Aug. 20. Here's what to know. Will Hurricane Erin impact Massachusetts? Massachusetts has already been experiencing impacts from the storm, including rip currents and surf conditions. In Scituate, conditions were harsh enough that two beaches closed. A high surf advisory is in effect through Thursday, Aug 21. But, according to AccuWeather, on Thursday and Friday parts of the state can also expect strong winds. AccuWeather said wind gusts of 40-60 mph are expected "Thursday evening into Friday across parts of southeastern coastal Massachusetts, including Cape Cod." The National Weather Service online forecaster's discussion said those kinds of gusts qualify as "gale-force" winds. While gale-force winds could cause problems in the New England region, most of the expected flooding is relegated to southern areas of the U.S. like Virginia and North Carolina. The National Weather Service is forecasting a chance of rain in the Bay State and the rest of New England for Wednesday, Aug. 20, but is not predicting any rain associated with Hurricane Erin later in the week. What are rip currents? They are powerful channels of fast-moving water, and they have killed about 50 people in the U.S. so far this year, according to a release last week from AccuWeather. If you are caught in a rip current, officials advise you to swim parallel to the shore until you are out of the channel, AccuWeather noted in the release. Hurricane Erin path tracker This forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. Hurricane Erin spaghetti models Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest-performing models to help make its forecasts. What's the hurricane outlook for the 2025 season? The AccuWeather 2025 Atlantic hurricane season forecast is predicting 13-18 named storms, including 7-10 hurricanes, adding "Three to six direct U.S. impacts are forecast, the same range as last year's catastrophic season with six landfalls." The report noted that the climatological peak of hurricane season begins Sept. 10. What is the NOAA forecast on hurricanes in 2025? NOAA is forecasting a range of 13 to 19 total named storms. Of those, 6 to 10 are forecast to become hurricanes, including 3 to 5 major hurricanes. USA Today Network reporters Dinah Voyles Pulver, John Bacon, Jeanine Santucci and Jorge L. Ortiz contributed to this article. This article originally appeared on Cape Cod Times: Hurricane Erin track could cause gale force winds in MA. Here's when
Yahoo
2 hours ago
- Yahoo
Hurricane Erin tracker: Storm strengthens to Category 4, see projected path of 1st Atlantic hurricane of 2025 season
Rough ocean conditions from Erin are expected to impact states like Florida on the U.S. East Coast early next week. Erin has strengthened into a Category 4 hurricane as of Saturday. It's the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic season, which officially formed mid-Friday morning. Some Tropical Storm watches remain in effect for parts of the northern Leeward Islands, according to forecasters at the National Hurricane Center. Erin formed in the eastern Atlantic Ocean on Monday and is rapidly intensifying. The NHC said rough surf conditions from the storm could impact states like Florida on the U.S. East Coast, as well as the Bahamas and Bermuda, early next week. Where is Hurricane Erin, and what is its path? As of 8 a.m. ET Saturday: Erin was located 120 miles northeast of Anguilla. The storm has maximum sustained winds of 145 mph. It is moving west-northwest at 20 mph. The storm is expected to continue to move west-northwest through the weekend, gradually decreasing in speed. Early next week, the storm is expected to turn toward the north. Starting today into Sunday, the outer bands of Erin are expected to bring areas of heavy rainfall across the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Rainfall totals could range from 2 to 4 inches, with up to 6 inches in isolated areas, which could lead to flash or urban flooding and cause mudslides and landslides, the hurricane center said Saturday. "Swells generated by Erin will affect portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the Turks and Caicos Islands through the weekend, the NHC said. "These swells will spread to the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the east coast of the United States early next week. These rough ocean conditions will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip currents." What are the chances it will intensify? Erin reached Category 4 strength on Saturday. "Continued rapid strengthening is expected today, followed by fluctuations in intensity through the weekend," forecasters said. A tropical storm becomes a hurricane when maximum sustained winds reach at least 74 mph. Hurricanes are rated on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, ranging from Category 1 to Category 5, with 5 being the most severe. A storm is considered a major hurricane when it reaches Category 3 strength, with sustained winds of at least 111 mph, according to the NHC. Watches and warnings in place As of 8 a.m. ET Saturday, these are the following advisories in place, according to the NHC: Tropical storm watches are in effect for: St. Martin and St. Barthelemy Sint Maarten Forecasters added that, "A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 hours." The NHC advised that the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Turks and Caicos and the southeastern Bahamas should continue to monitor forecasts of Erin. How is hurricane season shaping up? The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1 and runs through the end of November, has a 50% chance of being above normal. Last week, forecasters at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration slightly updated the number of expected storms to 13-18 (estimated at 13-19 in May), five of which could become major hurricanes (with winds of more than 111 mph). A typical hurricane season averages 14 named storms. We're currently about halfway through this year's hurricane season, and as of Friday, Aug. 15, there have been six so far: tropical storms Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dexter, and now Hurricane Erin.
