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Ray Thomas and Ron Dufficy's Rosehill Saturday tips, analysis: $3 best bet
Ray Thomas and Ron Dufficy's Rosehill Saturday tips, analysis: $3 best bet

News.com.au

time2 days ago

  • Entertainment
  • News.com.au

Ray Thomas and Ron Dufficy's Rosehill Saturday tips, analysis: $3 best bet

Racenet and The Daily Telegraph's Ray Thomas and Sky Thoroughbred Central's Ron Dufficy debate the chances in all 10 races – including the Listed Lord Mayor's Cup – at Rosehill Gardens on Saturday. Ray and Duff also provide their selections for the three feature races at Eagle Farm on Saturday – the Group 1 Kingsford Smith Cup, the Group 1 Queensland Derby and Group 2 BRC Sires' Produce Stakes. • PUNT LIKE A PRO: Become a Racenet iQ member and get expert tips – with fully transparent return on investment statistics – from Racenet's team of professional punters at our Pro Tips section. SUBSCRIBE NOW! â– â– â– â– â– DUFF'S BEST BET Race 7 No.10 KERGUELEN • Professional punter James Molony's race-by-race tips and analysis for Rosehill Gardens on Saturday â– â– â– â– â– Ron Dufficy: I think NAMASTE (2) is worth something at odds here. Not much went right for him first-up at Doomben in Group 2 company and with the blinkers on, he might get a level of control up front and give a sight. HIDDEN ACHIEVEMENT (1) and SARAPO (3) are both likely looking types. They were both very good at Gosford when they ran the quinella and the extra 100m should suit them. SWIFT LEGEND (5) is another good longshot who was great making up a lot of ground over 1000m on debut and he should enjoy getting out to this distance. Ray Thomas: SARAPO (3), a son of English superhorse Frankel, was excellent on debut at Gosford, closing late for second to HIDDEN ACHIEVEMENT (1). Sarapo went wide on the turn, copped a bump then once balanced finished his race off strongly. He will appreciate the bigger track at Rosehill and the extra 100m is ideal. No knock on Hidden Achievement who got the run of the race but executed well at Gosford. ZEBRA FINCH (6) hit the line well for third to Aerodrome at Hawkesbury a month ago and he's not out of this race. NAMASTE (2) will improve on his first-up effort and is also in the mix. Hidden Achievement makes it look effortless at Gosford! Adam Hyeronimus gets an early race-to-race double! ✌ï¸� @cwallerracing — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) May 10, 2025 • Shayne O'Cass's race-by-race tips, analysis for Rosehill Gardens on Saturday â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: BOYS NIGHT OUT (2) has a nice profile for this race. His past two Brisbane runs he has probably been unlucky, he maps well and the jar is out of the track so this looks ideal for him. WARRIOR FOR PEACE (10) created a big impression at Scone he charged home to win. This is harder but he does look to have plenty of ability. ROUGE MOULIN (4) gets a gear change and hasn't been far away at his past two Highway runs and the 3kg claim does help. NEW PHAROAH (9) was very strong at Scone but needs a touch of luck from that awkward draw. Thomas: WARRIOR FOR PEACE (10) produced a scarcely believable effort to come from near last and win at Scone. He's a promising three-year-old and although dropping back slightly in trip, he's going to be hard to hold out again. MY LAST HOORAY (3) had no luck at Randwick last week but was still a winning chance at the 200m. He's on the quick back-up and will enjoy getting out to 1500m. BOYS NIGHT OUT (2) is going to get the run of the race and is ready to win. CANADIAN RULER (1) is in great form but will need luck from the wide barrier. Warrior For Peace absolutely flies home on the outside to win at Scone! 🚀 @NockBraith | @cavanoughracing — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) May 16, 2025 â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: This is a competitive race. HARRY'S BAR (8) is a sharp mare resuming who should get the right run from her good draw (barrier three) and I'm happy to go her way. I AM BRAVE (14) is only a three-year-old filly having her second start, is coming out of a country maiden win but she really captured the attention at Scone and she does have the pedigree. DON'T DOUBT MERLIN (10) can sprint well fresh, he has looked good at the trials. LADY EXTREME (7) is very genuine, tries hard and should run another really good race fresh. Thomas: I've gone with I AM BRAVE (14), Ronnie. She was heavily backed on debut and was very impressive, running time despite the soft track conditions at Scone. Drawn awkwardly so she will need luck to go her way but she does look a talented filly. LADY EXTREME (7) is resuming but is very genuine and will be hard to beat. I concede HARRY'S BAR (8) is going to be very competitive and OAKFIELD BADGER (3) is never far away in this grade. 'It's all over bar the shouting!' Harry's Bar raced on the speed and proved far too good in Race 2 at Canterbury ðŸ�‡ðŸ'¥ @racing_nsw | @aus_turf_club — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) August 28, 2024 • 'She's a nice filly': Freedmans' Brave call at Rosehill â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: One of the tougher races of the day, Ray. MAORI CHIEF (6) is a well-bred three-year-old, he's found winning form at both starts this preparation, and should secure a cosy run here. INTERJECTION (1) only has to run up to what he did two starts back to prove hard to beat – if you want to trust him. KADALL (7) hasn't won in a while but comes out of a few solid form races for this. MICKEY'S MEDAL (3) has been around the mark his last start back and should like getting back to 1500m. Thomas: I agree this is very open so I have gone a little wide with LIKE LUKEY (12). She's a consistent mare who ran a blinder first-up at Scone, running on from near last on the turn to finish second, only beaten a length. She bolted in second-up last preparation, is well drawn and is a great lightweight chance at double figure odds. FEAR NO EVIL (2) is having a very good debut preparation and should run well again. CALIFORNIA SUNRISE (13) is very genuine and working up to a win, while MAORI CHIEF (6) commands respect after his impressive wins on the Kensington track. 🙌 Maori Chief shows them how it's done at Randwick to make it two wins in a row! @cwallerracing | @nashhot | @gobloodstockaus | @aus_turf_club — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) May 14, 2025 â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: ELLIPSIS (13) has been freshened with a trial since beating Flying Embers last start and she has won two races since. It reads well for Ellipsis and this market has been strong on her all week which is a good sign. SUMMER FLAME (5) may have been big odds winning at Scone first-up but I don't think there was any fluke in that effort as she has a touch of quality about her. DON'T FORGET JACK (6) has always shown plenty of raw talent and had a confidence-boosting win first-up. CODETTA (4) has trialled well enough and is a close yard and market watch. Thomas: I've also landed on ELLIPSIS (13). As you mentioned, her form has been franked and she's drawn to get the right run. SUMMER FLAME (5) comes off her game first-up win in the Denise's Joy Stakes at Scone and should could go right on with it here. LULUMON (1) was brilliant beating Storm The Ramparts at Gosford and the runner-up has since won. Lulumon also has a very good second-up record. CODETTA (4) is Riff Rocket's half-sister, she's got obvious potential and should sprint well fresh. It's Ellipsis winning by a nose in a photo finish in the 5th at Canterbury! ðŸ'¸ Jason Collett rides his second winner for the day! ✌ï¸� @BBakerRacing — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) April 21, 2025 • â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: I'm leaning to FURIOUS (3). I'm convinced he is ready to win third-up and getting out to this distance, the only little concern is he has to carry a big weight. PURE ALPHA (13) overdid things up front last start but should get cover in this race which will help him to relax better. SCALEXTRICS (8) does no work from the inside draw and won't be far away again. ENTER THE DRAGON (4) is hard to know, he just keeps finding a way to win. Thomas: This does look the right race for FURIOUS (3). He's had the two runs back and is ready to win after going under narrowly at Kensington last start. He should get the right run and this is his chance. ENTER THE DRAGON (4) has reeled off a hat-trick of wins, starting at longer odds each time, but deservedly is at the top of betting here and will be very hard to beat. NORTHERN EYES (5) and LITTLE COINTREAU (7) are racing well and are definite winning chances. ðŸ�‰ Enter The Dragon just holds on and wins in a fiery finish at Gosford! @GaiWaterhouse1 — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) May 10, 2025 • â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: KERGUELEN (10) is off a decent break of 28 weeks but he's been well held together in a few trials, he's always had a big wrap on him and I'm confident he's presented to win. UNSTOPABULL (9) hit the line nicely first-up and he did win at his second run back last preparation. BRAVE ONE (16) is a three-year-old with talent who gets in light and should improve after an acceptable first-up run. SMASHING TIME (13) is a very good longshot. Thomas: I'm also with KERGUELEN (10). He's still very lightly-raced but hasn't missed a top two finish in five starts. As you pointed out, he has been held together in both his recent trials and goes to Rosehill fresh and ready. SPANISH FOX (2) put the writing on the wall with his third at Scone last start and he did win third-up last campaign. BRAVE ONE (16) is a good lightweight chance. That was impressive! ðŸ'� Kerguelen gets his second win at start three for @godolphin ðŸ'µ Easy as you like for @zaclloydx — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) July 10, 2024 • â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: Where to go here? I do think this is a nice race for TOURISTIC (8). He was set a big task taking off early in the Gosford Cup but he wasn't bad so I think that might sharpen him up and he finds himself in a winnable race. MAJOR BEEL (1) is ready to put his best foot forward third-up at 2000m now and he will give plenty of cheek on speed. PRIVATE LEGACY (9) found winning form at stakes lever over this trip in Adelaide last start and she presents well here. DON DIEGO DE VEGA (11) has some solid fresh form and should be closely monitored if there is any market confidence about him. Thomas: PRIVATE LEGACY (9) comes off a very good win in the Centaurea Stakes at Morphettville and gets into this race on the 54kg limit. She's a talented mare with a strong finish. GLORY DAZE (5) is backing up after winning well at Randwick last week and is going to get the right run here. MAJOR BEEL (1) is fitter for recent racing and if he gets control up front, he will be tough to run down. I also have TOURISTIC (8) in my numbers. Touristic follows up a strong performance a fortnight ago to win today. @SchofieldChad @SnowdenRacing1 — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) July 1, 2023 â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: With the scratching of Gentleschi I will stay with CORMAC T (8), a last start Scone winner. He should be around the mark again as he gets a similar sort of run here. KIND WORDS (7) also comes out of the Scone race where she finished fast to run third. She is always a knockout chance but needs things to fall into place. FREIGHT TRAIN (12) might be the one with different form coming out of Victoria and could shape up here. SEAFALL (4) needs luck from the draw but 1800m is ideal for her now she is on her home track. Thomas: KIND WORDS (7) finished fast to just miss when third to CORMAC T (8) at Scone. She's racing in peak form and gets her chance here. Cormac T comes off that tough win at Scone and will be very competitive again. SEAFALL (4) was impressive last start but the wide barrier is a leveller. GOOD PRIZE (2) has won four straight but has started at longer odds every time. Cormac T wins by a whisker in a very tight finish at Scone! ðŸ'� @ANeashamRacing | @tomo_sherry — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) May 17, 2025 â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: LEFT FIELD (9) needs luck as she gets back in the field but there seems to be plenty of speed here, 1200m suits her better and she does have a big finish on her. WEEPING WOMAN (10) is a lightly-raced mare who did a good job winning two of her four starts last preparation. She is trialling well enough to be very competitive here. SO YOU PENCE (17) is very interesting as she is a talented country mare who has been impressive and could well be up to the class rise. Best of the rest could be PAJANTI (7) who was great first-up having no luck and if she reproduces that effort she could win. Thomas: Tough closer but I've gone with PAJANTI (7) each way. She stormed home to finish a close second when resuming, should be improved by that run, handles rain-affected tracks and has won second-up previously. SO YOU PENCE (17) is promising and would have been top pick but for her horror draw. LEFT FIELD (9) ran well at Scone and I can see why you have gone with her, Ronnie. WEEPING WOMAN (10) is resuming off a let-up but is a smart mare and will be in the finish. That’s a double for @GRyanRacing /Alexiou and Tim Clark, as Pajanti wins at @WyongRaceClub! — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) March 20, 2024 • â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: GALLO NERO (2) went back from a wide draw first-up and then he did more than enough running on for second in the wet. This sets him up well for the Sires and I would expect a more positive ride from the better draw. AERODROME (7) is a very nice horse with a month freshen off his Hawkesbury win. I can understand why he is very likeable. BESKAR (13) has drawn to advantage and should be somewhere in the finish. GRAFTERBURNERS (1) sat wide and did well last start and 1400m should be suitable. Thomas: GALLO NERO (2) is a talented colt who closed fast at Doomben to just miss. He will be improved by the run and is the one to beat. AERODROME (7) has won both his starts, impressing with his powerful finishing sprint. GRAFTERBURNERS (1) has been crying out for 1400m and COOL ARCHIE (3) just keeps winning. Another winner for @munceracing, with Cool Archie getting the nose down in the Spirit Of Boom Classic! — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) May 17, 2025 â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: There seems to be stable confidence about PRIVATE EYE (2). He has been unextended in three trials, we know he is a very good horse and he might be one at value now there is rain around. JOLIESTAR (10) has had six weeks and a soft trial between runs, fresh is good for her and her best just about wins this race. Hopefully, down the outside is OK as that is where she will be coming. GIGA KICK (1) did more than enough after getting a long way back and being shoved off the track in the Goodwood. He will improve with that run. KIMOCHI (11) can't be left out after a total forgive run last start and she has trialled well since. Thomas: I've gone with KIMOCHI (11) at double figure odds. She's an underrated mare who will get the perfect run from her good gate and will be very competitive. JOLIESTAR (10) is good enough to overcome her wide draw. GIGA KICK (1) is an outstanding sprinter on his day and he improves the further he gets into a preparation. We have the same top four but in a different order as PRIVATE EYE (2) usually sprints well fresh and is a top class sprinter. @GaryPortelli @CWilliamsJockey â€' (@Racing) November 16, 2024 â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: A very tough Derby. BELLE DETELLE (17) is suited on the bigger track at Eagle Farm as she had to give an impossible start last time and hopefully you can run wide here. LAVALIER (6) did early work in Adelaide last start and his run was commendable. PARTY CRASHER (13) maps well on pace and has a turn of speed while CHASE YOUR DREAMS (18) is a good longshot. Thomas: I've gone wide with EXISTENTIAL BOB (15). I know he's a $41 chance but he's learned how to win, he can stay, and will make his own luck racing on speed. At the odds, he's worth the gamble. KING OF THUNDER (4) is a promising young stayer and LAVALIER (6) will run the trip right out. BELLE DETELLE (17) has drawn off the track but stays under notice.

Turf Talk: Ray Thomas, Shayne O'Cass' best bets for racing on Saturday, May 31
Turf Talk: Ray Thomas, Shayne O'Cass' best bets for racing on Saturday, May 31

News.com.au

time3 days ago

  • Entertainment
  • News.com.au

Turf Talk: Ray Thomas, Shayne O'Cass' best bets for racing on Saturday, May 31

Racenet and The Daily Telegraph's Ray Thomas and Shayne O'Cass debate the chances in all the key races on Lord Mayor's Cup day at Rosehill Gardens on Saturday. • PUNT LIKE A PRO: Become a Racenet iQ member and get expert tips – with fully transparent return on investment statistics – from Racenet's team of professional punters at our Pro Tips section. SUBSCRIBE NOW! â– â– â– â– â– Ray Thomas: This has been some week, Shayno – Rosehill won't be sold, NSW won Origin and we are still waiting on confirmation who gets Leilani Lodge. Shayne O'Cass: I know it is off-season but I reckon there a few decent priced (potential) winners. Thomas: I do like Kerguelen in race 7. He's always promised plenty since winning his debut by nearly 10 lengths a year ago. That was impressive! ðŸ'� Kerguelen gets his second win at start three for @godolphin ðŸ'µ Easy as you like for @zaclloydx — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) July 10, 2024 • O'Cass: First off before I get to my own pick, equine-wise. Is there anyone riding better or with more success in Sydney at the moment than Adam Hyeronimus? Loving Unstopabull here off that big run at Scone. Thomas: I know you enjoy delving into the breeding of thee two-year-olds. We don't see many of that age by English superhorse Frankel racing in Australia but I thought his son, Sarapo, was very good on debut and can turn the tables on Hidden Achievement in the opener. Hidden Achievement makes it look effortless at Gosford! Adam Hyeronimus gets an early race-to-race double! ✌ï¸� @cwallerracing — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) May 10, 2025 • 'Hope right decision was made': Rosehill trainers react to sale vote O'Cass: For a Frankel out of a Le Havre mare and one with a double-cross of Sadler's Wells to do that at Gosford over that sort of trip, well, he might be Chris Waller 's next big time classic colt next season. Thomas: The Lord Mayor's Cup is wide open. Private Legacy was very good in Adelaide last start and she might have hit form at just the right time. O'Cass: My little theory in 2000m/plus races is 'when in doubt, go Waller'. I know his form reads a bit underwhelming but I can see First Light peaking here. First Light goes $7.50 in to $4.80 with @tabcomau and bursts clear to win the G3 Colin Stephen Quality ðŸ�‡ðŸ'¨ @cwallerracing @TommyBerry21 — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) September 28, 2024 Thomas: Have you had a look at the Group 1 races at Eagle Farm? I thought Kimochi was drawn to get the right run in the Kingsford-Smith Cup and I've 'done an O'Cass' and gone very wide in the Derby with a $41 bolter – Existential Bob. He gave the others a crisis! Existential Bob is too good for them at @IpswichTurfClub 🥳 @RMaloney_Jockey | @cwallerracing — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) May 21, 2025 Thomas: She did Shayno and I've been following it ever since. By the way, I'm a scratching from Rosehill tomorrow – my granddaughter, Charlotte, is having her first birthday. Do you mind holding the fort?

Ray Thomas, Shayne O'Cass Randwick tips: May 24, 2025
Ray Thomas, Shayne O'Cass Randwick tips: May 24, 2025

The Australian

time23-05-2025

  • Sport
  • The Australian

Ray Thomas, Shayne O'Cass Randwick tips: May 24, 2025

Racenet and The Daily Telegraph's Ray Thomas and Shayne O'Cass debate all the key chances at Royal Randwick on Saturday. Ray Thomas (left) and Shayne O'Cass. • PUNT LIKE A PRO: Become a Racenet iQ member and get expert tips – with fully transparent return on investment statistics – from Racenet's team of professional punters at our Pro Tips section. SUBSCRIBE NOW! ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ Ray Thomas: Shayno, there is some conjecture the sun might come out for the Royal Randwick meeting tomorrow – I've forgotten what it looks like! Have you done your heavy 10 form? Shayne O'Cass: Oh yeah. I know some punters hate heavy tracks but I actually like them. It makes the form easier without being easy. Just go for the proven muddies and hope the track is universally heavy/fair. Thomas: I'm not sure about the wet track conditions for the two-year-olds in the opener but Agarwood was very impressive on debut at Warwick Farm, running faster time than Regulated Affair the same day. Can either trouble Sequista? • James launches late Oaks bid with She's A Dealer O'Cass: I also did the muddie pedigrees RT, doesn't always work out precisely, but if it comes down to who is bred to get through it the best of these, it is Matima. Thomas: This is a good Highway with So You Pence and Shropshire Lad the ones to beat. I'm going to have a save each way on My Last Hooray as he will get through the heavy going. O'Cass: Loved your Frank Cleary piece, he could have nearly won two Slippers had it not been for Burst. Then again, Clarry Conners could have won 5 but for Encounter's swerve – ouch. I am a big Chemtrail man, RT. He's such a naturally talented horse. Thomas: Green Fly is the one to beat in the Charity Challenge Handicap. He's tough to watch as he gets so far back early in his races but he does have a powerful finish and he's a real mudlark. • 'What else am I going to do?': My Last Hooray no last hurrah for Frank Cleary O'Cass: Concur RT. I am eager to see how Diablo Bolt goes here first-up. He's a good horse. Thomas: Cruel Summer is one of the better we-trackers on the program, he's in great form and he will enjoy the heavy in the second last. He's good odds, too. O'Cass: I'll be on Kazalark unless the market says 'don't'. Thomas: I reckon we can get out in the last with She's Unusual. She will be fitter for the first-up run and is another who excels on wet tracks. • 'Some of it was really nasty': Tony Ottobre on Pride Of Jenni, social media and race day regrets Thomas: What about Brisbane and the Doomben Cup and Origin next Wednesday night? Pride Of Jenni is going to take some catching at Doomben and go the Blues in the opening game of the series. O'Cass: Would love to see her win, love a champion horse.

Ray Thomas and Ron Dufficy's race-by-race tips, analysis for Royal Randwick on Saturday: $5.50 best bet
Ray Thomas and Ron Dufficy's race-by-race tips, analysis for Royal Randwick on Saturday: $5.50 best bet

News.com.au

time23-05-2025

  • Sport
  • News.com.au

Ray Thomas and Ron Dufficy's race-by-race tips, analysis for Royal Randwick on Saturday: $5.50 best bet

Racenet and The Daily Telegraph's Ray Thomas and Sky Thoroughbred Central's Ron Dufficy debate the key chances in all 10 races at Royal Randwick on Saturday. â– â– â– â– â– DUFF'S BEST BET Race 8 No.3 GREEN FLY DUFF'S NEXT BEST Race 5 No.7 AHURIRI â– â– â– â– â– Ron Dufficy: SEQUISTA (3) suffered some lacerations when she played up in the float at Gosford but she's a very talented filly. The gamble is 42 days between runs and a very heavy track but I'm happy to stick with her. The obvious dangers are AGARWOOD (5) who did it well winning with authority on her debut and looks to have a future, while REGULATED AFFAIR (2) ran slower time on the same day as Agarwood but maps well from the draw, and 1200m should suit. FEDERAL RESERVE (8) comes out of a hot form race and will take great benefit from that experience. Ray Thomas: AGARWOOD (5) impressed on debut, settling on pace then sprinting clear to win easily. The heavy track conditions are a query, as they are for all her rivals, but she handled the soft 6 track well at her only start. SEQUISTA (3) is a talented filly but she has had that break between runs as you pointed out and that race fitness edge Agarwood has might be the difference. REGULATED AFFAIR (2) shown promise in both starts including his strong last start win so he rates as the main danger to the two fillies. I AM ADONIS (9) is a well-bred colt in the right stable and is one to watch. A very nice win to Agarwood at Warwick Farm! ðŸ'¥ @clarkyhk | @GaiWaterhouse1 | @aus_turf_club — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) May 7, 2025 • â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: I'm with FIRST MISSION (9). He's a three-year-old gelding with upside who did it well winning first-up on a heavy track. He's got a lovely on-pace racing style and is up to the rise in class. FLYING EMBERS (5) was a heavy track winner over this trip last start who has nice credentials. HELLFIRE EXPRESS (1) appears big odds for a horse that will like the conditions and he should be peaking third-up now. DANISH PRINCE (10) is a tough competitor who can't be ruled out at odds. Thomas: TRAFALGAR SQUARE (12) was backed into favouritism at Gosford and had her chance when a close third in similar grade. She's had three runs back from a spell, will be at peak fitness, gets in light after the claim and is good each way value. FLYING EMBERS (5) handles heavy tracks, won well at Kembla last start, and is an improving filly. HELLFIRE EXPRESS (1) has been improved by two runs from a spell and no knock on FIRST MISSION (9) who comes off a dominant first-up Canterbury win. Mission success! ðŸ'� First Mission gives @KPMcEvoy a Canterbury double! @RARacing_ | @aus_turf_club — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) April 30, 2025 • â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: A couple of good looking Highway types here in SHROPSHIRE LAD (4) and SO YOU PENCE (2). They are both promising young horses who can go through the classes. Slight leaning to Shropshire Lad with the back-up on a heavy track and he has soft track experience as well. Other than those two, I thought PLENITUDE (8) had nothing go right when put out of the race at Gosford last start when well tried at odds. ACHESON (5) is two from two on heavy ground and he is third-up with a claim which appeals. Thomas: MY LAST HOORAY (1) has raced well in each of his three runs since resuming, particularly his fast finishing at Warwick Farm to finish a close in a good form race. He handles heavy tracks and is way over the odds. SO YOU PENCE (2) could not have been more impressive at Wagga Wagga last start, streaking away to win with ease. She's unknown on heavy tracks but if she handles the conditions she might be too good again. SHROPSHIRE LAD (4) has plenty of potential and can only improve off his impressive first-up Scone win. CHEMTRAIL (11) is another lightly-raced but promising sprinter coming off a very easy Goulburn win. So You Pence makes it look effortless winning the Country Magic at Wagga! ðŸ°' @AshMorgan6 — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) May 2, 2025 â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: I'm going with the Gosford lead-up form and DUVANA (4). He's proven on heavy tracks with a big maiden win last preparation and he should be in order now after a much improved run second-up. HURSTVILLE ZAGREB (5) has a similar profile and he could easily be unbeaten coming into this race after having excuses last stat. SHE'S A DEALER (3) is in very good hands and she commands plenty of attention here. SIGIRIYA ROCK (6) has had a good grounding and is set to put his best foot forward going up a little in trip now. Thomas: Good race with some promising young staying talent. SHE'S A DEALER (3) comes from New Zealand off two very dominant wins and is on the Queensland Oaks trail. She is obviously held in high regard and she looks a filly of considerable staying talent. SISU SPIRIT (9) handled a bottomless Wyong track to score with ease last start and he's on target to bring up a hat-trick of wins this campaign. HURSTVILLE ZAGREB (5) was first-up at Gosford and just missed but he's also showing staying potential and will be hard to beat. DUVANA (4) comes out of the same Gosford race where he was a close third and he does have wet track form. A winning debut for Hurstville Zagreb at Goulburn! @JohnOSheaRacing — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) February 11, 2025 • â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: I'm keen on AHURIRI (7) here, Ray. She's a young, strong stayer off a good second-up heavy track win. She has won up to 2800m so the step up from 1900m to 2400m poses her no problems at all. The unknown here is the Victorian WUDDZZ (10) who is a tough wet-tracker who appears to be in career-best form. ASGOOODASSOBERGETS (18) looked like a different horse bolting in last start and if you trust him to do that again, he will be hard to beat. GALILAEUS (6) keeps grinding away in his races and is down in grade here. Thomas: I've gone the same way with AHURIRI (7), Ronnie. There was a lot to like about the way she reeled in her rivals at Canterbury second-up in very heavy conditions, the bigger Randwick track suits and she will be even better for that run. The underrated PHILIPSBURG (5) is always over the odds, he's racing well and is very effective on wet tracks. GALILAEUS (6) is a strong staying type but he is unproven on heavy tracks. ST VINCENTS GARDENS (16) is a lightly-raced stayer, down in the weights, handles wet track, and is at each way odds. Ah, hooray for Ahuriri! She wins the TAB Handicap second up at Canterbury with @nashhot in the saddle for @cwallerracing 🙌 @aus_turf_club — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) April 30, 2025 • Ponsonby's giant-killer as Group goal in mind â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: I'm trusting the wet track lead-up form from Gosford with WINNING PROPOSAL (10). She was slow out when first-up behind Lulumon for the new stable, had legitimate excuses, and should come on from that. MISS JENNIFER (13) comes out of the same race where she had no luck at all. She was terrific at big odds there and she does have wet track form. STORM THE RAMPARTS (12) gets his blinkers back on and he presents well second-up. SOUTH OF INDIA (2) is a sharp type resuming, he has very good soft track form, he's a specialist at this trip and he's won two trials. Thomas: WINNING PROPOSAL (10) indicated a return to winning form is imminent when she closed off strongly for third at Gosford, beaten less than a length. She has shown considerable potential at various times during her career and is very effective on wet ground. GRAND LARCENY (4) is an emerging sprinter with three successive wins including his first-up effort at Caulfield. All his form is on top of the ground which is the only downside. STORM THE RAMPARTS (12) finished second, just ahead of Winning Proposal, when resuming and he's also suited by the wet track conditions. MISS JENNIFER (13) was very competitive finishing just behind Storm The Ramparts and Winning Proposal last start and she rates among the main contenders. Lulumon finds the gap and wins at Gosford giving @AlyshaCollett her double! ✌ï¸� — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) May 10, 2025 â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: I like ZAPHOD (8), Ray. He was great first-up going down narrowly to Les Vampires who has since franked the form. MIRACLE SPIN (12) is over the odds. He backs up from Scone where the track might have dried out a little bit too much for him on the second day. Prior to that he was building nicely to another win. QUANTUM CAT (14) was only second-up the other day, he's much fitter and is crying out for the extra distance. JAMBEROO (9) just needs things to fall into place from the draw but he is so genuine I can't leave him out. Thomas: ZAPHOD (8) was first-up at 1800m and made Les Vampires work hard for the win at Randwick. Les Vampire then came out and won the Gosford Gold Cup next start. Zaphod is proven second-up and only needs to get through the very heavy track conditions to prove hard to beat. BEAR ON THE LOOSE (5) was a big drifter on track for the Wagga Cup and after leading for home he faded late to run fifth. He was second-up that day and will improve, particularly as all his winning form has come on soft-heavy tracks. QUANTUM CAT (14) has been scratched a couple of times since his narrow loss to Jamberoo at Hawkesbury but he looks well placed here at the weights. COLLECT YOUR CASH (6) is in great form and will be in this for a long way. I’m so great! 😀 Zaphod gets the win at Eagle Farm for @Leesracing and @mallyon_andrew! @BrisRacingClub — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) December 21, 2024 â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: GREEN FLY (3) is a backmarker who needs a lot to go his way but if he gets that luck he will be charging over the top of this field on his preferred wet track. He will be very hard to beat. HOLLYWOOD HERO (12) did enough first-up and he usually improves with racing. COOL JAKEY (6) is so reliable but he is very short for a horse who is unproven at a mile but he is a very good wet-tracker. RAPT (13) 's run was better than it reads on paper last start as he was on the worst part of the track. Thomas: GREEN FLY (3) showed what he can do when resuming at Rosehill when he flew home to collar COOL JAKEY (6) near the line. Green Fly then got a long way back before finishing off his race strongly when fifth over the Randwick mile course. He likes his races spaced, the course and distance suits, and he's at his best on soft-heavy going. COOL JAKEY (6) is very genuine and will give his backers a great sight again. BOLD MAC (1) showed improvement last start and is a definite chance here, while LAVISH EMPIRE (4) excels on wet tracks. ðŸ'š Green Fly from nowhere nabs Cool Jakey right on the line to give @LaneDamian a Rosehill double! @FreedmanRacing | @OTIRacing | @aus_turf_club — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) April 1, 2025 â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: Another Victorian, HIYAAM PROUD (7), will be hard to beat. He's off a handful of nice jump-outs and he's proven on the soft. The big danger is KING OF ROSEAU (5). He has no recent wins but I'm convinced he is going great this preparation and is looking for 1400m. THUNDERLIPS (4) has had a trial since his second-up win, all his form is on soft tracks and he's a proven weight-carrier. MARGIE'S BOY (11) has had no luck in two runs back and might be worth including at odds. Thomas: I've gone with CRUEL SUMMER (6). He's coming off successive heavy track wins at Canterbury and Kensington, he makes his own luck on speed and is value at double figure odds. SPIONE (18) will need luck just getting into the field but if he does then he will be hard to beat. He was unlucky not to have won at Randwick last start and is an emerging sprinter. KING OF ROSEAU (5) is bursting to win a race and I concede there is a lot to like about HIYAAM PROUD (7). I just came back to a fit, effective wet-tracker in Cruel Summer at the odds. Coasting! It's back-to-back wins for Cruel Summer under a big weight! 😎 @RachelK11 | @perry_racing1 | @aus_turf_club — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) May 14, 2025 • â– â– â– â– â– Dufficy: SHE'S UNUSUAL (10) has a distinct liking for heavy tracks and she caught the eye making up a heap of ground late first-up. She should be improved with that run. The danger is FLYING THINKER (7) who had seven weeks between runs last start and should lift off what was an acceptable effort. DRIFT NET (3) got all the favours winning second-up and she will gain confidence from that win. The map looks kind to her again. MISS KIM KAR (13) is an improving three-year-old who has been eating up the ground in her two runs back and the extra distance suits her. Thomas: SHE'S UNUSUAL (10) flew home to just miss behind Thunderlips when resuming at Kensington. The bigger Randwick track suits She's Unusual, as does the heavy track conditions. She's ready to win. MISS KIM KAR (13) is going really well and there's a lot to like about her chances here. DRIFT NET (3) and HELLBENT ON YOU (5) are both in winning form and they have proven heavy track form.

Randwick Turf Talk: ‘One of the best wet trackers on the program … and he's good odds too'
Randwick Turf Talk: ‘One of the best wet trackers on the program … and he's good odds too'

News.com.au

time22-05-2025

  • Sport
  • News.com.au

Randwick Turf Talk: ‘One of the best wet trackers on the program … and he's good odds too'

Racenet and The Daily Telegraph's Ray Thomas and Shayne O'Cass debate all the key chances at Royal Randwick on Saturday. • PUNT LIKE A PRO: Become a Racenet iQ member and get expert tips – with fully transparent return on investment statistics – from Racenet's team of professional punters at our Pro Tips section. SUBSCRIBE NOW! â– â– â– â– â– Ray Thomas: Shayno, there is some conjecture the sun might come out for the Royal Randwick meeting tomorrow – I've forgotten what it looks like! Have you done your heavy 10 form? Shayne O'Cass: Oh yeah. I know some punters hate heavy tracks but I actually like them. It makes the form easier without being easy. Just go for the proven muddies and hope the track is universally heavy/fair. Thomas: I'm not sure about the wet track conditions for the two-year-olds in the opener but Agarwood was very impressive on debut at Warwick Farm, running faster time than Regulated Affair the same day. Can either trouble Sequista? A very nice win to Agarwood at Warwick Farm! ðŸ'¥ @clarkyhk | @GaiWaterhouse1 | @aus_turf_club — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) May 7, 2025 • O'Cass: I also did the muddie pedigrees RT, doesn't always work out precisely, but if it comes down to who is bred to get through it the best of these, it is Matima. Thomas: This is a good Highway with So You Pence and Shropshire Lad the ones to beat. I'm going to have a save each way on My Last Hooray as he will get through the heavy going. O'Cass: Loved your Frank Cleary piece, he could have nearly won two Slippers had it not been for Burst. Then again, Clarry Conners could have won 5 but for Encounter's swerve – ouch. I am a big Chemtrail man, RT. He's such a naturally talented horse. Thomas: Green Fly is the one to beat in the Charity Challenge Handicap. He's tough to watch as he gets so far back early in his races but he does have a powerful finish and he's a real mudlark. ðŸ'š Green Fly from nowhere nabs Cool Jakey right on the line to give @LaneDamian a Rosehill double! @FreedmanRacing | @OTIRacing | @aus_turf_club — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) April 1, 2025 • 'What else am I going to do?': My Last Hooray no last hurrah for Frank Cleary O'Cass: Concur RT. I am eager to see how Diablo Bolt goes here first-up. He's a good horse. Thomas: Cruel Summer is one of the better we-trackers on the program, he's in great form and he will enjoy the heavy in the second last. He's good odds, too. O'Cass: I'll be on Kazalark unless the market says 'don't'. She's Unusual leads the journey and kicks away for an easy win! @JohnOSheaRacing — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) July 17, 2024

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