Latest news with #yuanloans
Reuters
6 days ago
- Business
- Reuters
China July bank loans unexpectedly contract for first time in 20 years
BEIJING, Aug 13 (Reuters) - China's new yuan loans contracted in July for the first time in 20 years as the economy struggled, falling well short of analysts' forecasts, but improvements in broader credit growth suggest the central bank is in no rush to ease policy. While new loans typically fall in July after strong gains in June when banks strive to meet quarterly targets, the latest reading was well below even the most pessimistic analyst's forecasts, pointing to weak private sector demand as Beijing tries to negotiate a durable trade deal with Washington. "The July credit data was weak, but money supply exceeded expectations, reflecting the impact of last year's low base and debt resolution efforts," said Xing Zhaopeng, senior China strategist at ANZ. "At present, monetary policy has entered a period of observation, and a rate cut is unlikely in the short term. From the perspective of liquidity needs, a reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut could also be delayed. Structural monetary policy remains the main tool for easing." New yuan loans contracted by 50 billion yuan ($6.97 billion) in July, falling well short of analysts' forecasts and plunging from 2.24 trillion yuan in June, according to Reuters calculations based on data released by the People's Bank of China. That marked the first contraction since July 2005 and the largest monthly decline since December 1999, according to central bank data. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected new yuan loans last month to reach 300 billion yuan, compared with 260 billion yuan a year ago. Along with seasonal trends which buoyed June's tally, credit demand also had rebounded sharply that month as sentiment improved following rounds of trade talks in Europe and a tentative easing of trade tensions with the U.S. The central bank does not provide monthly breakdowns. Reuters calculated the July figures based on the PBOC's January-July data released on Wednesday, compared with the January-June figure. In the first seven months of the year, banks extended 12.87 trillion yuan in new loans, versus 12.92 trillion yuan in January-June, implying a net reduction of 50 billion yuan in July. Banks issued 13.53 trillion yuan in new loans in the same period last year. Household loans contracted 489.3 billion yuan in July, versus a rise of 597.6 billion yuan in June, according to Reuters calculations, as a prolonged property market crisis showed no signs of easing. Corporate loans plunged to 60 billion yuan from 1.77 trillion yuan in June. The PBOC release did not give any explanations for changes in credit trends. China's economy slowed less than expected in the second quarter due in part to policy support and as factories took advantage of a U.S.-China trade truce to front-load shipments. But analysts warn the second half will be tougher as weak domestic demand, the property slump and rising global trade risks ramp up pressure on Beijing. The United States and China agreed early this week to extended their tariff truce for another 90 days, staving off triple-digit duties on each other's goods, but business confidence remains fragile, with some factories cutting selling prices, shifts and workers' pay. On Tuesday, China announced it would offer interest rate subsidies for businesses in eight consumer service sectors, as well as for individual consumers. Eligible businesses and consumers can receive an annual interest subsidy of one percentage point on loans. Beijing has ramped up infrastructure spending and consumer subsidies, alongside steady monetary easing. In May, the central bank cut interest rates and injected liquidity as part of broader efforts to cushion the economy from Trump's tariffs. Wednesday's data also showed outstanding yuan loans rose 6.9% in July from a year earlier, slowing from 7.1% in June and hitting a record low. Analysts had expected 7.0% growth. Broad M2 money supply grew 8.8% from a year earlier, above analysts' forecast of 8.2%. M2 expanded 8.3% in June. The narrower M1 money supply rose 5.6% year-on-year, compared with 4.6% in June. Outstanding total social financing (TSF), a broad measure of credit and liquidity in the economy, rose 9.0%, up from a 8.9% pace in June and hitting the highest since Febuary 2024. ($1 = 7.1752 Chinese yuan renminbi)
Reuters
09-06-2025
- Business
- Reuters
China's May lending seen tripling on monetary measures, trade truce
BEIJING, June 9 (Reuters) - China's new yuan loans more than tripled in May compared with a month ago, matching the borrowing appetite in the same period last year, as a temporary trade truce between China and the United States and new government measures helped boost credit demand. Chinese banks are estimated to have issued 850 billion yuan ($118.27 billion) in net new yuan loans last month, according to 18 economists polled by Reuters. April saw 280 billion yuan loans distributed. In mid-May, China and the United States struck a 90-day truce in their bruising tariff war and rolled back most of the triple-digit levies they heaped on each other's goods in early April. Adding to the positive sentiment was Beijing's raft of monetary easing measures last month including interest rate cuts and a major liquidity injection, though Citi Research analysts said the steps may not make an immediate impact on credit demand. "Bills discount rate stayed low in May, and we expect new RMB loans at RMB900 billion, largely in line with last May's level," Citi Research said in a note last week. New yuan loans in May are typically higher than in April as banks begin work to reach their quarterly loan targets. Factory activity at the world's largest manufacturing hub contracted for a second month in May, as trade tensions with the United States remain high and speculation mounts Beijing would roll out further stimulus measures to underpin economic growth. Adding to the external headwinds, frail domestic demand remains a major drag on the world's second-largest economy as households grapple with income pressure and keep a tight leash on spending. A phone call between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping on Thursday kept the lid on tensions but left key trade issues such as Beijing's control on rare earth exports and Washington's curbs on chip-related exports to further talks set to take place in London later on Monday. Broad M2 money supply, which measures cash in circulation, and a set of deposits including time deposits to corporates plus household savings, is expected to have increased 8.1% last month, up from the 8.0% in April. Outstanding yuan loans in May were seen matching the pace of growth in April at 7.2% from a year earlier, according to the poll. A broad measure of credit and liquidity that is Total Social Financing (TSF) likely grew to 2.3 trillion yuan in May from 1.16 trillion yuan in April, the poll showed. Any acceleration in government bond issuance could help boost growth in TSF. The measure includes off-balance-sheet forms of financing that exist outside the conventional bank lending system, such as initial public offerings, loans from trust companies and bond sales. ($1 = 7.1871 Chinese yuan renminbi)
Yahoo
09-06-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
China's May lending seen tripling on monetary measures, trade truce: Reuters poll
By Liz Lee BEIJING (Reuters) - China's new yuan loans more than tripled in May compared with a month ago, matching the borrowing appetite in the same period last year, as a temporary trade truce between China and the United States and new government measures helped boost credit demand. Chinese banks are estimated to have issued 850 billion yuan ($118.27 billion) in net new yuan loans last month, according to 18 economists polled by Reuters. April saw 280 billion yuan loans distributed. In mid-May, China and the United States struck a 90-day truce in their bruising tariff war and rolled back most of the triple-digit levies they heaped on each other's goods in early April. Adding to the positive sentiment was Beijing's raft of monetary easing measures last month including interest rate cuts and a major liquidity injection, though Citi Research analysts said the steps may not make an immediate impact on credit demand. "Bills discount rate stayed low in May, and we expect new RMB loans at RMB900 billion, largely in line with last May's level," Citi Research said in a note last week. New yuan loans in May are typically higher than in April as banks begin work to reach their quarterly loan targets. Factory activity at the world's largest manufacturing hub contracted for a second month in May, as trade tensions with the United States remain high and speculation mounts Beijing would roll out further stimulus measures to underpin economic growth. Adding to the external headwinds, frail domestic demand remains a major drag on the world's second-largest economy as households grapple with income pressure and keep a tight leash on spending. A phone call between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping on Thursday kept the lid on tensions but left key trade issues such as Beijing's control on rare earth exports and Washington's curbs on chip-related exports to further talks set to take place in London later on Monday. Broad M2 money supply, which measures cash in circulation, and a set of deposits including time deposits to corporates plus household savings, is expected to have increased 8.1% last month, up from the 8.0% in April. Outstanding yuan loans in May were seen matching the pace of growth in April at 7.2% from a year earlier, according to the poll. A broad measure of credit and liquidity that is Total Social Financing (TSF) likely grew to 2.3 trillion yuan in May from 1.16 trillion yuan in April, the poll showed. Any acceleration in government bond issuance could help boost growth in TSF. The measure includes off-balance-sheet forms of financing that exist outside the conventional bank lending system, such as initial public offerings, loans from trust companies and bond sales. ($1 = 7.1871 Chinese yuan renminbi) Sign in to access your portfolio
Yahoo
09-06-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
China's May lending seen tripling on monetary measures, trade truce: Reuters poll
By Liz Lee BEIJING (Reuters) - China's new yuan loans more than tripled in May compared with a month ago, matching the borrowing appetite in the same period last year, as a temporary trade truce between China and the United States and new government measures helped boost credit demand. Chinese banks are estimated to have issued 850 billion yuan ($118.27 billion) in net new yuan loans last month, according to 18 economists polled by Reuters. April saw 280 billion yuan loans distributed. In mid-May, China and the United States struck a 90-day truce in their bruising tariff war and rolled back most of the triple-digit levies they heaped on each other's goods in early April. Adding to the positive sentiment was Beijing's raft of monetary easing measures last month including interest rate cuts and a major liquidity injection, though Citi Research analysts said the steps may not make an immediate impact on credit demand. "Bills discount rate stayed low in May, and we expect new RMB loans at RMB900 billion, largely in line with last May's level," Citi Research said in a note last week. New yuan loans in May are typically higher than in April as banks begin work to reach their quarterly loan targets. Factory activity at the world's largest manufacturing hub contracted for a second month in May, as trade tensions with the United States remain high and speculation mounts Beijing would roll out further stimulus measures to underpin economic growth. Adding to the external headwinds, frail domestic demand remains a major drag on the world's second-largest economy as households grapple with income pressure and keep a tight leash on spending. A phone call between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping on Thursday kept the lid on tensions but left key trade issues such as Beijing's control on rare earth exports and Washington's curbs on chip-related exports to further talks set to take place in London later on Monday. Broad M2 money supply, which measures cash in circulation, and a set of deposits including time deposits to corporates plus household savings, is expected to have increased 8.1% last month, up from the 8.0% in April. Outstanding yuan loans in May were seen matching the pace of growth in April at 7.2% from a year earlier, according to the poll. A broad measure of credit and liquidity that is Total Social Financing (TSF) likely grew to 2.3 trillion yuan in May from 1.16 trillion yuan in April, the poll showed. Any acceleration in government bond issuance could help boost growth in TSF. The measure includes off-balance-sheet forms of financing that exist outside the conventional bank lending system, such as initial public offerings, loans from trust companies and bond sales. ($1 = 7.1871 Chinese yuan renminbi) Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Reuters
09-05-2025
- Business
- Reuters
China's April bank lending seen plunging from a month ago
BEIJING, May 9 (Reuters) - China's April new yuan loans probably shrank significantly from March levels as the trade war with the United States further weighed on the market at a traditionally quiet time of the year, according to a Reuters poll on Friday. Chinese banks are estimated to have issued 700 billion yuan ($96.58 billion) in net new yuan loans last month, less than one fifth of the 3.64 trillion yuan distributed in March, according to the median estimates of 17 economists. Analysts at Citi Research said new credit could be soft for April, calling it a typically "low season" for loan demand. Although, M1 and M2 supply could improve, they said. "Growth of monetary base and outstanding credit is set to jump in April with the low base from financial tightening last April kicking in," Citi said. The data is due to be released from May 10 to 15. Credit demand has fluctuated in the past few months, as borrowers' confidence tracks pledges made by Chinese policymakers to bolster an economy grappling with a prolonged property crisis, high local government debt and deflationary pressures. A tit-for-tat tariff dispute with the United States that escalated last month, on top of already cautious household and business spending, curbed the appetite for credit. China's manufacturing activity contracted at the fastest pace in 16 months in April, after the U.S. tariffs snapped two months of recovery. Still, China kept a growth target of around 5% this year, having promised more initiatives to support consumption. Beijing stepped up efforts to cushion the economic damage caused by the trade war with the U.S. this week, announcing a raft of stimulus measures, including interest rate cuts and a major liquidity injection. The announcements come ahead of a meeting between top U.S. and Chinese economic officials in Switzerland this weekend, seen as an opportunity to begin resolving duties on goods imports between the world's two largest economies that have soared well above 100%. Broad M2 money supply last month is expected to have grown 7.3%, up from the 7.0% in March. Outstanding yuan loans probably rose 7.4% in April from a year earlier, the poll showed, matching the 7.4% pace in March. Total Social Financing (TSF), a broad measure of credit and liquidity, likely grew to 1.22 trillion yuan in April from 5.89 trillion yuan in March, the poll showed. Any acceleration in government bond issuance could help boost growth in TSF. The measure includes off-balance-sheet forms of financing that exist outside the conventional bank lending system, such as initial public offerings, loans from trust companies and bond sales. ($1 = 7.2478 Chinese yuan renminbi)
