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IMF disburses $1.023 bn tranche to Pak; to hold discussions about budget
The International Monetary Fund has disbursed a second tranche of $1.023 billion under the Extended Fund Facility programme for Pakistan, the central bank said on Wednesday. The disbursement of the second tranche comes on a day when the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is holding virtual discussions on Pakistan's upcoming budget as the visit of its mission to Islamabad was delayed due to security concerns in the region. The federal government is planning to unveil the budget for fiscal 2025-26 on June 2. The IMF talks will continue until May 16. The Central bank said the second tranche amount would be reflected in its foreign exchange reserves for the week ending May 16. The amount was approved last week by the IMF board under the ongoing Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and allowed an additional arrangement for the $1.4 billion Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF). The decision to release the funds came after the IMF expressed satisfaction on the first review of Pakistan's economic reform programme supported by the EFF Arrangement, the bank said. The IMF noted that Pakistan's policy efforts under the EFF had already delivered significant progress in stabilising the economy and rebuilding confidence, amidst a challenging global environment. Fiscal performance has been strong, with a primary surplus of two per cent of gross domestic product achieved in the first half of FY25, keeping Pakistan on track to meet the end-FY25 target of 2.1 per cent of GDP. Pakistan's gross reserves stood at $10.3 billion at end-April, up from $9.4 billion in August 2024, and are projected to reach $13.9 billion by end-June 2025 and continue to be rebuilt over the medium term, it was pointed out. Meanwhile, the IMF talks that started virtually Wednesday will continue until May 16. The global lender has appointed a new mission chief to Pakistan and the mission is now expected to travel to Islamabad over the weekend, subject to the security situation, government sources told The Express Tribune on Tuesday. The IMF mission delayed its scheduled arrival here on Tuesday due to uncertainty caused by the India-Pakistan conflict that had affected air travel across the region. Virtual discussions are expected to be held from today. For the second and final leg of the talks, the IMF team is expected to arrive in Islamabad on Saturday and stay until May 23, the source said. The IMF's Resident Representative to Pakistan Mahir Binici did not respond to a request for comment on the change in the travel plan. Finance Ministry spokesperson Qumar Abbasi also did not respond to questions on the change in the travel plans. Meanwhile, the IMF appointed Iva Petrova, a Bulgarian origin staff member, as new Mission Chief to Pakistan. She would join the discussions along with the outgoing Mission Chief Nathan Porter who served in the position for an extended term. Binici also did not comment on whether both outgoing and new mission chiefs would join both rounds of talks. Petrova, who holds a PhD degree in economics from the Michigan State University, has been serving as the IMF Mission Chief to Armenia. Previously, she had served with the missions to Israel, Iceland and Latvia. In Pakistan, the fiscal policy is expected to remain tight in the next fiscal year too. The IMF has asked Pakistan to make a budget on the assumption of having 1.6 per cent of the GDP primary budget surplus, which will require generating about Rs 2 trillion over and above the non-interest expenses. The tax target for the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) is proposed to be 11 per cent of the GDP or Rs 14.3 trillion. The IMF would examine whether the government plans to take credibly realistic measures to back the new tax target, said the sources. The IMF has set multiple fiscal conditions, whose successful completion has so far helped smooth continuation of the programme despite initial setbacks. Pakistan has met the IMF targets for a primary budget surplus by the federal government, as well as net revenue collection and cash surplus targets by the four provinces. Against a primary surplus target of Rs 2.7 trillion, the federal government reported a surplus of Rs 3.5 trillion, or 2.8 per cent of GDP. The size of the federal budget still remains tentative due to redoing of defence needs and the government plans to announce less than Rs 18 trillion budget. The overall budget deficit target after incorporating large provincial cash surpluses is projected at 5.1 per cent of the GDP or Rs 6.7 trillion, the sources said.
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Time of India
13 hours ago
- Time of India
Maha Kumbh 2025: The divine catalyst behind India's rise as the world's 4th largest economy
(File photo) Maha Kumbh By: Pankaj Jaiswal India has made a historic leap by overtaking Japan to become the world's fourth-largest economy, with a GDP of $4.19 trillion, as per the latest figures released by IMF. While this milestone is the result of long-term policy vision and economic reforms, Maha Kumbh 2025 played a decisive, game-changing role delivering the "economic sixer" that clinched India's fourth-place position. For the past two years, India and Japan were neck and neck in the race for fourth place. But the grand Maha Kumbh held in Prayagraj injected massive momentum into India's economy. The event led to an estimated Rs 4 lakh crore in direct and indirect spending, boosting consumption across multiple sectors including retail, transport, hospitality, healthcare, digital services, MSMEs, and FMCG. This surge in demand energized the economy much like a wartime production boom transforms a nation's industrial output. Consequently, India's GDP for FY 2024–25 exceeded expectations by nearly 1%. Without Maha Kumbh 2025, India may have narrowly missed this milestone. I had already said at the start of the Kumbh that it would revise India's GDP forecast by 1% and that's exactly what happened." Maha Kumbh- A Demand-Driven Economic Injection Maha Kumbh didn't just offer spiritual upliftment it acted as an economic stimulus of unparalleled magnitude. by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like Giao dịch vàng CFDs với mức chênh lệch giá thấp nhất IC Markets Đăng ký Undo The influx of millions of pilgrims led to a direct surge in travel, accommodation, food, shopping, medical care, and digital transactions. It wasn't just a temporary bump, the infrastructure created in the run-up to the event, such as roads, bridges, digital connectivity, Ganga rejuvenation, and Smart City projects, continue to benefit the region and the country at large. This was not a coincidence, but a result of visionary governance. Under the leadership of UP CM Yogi Adityanath, the Maha Kumbh became a powerful demonstration of how faith and economic growth can walk hand-in-hand. The global audience witnessed Sanatan Economics in action a model where spirituality and sustainability drive structural development. Maha Kumbh is a prime example of India's festival-driven, demand-led economic framework that maintains constant economic dynamism. The Three Pillars of India's Rise as a Forth Economy In addition to this Maha Kumbh, India's ascent to the fourth spot stands on three core pillars: 1. Strong Policy and Leadership Under PM Narendra Modi, India's policy framework Make in India, Digital India, UPI, GST, PM GatiShakti, Bharatmala, Sagarmala, UDAN has re-energized productivity, reduced imports, boosted domestic manufacturing, and modernized supply chains. Infrastructure push played a pivotal role just like a skeleton and arteries are essential for the human body, physical infrastructure and logistics are vital to an economy. Nitin Gadkari has played vital role in India's infrastructure landscape, bringing in equitable distribution of opportunities and investments. 2. India's Youthful and Festive Population India's population is not a burden but an asset, unlike many African nations or even China now facing demographic challenges. This demographic dividend has become the engine of production, consumption, and innovation. With schemes like Ayushman Bharat, Skill India, and PM Vishwakarma, the youth is becoming increasingly empowered. India's festive culture acts as a perpetual economic catalyst, where events like festivals, marriages, and pilgrimages create sustained demand and protect the economy from global slowdowns. 3. India's Unmatched Growth Rate India's growth rate surpasses that of its economic competitors. As per IMF data, the closest rival, China, lags with a 4% growth rate. Germany, the third-largest economy, has near-stagnant growth. The U.S. stands at 1.8%, Japan at 0.6%, and the UK at 1.1%. In contrast, India's growth, powered by infrastructure, demographics, and festive demand, is robust and dynamic. When this is paired with Sanatan Economics and national culture, India's rise becomes inevitable. The Road to the Top 3 India's next goal is to break into the global top 3. Only three countries now stand ahead, Germany, China, and the US. Surpassing Germany is achievable, given their smaller population, lower growth, and limited consumption base. However, overtaking China and the US will require two bold strategic shifts. First, A National Movement for Swadeshi (Indigenous Products) Due to WTO rules, the government cannot directly push for Swadeshi, but citizens can voluntarily shift to Indian products over Chinese or American ones. This consumer revolution can substantially lift the domestic economy. Second, Focus on Innovation and Patents India must transform its businesses into innovation-led, IP-rich enterprises. Global premium pricing and economic superiority will come only when India builds a knowledge economy and this is the only path to match or surpass the U.S. The final conclusion is that the Sanatan Economics is India's Silent Strength. It is not just a matter of faith, it has economic force too. If India integrates its festival-driven economy into national planning and scales it up strategically, then the dream of becoming a developed nation is not far off. (Writer is an economist and chartered accountant) Get the latest lifestyle updates on Times of India, along with Eid wishes , messages , and quotes !


Indian Express
19 hours ago
- Indian Express
For a $5 trillion economy, India must embrace cutting-edge tech
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The Indian economy grew manifold in the next two decades on the strength of its services economy, which contributed 60 per cent of the nation's GDP. The economy crossed $2 trillion by the time the Narendra Modi government came to power. The last 10 years have seen the Modi government giving greater emphasis to faster economic growth through programmes like Stand-Up India, Start-Up India and Make in India. The results are there to see. IMF data from May has projected that the Indian economy will overtake Japan this year, reaching the $4.19 trillion mark. Japan was once a $5.8 trillion economy but has shrunk to $ 4.18 trillion due to stagnation and slow growth rates since the 1990s. As India demonstrated promising growth, naysayers rushed forward to raise the hollow bogey of per capita income. Per capita income is determined by factors like the size of the population. India is the world's most populous country. 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The current impressive growth is a result of corrective measures taken by the government. It removed parallel economy, allowed proper distribution of wealth and encouraged greater consumption. But the path from here needs to be calibrated carefully. Economies grow on the strength not just of consumption but also trade and technology. Quality, quantity and speed are the main determining factors. India and China were leading economies until the middle of the 18th century. But when the industrial revolution occurred first in England and later in America, those two countries surged ahead and became leading economic powers by the dawn of the 20th century. When automation and digitisation progressed in the last decades of the last century, China moved ahead of the curve, emerging as the second-largest economy by 2008. We are now in the post-manufacturing and post-digital era. Growth in frontier technologies will determine a country's economic future. A country of India's size and capability cannot just think perpetually in terms of catching up with the developed West and the rest. It has to, instead, think in terms of moving ahead of the curve. We missed the first two industrial revolutions as we were a slave nation at that time. We benefitted partially from the third, digital revolution of the 1980s and '90s and became a leader in sectors like IT services. But the Fourth Industrial Revolution, led by Artificial Intelligence (AI), quantum technologies, robotics, space, defence, crypto and bio-engineering calls for new thinking and new priorities. The impressive growth of the Indian economy in the last decade was largely due to the unleashing of its basic potential. The trajectory from here should be more strategic, with greater emphasis on deep-tech R&D, an area in which we lag. It is important to create a climate of hassle-free access to investments in these areas. 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The Print
a day ago
- The Print
India's forex reserves drop USD 1.24 bln to USD 691.49 bln
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