logo
Centre proposes fewer GST rates: only 5% & 18% to remain, tax on common-use items slashed

Centre proposes fewer GST rates: only 5% & 18% to remain, tax on common-use items slashed

The Hindu3 days ago
The Centre has proposed to reduce the number of slabs under the Goods and Services Tax system, retaining the 5% and 18% slabs, while introducing a lower concessional rate below 1% and a high 'sin rate' of 40% on just five to seven items, according to official sources.
This would entail entirely doing away with the 12% and 28% tax brackets. Of these, 99% of items currently in the 12% slab will be moved to the 5% rate and 90% of goods and services in the 28% bracket will move to 18%. There will be no cess of any kind over and above the GST rates.
These reforms would be part of a 'Deepavali gift' from the Centre in the form of 'next-generation GST reforms', Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced during his Independence Day speech at Delhi's Red Fort on Friday. The reforms will bring down 'tax burden on the common man', he added.
'There will of course be a hit to revenue, but it will not be so huge as to materially affect the fiscal deficit,' an official said. 'The thinking is that the lower rates will increase consumption, reduce evasion, and widen the tax net, which will increase revenues by the end of the financial year.'
Up to the States now
The Ministry of Finance, in a press release issued soon after the speech, said that the Union government has sent its proposal on GST rate rationalisation and reforms to the Group of Ministers (GoM), which has been constituted by the GST Council to examine the issue.
It added that the GST Council would deliberate in its next meeting — likely be held in September or October, according to sources — on the recommendations of the GoM and would strive to implement the bulk of the reforms within this financial year.
The Centre would be engaging with the States over the next few weeks to achieve a consensus on these reforms. The reason the Centre had to put forth such a proposal in the first place, the source confirmed, was because the GoM tasked with simplifying the GST only comprises representatives of the States.
'Even though the Centre is part of the GST Council, it has no voice when it comes to these changes, such as rate rationalisation or what happens with insurance,' a source explained. 'And so we had to submit our proposal to the GoM.'
It is now up to the States to accept or reject the proposals, the source added.
Revenue impact
According to sources, the 28% tax slab currently accounts for 11% of the revenue from the GST, the 12% slab accounts for 5%, and the 5% slab accounts for 7% of the revenue. The bulk of the revenue — around 67% — comes from the 18% slab.
The Centre has also proposed that the rates on aspirational items, such as white goods, would be reduced. Air conditioners are currently taxed at 28%, which will see a reduction, while other white goods currently taxed at 18% could potentially see their rates reduced as well. This includes daily-use items such as toothpaste, soap, and shampoo.
'A few years ago, the Reserve Bank of India calculated that the average GST rate in India had settled at 11.6%, which will now substantially come down,' the first source explained. 'The idea is that similar items will be taxed the same, so, for example, all namkeen (savouries) will be taxed at the same rate.'
They added that there would be only five to seven 'sin goods', such as tobacco and gutka, in the 40% category, while the concessional rate of less than 1% would apply to the few items that are currently taxed below 5% and above 0%. These include precious metals like gold and silver (currently taxed at 3%) and semi-precious stones (currently taxed at 0.25%).
'Nothing has been added to this list of concessionary items,' the source asserted.
Other reforms
To promote 'ease of living', the Centre has proposed using technology to speed up and ease the GST registration process and implement pre-filled returns, thus reducing manual intervention and eliminating mismatches, while refunds could be processed in a faster and more automated manner.
'One of the more consequential proposals in terms of ease of living is to correct the inverted duty structure for most goods since this was leading to working capital issues,' a source explained.
An inverted duty structure is when the tax rate of a product is lower than the tax rate of the inputs that go into its production. The government reimburses companies for this inversion, but delays for any reason lead to the companies' working capital being locked up, which affects their ability to invest in new business.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Stock Market Strategy: Emkay Global raises Nifty 50 target to 28,000 as GST reforms seen as major market trigger
Stock Market Strategy: Emkay Global raises Nifty 50 target to 28,000 as GST reforms seen as major market trigger

Mint

time22 minutes ago

  • Mint

Stock Market Strategy: Emkay Global raises Nifty 50 target to 28,000 as GST reforms seen as major market trigger

Prime Minister Narendra Modi's announcement of a significant Goods and Services Tax (GST) reform to be rolled out by Diwali, made during his Independence Day speech on August 15, 2025, is growth-accretive and likely to be a major market driver, according to Seshadri Sen, Head of Research and Strategist at Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd. Emkay Global has raised its Nifty 50 target to 28,000 for September 2026 and recommends investors focus on autos and cement to play this theme. 'The second-order benefits of the GST rationalization are key: this speeds up formalization of the economy and improves competitiveness of Indian companies. We think the government should absorb the revenue loss through the higher deficit, as the growth accretion will cover the shortfall within 2-3 years,' Sen said in a report. According to reports, the government is likely to rationalize the GST structure for essential and daily-use items, with the aim of reducing the tax burden on households and stimulating consumption demand. The proposed changes include eliminating the 12% and 28% GST slabs and consolidating products under three categories: > 5%: Most items currently in the 12% slab (around 99%) > 18%: Around 90% of items from the 28% slab > 40%: Luxury and sin goods Sen noted that this move is a 'massive positive' for India as it provides a consumption stimulus, simplifies compliance with fewer tax rates, and promotes greater formalization of the economy by reducing the incentive for tax evasion. Passenger vehicles, two-wheelers, air conditioners, cement, and packaged foods are expected to benefit the most from the reform. Sen highlighted that the best strategy would be to invest in companies catering to mass-market segments within these categories. Emkay Global's preferred picks include Hero MotoCorp, Maruti Suzuki India, Voltas, and Ultratech Cement, with Bikaji Foods as a small-cap idea. The brokerage expects earnings upgrades of 10–15% for companies in these sectors, even though the direct impact on Nifty earnings will be modest (less than 1%). The brokerage estimates a fiscal slippage of 0.1% – 0.2% of GDP for FY26 and FY27, which could be partly offset by buoyancy and asset sales. 'The government should look through near-term fiscal slippage; India's complex GST is a millstone around the growth neck, and rationalization is worth the risk. Strong macro-financial stability, highlighted by the recent ratings upgrade, makes this the perfect time to push this through,' Sen said. Emkay acknowledged that the 50% tariffs imposed by the US on Indian goods remain a key overhang. However, S&P's decision to upgrade India's sovereign rating to BBB on August 14, 2025, provides a significant counterbalance. 'This is a timely recognition of India's fortress balance sheet and will serve to calm potential investor fears around the impact of elevated US tariffs. It also, we believe, gives the government more freedom to risk a higher fiscal deficit through GST rationalization,' Sen added. Calling GST rationalization a 're-rating trigger,' Emkay Global expects the reform to deliver long-term growth benefits and revive earnings momentum. The brokerage has raised its Nifty 50 target to 28,000, valuing it at an aggressive 20.7x one-year forward P/E ratio, which is one standard deviation above the five-year average. 'The GST rationalization offsets near-term worries on weak growth and tepid earnings. The six-week downtrend should now reverse, as the outlook for earnings improves considerably, and valuations will factor in the broader positives of this big-ticket reform measure,' Sen said. Emkay remains Overweight on Consumer Discretionary, while favoring small and mid-cap names in staples and cement within the materials space. Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, and not of Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.

Hyundai Motor share price jumps 10% in biggest 1-day spike since listing on potential GST cut
Hyundai Motor share price jumps 10% in biggest 1-day spike since listing on potential GST cut

Mint

time22 minutes ago

  • Mint

Hyundai Motor share price jumps 10% in biggest 1-day spike since listing on potential GST cut

Hyundai Motor India, one of the country's leading passenger vehicle makers, saw its shares surge 10% in intraday trade on Monday, August 18, hitting a fresh all-time high of ₹ 2,464 apiece. Today's rally also marked the biggest single day jump for the stock since its listing in October 2024. The surge came amid broad-based buying across auto stocks after the Indian government proposed reducing the GST rate on automobiles to 18% from the current 28%. Analysts believe the move could lead to lower prices and potentially revive sales, which have been under pressure in recent quarters due to weak urban consumption demand. To offset sluggish domestic sales, companies like Hyundai Motor have increasingly turned to exports to sustain growth. However, the proposed GST cut came as timely relief, especially after Indian auto exports to the US were recently hit with a 50% tariff. The proposed tax reforms also come just ahead of the festive season, a crucial period for auto sales in India. The government has been taking significant measures to revive domestic consumption, with the proposed GST reforms following earlier Union Budget measures such as income tax cuts. Prime Minister Narendra Modi, in his Independence Day address, announced 'GST Reforms 2.0,' aimed at rationalizing rates into two slabs versus the existing four (excluding sin goods). 'Autos fall under the 28% GST bracket. If autos move to 18% and we see sharp price drops, this could drive the next auto upcycle, similar to 2008,' said Morgan Stanley. 'Currently, GST on passenger vehicles ranges from 29% to 50%, as a cess is imposed on top of GST based on the vehicle's size and engine capacity. In the new regime, the government may reduce the tax on smaller cars to 18% (from 28%) and move bigger cars to a 'special rate' of 40% while scrapping the cess. This could lower prices of smaller cars by around 8% and larger cars by 3–5%,' said HSBC. Domestic brokerage Motilal Oswal added that nearly 99% of goods currently in the 12% slab (standard goods) may be shifted to the 5% slab, reducing retail prices by 4–5% and easing household budgets. Similarly, 90% of goods in the 28% slab are likely to move to 18%, further boosting consumption. The proposals and finer details are likely to be approved by the GST Council in early 3QFY26. The Finance Ministry has indicated a ₹ 500 billion impact on tax revenue, which appears manageable, said the brokerage. The stock, which made its debut on the Indian stock market in October 2024, stayed largely inactive for nearly seven months before gaining momentum in May. This rally continued in the subsequent months, allowing it to cross its IPO price of ₹ 1,960 for the first time in early June, a level it has held since. At current levels, the stock is trading 26% higher than its IPO price. The bullish momentum in Hyundai Motor's share price is being supported by strong technical indicators, positive outlooks from leading brokerages, and improving sentiment in the broader Indian market. Together, these factors have helped the stock break out of its consolidation phase, delivering solid returns to IPO investors who remained invested. Disclaimer: This story is for educational purposes only. The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, and not of Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.

EC 'deleting' names of backward community voters: Akhilesh Yadav
EC 'deleting' names of backward community voters: Akhilesh Yadav

Time of India

timean hour ago

  • Time of India

EC 'deleting' names of backward community voters: Akhilesh Yadav

Samajwadi Party chief Akhilesh Yadav on Monday accused the Election Commission of deleting names of voters belonging to backward communities and acting in favour of the ruling BJP . Independence Day 2025 Modi signals new push for tech independence with local chips Before Trump, British used tariffs to kill Indian textile Bank of Azad Hind: When Netaji Subhas Chandra Bose gave India its own currency Speaking to reporters in Parliament complex, Yadav alleged that names of voters belonging to several backward groups, including the Maurya, Pal, Bhagel and Rathore communities, were being struck off the rolls to benefit the BJP. "The truth is their votes are being deleted. The SP raised this issue earlier also, but it is important to understand that this is done deliberately to cut the votes of backward classes, while projecting that these votes are going elsewhere," the former Uttar Pradesh chief minister said. Yadav claimed his party had identified constituencies where they lost by a narrow margin and where voter deletions played a role. "This is what we could identify in a short time. If we receive the voter lists in the format we want, we can provide more such cases. Votes cast in 2019 were deleted by 2022. There is also a proper procedure for creating a voter ID , but that is being ignored," he charged. Live Events The former chief minister demanded strict action against erring officials. "Our demand is simple that suspend even one district officer who is responsible. If you do this, not a single vote will be cut anywhere in the country. Show us if in 2019, 2022 or 2024, even one officer was removed for such lapses. Since the BJP came to power in Uttar Pradesh, not a single officer has been punished, no matter how many complaints are filed. Why is that? It means the EC listens more to the BJP," Yadav charged. He also cited a case where, according to him, a BJP legislator had created 400 fake votes at her booth, forcing the SP to get over 200 of them removed. "This kind of verification is being done by political parties, but why does not the EC conduct such an exercise?" he said. Criticising the way officials are appointed during elections, Yadav objected to alleged caste-based selections. "Our demand is very clear that don't appoint Booth Level Officers (BLOs) on the basis of caste, don't appoint presiding officers on caste basis. It appears as if the ruling party decides which official suits them best," he said.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store