Latest news with #Teal-held
7NEWS
07-05-2025
- Politics
- 7NEWS
Teal incumbent Zoe Daniel who burst into a ‘victory dance' on election night loses seat to Liberal challenger Tim Wilson
It was the ultimate case of 'don't count your chickens before they hatch' on election night. Teal independent Zoe Daniel declared an early win to retain her Melbourne seat of Goldstein on Saturday evening, throwing punches into the air as she thanked supporters for her 'extraordinary victory'. Daniel declared 'hope wins' as she did an exuberant jig onstage, as the song Titanium by David Guetta rang out. However, three days later, Daniel looks to have lost her seat to Liberal challenger Tim Wilson. The ABC reports Wilson is ahead by 684 votes, with a strong trend towards him in postal votes. 7NEWS has also projected Wilson will take the seat, with 51,079 votes compared with Daniel's 50,395 votes. More than 80 per cent of the vote has been counted. A similar story is playing out in the seats of Kooyong in Victoria and Bradfield, in Sydney where the gap is narrowing for Teal incumbent candidates Monique Ryan and Nicolette Boele. Wilson is the first Liberal to win back a Teal-held seat after a number of independents won formerly blue-ribbon Liberal seats at the 2022 election. Employment Minister Murray Watt and journalist Joe Hildebrand spoke about the election result with Sunrise host Nat Barr on Wednesday. 'When do you actually claim victory? Obviously, Zoe did, but tell us the process?' Barr asked. Watt replied: 'It's always a bit of a judgment call, Nat. I guess politics is all about timing, isn't it? You can get these judgment calls wrong. 'Whether we're independents (or belong to) parties, we all have people crunching the numbers throughout the night, and in the days following, to try to work out where preferences are going to go and things like that. 'In these really close seats it can be really hard to work out what is going to happen. 'I had one term in the state parliament here in Queensland and, when I first won, I only narrowly got there and a couple of days after election day they found 100 of my votes had been given to the other candidate. 'Once they got moved back to me it changed the result. It can be really fine calls. 'But if Zoe does go down, I obviously feel for her. I've lost a seat at the state level. It's not a great experience and she is a pretty decent person. 'But we'll see what the final result is I guess.' Barr then asked: 'Joe, are there people in a backroom, like the faceless men and women, saying, 'It's time'? How do they decide?' 'Every party will have their scrutineers watching where every ballot goes like a hawk,' Hildebrandt replied. 'An interesting one is Melbourne, where someone had an issue with the count between Adam Bandt and the Labor candidate there. 'The AEC (Australian Electoral Commision) had to go back and start counting all the first preferences again and basically go back to ground zero. Clearly one of the scrutineers had a problem with it. '(It) will still result in him losing his seat I think, so good luck to him. 'It's been the most extraordinary election results I have ever seen. 'The strangeness of a Coalition led by Peter Dutton winning back Teal seats when it couldn't win seats elsewhere, I mean, I suppose it tells you something about the omnishambles of the campaign. 'Their entire strategy was to park the Teal seats to one side, go after those outer suburban seats, go after blue-collar voters, younger male voters, who would think 'under Peter Dutton, we're not going to get back those touchy, feely cosmopolitan urban elites'. 'Yet, that's probably the only area where they've had any unexpected success. 'I knew Labor would win a majority but the way this election is playing out is bonkers.'
Sky News AU
06-05-2025
- Politics
- Sky News AU
Adam Bandt, Monique Ryan on the edge as Gisele Kapterian takes slender lead in Bradfield: Inside the election races going down to the wire
Adam Bandt and Monique Ryan are both at risk of losing their seats, while Gisele Kapterian has taken a slender lead over Nicolette Boele in Bradfield as races in a handful of key seats appear set to go down to the wire. While Labor secured a comprehensive victory in the federal election on Saturday, winning 88 seats as of Tuesday night, 12 electorates remain up for grabs. Among those still in the balance are the seat of Melbourne, currently held by Mr Bandt, as well as the Teal-held Kooyong, with both electorates representing major prizes for Labor and the Coalition. Read on for the state of play in every key undecided seat. Bradfield The battle in one of the nation's most well heeled electorates could come down to as few as 200 votes, as Teal candidate Nicolette Boele pushes to capitalise on the retirement of Liberal MP Paul Fletcher. Ms Boele had led the race throughout most of polling day and into the start of the week, only for Liberal candidate Gisele Kapterian to take the narrowest of leads on Tuesday. Ms Kapterian was ahead by 178 votes as of Tuesday evening, with early voters and mail-in ballots appearing to favour her over her Teal rival. A victory for the Liberal candidate would represent a rare positive from an otherwise dismal election result for the Coalition, as well as inflict a blow on the Climate 200-backed Teals, who have failed to build substantially on wins in the 2022 campaign. Kooyong Another seat featuring a shootout between the Liberal Party and Teals is Kooyong in Victoria. Incumbent Monique Ryan won a shock victory over former Liberal heavyweight Josh Frydenberg in 2022, with the major party desperate to reclaim what had previously been a safe seat. Liberal candidate Amelia Hamer admitted on Tuesday she had almost called her rival to concede on election night, but was dissuaded by campaign advisors before a surge of support saw her chances of victory grow considerably. "I actually did speak to the team and I said: 'Look, should I call and concede?'," she told 3AW. "The team said to me: 'No, it does look like what's coming out of pre-poll is much more positive'. "I trust my team and so we hung on." Ms Ryan led Ms Hamer by 1,002 votes as of Tuesday night, with 21.6 per cent of the vote still to count. A large enough swing away from the Teal candidate in pre-poll votes would see Ms Hamer reclaim the blue-ribbon seat. Melbourne The Greens are facing a near total wipeout in the Lower House, with leader Adam Bandt in serious danger of losing his seat. Mr Bandt has held Melbourne since 2010, but Labor's Sarah Witty held a more than 4,000 vote lead as of Tuesday evening. Preference flows will likely decide a contest most analysts are describing as incredibly close. Postal votes have been breaking in favour of Ms Witty and the Greens leader had been receiving only around 23 per cent of preferences. Mr Bandt likely needs to win more than a third of preferences to hold the seat. If the Greens leader is defeated it would mark a serious repudiation of the party's recent direction, with controversial anti-Israel rhetoric and support for the militant CFMEU potentially souring voters on the minor party.
Sky News AU
06-05-2025
- Politics
- Sky News AU
Liberal Party now favoured to win Kooyong and Goldstein and postal votes drive collapse in Teal MPs' margins
The Liberal Party are now favoured to win two Teal-held seats thanks to the number of postal votes swinging against the Climate 200-backed independents. Kooyong MP Monique Ryan had a lead of more than 1800 votes on Monday morning, but this has fallen to just 1,001 votes. About 7,000 postal votes are yet to be counted, with these ballots currently flowing in favour of Liberal candidate Amelia Hamer on a margin of 62.1 to 37.9 per cent. Ms Ryan confidently declared victory in the formerly blue ribbon seat on Saturday night, appearing before cheering supporters with a sign stating 'Kooyong, we did it'. But the Teal MP has since walked back her claim on Monday, while Ms Hamer has confidently told supporters the Liberals 'can win this seat'. Sky News Chief election analyst Tom Connell said on Tuesday that Ms Hamer was now 'slight favourite' to win the seat, although it was still too close to call. According to the AEC, there are 7,214 postal votes still to be processed. 'Amelia Hamer, she'll hit the lead in this seat. Then it comes down to some of the other votes that we haven't counted yet… We don't have any absents in yet. We don't have any provisional or declaration pre-polls,' Connell said. 'If (Ms Hamer) can get that lead up to 1,000 or so, which on these current votes would happen, she's going to be hard to run down. 'But these postal rates can slow down. You can have different batches depending on the day people voted, so it's not a sure thing.' Goldstein Teal MP Zoe Daniel also celebrated too early on election night, with the Sky News election analyst declaring Liberal candidate and former MP Tim Wilson was now a 'clear favourite' to win the seat. Ms Daniel currently leads on razor thin margin of just 95 votes, with the Liberals currently recording a massive postal vote margin of almost 65 to 35 per cent. 'That's tracking really well at the moment for Tim Wilson,' Connell said. 'Let's just see if that (postal) vote holds up that strongly. See what his lead is. If it's in the order of 2,000 or 3000, Zoe Daniel, can't make that up.' In an Instagram post on Sunday Mr Wilson said while he was 'battle weary' and 'tired' he remained 'incredibly optimistic' about his chances of winning the seat. 'In Goldstein, the largest booth is postal votes. There were 27,000 postal vote applications, and we're watching them roll in,' he said. 'Every single batch of votes counted, it continues to collapse.' The former Liberal MP, who was turfed from office in the Teal wave of 2022, said while there was a statewide swing of two per cent against the Coalition, there had been a swing of nearly four per cent towards the Liberal Party in Goldstein. 'We have bucked the trend by nearly six per cent, and that has come down to all of the people who have been part of this campaign,' he said. 'This was a real grassroots, real community campaign that spoke to hope, the aspirations and the opportunity of what the values of this community can live out and dream and build for the future of this country. 'And that's why I'm so proud of it, whatever the result is, I'm proud of everything you guys did, and I'm so proud to have stood by you in this campaign. 'For all of the people who voted Liberal in Goldstein on Saturday and the days leading up to it, I just want to say a massive, big thank you. To those that didn't, of course we respect your decision, but we seek to always earn your trust.'
Sky News AU
27-04-2025
- Politics
- Sky News AU
Opposition Leader Peter Dutton targets Teal seats and remains optimistic about May 3 despite latest polls, as final election countdown begins
Opposition Leader Peter Dutton will take off on a tour of Teal-held seats during the final week of the election campaign, as he remains hopeful of securing victory on May 3 despite the latest polls. Mr Dutton will visit 28 electorates this week in a bid to win over voters, including the independent-held seats of Kooyong and Goldstein in Melbourne as well as Mackellar in Sydney, The Australian reports. The Liberal leader will also stop by Labor-held seats of Aston, Dunkley and Gorton in Victoria, and Boothby in South Australia. The Teal seats of Kooyong and Goldstein, held by Dr Monique Ryan and Zoe Daniel respectively, are considered two of the battleground electorates this federal election. In his latest analysis, Sky News Chief Election Analyst Tom Connell has predicted out of all the Teal seats won at the 2022 election, Goldstein is the most likely to go back to the Liberals. In the lead up to Australians casting their ballots, Mr Dutton has doubled down on his optimism about the election going in his favour. "We are in the fight of our lives over the course of the next six days. I have no doubt in my mind that we can win this election," Mr Dutton told a campaign rally in the safe-Labor seat of Hawke on Sunday. The Opposition Leader spoke about the importance of garnering support from Australians in regional areas. "There are millions of forgotten Australians... people who are living in outer metropolitan areas, people who are living in regional towns - they are just starting to stir and they understand that their vote is going to count more than ever this election," he said. "(Let's) get rid of a bad government to vote in great candidates and to install a Coalition government which will get our great country back on track." Mr Dutton, a former police officer, has also opened up about his "softer side" as the final election countdown begins, saying he hopes voters will be able to see this part of him as a person. 'I am an emotional person,' he told The Daily Telegraph in an exclusive interview on Sunday. Mr Dutton pointed to crime as a topic in particular which does have an impact on him personally, especially in regards to women and children. 'I actually struggle to read those stories. They are deeply upsetting," he said. 'So yes, there's a different side (of me) that people get a glimpse of on occasion.' Recent polling has shown Prime Minister Anthony Albanese holding a steady lead over Mr Dutton, retaining a two-party preferred edge over the Coalition 52 to 48. The Newspoll, published for The Australian last week, mirrored the pre-election numbers that preceded Labor's 2022 victory. However, Liberal insiders have been buoyed by internal numbers showing gains in traditional Labor heartlands, such as Whitlam, where Labor holds an eight per cent margin.
West Australian
26-04-2025
- Politics
- West Australian
Australian election 2025: Albanese, Dutton on day 31 of May 3 election campaign
Anthony Albanese and Peter Dutton will leave nothing to chance in their bid to win Saturday's federal election, with an intense final week of campaigning expected. The Prime Minister and the Opposition Leader are expected to hit as many key electorates as possible in the final seven days of the five-week campaign. Opinion polls are pointing to Mr Albanese winning a second term, but Mr Dutton is not giving up on his bid to win the election from a first-term government. The Coalition needs to gain 21 seats to secure a majority in the 150-seat parliament, and Mr Dutton intends to fight 'for every vote in every corner of the country'. 'I think there is a big difference in the mood out there and what silent Australians are thinking as they vote right now and every day until next Saturday,' he said on Saturday. 'I think there is a lot up for grabs, and I think there are a lot of seats still to be decided over the course of the next week.' The Coalition leader will travel across Australia from Sunday to Saturday, hitting 28 key seats – mostly held by Labor – in each state and the Northern Territory. NED-13123 Key seats Mr Albanese is not resting on his laurels, with the memory of Bill Shorten's shock loss to Scott Morrison in 2019 still sharp in his mind. 'I say to Australians on May 3, make sure you know where the destination is, because it is destination chaos and destination shambles and destination cuts from Peter Dutton if he's successful next Saturday,' he said. 'This campaign has exposed the Coalition has not been ready for government.' Both leaders are expected to hold party rallies on Sunday, before lining up for the fourth and final leaders' debate. The Seven Network will host the 'Final Showdown' at 8pm, the last chance all Australians will get to see the leaders go head to head to make their cases for election. Crossing three states in a single day, Anthony Albanese wrapped up Saturday pledging $10m to the Reverend Bills Crews Foundation, a charity he's been involved with for decades. Mr Albanese will be in Sydney on Sunday for a rally in the city's west. Mr Dutton will similarly hold a supporters' rally in the key battlefield of Melbourne, which could decide the outcome on Saturday. Millions of Aussies cast their votes early Early polling has already started, with at least 2.1 million of the 16 million people enrolled to vote having cast their ballots. Former prime minister John Howard was on the job on Saturday, helping the Liberal candidate for the Teal-held seat of Wentworth Ro Knox. The first votes were cast on Tuesday, following the Easter Monday long weekend, before being suspended on Anzac Day. The polls were open again on Saturday, but will be closed on Sunday. The early voting places will be open from Monday till Friday this week. More to come
