Latest news with #Rs880
Express Tribune
4 days ago
- Business
- Express Tribune
PSX makes history on macro boost
Listen to article The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) sustained its bullish streak in the outgoing week, with the benchmark KSE-100 index surging to an all-time high of 121,798 points on June 4, before settling at 121,641, marking a weekly gain of 1,950 points (+1.63%). The rally was fueled by renewed investor confidence following successful budget talks with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Asian Development Bank's (ADB) approval of a $800 million financing package and the government's finalisation of a Rs1.275 trillion circular debt resolution deal with banks – a significant development for the energy sector. Macroeconomic indicators further supported sentiment as petroleum sales jumped 10% year-on-year (YoY) in May 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI)-based inflation eased to 3.5% and the trade deficit narrowed 23% month-on-month (MoM). However, the State Bank's reserves dipped slightly by $7 million, settling at $11.5 billion. On a day-on-day basis, the PSX attempted once again on Monday to decisively breach the key psychological barrier of 120,000 at close but fell short, ending the session at 118,878, reflecting a decline of 813 points. It came due to profit-taking pressure at record levels. On Tuesday, the market soared to an all-time high above 120,000 points as investor optimism grew following the approval of a $800 million loan by the ADB for Pakistan's public finance programme and the government's approval of a Rs880 billion Public Sector Development Programme (PSDP). The benchmark KSE-100 index recorded an increase of 1,573 points and settled at 120,451. The bourse continued its record-breaking run on Wednesday, with the index closing at an all-time high of 121,799, up 1,348 points. Investor sentiment remained upbeat ahead of the federal budget, buoyed by expectations of fiscal relief measures and encouraging macroeconomic indicators. However, the PSX witnessed a volatile session on Thursday, with the benchmark index retreating after hitting record highs a day earlier. Investor sentiment turned cautious due to concerns about stringent conditions linked to a new IMF programme, including the proposed enforcement of agriculture income tax and the IMF's opposition to provincial energy subsidies. The PSX ended the day on a negative note at 121,641, down 158 points. "Building on last week's bullish trend, the market picked up pace, with the KSE-100 reaching an all-time high of 121,798 points on June 4, driven by buying interest across different sectors," Arif Habib Limited (AHL) wrote in its weekly report. Positive sentiment followed Pakistan's successful budget talks with the IMF, alongside the ADB's approval of a $800 million financing package. The government also finalised a Rs1.275 trillion circular debt resolution deal with banks, a significant move for the power sector, AHL said. Meanwhile, during May 2025, petroleum sales rose 10% YoY, inflation came in at 3.5% and the trade deficit narrowed 23% MoM. The State Bank's reserves declined $7 million to $11.5 billion. The market closed at 121,641, depicting a surge of 1,950 points, or 1.63% week-on-week (WoW). Sector-wise, the positive contribution came from commercial banks (1,044 points), power generation and distribution (369 points), fertiliser (206 points), food and personal care products (95 points) and chemicals (60 points). Meanwhile, the sectors that contributed negatively were technology and communication (82 points), automobile assemblers (29 points), miscellaneous (24 points), cable and electrical goods (10 points) and Real Estate Investment Trusts (five points). Scrip-wise, the positive contributors were Pakgen Power (327 points), Bank AL Habib (208 points), NBP (165 points), HBL (160 points) and Fauji Fertiliser Company (158 points). Foreigners' selling was witnessed during the week, which came in at $14.7 million compared to net selling of $5.56 million last week. Average volumes arrived at 660 million shares (-0.2% WoW) while average traded value settled at $98.6 million (up 24.9%), AHL added. Syed Danyal Hussain of JS Global wrote that the KSE-100 index hit an all-time high during the outgoing week, closing at a record level of 121,641 points, up 1.6% WoW. The rally was largely driven by optimism surrounding a potential agreement with the IMF, as indicated by the prime minister, which spurred pre-budget sentiment, he said. The government, following the IMF's endorsement, finalised a Rs1.275 trillion financing agreement with 18 commercial banks to address the power sector's circular debt. On the sectoral front, local cement dispatches rose 9% YoY in May 2025, bringing 11MFY25 volumes to nearly flat levels. Meanwhile, a 26% rise in exports during 11MFY25 lifted total cement sales to a growth of 2%, he added.
Express Tribune
7 days ago
- Business
- Express Tribune
Stocks hit record as ADB loan fuels rally
Foreign funds would divert their liquidity into buying Pakistan's stocks. This would merely increases prices of shares and be profitable for those who already hold stocks. PHOTO: FILE Listen to article The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) on Tuesday soared to an all-time high above 120,000 points as investor optimism grew following a string of positive economic developments. The approval of a $800 million loan by the Asian Development Bank (ADB) for Pakistan's public finance programme and the government's approval of a Rs880 billion Public Sector Development Programme (PSDP) bolstered market sentiment. The KSE-100 index surged to the intra-day high of 1,816 points, before closing the day with an increase of 1,573 points at 120,451. Commercial bank, fertiliser and cyclical stocks led to broad-based gains while higher trading volumes, which reached 578 million shares, reflected renewed investor confidence. According to Ahsan Mehanti of Arif Habib Corp, stocks closed at an all-time high, led by across-the-board activity, after the ADB approved a $800 million financing package. Additionally, the government set the FY26 growth target at 4.2% and approved Rs880 billion for the PSDP. Mehanti added that budgetary relief was expected to be announced for oil refineries, real estate and the agricultural sector. This, alongside the rupee appreciation, played the role of catalyst in bullish close at the PSX. At the end of trading, the benchmark KSE-100 index recorded an increase of 1,573.07 points, or 1.32%, and settled at 120,450.87. In its review, Topline Securities commented that bulls maintained their firm grip on the market, propelling the KSE-100 index to a record close at 120,451, supported by renewed investor confidence and an improving macroeconomic outlook. The index surged to the intra-day high of 1,816 points as momentum picked up sharply after news broke that the ADB had approved a $800 million loan under Pakistan's public finance programme – a major vote of confidence in the country's economic reform trajectory. Adding fuel to the rally, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) gave its nod to Pakistan's budget proposals, reinforcing hopes of continued fiscal discipline and policy continuity, Topline said. Driving Tuesday's rally were key index movers including Fauji Fertiliser Company, HBL, Engro Fertilisers, Lucky Cement and Bank AL Habib, which contributed 691 points, it added. In its commentary, Arif Habib Limited (AHL) remarked that the KSE-100 index unlocked 120,000 points at close on Monday, which bodes well for further upside during the remaining week. Some 65 shares rose while 31 fell, with Fauji Fertiliser Company (+1.79%), HBL (+5.19%) and Engro Fertilisers (+3.56%) contributing the most to index gains. On the flip side, Systems Limited (-0.84%), Service Industries (-1.55%) and Haleon Pakistan (-2.32%) were the biggest drags, it said. AHL also mentioned that the ADB approved $800 million for Pakistan's public finance programme aimed at strengthening fiscal sustainability and improving financial management. Meanwhile, the anti-trust body fined fertiliser makers for fixing a higher sale price, which adversely impacted farmers. "Holding 120k will allow the KSE-100 to extend gains towards 125k," it projected. JS Global analyst Mubashir Anis Naviwala said that the benchmark index surged throughout the day and reached a historic high at 120,451 points. Buying interest was witnessed across commercial banks, fertiliser and cyclical stocks, driving broad-based gains, he said. "With the index at the all-time high, a breakout could lead to fresh momentum and attract further institutional participation. We recommend investors to capitalise on this and invest in fundamentally strong stocks in the fertiliser, cement and banking sectors on any intra-day pullbacks," Naviwala stated. Overall trading volumes increased to 578.2 million shares compared with Monday's tally of 497.9 million. The value of shares traded was Rs26.8 billion. Shares of 467 companies were traded. Of these, 232 stocks closed higher, 187 fell and 48 remained unchanged. K-Electric was the volume leader with trading in 144.6 million shares, gaining Rs0.23 to close at Rs5.32. It was followed by Faysal Bank with 26.7 million shares, gaining Rs4.89 to close at Rs53.77 and Invest Bank with 25.5 million shares, gaining Rs0.04 to close at Rs2.35. Foreign investors sold shares worth Rs956 million, the National Clearing Company reported.
Express Tribune
7 days ago
- Business
- Express Tribune
Buoyed projections?
Listen to article The government's projection of an exalted growth rate of 4.2% for the next fiscal year has made jaws drop. On what premise it is so confident is hard to guess, but the ground realities suggest a dismal picture. The beleaguered dispensation is pinning its hopes on tight monetary control and effective management of the economy – but that is no small task. All the projected targets for the ongoing fiscal year were missed as the economy achieved 2.68% growth as against the projected 3.6%. The agrarian sector merely posted 0.56% growth and the country is now on the verge of importing grains. So are the pathetic statistics with industry and other plum portfolios. The euphoria seems based on the sole achievement that the economy has swelled to $411 billion with a per capita income rise to $1,824. Likewise, the services, transport, storage, construction, information and communication sectors have managed moderate upward trends. All this seems to have encouraged the government to propose new growth targets of 4.4% in commodity-producing sectors; 4.5% in agriculture sector, 3.5% in LSM and 3% in mining. Inflation is being seen at 7.5%. But there is a surprising squeeze too that the government is eyeing: the construction sector which grew by 6.6% this year is targeted at only 3.8%. So is the case with electricity, gas and water supply sectors that are nourished by 29% this year, but are projected to grow by only 3.5% next year. This is untenable and what crosscurrents they will leave behind is another enigma of sorts. On the international front, there is a tight-walking for the government as the IMF is too inquisitive, having almost torpedoed the plans on crypto, and insisting on tax collection to be raised to Rs16 trillion. On the other hand, the Planning Commission says it has only left with Rs880 billion and only high-priority developmental projects will see the light of the day. The rare hope-line is the largesse of the ABD which has doled out $800 million to strengthen fiscal sustainability and improve public financial management programmes.
