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NBC Sports
5 days ago
- Sport
- NBC Sports
Blue Jays at Rangers Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends and stats for May 28
Its Wednesday, May 28 and the Blue Jays (26-28) are in Arlington to take on the Rangers (27-29). Eric Lauer is slated to take the mound for Toronto against Tyler Mahle for Texas. The Rangers leveled the series 1-1 with a 2-0 win over the Blue Jays yesterday. Rangers pitcher Nate Eovaldi left the game after the second inning with tricep fatigue. Rangers took precautionary measures, and Eovaldi is not expected to miss a start. Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts. Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long. Game details & how to watch Blue Jays at Rangers Date: Wednesday, May 28, 2025 Time: 8:05PM EST Site: Globe Life Field City: Arlington, TX Network/Streaming: Rangers Sports Network, Victory+, SN1 Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out. Odds for the Blue Jays at the Rangers The latest odds as of Wednesday: Moneyline: Blue Jays (+111), Rangers (-131) Spread: Rangers -1.5 Total: 8.0 runs Probable starting pitchers for Blue Jays at Rangers Pitching matchup for May 28, 2025: Eric Lauer vs. Tyler Mahle Blue Jays: Eric Lauer, (1-1, 3.31 ERA) Last outing (Tampa Bay Rays, 5/25): 3.0 Innings Pitched, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 3 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 2 StrikeoutsRangers: Tyler Mahle, (5-2, 1.80 ERA) Last outing (Chicago White Sox, 5/23): 5.0 Innings Pitched, 3 Earned Runs Allowed, 5 Hits Allowed, 3 Walks, and 3 Strikeouts Blue Jays: Eric Lauer, (1-1, 3.31 ERA) Last outing (Tampa Bay Rays, 5/25): 3.0 Innings Pitched, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 3 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 2 Strikeouts Rangers: Tyler Mahle, (5-2, 1.80 ERA) Last outing (Chicago White Sox, 5/23): 5.0 Innings Pitched, 3 Earned Runs Allowed, 5 Hits Allowed, 3 Walks, and 3 Strikeouts Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type! Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Blue Jays at Rangers The Rangers have won 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with losing records The Blue Jays' last 4 versus the Rangers have stayed under the Total If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports! Expert picks & predictions for tonight's game between the Blue Jays and the Rangers Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700. Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts. Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager. Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Wednesday's game between the Blue Jays and the Rangers: Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Texas Rangers on the Moneyline. Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Toronto Blue Jays at +1.5. Total: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Game Total of 8.0. Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff: Jay Croucher (@croucherJD) Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper) Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
Associated Press
5 days ago
- General
- Associated Press
Rangers and Blue Jays meet, winner claims 3-game series
Toronto Blue Jays (26-28, third in the AL East) vs. Texas Rangers (27-29, third in the AL West) Arlington, Texas; Wednesday, 8:05 p.m. EDT PITCHING PROBABLES: Blue Jays: Eric Lauer (1-1, 3.31 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 16 strikeouts); Rangers: Tyler Mahle (5-2, 1.80 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 43 strikeouts) BETMGM SPORTSBOOK LINE: Rangers -158, Blue Jays +133; over/under is 8 runs BOTTOM LINE: The Texas Rangers and Toronto Blue Jays meet on Wednesday with the winner claiming the three-game series. Texas is 27-29 overall and 18-11 at home. The Rangers have an 8-20 record in games when they have allowed at least one home run. Toronto is 10-16 on the road and 26-28 overall. The Blue Jays have a 15-2 record in games when they scored five or more runs. The matchup Wednesday is the third time these teams square off this season. TOP PERFORMERS: Wyatt Langford is second on the Rangers with 17 extra base hits (seven doubles and 10 home runs). Jake Burger is 8 for 40 with three doubles, three home runs and six RBIs over the last 10 games. George Springer has 12 doubles, a triple and five home runs for the Blue Jays. Daulton Varsho is 8 for 42 with three doubles, a triple and three home runs over the last 10 games. LAST 10 GAMES: Rangers: 3-7, .193 batting average, 3.17 ERA, outscored by eight runs Blue Jays: 5-5, .206 batting average, 2.56 ERA, even run differential INJURIES: Rangers: Nathan Eovaldi: day-to-day (tricep), Joc Pederson: 10-Day IL (hand), Evan Carter: 10-Day IL (quadricep), Chris Martin: 15-Day IL (shoulder), Corey Seager: 10-Day IL (hamstring), Kumar Rocker: 15-Day IL (shoulder), Cody Bradford: 60-Day IL (elbow), Jon Gray: 60-Day IL (wrist), Josh Sborz: 60-Day IL (shoulder) Blue Jays: Tyler Heineman: 7-Day IL (concussion), Yimi Garcia: 15-Day IL (shoulder), Max Scherzer: 60-Day IL (thumb), Andres Gimenez: 10-Day IL (quadricep), Erik Swanson: 60-Day IL (hand), Ryan Burr: 60-Day IL (shoulder), Nick Sandlin: 15-Day IL (back), Alek Manoah: 60-Day IL (elbow), Angel Bastardo: 60-Day IL (elbow) ___ The Associated Press created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
New York Times
7 days ago
- Sport
- New York Times
THE BAT X fantasy baseball cheat sheet: Add Brenton Doyle, stream or start Trevor Larnach
Baseball season is well underway, and with a plethora of articles, statistics and metrics available, it can be challenging to know who to start, sit, fade and trade. Using Derek Carty's THE BAT X projection system, The Athletic has developed a weekly program that helps fantasy managers with difficult roster decisions. Advertisement THE BAT X has been the most accurate original projection system in fantasy for five consecutive years and provides estimates based on a wide range of metrics, including Statcast metrics like exit velocity and barrels, as well as ballpark effects, weather conditions, matchups and much more. Another important concept to understand is regression to the mean, which means players performing above their typical level of play are likely to decline, while those underperforming are likely to improve. This week's cheat sheet suggests adding Brenton Doyle and Tyler Stephenson, trading Tyler Mahle, streaming Trevor Larnach and targeting Adley Rutschman and Marcus Semien in trades. And there's more … so much more. Let's get to it. Projections are based on a 12-team, mixed-league roto format with 23-player rosters. For a more thorough explanation of THE BAT X, read Carty's explainer. For first-time readers, we compare players' year-to-date value (value to this point in the season) against their projected rest-of-season value (value for the remainder of the season and not including YTD value). Values are expressed as dollars, and $0 represents a replacement-level starter in the aforementioned 12-team mixed roto league format. This gives you an idea of which players may be available on your waiver wire, their value for the remainder of the year and why you should grab them before anyone else can. The differential can tell you all you need to know, but because this is a model, you'll want to use the projections alongside knowledge of your league. For example, at the top of this list, Royce Lewis has a year-to-date value of -$22.20, but for the rest of the season, he projects a value of $4.70. The differential of $26.90 is the reason for his No. 1 spot on the list, as he's likely to be available due to poor performance thus far. While his .155 batting average and .210 expected BA aren't inspiring, THE BAT X suggests he'll improve. The best (likely) available candidates on this list are J.T. Realmuto, Brenton Doyle and Ezequiel Tovar, with the highest ROS value. Phillies catcher Realmuto is at a valuable position and less likely to be available on waivers, but if someone dropped him, his xBA of .267 (compared to his actual BA of .232) and 80th-percentile sprint speed are promising, especially at a position where speed is at a premium. On the pitching side, Ben Brown and Gavin Williams take the top two spots for the second week in a row, and Matthew Boyd has moved up to the third spot. Boyd and Drew Rasmussen have the best ROS value at $13 and $9.20, respectively, meaning THE BAT X thinks that of the waiver targets on this list, these pitchers will have the best results going forward. Rasmussen is 3-4 with a 2.60 ERA in 52 innings pitched; his walk rate is also in the 81st percentile at 5.9%. Like the waiver wire, the following list represents players to either fade completely or trade. Pete Crow-Armstrong and Seiya Suzuki have performed phenomenally thus far, but THE BAT X projects that their rest-of-season value will decrease by $24 and $18.80, respectively. Still, you only want to trade these players for top-level, proven players with better ROS value. Advertisement Alex Bregman (on the 10-day IL) tops this list and has a negative ROS value, so he's someone you may want to ship soon. Again, $0 represents the threshold for a starting caliber player. While Bregman is hitting .299, his xBA is .255, he's not fast, and his K rate is up to 18.6% this year vs. 13.6% last year. His HardHit% is nearly 8 percentage points higher than last year, representing his career high, so some regression can be expected. You'll have to wait until he's healthy, but trading him should be on your radar. Depending on your league and who is available on waivers, Hunter Goodman, with a YTD value of $13.70 and ROS value in the negative, could be a drop candidate, but likely only in shallower leagues. According to THE BAT X projection system, the following pitchers are overperforming their rest-of-season projections and could be considered fades or trade bait. Nathan Eovaldi and Tyler Mahle retake the top spots this week, but in reverse order. Most fantasy managers probably hold Eovaldi, Hunter Brown and Max Fried, but Mahle could be a prime trade candidate. He's performing at a high value of $20.10 but is only valued at $2.40 for the rest of the season. His strikeout and Whiff rates are lingering around 25%, and while his ERA is 1.80 (5-2), his xERA is 3.87. Look to the trade targets below, and see if you can ship Mahle for an ace while he's playing well and the ace isn't. Trade targets are similar to the waiver wire and fades, determined by current roster value versus THE BAT X's projected rest-of-season value. The players on this list haven't performed as well to date as THE BAT X projects them to for the rest of the season. Adley Rutschman (DTD) and Marcus Semien stand out on this list. Both players have fallen well below their expectations, but THE BAT X thinks they can rebound, and their owners may be ready for new blood. Semien's BA of .176 is deplorable, and his xBA of .231 isn't much better, but even with an OBP of .266. I'd only acquire him if you have another worthy second baseman on your roster, but he hit over 20 HR in the past four seasons, so a rebound could be coming. Rutschman's Statcast numbers are much better than Semien's, which is partially why his ROS value is higher, too. His K rate is only 16%, his walk rate is 12%, and his xBA of .268 is respectable, while his current batting average of .211 isn't. See if anyone is tiring of holding and waiting for Rutschman to produce. When it comes to the pitchers, Tarik Skubal is off the table. Bryce Miller (on the 15-day IL) could return soon but also may need surgery during the offseason. THE BAT X thinks he'll improve, but he's a risky target. Cole Ragans is also on IL, but Dylan Cease is intriguing. He has a 4.58 ERA but a 3.56 xERA, 29.1 K rate, 32.9 Whiff% and 32.0 Chase%. Here are hitters with favorable pitching matchups this week. Minnesota's designated hitter and backup outfielder, Trevor Larnach, appears on this list frequently. Outfielders Byron Buxton and Matt Wallner are on IL (though Buxton could return soon), as is the backup DH Luke Keaschall, so Larnach will have opportunities this week and is available on many waivers. He's batting .247 with a slightly higher xBA (.255) and has hit seven home runs this season. His Statcast metrics are average, but average isn't terrible for a player you can pick up and stream if needed. These are hitters who have been over- and underperforming using weighted on-base percentage (wOBA) and expected weighted on-base percentage (xwOBA). Batters with an xwOBA lower than their actual wOBA could fall to numbers closer to expected, while hitters with lower wOBAs could surge as the season continues. This list includes players who have overperformed in the past 30 days, according to wOBA and xwOBA. Advertisement This is where regression to the mean comes into play. Colorado Rockies catcher Hunter Goodman tops this list for the second week in a row, and since last week, his wOBA and xwOBA have fallen. Additionally, he hit only .190 last year in 211 at-bats, so he could regress. His HH% is in the 78th percentile, but his Chase% (36.2) and Whiff% (33.3) are below the 10th percentile, while his K and BB rates are below the 30th percentile. If you can trade him for another catcher with better career numbers, consider doing it now. Based on wOBA and xwOBA, the players on this list are the top underperformers in the past 30 days. You can likely ignore Juan Soto at the top of this list, as no one is trading, fading or benching him. But, if he's on your roster, don't worry, his xwOBA is .141 higher than his wOBA, and his Statcast numbers are nearly all red, so he should return to his usual self soon. Boston right-fielder Wilyer Abreu, who has already hit 12 home runs in 176 at-bats (he hit 15 in 399 last year), is for real. According to his expected stats, he could be having an even better season. If you have him, believe in him. If you don't, maybe you can get him for a player ranked higher in the preseason who hasn't lived up to his billing. Finally, we get to the top-scoring offenses of the week. The Yankees and Dodgers at the top of this list are no surprise, but the Baltimore Orioles and Diamondbacks are a little more interesting. Look for Orioles Rustchman, Gunnar Henderson, Jackson Holliday, Cedric Mullins, Ryan Mountcastle and Ryan O'Hearn to have better weeks than usual. If you have Diamondbacks on your team, the same goes for them. THE BAT X projections have predicted the best one- and two-start pitchers of the week, as well as pitchers to consider benching and the best matchups for bullpens. The best projected one-start pitcher this week is Bryan Woo with a projected ERA of 2.99 against the Twins. On the season, Woo is 5-2 with a 2.40 ERA and a 3.06 xERA. His K rate is over 20 percent, and his walk rate is only 3.2% (99th percentile). Good on you if you have Woo on your roster. At the top of the two-start pitchers list is Jameson Taillon, facing the Rockies and Reds. THE BAT X projects his ERA will be 3.05 this week with a 1.01 WHIP, which is better than his season-long ERA of 4.13 and WHIP of 1.09. All the players on this list should be started in weekly lineups. Based on matchups, the bullpens for the Cubs, Mariners, Mets, Padres and Giants could be set up for success this week. The Cubs' Daniel Palencia is 0-1 with two saves this year and a 2.04 ERA in 17.2 IP. Compared to last year, his K (24.6 this year vs. 23.2 last year) and BB (10.1 vs. 17.4) rates have improved. MLB saves leaders Seattle's Andrés Muñoz and San Diego's Robert Suarez could have incredible weeks. They're not on waivers anywhere (like Palencia), but if you have them, expect continued greatness. THE BAT X projections powered by EV Analytics. (Photo of Trevor Larnach: Winslow Townson / Getty Images)
Washington Post
24-05-2025
- Sport
- Washington Post
Burke tosses 3-hit ball over 6 innings as White Sox beat Rangers 4-1
CHICAGO — Sean Burke tossed three-hit ball over six innings and the Chicago White Sox beat the Texas Rangers 4-1 on Friday night. Burke (3-5) outpitched Tyler Mahle (5-2) and the White Sox opened the weekend series on a winning note after losing six of seven. The Rangers dropped their season-high fifth in a row.
CBS News
24-05-2025
- Sport
- CBS News
Burke tosses 3-hit ball over 6 innings as White Sox beat Rangers 4-1
Sean Burke tossed three-hit ball over six innings and the Chicago White Sox beat the Texas Rangers 4-1 on Friday night. Burke (3-5) outpitched Tyler Mahle (5-2) and the White Sox opened the weekend series on a winning note after losing six of seven. The Rangers dropped their season-high fifth in a row. Luis Robert Jr. capped a three-run third with an RBI single. He also took third when right fielder Adolis García dropped his fly ball leading off the sixth and scored on Joshua Palacios' single against Caleb Boushley, making it 4-1. In a game between teams that came in with the two lowest batting averages and scoring totals in the American League, that was more than enough. Burke allowed one run. The 25-year-old right-hander struck out six and walked three. Cam Booser and Jordan Leasure each worked an inning. Steven Wilson pitched the ninth for his first save and the White Sox stopped an 11-game losing streak against Texas. Mahle lasted five innings, allowing a season-high three runs and five hits. Jake Burger cut it to 3-1 with a two-out double in the sixth, but the Rangers continued to struggle at the plate after getting outscored a combined 10-5 by the New York Yankees the previous three games. After holding opponents to two runs or less in each of his first 10 starts, Mahle fell behind 3-0 in the third. He gave up singles to Lenyn Sosa and Josh Rojas leading off before issuing one-out walks to Mike Tauchman and Miguel Vargas, forcing in the first run. Andrew Benintendi hit a sacrifice fly and Robert added an RBI bloop single. The White Sox beat the Rangers for the first time since a 7-6 victory on June 20, 2023, in Chicago. Rookie RHP Jack Leiter (3-2, 4.25 ERA) starts for Texas and RHP Jonathan Cannon (2-5, 3.76) gets the ball for Chicago.
