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Business Standard
14-05-2025
- Business
- Business Standard
IMF disburses $1.023 bn tranche to Pak; to hold discussions about budget
The International Monetary Fund has disbursed a second tranche of $1.023 billion under the Extended Fund Facility programme for Pakistan, the central bank said on Wednesday. The disbursement of the second tranche comes on a day when the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is holding virtual discussions on Pakistan's upcoming budget as the visit of its mission to Islamabad was delayed due to security concerns in the region. The federal government is planning to unveil the budget for fiscal 2025-26 on June 2. The IMF talks will continue until May 16. The Central bank said the second tranche amount would be reflected in its foreign exchange reserves for the week ending May 16. The amount was approved last week by the IMF board under the ongoing Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and allowed an additional arrangement for the $1.4 billion Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF). The decision to release the funds came after the IMF expressed satisfaction on the first review of Pakistan's economic reform programme supported by the EFF Arrangement, the bank said. The IMF noted that Pakistan's policy efforts under the EFF had already delivered significant progress in stabilising the economy and rebuilding confidence, amidst a challenging global environment. Fiscal performance has been strong, with a primary surplus of two per cent of gross domestic product achieved in the first half of FY25, keeping Pakistan on track to meet the end-FY25 target of 2.1 per cent of GDP. Pakistan's gross reserves stood at $10.3 billion at end-April, up from $9.4 billion in August 2024, and are projected to reach $13.9 billion by end-June 2025 and continue to be rebuilt over the medium term, it was pointed out. Meanwhile, the IMF talks that started virtually Wednesday will continue until May 16. The global lender has appointed a new mission chief to Pakistan and the mission is now expected to travel to Islamabad over the weekend, subject to the security situation, government sources told The Express Tribune on Tuesday. The IMF mission delayed its scheduled arrival here on Tuesday due to uncertainty caused by the India-Pakistan conflict that had affected air travel across the region. Virtual discussions are expected to be held from today. For the second and final leg of the talks, the IMF team is expected to arrive in Islamabad on Saturday and stay until May 23, the source said. The IMF's Resident Representative to Pakistan Mahir Binici did not respond to a request for comment on the change in the travel plan. Finance Ministry spokesperson Qumar Abbasi also did not respond to questions on the change in the travel plans. Meanwhile, the IMF appointed Iva Petrova, a Bulgarian origin staff member, as new Mission Chief to Pakistan. She would join the discussions along with the outgoing Mission Chief Nathan Porter who served in the position for an extended term. Binici also did not comment on whether both outgoing and new mission chiefs would join both rounds of talks. Petrova, who holds a PhD degree in economics from the Michigan State University, has been serving as the IMF Mission Chief to Armenia. Previously, she had served with the missions to Israel, Iceland and Latvia. In Pakistan, the fiscal policy is expected to remain tight in the next fiscal year too. The IMF has asked Pakistan to make a budget on the assumption of having 1.6 per cent of the GDP primary budget surplus, which will require generating about Rs 2 trillion over and above the non-interest expenses. The tax target for the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) is proposed to be 11 per cent of the GDP or Rs 14.3 trillion. The IMF would examine whether the government plans to take credibly realistic measures to back the new tax target, said the sources. The IMF has set multiple fiscal conditions, whose successful completion has so far helped smooth continuation of the programme despite initial setbacks. Pakistan has met the IMF targets for a primary budget surplus by the federal government, as well as net revenue collection and cash surplus targets by the four provinces. Against a primary surplus target of Rs 2.7 trillion, the federal government reported a surplus of Rs 3.5 trillion, or 2.8 per cent of GDP. The size of the federal budget still remains tentative due to redoing of defence needs and the government plans to announce less than Rs 18 trillion budget. The overall budget deficit target after incorporating large provincial cash surpluses is projected at 5.1 per cent of the GDP or Rs 6.7 trillion, the sources said.
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Business Standard
14-05-2025
- Business
- Business Standard
IMF to hold virtual talks on Pakistan's budget amid security concerns
The International Monetary Fund will on Wednesday hold virtual discussions on Pakistan's upcoming budget as the visit of its mission to Islamabad was delayed due to security concerns in the region. The federal government is planning to unveil the budget for fiscal 2025-26 on June 2. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) talks will continue until May 16. The global lender has appointed a new mission chief to Pakistan and the mission is now expected to travel to Islamabad over the weekend, subject to the security situation, government sources told The Express Tribune on Tuesday. The IMF mission delayed its scheduled arrival here on Tuesday due to uncertainty caused by the ongoing India-Pakistan conflict that has affected air travel across the region. Virtual discussions are expected to be held from today. For the second and final leg of the talks, the IMF team is expected to arrive in Islamabad on Saturday and stay until May 23, the source said. The IMF's Resident Representative to Pakistan Mahir Binici did not respond to a request for comment on the change in the travel plan. Finance Ministry spokesperson Qumar Abbasi also did not respond to questions on the change in the travel plans. Meanwhile, the IMF appointed Iva Petrova, a Bulgarian origin staff member, as new Mission Chief to Pakistan. She would join the discussions along with the outgoing Mission Chief Nathan Porter who served in the position for an extended term. Binici also did not comment on whether both outgoing and new mission chiefs would join both rounds of talks. Petrova, who holds a PhD degree in economics from the Michigan State University, has been serving as the IMF Mission Chief to Armenia. Previously, she had served with the missions to Israel, Iceland and Latvia. In Pakistan, the fiscal policy is expected to remain tight in the next fiscal year too. The IMF has asked Pakistan to make a budget on the assumption of having 1.6 per cent of the GDP primary budget surplus, which will require generating about Rs 2 trillion over and above the non-interest expenses. The tax target for the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) is proposed to be 11 per cent of the GDP or Rs 14.3 trillion. The IMF would examine whether the government plans to take credibly realistic measures to back the new tax target, said the sources. The IMF has set multiple fiscal conditions, whose successful completion has so far helped smooth continuation of the programme despite initial setbacks. Pakistan has met the IMF targets for a primary budget surplus by the federal government, as well as net revenue collection and cash surplus targets by the four provinces. Against a primary surplus target of Rs 2.7 trillion, the federal government reported a surplus of Rs 3.5 trillion, or 2.8 per cent of GDP. The size of the federal budget still remains tentative due to redoing of defence needs and the government plans to announce less than Rs 18 trillion budget. The overall budget deficit target after incorporating large provincial cash surpluses is projected at 5.1 per cent of the GDP or Rs 6.7 trillion, the sources said. (Only the headline and picture of this report may have been reworked by the Business Standard staff; the rest of the content is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)
Indian Express
14-05-2025
- Business
- Indian Express
IMF disburses USD 1.023 bn tranche to Pak; to hold virtual discussions about budget
The International Monetary Fund has disbursed a second tranche of USD 1.023 billion under the Extended Fund Facility programme for Pakistan, the central bank said on Wednesday. The disbursement of the second tranche comes on a day when the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is holding virtual discussions on Pakistan's upcoming budget as the visit of its mission to Islamabad was delayed due to security concerns in the region. The federal government is planning to unveil the budget for fiscal 2025-26 on June 2. The IMF talks will continue until May 16. The Central bank said the second tranche amount would be reflected in its foreign exchange reserves for the week ending May 16. The amount was approved last week by the IMF board under the ongoing Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and allowed an additional arrangement for the USD 1.4 billion Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF). The decision to release the funds came after the IMF expressed satisfaction on the first review of Pakistan's economic reform programme supported by the EFF Arrangement, the bank said. The IMF noted that Pakistan's policy efforts under the EFF had already delivered 'significant progress' in stabilising the economy and rebuilding confidence, amidst a challenging global environment. 'Fiscal performance has been strong, with a primary surplus of two per cent of gross domestic product achieved in the first half of FY25, keeping Pakistan on track to meet the end-FY25 target of 2.1 per cent of GDP. Pakistan's gross reserves stood at USD 10.3 billion at end-April, up from USD 9.4 billion in August 2024, and are projected to reach USD 13.9 billion by end-June 2025 and continue to be rebuilt over the medium term, it was pointed out. Meanwhile, the IMF talks that started virtually Wednesday will continue until May 16. The global lender has appointed a new mission chief to Pakistan and the mission is now expected to travel to Islamabad over the weekend, subject to the security situation, government sources told The Express Tribune on Tuesday. The IMF mission delayed its scheduled arrival here on Tuesday due to uncertainty caused by the India-Pakistan conflict that had affected air travel across the region. 'Virtual discussions are expected to be held from today. For the second and final leg of the talks, the IMF team is expected to arrive in Islamabad on Saturday and stay until May 23,' the source said. The IMF's Resident Representative to Pakistan Mahir Binici did not respond to a request for comment on the change in the travel plan. Finance Ministry spokesperson Qumar Abbasi also did not respond to questions on the change in the travel plans. Meanwhile, the IMF appointed Iva Petrova, a Bulgarian origin staff member, as new Mission Chief to Pakistan. She would join the discussions along with the outgoing Mission Chief Nathan Porter — who served in the position for an extended term. Binici also did not comment on whether both outgoing and new mission chiefs would join both rounds of talks. Petrova, who holds a PhD degree in economics from the Michigan State University, has been serving as the IMF Mission Chief to Armenia. Previously, she had served with the missions to Israel, Iceland and Latvia. In Pakistan, the fiscal policy is expected to remain tight in the next fiscal year too. The IMF has asked Pakistan to make a budget on the assumption of having 1.6 per cent of the GDP primary budget surplus, which will require generating about Rs 2 trillion over and above the non-interest expenses. The tax target for the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) is proposed to be 11 per cent of the GDP or Rs 14.3 trillion. The IMF would examine whether the government plans to take credibly realistic measures to back the new tax target, said the sources. The IMF has set multiple fiscal conditions, whose successful completion has so far helped smooth continuation of the programme despite initial setbacks. Pakistan has met the IMF targets for a primary budget surplus by the federal government, as well as net revenue collection and cash surplus targets by the four provinces. Against a primary surplus target of Rs 2.7 trillion, the federal government reported a surplus of Rs 3.5 trillion, or 2.8 per cent of GDP. The size of the federal budget still remains tentative due to redoing of defence needs and the government plans to announce less than Rs 18 trillion budget. The overall budget deficit target after incorporating large provincial cash surpluses is projected at 5.1 per cent of the GDP or Rs 6.7 trillion, the sources said.
Express Tribune
14-05-2025
- Business
- Express Tribune
Budget talks with IMF start today
Listen to article The International Monetary Fund (IMF) will begin virtual discussions on Pakistan's upcoming budget on Wednesday (today), as the visit of its mission to Islamabad has been delayed due to security concerns in the region, government sources told The Express Tribune on Tuesday. The virtual talks will take place as the global lender has appointed a new mission chief to Pakistan. According to sources, the IMF mission delayed its scheduled arrival in Islamabad on Tuesday due to uncertainty caused by Indian aggression, which affected air travel across the region. However, the sources added that the mission is now expected to travel to Islamabad over the weekend, subject to the security situation. They emphasized that the adjustment would not adversely affect the work or the original programme schedule. The talks are set to begin on May 14 (today) and continue until May 16. "Virtual discussions are expected to be held. For the second and final leg of the talks, the IMF team is expected to arrive in Islamabad on Saturday and stay until May 23," the source said. The IMF's Resident Representative to Pakistan Mahir Binici did not respond to a request for comment on the change in the travel plan. Finance Ministry Spokesperson Qumar Abbasi also did not respond to questions on the change in the travel plans. Meanwhile, the IMF appointed Iva Petrova, a Bulgarian origin staff member, as new Mission Chief to Pakistan. She would join the discussions along with the outgoing Mission Chief Nathan Porter — who served in the position for an extended term. Porter was known for his firm stance on policy issues, but was averse to public interactions. He also kept a tight control over the Finance Ministry's media policy. Mahir did not comment whether both outgoing and new mission chiefs would join both rounds of talks. Petrova, who holds a PhD degree in economics from the Michigan State University, has been serving as the IMF Mission Chief to Armenia. Previously, she had served with the missions to Israel, Iceland and Latvia. The government of Pakistan is planning to unveil the budget for fiscal 2025-26 on June 2 — before the Eidul Azha holidays. This will be Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb's second budget speech, which has to be in line with the parameters that the IMF will set during these talks. The fiscal policy is expected to remain tight in the next fiscal year too. The IMF has asked Pakistan to make a budget on the assumption of having 1.6% of the GDP primary budget surplus, which will require generating about Rs2 trillion over and above the non-interest expenses. The tax target for the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) is proposed to be 11% of the GDP or Rs14.3 trillion. The IMF would examine whether the government plans to take credibly realistic measures to back the new tax target, said the sources. The size of the federal budget still remains tentative due to redoing of defence needs and the government plans to announce less than Rs18 trillion budget. The overall budget deficit target after incorporating large provincial cash surpluses is projected at 5.1% of the GDP or Rs6.7 trillion, they said. According to the sources, on the first day of talks the Finance Ministry would apprise the IMF mission of the fiscal developments during July-March period of the current fiscal year. It will also share details of supplementary grants approved during the fiscal year. The IMF has set multiple fiscal conditions, whose successful completion has so far helped smooth continuation of the programme despite initial setbacks. Pakistan has met the IMF targets for a primary budget surplus by the federal government, as well as net revenue collection and cash surplus targets by the four provinces. Against a primary surplus target of Rs2.7 trillion, the federal government reported a surplus of Rs3.5 trillion, or 2.8% of GDP. This higher surplus was primarily due to fully booking the annual central bank profit in the first quarter, with the entire estimated profit of Rs2.5 trillion already accounted for. The four provinces collectively generated a cash surplus of Rs1.028 trillion during the first nine months, exceeding the IMF target by Rs25 billion. The federating units also generated Rs685 billion in tax revenues, surpassing the IMF target by Rs79 billion. But against a nine-month revenue target of over Rs9.2 trillion, the FBR pooled Rs8.5 trillion, falling short of the goal by Rs715 billion. The IMF has also asked the government to give an update on any savings from the planned downsizing of the government. The next fiscal year's non-tax target will also be discussed during the first day of the talks, mainly the prospects of petroleum levy collection and the central bank profits. The FBR will give an update on the tax performance in April and the chances for the remainder of this fiscal year. The tax shortfall has ballooned to a staggering Rs830 billion in the first 10 months of the fiscal year, despite the government imposing record additional taxes and reducing refunds. Only in the month of April, the government added around Rs135 billion in the tax shortfall, breaching commitment to the IMF that the shortfall against the original annual target will not be more than Rs640 billion. The FBR has provisionally collected Rs9.3 trillion in taxes by the end of April. Though, the collection was around 27% or Rs1.95 trillion higher than the previous fiscal year, yet it is not enough to stay on track. The sources said that on the first day, the discussions will also take place on the so-called enforcement measures in the areas of track and trace, retailers scheme and compliance risk management. The FBR has miserably failed in all these areas and its collection is largely driven by the additional tax measures.
Express Tribune
23-04-2025
- Business
- Express Tribune
$1b foreign loan deal reached
Listen to article Pakistan and two foreign commercial banks have reached an understanding for a $1 billion loan at an interest rate of around 7.6%, which Islamabad is obtaining on the back of Asian Development Bank (ADB) guarantee due to its low credit rating. The final term sheet and loan disbursement are subject to the approval of the ADB's $500 million guarantee, which the board of the Manila-based lending agency will approve on May 28. Pakistan can borrow up to $1.5 billion foreign commercial loan against the $500 million guarantee, said government sources. Ministry of Finance spokesperson Qumar Abbasi did not respond to a question on whether an understanding had been reached between the government and two foreign commercial banks for the ADB-backed $1 billion loan. Sources said that the government had negotiated a $1 billion loan for five years. It will be the first foreign commercial deal to be signed for a period of five years, which would reduce refinancing risks. The deal is being negotiated with the Standard Chartered Bank (SCB) and the Dubai Islamic Bank (DIB), said finance ministry officials. They said that the country would pay interest rate equal to the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) plus 3.25%. This translates into roughly 7.6%, which is a floating rate and will change with fluctuations in the SOFR. The foreign commercial banks will complete procedural formalities after the approval of ADB guarantee next month. The government expects that the loan will be disbursed in the second half of June, which will also boost its foreign exchange reserves before the end of the current fiscal year. Pakistan's gross reserves stand at $10.6 billion, which the government wants to increase to over $14 billion by the end of June. The reserves will rise on the back of better-than-expected remittances, $1 billion in new commercial loan and $1.3 billion worth of refinancing of Chinese loans, the sources said. The ADB will charge a nominal upfront fee for giving the guarantee. Despite a recent rating upgrade, Pakistan's credit rating still remains low at B negative, which is two notches below the investment grade. Fitch upgraded Pakistan from a substantial default risk to a high risk of default rating. Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb held a meeting with Moody's credit rating in Washington and briefed them on Pakistan's fiscal and current account surpluses, declining inflation, stable exchange rate, and foreign reserves. Discussions also covered the Panda Bond initiative, with both sides agreeing to explore future collaboration. Moody's is expected to improve Pakistan's rating in the first week of May. In September last year, the government had accepted the term sheet of SCB, London, for two loans totaling $600 million at the highest interest rate of around 11%. After a story appeared in The Express Tribune, the government deferred the deal until improvement in the overall macroeconomic conditions. Pakistan's external sector has stabilised and the current account deficit projection has been slashed from $3.7 billion to just $400 million by the IMF. This has reduced the foreign loan requirement. For the current fiscal year, the government has budgeted $3.8 billion in foreign commercial loans but so far it has received about $500 million, mainly arranged by a local commercial bank due to the low credit rating. Saudi Arabia has also not yet disbursed $100 million per month under the deferred oil payment facility due to procedural delays on part of Pakistan. Pakistan and Saudi Arabia had signed a $1.2 billion loan deal for buying oil on deferred payments two and a half month ago. Islamabad will pay 6% interest on the loan that it will use to buy crude oil from the kingdom. The monthly utilisation is capped at $100 million. Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb on Tuesday met Sultan bin Abdulrahman Al-Murshid, CEO of the Saudi Fund for Development (SFD), on the sidelines of World Bank-IMF annual meetings. "Aurangzeb requested the expedited disbursement of funds under the Saudi oil facility, assuring prompt submission of oil shipment documents," said a statement issued by the Ministry of Finance. The oil facility became effective a few days ago after Aramco and two Pakistani oil refineries signed the operational deal. However, these refineries have not yet submitted shipment documents. The finance minister requested the Saudi Fund for Development to give a loan for the construction of N-25 highway in Balochistan, the Ministry of Finance stated. Last week, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif imposed an additional levy of Rs8 on every litre of petrol and Rs7 on diesel to fund the N-25 highway. The N-25 starts from Karachi and ends at Chaman border. The government expects to raise Rs120 billion by putting the additional burden on every user of petrol and diesel. For the current fiscal year, the government has budgeted $23.4 billion in foreign loans, including $13 billion worth of rollovers by China, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait. Pakistan has paid back a $1.3 billion Chinese commercial loan on the understanding of getting it refinanced soon. Aurangzeb also held a meeting with Deutsche Bank and expressed Pakistan's interest in returning to financial markets, including the issuance of Panda and ESG bonds, based on the country's improved macroeconomic stability and credit rating.
