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Map Shows Which States Will Be Hit Hardest By 'Drenching' Tropical Storm
Map Shows Which States Will Be Hit Hardest By 'Drenching' Tropical Storm

Newsweek

timea day ago

  • Climate
  • Newsweek

Map Shows Which States Will Be Hit Hardest By 'Drenching' Tropical Storm

Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Four Southeastern states are at risk of "drenching" thunderstorms associated with a possible tropical storm off the coast that could form this weekend. Even if the storm doesn't form, it will bring heavy rainfall and a risk of dangerous flash floods along the southeastern U.S. coast this weekend and early next week. Why It Matters If it forms, Tropical Storm Chantal will be the third named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, which began on June 1. The first storm, Tropical Storm Andrea, formed last week and caused no United States-related impacts. Tropical Storm Barry formed in the Bay of Campeche last weekend and impacted Eastern Mexico. Heavy rain hits Fort Lauderdale, Florida. Heavy rain hits Fort Lauderdale, Florida. Serenethos/Getty What to Know Chances are increasing that the tropical storm will form northeast of Florida. It could bring heavy rain and flood-related impacts to Florida, Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina. Tropical downpours could begin as soon as Thursday, a map from AccuWeather said, and continue through Sunday. Nearly all of Florida is expecting the rain, as well as Southeastern Georgia, Eastern South Carolina and Eastern North Carolina. Even if the storm doesn't form, AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva told Newsweek it will still bring heavy rain to the Southeast U.S. AccuWeather forecasts anticipate the storm will develop between July 4 and July 7. In addition to heavy rain, rough surf is also expected. This could include dangerous rip currents along the Southeastern coast. As of Thursday around noon Eastern time, no National Weather Service (NWS) weather alerts have been issued in the area. What People Are Saying DaSilva said in a report by AccuWeather: "Steering breezes will likely guide the area of tropical interest northward during the weekend to early next week. How long it is able to remain over water may determine how strong it is able to become in terms of winds and extent of heavy rain." NHC in a forecast about the disturbance: "An area of low pressure is forecast to develop along a weakening frontal boundary near Florida or the Atlantic coast of the southeastern United States by Saturday. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slow development, but a tropical or subtropical depression could form in this region over the weekend or early next week while the system drifts northward or northeastward. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible across portions of the southeast U.S., particularly across the west-central Florida coast." What Happens Next The NHC forecast says there is a 20 percent chance the storm will become tropical in the next 48 hours and a 60 percent chance it will do so in the next seven days.

Potential Tropical Storm Chantal Map Shows States at Risk
Potential Tropical Storm Chantal Map Shows States at Risk

Newsweek

time2 days ago

  • Climate
  • Newsweek

Potential Tropical Storm Chantal Map Shows States at Risk

Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Four states are at risk of seeing impacts from Tropical Storm Chantal should it form over the holiday weekend. AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva told Newsweek that if the storm appears this weekend, it will be well ahead of schedule for the season, as the average third storm of a hurricane season typically forms around August 3. Why It Matters If it forms, Tropical Storm Chantal will be the third named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, which began on June 1. The first storm, Tropical Storm Andrea, formed last week and caused no United States-related impacts. Tropical Storm Barry formed in the Bay of Campeche last weekend and impacted Eastern Mexico. What To Know The National Hurricane Center has been monitoring a disturbance near Florida throughout this week. The chances that the disturbance will form into a tropical storm have steadily increased. As of Wednesday afternoon, chances of formation within the next seven days were at 40 percent. On Tuesday, there was a 30 percent chance, and on Monday, a 20 percent chance. The chances that the storm will form within the next 48 hours remain near zero. The disturbance area has shifted slightly north, highlighting Florida and the southeast coast of Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina as having potential for development. A map from the National Hurricane Center shows Tropical Storm Chantal could form near four states this weekend. A map from the National Hurricane Center shows Tropical Storm Chantal could form near four states this weekend. National Hurricane Center DaSilva told Newsweek that AccuWeather anticipates the southeast coast of the U.S. has a higher chance of development compared to the Gulf side. If it forms, it will likely do so between July 5 and 7. Regardless, DaSilva said there will be a rainy weather pattern for Florida and parts of the U.S. Southeast this weekend. Rain could also hit the Carolinas. "It does not look like this is going to blow up into a hurricane or anything like that," DaSilva said. "The environmental conditions are not favorable for that." What People Are Saying The National Hurricane Center said in a forecast: "An area of low pressure could develop near the southeast U.S. Atlantic or Gulf coasts by this weekend along a weakening frontal boundary. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slow development, but a tropical or subtropical depression could form in this region over the weekend or early next week while the system moves little. "Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible across portions of the southeast U.S., particularly across the west-central Florida coast." AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva told Newsweek: "We call that homegrown development because it's basically developing close to home. This type of development is very common early in the season and also late in the season." DaSilva added, "There's nothing unusual about this. This is the area you'd be looking this time of the year." What Happens Next If the storm develops, it is expected to do so between July 5 and 7. Florida and the U.S. Southeast can expect a rainy weekend either way.

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