Latest news with #SIR.The
The Hindu
4 days ago
- Politics
- The Hindu
Analysis of Bihar SIR electoral rolls hints at higher voter deletions in Muslim-majority districts
On August 1, the draft electoral rolls for Bihar, following the completion of the Special Intensive Revision (SIR) exercise, were released. A total of 7.24 crore electors are part of the latest electoral rolls — over 56 lakh electors fewer than the rolls prepared in January this year. According to the Election Commission of India, the voters who are not part of the August list have died, or are registered in two locations, or have permanently migrated out of Bihar, or are untraceable. A district-wise analysis of the August electoral rolls shows that there was a tendency of a higher number of deletions from the rolls in districts with larger Muslim populations (2011 Census). The chart below plots the difference in the number of electors in the August rolls compared to the January rolls, on the horizontal axis. On the vertical axis, we have plotted the districts' Muslim population share. In essence, we have plotted Muslim population against deletion in the chart shows a moderate positive correlation (Pearson correlation r ≈ 0.43), indicating that districts with a higher Muslim population generally saw more deletions. But confirming whether Muslims were disproportionately deleted in the revised rolls calls for a more granular analysis. On the other hand, there is negative correlation (r ≈ -0.46) in the change in electors compared to the share of Scheduled Caste (SC) population, district-wise. That is, districts with a higher SC population tend to have lower number of deletions. However, the earlier note of caution applies to this case as well. The chart below plots the difference in the numbers of electors on the horizontal axis and the district's share of SC population. A district-wise analysis of the August electoral rolls also shows that, in general, the higher the possible number of out-migrants from a district, the more the number of deletions from the roll. This confirms one of the ECI's reasons for the deletions — out-migration. We used female turnout relative to the electorate in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections as a proxy to measure district-wise out-migration in Bihar. We did this because, in 2024, Bihar stood out among the States that had a higher female-to-male voters ratio, despite having a lower female-to-male electorate ratio. The chart shows the ratio of male to female electors against the ratio of female-to-male voters (turnout). This means that in Bihar, more women than men turned out to vote in absolute numbers even though there were more registered male electors. While there might be other factors explaining this gendered variation, the difference suggests that fewer men were available to vote despite being registered. Historically, Bihar is one of the largest sources of out-migration, which could explain the lower male turnout. The chart below plots the district-wise 'out-migration index' on the vertical axis. This compares women's share among all voters (male plus female) to their share among all electors in the 2020 polls. A positive value indicates more women voters turned out to vote in comparison to men despite higher male elector registration numbers. This is what we use as a proxy for higher out-migration. The chart also plots the difference in the number of electors on the horizontal axis. In essence, we plot out-migration against deletion in the SIR. Note: Out-migration index for this chart was calculated using data from 2020 polls as gender-wise voting in Assembly seats was not available in 2024 The trend line shows that there is a moderate positive correlation (r ≈ 0.40). This means that in districts with higher out-migration, there seems to be more deletion of electors. However, this does not mean that deletions occurred exactly along gender lines, to remove possible male migrants from the rolls. In a subsequent Data Point, we will examine the deletions further in light of these findings. Source: Election Commission of India, 2011 Census sambavi.p@ vignesh.r@
Time of India
6 days ago
- Politics
- Time of India
INDIA bloc leaders to meet, stage protest over voter list revision
Live Events (You can now subscribe to our (You can now subscribe to our Economic Times WhatsApp channel New Delhi: The leaders of the INDIA bloc will meet on Tuesday at 10 am in the Parliament Library Building, in the office of the Leader of Opposition in Rajya the meeting, MPs of the alliance will stage a protest at 10:30 am in front of Makar Dwar in Parliament against the Special Intensive Revision (SIR) of electoral rolls in Bihar. The protest will be held under the slogan, 'our vote, our right, our fight'.Meanwhile, a crucial meeting of the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) Parliamentary Party is scheduled to take place today at the Parliament Library Building (PLB).The meeting will be attended by NDA members from the Lok Sabha and the Rajya meeting comes amid a stalemate in Parliament over the opposition demand for discussion on Special Intensive Revision (SIR) of electoral rolls in Bihar. The opposition parties are demanding the withdrawal of Lok Sabha could not take up the National Sports Governance Bill, 2025 and the National Anti-Doping (Amendment) Bill, 2025, for discussion amid opposition opposition protests, Parliamentary Affairs Minister Kiren Rijiju said that following an all-party meeting, time had been allotted in the BAC meeting to discuss the National Sports Bill and the Anti-doping Bill. He urged members not to waste the time of the House and condemned their Sports Minister Mansukh Mandaivya said that bills are important and urged opposition members to allow MP Jagdambika Pal, who was in the Chair, also urged members to allow discussion to proceed. He said since the monsoon session began, the House has not passed any later said that the opposition has continued with disrupting proceedings even as the third week of the monsoon session has Lok Sabha and Rajya Sabha have witnessed repeated adjournments over the opposition's insistence on a demand for discussion on the SIR in poll-bound had said last week that the government is ready to hold discussions on any issue as per rules, but there cannot be a discussion on Special Intensive Revision (SIR) as it is a process undertaken by a constitutional body, the Election Commission of India . "I want to clarify that the government is ready to hold discussions on any issue as per rules. There cannot be a discussion on SIR because it is a process undertaken by a Constitutional body, and it is not happening for the first time..." Rijiju told ANI.
Economic Times
01-08-2025
- Politics
- Economic Times
Lok Sabha adjourned again, opposition writes to Speaker for discussion on SIR
The Lok Sabha faced disruptions due to Opposition protests. The protests were against the Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls in Bihar. Opposition leaders demanded an urgent discussion with the Speaker. They expressed concerns about transparency and timing. The House was adjourned twice amidst the uproar. A bill regarding Scheduled Tribes in Goa was also listed. Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads The Opposition 's relentless protest against the Special Intensive Revision (SIR) of electoral rolls in Bihar paralysed the functioning of the Lok Sabha yet again on Friday, with two forced adjournments, even as the floor leaders of Opposition parties wrote a letter to Speaker Om Birla demanding an urgent discussion on the protest forced the first adjournment till 2pm. When the House reassembled, the Opposition members resumed their sloganeering. They carried placards and walked into the well of the House. Krishna Prasad Tenneti, who was presiding over the proceedings, warned the members against carrying placards and asked them to return to their seats. Papers were laid on the table and matters of public importance under Rule 377 were submitted amid the din. Tenneti repeatedly appealed to the Opposition to allow the House to function. The Readjustment of Representation of Scheduled Tribes in Assembly Constituencies of the State of Goa Bill 2024 was listed for consideration and passing. Minister Arjun Ram Meghwal accused the Opposition of being House was adjourned for the day within nine their letter to Birla, the Opposition floor leaders said, "This (SIR in Bihar) is unprecedented. ECI has indicated that similar exercises will soon be undertaken across the country. Given the widespread apprehension about the transparency, timing, and intent of this process, the matter requires the urgent attention of the House." The signatories to the letter included the leader of Opposition Rahul Gandhi, Gaurav Gogoi (Congress), TR Baalu (DMK), Supriya Sule (NCP-SP), Lalji Verma (SP), Kakoli Ghose Dastidar (AITC), Arvind Savant (SS-UBT), Abhay Kumar (RJD) and N K Premachandran (RSP).
