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Asia Times
4 days ago
- Politics
- Asia Times
3 things to watch ahead of June 3 South Korea presidential vote
On June 3, 2025, South Koreans will head to the polls to vote for a new president. The election caps a particularly turbulent several months in the country's politics that began with right-wing President Yoon Suk Yeol's declaration of martial law last December. The opposition-controlled National Assembly swiftly moved to rescind Yoon's order and then impeached him just a week later. After months of subsequent trial, during which South Korean society was polarized by public rallies supporting and opposing impeachment, the South Korean Constitutional Court unanimously upheld the impeachment in April. As momentous as the period has been for South Korean politics, it feels like déjà vu from 2017, when a snap presidential election was held following the impeachment of then-President Park Geun-hye. As with that election, there is widespread anticipation that the opposition Democratic Party will win the presidency this time. However, during the two-month-long campaign season, the race has narrowed to a tighter-than-expected contest among the three leading presidential candidates. Here are three key things to look out for as South Koreans head to the polls: As the main opposition party that successfully impeached Yoon, the center-left Democratic Party has been the favorite to come ahead in the election. The party — together with a small grouping of other progressive-leaning parties — quickly unified around Democratic Party leader Lee Jae-myung. Polls have consistently shown Lee in the lead, though his support has lagged behind public support for Yoon's impeachment. This suggests that even among voters who favor political change, some remain ambivalent about the prospect of a Lee's presidency. In response, Lee's campaign has sought to rebrand his political image. Lee Jae-myung, leader of South Korea's main opposition Democratic Party. Photo: Paul.J / Xinhua Generally regarded as a progressive political figure in favor of policies including a universal basic income and a pro-engagement foreign policy toward North Korea and China, Lee has shifted rightward, recruiting conservative political figures into his campaign and promising pragmatic, business-friendly economic policies. Though, in the past, Lee has made comments critical of past US foreign policy and appeared to suggest South Korea's strategic neutrality in the great power rivalry between Washington and Beijing, in this campaign Lee has reaffirmed his support for the US-South Korea alliance. However, he has continued to encounter skepticism about the authenticity of his political moderation. Lee also faces vulnerabilities due to his ongoing legal trials. In October 2024, a district court convicted him of violating election law by knowingly giving a false statement during a debate and suspended his eligibility for presidential candidacy for five years. Then, in March, an appeals court acquitted Lee, freeing him to campaign in the snap election. However, at the beginning of May, South Korea's Supreme Court overturned the ruling, remanding the case back to the appeals court. With the appeals court postponing the retrial until after the presidential election, Lee's campaign has avoided the risk of being barred from the race. However, controversy continues over whether Lee's trials would be suspended if he wins the presidency. Lee's campaign has asserted that a sitting president cannot be criminally prosecuted, except in cases of treason. But the South Korean Constitution's ambiguity about whether such immunity applies to ongoing trials involving presidential candidates creates political uncertainty for the Democratic Party leader. The party of the now-impeached Yoon, the right-wing People's Power Party, has struggled to thread the needle of keeping Yoon's supporters on board, while reconciling with the majority of South Korean voters who supported his impeachment. This attempt to move on from Yoon's contested legacy was reflected in a bitterly contested party primary to pick his successor. Kim Moon-soo, the former labor minister in Yoon's government who opposed impeachment, was nominated and eventually secured the spot, but not before overcoming an internal upheaval by party leaders who were skeptical of Kim's competitiveness in the general election. Facing an uphill battle, Kim has sought to reframe the election narrative by capitalizing on voters' reservations about Lee. Contrasting himself with Lee's legal allegations, Kim portrayed himself as an uncorrupt, principled candidate with a record as a labor activist during South Korea's military rule in the 1970s and 1980s. However, Kim has continued to struggle to expand support among moderate voters who have criticized his political evolution from a renowned progressive activist to a hard-right political figure with close political ties to the disgraced Yoon. Kim Moon-soo, presidential candidate of the People's Power party. Photo: Korea Herald Though Yoon eventually left the PPP voluntarily, Kim's campaign has continued to walk a tightrope in distancing itself from the impeached former president without alienating Yoon's supporters. Kim's campaign strategy also reflects this tension. In an appeal to swing voters, Kim has pledged the development of regional provinces, increased child care and housing support for young families, and a constitutional amendment to limit presidential powers. But he has continued to keep pro-Yoon figures in his campaign team and has courted support from another impeached president, Park Geun-hye, who retains some support among core conservative voters. Kim's strategy appears to have partially been successful in closing the gap with Lee, though polls show Kim continues to lag by 5 to 10 percentage points. The public dissatisfaction with both major-party candidates has left an opening for the center-right New Reform Party's presidential candidate, Lee Jun-seok. Lee, a 40-year-old legislator, previously served as the PPP's youngest party leader before being ousted by Yoon's faction and subsequently founding his own splinter party. In the presidential race, he has presented himself as the only candidate not tainted by legal liabilities or ties to the impeached president. Lee Jun-seok, a third-party candidate for president who has a significant following. Photo: Wikipedia Lee Jun-seok has sought to burnish his image as a center-right reformer who is committed to conservative policies but rejects the insulated, outdated political culture of the conservative political establishment. Supporting Yoon's impeachment, Lee has also condemned Yoon's unconstitutional abuse of martial law and espousal of election fraud conspiracy theory. During the presidential TV debates, Lee Jun-seok has persistently criticized the two establishment party candidates as unqualified to lead the country. That, along with policies intended to address the concerns of the younger generation, has helped increase his support to around 10% – a meaningful achievement for a third-party candidate, as South Korean law guarantees campaign reimbursement for candidates who receive over 10% of votes. South Korea's election law bans the release of public poll results during the six days leading up to an election. The final batch released before the ban period indicates that though Lee Jae-myung maintains a lead, his support has stagnated in the high 40s. Two factors may impact the final election outcome: First, Kim's campaign has urged Lee Jun-seok to form a unity ticket, citing polls that show the combination of their support equals or even surpasses Lee Jae-myung's. However, Lee Jun-seok has rejected such overtures. Even if he suspends his campaign to endorse Kim, it is unclear whether his supporters would switch their support. Should Lee Jun-seok stay in the race, whether his campaign draws more votes from Lee Jae-myung or Kim could affect the election outcome. The second factor is whether voters are ultimately more motivated by retrospective or prospective judgments. Many South Koreans are receptive to Lee Jae-myung's view that the political party responsible for what many see as Yoon's attempted self-coup should face electoral judgment. However, many also are moved by Kim and Lee Jun-seok's warning that Lee Jae-myung's presidency, despite the latter's reassurances, could result in radical economic and political changes, empowered by the Democratic Party's unchecked control of the executive and legislative branches. For many of the remaining swing voters, it represents a dilemma of choosing the 'lesser of two evils.' Whether they prioritize anger over the past presidency or apprehension of the prospective future president may decide the election. Jong Eun Lee is an assistant professor at North Greenville University. This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.
Yahoo
4 days ago
- Business
- Yahoo
3 things to watch as South Koreans head toward the polls following turbulent political period
On June 3, 2025, South Koreans will head to the polls to vote for a new president. The election caps a particularly turbulent several months in the country's politics that began with right-wing President Yoon Suk Yeol declaration of martial law last December. The opposition-controlled National Assembly swiftly moved to rescind Yoon's order and then impeached him just a week later. After months of subsequent trial, during which South Korean society was polarized by public rallies supporting and opposing impeachment, the South Korean Constitutional Court unanimously upheld the impeachment in April. As momentous as the period has been for South Korean politics, it feels like déjà vu from 2017, when a snap presidential election was held following the impeachment of then-President Park Geun-hye. As with that election, there is widespread anticipation that the opposition Democratic Party will win the presidency this time. However, during the two-month-long campaign season, the race has narrowed to a tighter-than-expected contest among the three leading presidential candidates. Here are three key things to look out for as South Koreans head to the polls: As the main opposition party that successfully impeached Yoon, the center-left Democratic Party has been the favorite to come ahead in the election. The party — together with a small grouping of other progressive-leaning parties — quickly unified around Democratic Party leader Lee Jae-myung. Polls have consistently shown Lee in the lead, though his support has lagged behind public support for Yoon's impeachment. This suggests that even among voters who favor political change, some remain ambivalent about the prospect of a Lee's presidency. In response, Lee's campaign has sought to rebrand his political image. Generally regarded as a progressive political figure in favor of policies including a universal basic income and a pro-engagement foreign policy toward North Korea and China, Lee has shifted rightward, recruiting conservative political figures into his campaign and promising pragmatic, business-friendly economic policies. Though, in the past, Lee has made comments critical of past U.S. foreign policy and appeared to suggest South Korea's strategic neutrality in the great power rivalry between Washington and Beijing, in this campaign Lee has reaffirmed his support behind the U.S.-South Korea alliance. However, he has continued to encounter skepticism about the authenticity of his political moderation. Lee also faces vulnerabilities due to his ongoing legal trials. In October 2024, a district court convicted him of violating election law by knowingly giving a false statement during a debate and suspended his eligibility for presidential candidacy for five years. Then, in March, an appeals court acquitted Lee, freeing him to campaign in the snap election. However, at the beginning of May, South Korea's Supreme Court overturned the ruling, remanding the case back to the appeals court. With the appeals court postponing the retrial until after the presidential election, Lee's campaign has avoided the risk of being barred from the race. However, controversy continues over whether Lee's trials would be suspended if he wins the presidency. Lee's campaign has asserted that a sitting president cannot be criminally prosecuted, except in cases of treason. But the South Korean Constitution's ambiguity about whether such immunity applies to ongoing trials involving presidential candidates creates political uncertainty for the Democratic Party leader. The party of the now-impeached Yoon, the right-wing People's Power Party, has struggled to thread the needle of keeping Yoon's supporters on board, while reconciling with the majority of South Korean voters who supported his impeachment. This attempt to move on from Yoon's contested legacy was reflected in a bitterly contested party primary to pick his successor. Kim Moon-soo, the former labor minister in Yoon's government who opposed impeachment, was nominated and eventually secured the spot, but not before overcoming an internal upheaval by party leaders who were skeptical of Kim's competitiveness in the general election. Facing an uphill battle, Kim has sought to reframe the election narrative by capitalizing on voters' reservations about Lee. Contrasting himself with Lee's legal allegations, Kim portrayed himself as an uncorrupt, principled candidate with a record as a labor activist during South Korea's military rule in the 1970s and 1980s. However, Kim has continued to struggle to expand support among moderate voters who have criticized his political evolution from a renowned progressive activist to a hard-right political figure with close political ties to the disgraced Yoon. Though Yoon eventually left the PPP voluntarily, Kim's campaign has continued to walk a tightrope in distancing itself from the impeached former president without alienating Yoon's supporters. Kim's campaign strategy also reflects this tension. In an appeal to swing voters, Kim has pledged the development of regional provinces, increased child care and housing support for young families, and a constitutional amendment to limit presidential powers. But he has continued to keep pro-Yoon figures in his campaign team and has courted support from another impeached president, Park Geun-hye, who retains some support among core conservative voters. Kim's strategy appears to have partially been successful in closing the gap with Lee, though polls show Kim continues to lag by 5 to 10 percentage points. The public dissatisfaction with both major-party candidates has left an opening for the center-right New Reform Party's presidential candidate, Lee Jun-seok. Lee, a 40-year-old legislator, previously served as the PPP's youngest party leader before being ousted by Yoon's faction and subsequently founding his own splinter party. In the presidential race, he has presented himself as the only candidate not tainted by legal liabilities or ties to the impeached president. Lee Jun-seok has sought to burnish his image as a center-right reformer who is committed to conservative policies but rejects the insulated, outdated political culture of the conservative political establishment. Supporting Yoon's impeachment, Lee has also condemned Yoon's unconstitutional abuse of martial law and espousal of election fraud conspiracy theory. During the presidential TV debates, Lee Jun-seok has persistently criticized the two establishment party candidates as unqualified to lead the country. That, and policies intended to address the concerns of the younger generation, has helped increase his support to around 10% – a meaningful achievement for a third-party candidate, as South Korean law guarantees a campaign reimbursement for candidates who receive over 10% of votes. South Korea's election law bans the release of public poll results during the six days leading up to an election. The final batch released before the ban period indicates that though Lee Jae-myung maintains a lead, his support has stagnated in the high 40s. Two factors may impact the final election outcome: First, Kim's campaign has urged Lee Jun-seok to form a unity ticket, citing polls that show the combination of their support equals or even surpasses Lee Jae-myung's. However, Lee Jun-seok has rejected such overtures. Even if he suspends his campaign to endorse Kim, it is unclear whether his supporters would switch their support. Should Lee Jun-seok stay in the race, whether his campaign draws more votes from Lee Jae-myung or Kim could affect the election outcome. The second factor is whether voters are ultimately more motivated by retrospective or prospective judgments. Many South Koreans are receptive to Lee Jae-myung's view that the political party responsible for what many see as Yoon's attempted self-coup should face electoral judgment. However, many also resonate with Kim and Lee Jun-seok's warning that Lee Jae-myung's presidency, despite the latter's reassurances, could result in radical economic and political changes, empowered by the Democratic Party's unchecked control of the executive and legislative branches. For many of the remaining swing voters, it represents a dilemma of choosing the 'lesser of two evils.' Whether they prioritize anger over the past presidency or apprehension of the prospective future president may decide the election. This article is republished from The Conversation, a nonprofit, independent news organization bringing you facts and trustworthy analysis to help you make sense of our complex world. It was written by: Jong Eun Lee, North Greenville University Read more: South Korea has the lowest fertility rate in the world – and that doesn't bode well for its economy President Yoon is lauded in West for embracing Japan − in South Korea it fits a conservative agenda that is proving less popular South Korea shook a presidential power grab – failure to impeach now risks damaging democracy Jong Eun Lee does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.


The Star
23-04-2025
- Politics
- The Star
South Korea's Cardinal Lazarus You speculated as possible contender for pope
Cardinal Lazarus You Heung-sik. - Photo: Courtesy of You SEOUL: In the coming days, cardinals under the age of 80 will assemble at the Vatican in Rome to elect a new leader of the Catholic Church to follow the late Pope Francis. Some say a South Korean cardinal has a shot, though much slimmer than other contenders. Cardinal Lazarus You Heung-sik, the former bishop of Daejeon who was appointed the Vatican's prefect of the Congregation for the Clergy in 2021, is one of the 135 cardinals who can vote in the papal election, set to take place between 15 and 20 days after Francis' passing Monday (April 21). The 74-year-old You, the only Korean with a ballot, has built a reputation as an insider since taking charge at the Vatican office responsible for the world's 400,000 Catholic priests. You accompanied Francis on his five-day visit to South Korea in August 2014, the first of several visits to Asia, which elevated his standing within the Catholic Church. You also speaks fluent Italian. That You hails from Asia is seen as a plus. The region is increasingly seen as the future of the Catholic Church, alongside Africa. The two regions lead the world in the number of priests and are showing sustained growth, compared to declines in Europe and the Americas. A local group of Catholic bishops reported in 2023 that South Korea had some 6 million Catholics, representing 11.3 per cent of the total population, or the third largest after Protestants at 20 per cent and Buddhists at 16 per cent. About 50 per cent of the people claimed to be nonreligious. And that year alone saw some 51,300 new Catholics, a 24 per cent on-year increase. One Catholic official opined that the Church leadership under Francis, which saw a more diverse array of bishops following the pope's welcoming pastoral approach, could have played a role in the rising number of new Catholics. The official, speaking anonymously citing protocol, said of You's chances at the papacy, 'The conclave is an open contest and more so this year, which means nothing is really fixed.' You also shares Francis' long-standing commitment to advancing causes of the marginalised, from time to time speaking out on issues some deem politically sensitive. On March 21, You made a rare public statement asking the South Korean Constitutional Court for a speedy decision on the removal or reinstatement of then-President Yoon Suk Yeol, who was impeached by parliament for his martial law declaration on Dec 3. 'Out of utmost urgency, I implore the court,' You said. 'There is no reason to prolong making a ruling if we heed our innermost voices of justice and conscience.' 'Pope Francis said there is no neutrality in pain. Likewise, there is no neutrality in justice. Let the Constitution speak for itself,' You added. The statement was made in response to calls from many in and outside South Korea concerned about the turmoil facing the country, according to You. - The Korea Herald/ANN


Korea Herald
23-04-2025
- Politics
- Korea Herald
Cardinal Lazarus You speculated as possible contender for pope
You, overseeing priests from Vatican, is only Korean who can vote in pope election without front-runner In the coming days, cardinals under the age of 80 will assemble at the Vatican in Rome to elect a new leader of the Catholic Church to follow the late Pope Francis. Some say a South Korean cardinal has a shot, though much slimmer than other contenders. Cardinal Lazarus You Heung-sik, the former bishop of Daejeon who was appointed the Vatican's prefect of the Congregation for the Clergy in 2021, is one of the 135 cardinals who can vote in the papal election, set to take place between 15 and 20 days after Francis' passing Monday. The 74-year-old You, the only Korean with a ballot, has built a reputation as an insider since taking charge at the Vatican office responsible for the world's 400,000 Catholic priests. You accompanied Francis on his five-day visit to South Korea in August 2014, the first of several visits to Asia, which elevated his standing within the Catholic Church. You also speaks fluent Italian. That You hails from Asia is seen as a plus. The region is increasingly seen as the future of the Catholic Church, alongside Africa. The two regions lead the world in the number of priests and are showing sustained growth, compared to declines in Europe and the Americas. A local group of Catholic bishops reported in 2023 that South Korea had some 6 million Catholics, representing 11.3 percent of the total population, or the third largest after Protestants at 20 percent and Buddhists at 16 percent. About 50 percent of the people claimed to be nonreligious. And that year alone saw some 51,300 new Catholics, a 24 percent on-year increase. One Catholic official opined that the Church leadership under Francis, which saw a more diverse array of bishops following the pope's welcoming pastoral approach, could have played a role in the rising number of new Catholics. The official, speaking anonymously citing protocol, said of You's chances at the papacy, 'The conclave is an open contest and more so this year, which means nothing is really fixed.' You also shares Francis' long-standing commitment to advancing causes of the marginalized, from time to time speaking out on issues some deem politically sensitive. On March 21, You made a rare public statement asking the South Korean Constitutional Court for a speedy decision on the removal or reinstatement of then-President Yoon Suk Yeol, who was impeached by parliament for his martial law declaration on Dec. 3. 'Out of utmost urgency, I implore the court,' You said. 'There is no reason to prolong making a ruling if we heed our innermost voices of justice and conscience.' 'Pope Francis said there is no neutrality in pain. Likewise, there is no neutrality in justice. Let the Constitution speak for itself,' You added. The statement was made in response to calls from many in and outside South Korea concerned about the turmoil facing the country, according to You.


Korea Herald
22-04-2025
- Politics
- Korea Herald
Cardinal Lazarus You speculated as a possible contender for pope
In the coming days, cardinals under the age of 80 will assemble at the Vatican in Rome to elect a new leader of the Catholic Church to follow the late Pope Francis. Some say a South Korean cardinal has a shot, though much slimmer than other contenders. Cardinal Lazarus You Heung-sik, the former bishop of Daejeon who was appointed the Vatican's prefect of the Congregation for the Clergy in 2021, is one of the 135 cardinals who can vote in the papal election, set to take place between 15 and 20 days after Francis' passing Monday. The 74-year-old You, the only Korean with a ballot, has built a reputation as an insider since taking charge at the Vatican office responsible for the world's 400,000 Catholic priests. You accompanied Francis on his five-day visit to South Korea in August 2014, the first of several visits to Asia, which elevated his standing within the Catholic Church. You also notably speaks fluent Italian. That You hails from Asia is seen as a plus. The region is increasingly seen as the future of the Catholic Church, alongside Africa. The two regions lead the world in the number of priests and are showing sustained growth, compared to declines in Europe and the Americas. In 2023, South Korea had some 6 million Catholics, representing 11.3 percent of the total population. 'The conclave is an open contest and more so this year, which means nothing is really fixed,' a Catholic official said of You's chances at the papacy, declining to be identified, citing protocol. You also shares Francis' long-standing commitment to advancing causes of the marginalized, from time to time speaking out on issues some deem politically sensitive. On March 21, You made a rare public statement asking the South Korean Constitutional Court for a speedy decision on the removal or reinstatement of then-President Yoon Suk Yeol, who was impeached by parliament for his martial law declaration on Dec. 3, 2024. 'Out of utmost urgency, I implore the court,' You said. 'There is no reason to prolong making a ruling if we heed our innermost voices of justice and conscience.' 'Pope Francis said there is no neutrality in pain. Likewise, there is no neutrality in justice. Let the Constitution speak for itself,' You added. The statement was made in response to calls from many in and outside South Korea concerned about the turmoil the country was facing, according to You.