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A ‘Blue Wave' is building. It won't look the same as the last one.
A ‘Blue Wave' is building. It won't look the same as the last one.

Washington Post

time27-05-2025

  • Business
  • Washington Post

A ‘Blue Wave' is building. It won't look the same as the last one.

Harrison Lavelle and Leon Sit are partners at Split Ticket, an election data analysis firm. Midterm elections usually give the party out of the White House a chance to make big gains. This was the case in 2018, during President Donald Trump's first term, when Democrats made significant gains in the House and flipped the chamber. With Democrats already picking up some momentum in early midterm polling, they could be poised for another strong performance in 2026.

Voters are not happy with Trump's trade war
Voters are not happy with Trump's trade war

Washington Post

time14-04-2025

  • Business
  • Washington Post

Voters are not happy with Trump's trade war

Leon Sit and Max McCall are partners at Split Ticket, an election data analysis firm. Donald Trump rode a wave of economic discontent back into the White House, with nostalgia for the pre-covid economy guiding voters to reelect the president who presided over that time period. Trump's voters entrusted him to work to assuage cost-of-living concerns and supercharge the national economy. But just three months into his second presidential term, Trump's promised protectionist push has opened cracks in the Republican coalition — and could prove to transform economic issues from Republicans' spearpoint into their Achilles' heel.

What the data says about the electability of women and minorities
What the data says about the electability of women and minorities

Washington Post

time25-03-2025

  • Politics
  • Washington Post

What the data says about the electability of women and minorities

Lakshya Jain is the chief executive and co-founder of Split Ticket, an election data analysis firm. Harrison Lavelle is president of Split Ticket and a political analyst at the College of New Jersey. Two women, Hillary Clinton and Kamala Harris, have now lost elections to Donald Trump. Many prominent Democrats worry that the candidates' gender was part of the reason — that the country will not elect a female president. Recent research suggests that Democratic primary voters share this anxiety: They tend to view White men as more electable than women and minority candidates.

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