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Yomiuri Shimbun
01-07-2025
- Politics
- Yomiuri Shimbun
CARTOON OF THE DAY (July 1)
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Yomiuri Shimbun
24-06-2025
- Politics
- Yomiuri Shimbun
CARTOON OF THE DAY (June 24)
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Japan Times
23-06-2025
- Politics
- Japan Times
Tokyo election results signal uncertainty for LDP ahead of Upper House race
The Liberal Democratic Party suffered a major setback in Sunday's Tokyo assembly election, winning just 21 seats — a record low and down from the 30 it previously held . The most seats went to Tomin First no Kai (Tokyoites First), backed by Tokyo Gov. Yuriko Koike. The poor performance raised concerns within Japan's biggest party as it heads into the Upper House election, expected to be held on July 20. 'It was a very tough election,' said Shinji Inoue, head of the LDP's Tokyo chapter, speaking to reporters early Monday morning after the results came in. Although the results from Sunday's polls in the capital do not necessarily directly predict performance in the upcoming Upper House election, they signify an underlying trend in public opinion that affects both contests, says Hanako Ohmura, a professor at Kyoto University who specializes in public opinion and voting behavior. 'I think the trend we are seeing emerge from the Tokyo Assembly election results is that the results are very severe against the LDP,' she said. 'In the broadest terms, it is really their unpopularity.' The results in Tokyo contradict recent public opinion polls, which had suggested the LDP was steadily recovering support since its popularity plunged following the 2023 political funding scandal that put many of the party's key figures in hot water for receiving kickbacks and off-the-book revenue. In the most recent poll compiled by Jiji this month, the LDP was the most popular party in the upcoming Upper House election with 24.5% support, 4.8 percentage points higher than the previous month. Ohmura says the 'very interesting' deviation of the Tokyo election results from the polls may be because the LDP's recent proposal for cash handouts is racking up popularity on a national level but is less of a focal point for Tokyoites. The Democratic Party for the People's Tokyo chapter executives in Tokyo on Sunday night | JIJI 'Cash handouts are a powerful tool, and within the academia of political science, it has been made clear that cash handouts to this day have a very strong effect on garnering support for the incumbent,' said Ohmura. 'I have seen that support for LDP has increased as a result, but the effects of it were not seen as much in the Tokyo Assembly elections — after all, the Tokyo election is a local election, so the markers that voters look at may be different.' Because of this, the results from Sunday may not be a direct reflection of how the LDP will perform in the Upper House election. That said, one thing that the Tokyo assembly election results highlight that may also ring true at a national level is the growth of alternative parties that can take in voters who have deviated from the LDP's support base, particularly on the more conservative side. This was seen in Tokyo with two smaller parties — the Democratic Party for the People and Sanseito — winning seats in the assembly for the first time, having secured nine and three spots, respectively. The more center-left segment of the LDP voter base may have jumped ship to the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan. 'Voters are leaving (the LDP) to go both left and right, but I think what is most likely to be found if the results were more closely analyzed is the weight is leaning more towards the right — that's how we have DPP and Sanseito,' Ohmura added, saying a similar phenomenon will most likely be seen in the Upper House election. Additionally, the result from Sunday itself could play a role in shaping how voters cast their ballots next month. 'The voters who saw the LDP's unpopularity in Tokyo could use that as a factor in making their decisions in the next national election,' said Ohmura.
Bloomberg
23-06-2025
- Politics
- Bloomberg
Japan's LDP Suffers Bruising Loss in Tokyo Before National Vote
Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party suffered its worst-ever result in a Tokyo metropolitan election, losing its spot as the biggest political force on the assembly less than a month before voters deliver a verdict on Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's premiership in a national vote. The LDP lost 9 seats in the 127-seat assembly to end up with 21 representatives after Sunday's election, leaving it well behind Tokyo Governor Yuriko Koike's Tomin First no Kai, a locally focused party that maintained its grip on 31 seats. Among national opposition parties, the Constitutional Democratic Party expanded its representation on the assembly to 17 from 12, while the Democratic Party for the People won its first nine seats in the metropolitan government.
NHK
22-06-2025
- Politics
- NHK
Party backing Tokyo governor becomes largest force after assembly election
A regional party for which Tokyo Governor Koike Yuriko serves as special adviser has emerged as the largest force after the capital's metropolitan assembly election. Parties had pitched all-out campaigns because they see the vote as a bellwether for an upcoming Upper House poll in July. The two elections concur only once in 12 years. Sunday's assembly election put all 127 seats up for grabs. Candidates ran in 42 districts. TOMIN First, which was established by Koike, won 31 seats, the most of all the groups. The Liberal Democratic Party, the biggest force before the vote, acquired 21 seats, its record low. The LDP is the largest ruling party in national politics. Komeito collected 19 seats, with three of its candidates defeated. It had seen all its candidates secure seats in the previous eight assembly elections for Tokyo. The party is the LDP's coalition partner in the Diet. TOMIN First, the LDP and Komeito back Koike's agenda. Combined, they hold a majority of the assembly seats. The Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan racked up 17 seats, a gain of two from its pre-election showing. The CDP is the largest opposition force at the national level. The Japanese Communist Party notched 14 seats, down five. The Democratic Party for the People and Sanseito chalked up nine and three seats, respectively. Both secured seats for the first time at the assembly. Tokyo Seikatsusha Network retained its pre-election level of one seat. The Japan Innovation Party lost its sole seat it had held before the vote. The Path to Rebirth fielded 42 candidates, but earned no seats. Its head is Ishimaru Shinji, who lost to Koike and ended up as runner-up in the Tokyo gubernatorial election last year.
