Latest news with #TennisAbstract
New York Post
3 days ago
- Sport
- New York Post
2025 Los Cabos Open picks: Taro Daniel vs. Alex Hernandez odds, prediction
Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read our editorial standards for more information. There is a natural lull in the tennis calendar after the Championships at Wimbledon. The grass-court season is a sprint after the marathon clay-court swing ahead of Roland Garros, so most of the star players take a deep breath in between Wimbledon and the beginning of the North American hard-court tournaments that lead up to the US Open at the end of August. But just because the biggest names in the sport are taking off this week doesn't mean that bettors should do the same. The money you win (or lose) on Taro Daniel vs. Alex Hernandez at the Los Cabos Open is just as green as the cash you won (or lost) on the Wimbledon Final. Daniel opens as a -270 favorite opposite Hernandez, who is a +210 underdog. It's been a nightmare 2025 season for Daniel, a 32-year-old who is now ranked No. 156 in the world after peaking at No. 58 at the beginning of 2024. Daniel has never been a player who can beat you with a single weapon, like a serve or his defense, but rather one who relies on his ability to scrap and force his opponents to hit an extra shot. When he's at his best, Daniel doesn't beat himself. Taro Daniel in action at the US Open. Anthony J. Causi Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps The good news for Daniel is that his opponent in the Round of 32 at the Los Cabos Open, Alex Hernandez, shouldn't be able to beat him either. The Mexican is ranked No. 491 in the world and is the No. 473 player in Tennis Abstract's ELO model. As long as Daniel avoids a letdown, he should make quick work of Hernandez, who is only in this field because it is being played in his home country. The Play: Taro Daniel -3.5 Games (-120, bet365) Why Trust New York Post Betting Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
New York Post
05-07-2025
- Sport
- New York Post
Wimbledon picks, best bets Saturday: Marton Fucsovics vs. Ben Shelton odds, predictions
Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read our editorial standards for more information. Ben Shelton is off and running at Wimbledon. The big-serving American has yet to drop a set in his first two rounds, and his serve has only been broken once in the tournament so far. Perhaps even more impressively, Shelton has faced just five break points total at the All England Club. There's very little to complain about when it comes to Shelton's performances, but he's also yet to face a real test. All due respect to grass-court specialist Alex Bolt and his fellow Aussie Rinky Hijikata, but they just couldn't stack up to Shelton, especially when he's serving like that. Marton Fucsovics will also be hard-pressed to deal with Shelton's A-game, but the Hungarian can be a nightmare to deal with in best-of-five tennis, and his record at Wimbledon is much better than you'd think for a player ranked 107th in the world. Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Fucsovics betting preview Like most of the players ranked outside the top 75, Fucsovics doesn't have an elite part of his arsenal. He's solid across the board, but he can't beat you with his serve or his defense alone. That means Fucsovics needs everything to be working so that the best part of his game, his all-world physical endurance, can be a difference-maker. There are few players in the world who can match Fucsovics' endurance, which is why he boasts an impressive record at the Grand Slams. He's 46-38 in his career in best-of-five matches, which is good enough for a 54.8 percent win rate. That's a decent jump above his 48.8 percent win rate in best-of-three tilts. The way to beat Fucsovics is to put him away early and hope that he's not running circles around you in the later stages of a five-setter. American tennis player Ben Shelton celebrates at Wimbledon. Susan Mullane-Imagn Images Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Fucsovics pick Shelton, too, has an impressive record in Grand Slams, but his path to success in this match looks very different compared to Fucsovics. He will want to use his serve to pick up cheap points, keeping the match moving so that Fucsovics can't drag him into deep waters. The problem is that it's unlikely that Shelton's serve will overwhelm Fucsovics like it did Bolt and Hijikata. Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps Fucsovics should provide much more resistance against Shelton's serve, which will open up a path to an upset. Tennis Abstract's model actually makes Fucsovics a -141 favorite for this match, and while that may be a stretch, it further drives home the point that Shelton will have his hands full Saturday. The Play: Marton Fucsovics +200 (bet365) Why Trust New York Post Betting Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
