
Oil edges lower as trade war concerns increase worries about fuel demand
edged down on Tuesday as concerns the brewing trade war between major crude consumers the U.S. and the European Union will curb
fuel demand
growth by lowering
economic activity
weighed on investor sentiment.
Brent crude futures
fell 24 cents, or 0.35%, to $68.97 a barrel by 0055 GMT after settling 0.1% lower on Monday.
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U.S. West Texas Intermediate
crude was at $66.99 a barrel, down 21 cents, or 0.31%, following a 0.2% loss in the previous session.
The August WTI contract expires on Tuesday and the more active September contract was down 23 cents, or 0.35%, to $65.72 a barrel.
Still, the oil market has struggled to find any direction since the ceasefire on June 24 ending the conflict between Israel and Iran removed concerns about major supply disruptions in the key Middle East producing region.
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Since then, Brent has traded in a range of $5.19 and WTI in a range of $5.65 as supply concerns have been alleviated by major producers raising output and investors are increasingly worried about the global economy amid U.S. trade policy changes. However, a weaker
U.S. dollar
has provided some backing for crude as buyers using other currencies are paying relatively less.
Prices have slipped "as
trade war concerns
offset the support by a softer (U.S. dollar)," IG market analyst Tony Sycamore wrote in a note.
Sycamore also pointed to the possibility of an escalation in the trade dispute between the U.S. and the EU over
tariffs
.
The EU is exploring a broader set of possible counter-measures against the United States as prospects for an acceptable trade agreement with Washington fade, according to EU diplomats. The U.S. has threatened to impose a 30% tariff on EU imports on August 1 if a deal is not reached.
There are also signs rising supply has entered the market as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies unwind output cuts.
Saudi Arabia's crude oil exports in May rose to their highest in three months, data from the Joint Organizations Data Initiative (JODI) showed on Monday.
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Indian Express
19 minutes ago
- Indian Express
French ministers say EU-US trade deal has merits but is also unbalanced
French government ministers said a framework trade deal between the United States and European Union had some merits – such as exemptions for some key French business sectors such as spirits – but was nevertheless unbalanced. 'The trade agreement negotiated by the European Commission with the United States will bring temporary stability to economic actors threatened by the escalation of American tariffs, but it is unbalanced,' wrote French European Affairs Minister Benjamin Haddad on X. That view was echoed by France's industry minister Marc Ferracci, who said more talks – which could last weeks or months – would be needed before the deal could be formally concluded. Ferracci told RTL radio that more needed to be done in terms of rebalancing the EU's trade relations with the U.S. 'This is not the end of the story,' Ferracci told RTL.
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First Post
19 minutes ago
- First Post
Trump strikes 'biggest ever' trade deal with EU: Here's what we know, what we don't
The US and European Union have struck a landmark trade deal imposing a 15 per cent tariff on most EU goods, averting Trump's threatened 30 per cent levy. The agreement promises $750 billion in US energy sales and $600 billion in EU investments, but leaves key issues unresolved read more The United States and the European Union have struck one of the most consequential trade agreements in recent years. Announced by US President Donald Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen during Trump's visit to Scotland, the pact establishes a 15 per cent tariff on most EU exports to America, replacing the looming threat of a 30 per cent levy that would have taken effect on August 1. While hailed as a breakthrough, the framework leaves crucial gaps unresolved. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Both sides have presented the deal as a way to prevent a transatlantic trade confrontation, yet analysts are now parsing the details to understand exactly what has been agreed — and where negotiations must continue. The headline numbers: a 15 per cent tariff, billions in investment and major energy commitments. At the centre of the announcement is a 15 per cent tariff applied to 'the vast majority' of European goods shipped to the US — a rate lower than Trump's earlier proposals of 20 per cent and subsequent threats of 50 per cent and then 30 per cent, but still a dramatic jump from the near-zero tariff environment that existed before Trump's return to the White House. The deal is tied to two large European commitments. First, von der Leyen confirmed that the EU would purchase $750 billion (638 billion euros) worth of US natural gas, oil, and nuclear fuel, part of its continuing effort to pivot away from Russian energy sources. Second, European entities would invest $600 billion (511 billion euros) into the US economy, though the sources of this investment have not yet been disclosed. Standing alongside von der Leyen in Scotland, Trump celebrated the outcome, saying: 'I think this is the biggest deal ever made,' and praised the agreement as an expansion of US-EU ties. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD He argued that the deal would benefit both sides, claiming it would stabilise trade and create new opportunities for American farmers, energy companies and manufacturers. Von der Leyen, who led months of complex negotiations on behalf of the European Commission, described Trump as a 'tough negotiator' and acknowledged the compromise: 'The 15% rate was the best we could do.' She added that the deal would 'bring stability' and 'predictability' for companies on both sides of the Atlantic. Zero tariffs on these 'strategic' goods Although the 15 per cent tariff applies broadly — including on key sectors like cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals — there are notable carve-outs. Both sides agreed to zero tariffs on certain 'strategic' goods: Aircraft and aircraft parts Select chemicals Some generic drugs Semiconductor production equipment A range of agricultural items Critical raw materials and natural resources Von der Leyen stressed that the list is not final: 'We will keep working to add more products to this list.' Even with these exemptions, major questions linger. Tariff treatment for spirits remains unresolved, an issue of particular sensitivity given its impact on producers and consumers in both the US and the EU. Pharmaceuticals — a massive trade category — were intentionally left off the main deal. 'Pharmaceuticals were on a separate sheet of paper,' von der Leyen explained, meaning discussions will continue separately. A major flashpoint is steel. Trump made clear that his administration's 50 per cent tariff on imported steel — introduced earlier as part of his broader trade agenda — would remain in place. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Von der Leyen signalled a willingness to keep talking about potentially replacing that tariff with a quota system, which would cap the amount of steel allowed into the US at lower duty rates. What this means for Americans & Europeans While the 15 per cent tariff avoided the heavier blow of 30 per cent, it still represents a seismic change. Prior to Trump's presidency, average US tariffs on European goods hovered around 1–1.5 per cent; the European Union's own tariffs on American products were similarly low. Trump himself had instituted a 10 per cent 'baseline tariff' while negotiations were ongoing — high enough that the European Commission downgraded its 2025 growth forecast from 1.3 per cent to 0.9 per cent earlier this year. The new tariff effectively cements that higher-cost reality. Import taxes of this scale force two choices for companies selling into the US market: raise prices for American consumers — risking market share — or absorb the cost through lower profit margins. European exporters are bracing for the impact. The Federation of German Industries warned of serious consequences, with senior official Wolfgang Niedermark stating: 'Even a 15 per cent tariff rate will have immense negative effects on export-oriented German industry.' STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Trump insists that the tariffs are a tool for fairness, pointing to the long-standing trade imbalance between the two economies. Before his return to office, the US-EU trade relationship — worth around €1.7 trillion ($2 trillion) annually — was largely balanced in services but heavily tilted in goods: in 2024, the EU posted a €198 billion trade surplus with the US. How Europe has reacted Reactions in Europe have been cautious but largely positive — driven by relief that a full-scale trade war has been avoided. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz welcomed the outcome, saying it prevented 'an unnecessary escalation in transatlantic trade relations' and preserved 'our core interests.' He added, however, that 'I would have very much wished for further relief in transatlantic trade.' Markets showed mild optimism. The euro rose about 0.2 per cent against the dollar, sterling, and yen within an hour of the announcement — a sign that investors were reassured by the removal of Trump's August 1 tariff threat. Economists, however, are urging caution. Carsten Brzeski, global chief of macroeconomics at ING, summed up the hesitation, 'The big caveat to today's deal is that there is nothing on paper, yet. With this disclaimer in mind and at face value, today's agreement would clearly bring an end to the uncertainty of recent months. An escalation of the US-EU trade tensions would have been a severe risk for the global economy. This risk seems to have been avoided.' STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD What about the auto industry Among the industries most affected by Trump's tariffs is the European auto sector. Until now, European carmakers had been paying a 27.5 per cent tariff — made up of Trump's 25 per cent tariff on all imported cars plus the preexisting 2.5 per cent duty. The new agreement cuts that total to 15 per cent, a meaningful reduction but still far above historical norms. Von der Leyen pointed out that the new rate is 'much lower' than the current burden, making it easier for carmakers to sell into the US. Yet for major automakers, the damage has already been done. Volkswagen reported a €1.3 billion ($1.5 billion) hit to profits in the first half of 2025 alone due to higher tariffs. Mercedes-Benz, while somewhat shielded by its Tuscaloosa, Alabama production plant — which makes 35 per cent of Mercedes vehicles sold in the US — warned of 'significant increases' in car prices in coming years. Dealers have said they are holding prices steady 'until further notice,' but acknowledge hikes are coming. Japan deal with a lot of holes The new EU agreement resembles the framework Trump struck with Japan a week earlier, which carried a $550 billion price tag. Like that deal, the EU pact leaves major details unsettled and is being cast by the White House as a victory in its push to 'rebalance' global trade. Trump has long argued that the EU was formed to disadvantage the US economically. He has claimed that tariffs have generated 'hundreds of billions of dollars' in revenue for the American government and dismissed warnings from economists about inflationary effects. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD This latest deal fits into his administration's broader goal of signing '90 deals in 90 days' — a goal officials admit hasn't been met, but which has already yielded agreements with UK, Japan, Indonesia and Vietnam. Senior US officials underscored the scale of this latest accord. 'Remember, their economy is $20 trillion … they are five times bigger than Japan,' one official said during a briefing to reporters. 'So the opportunity of opening their market is enormous for our farmers, our fishermen, our ranchers, all our industrial products, all our businesses.' Why the deal is still incomplete Not every issue was resolved in Scotland. Spirits remain a particularly thorny topic, with both US bourbon makers and European wine and liquor producers awaiting clarity on whether they will face tariffs. Steel and aluminium, too, remain at the top of the agenda. Trump is keeping the 50 per cent steel tariff intact, while the EU is pushing for talks to turn it into a quota-based system. There's also the question of pharmaceuticals and non-tariff barriers. US officials claim Europe has agreed to reduce some of these regulatory barriers for automobiles and certain agricultural goods — but EU officials counter that the specifics are still under discussion. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Trump has also reserved the right to raise tariffs again if the EU fails to follow through on its investment and energy-buying pledges, according to senior administration figures. The US and EU together represent 44 per cent of global GDP, and their trade flows total nearly €1.7 trillion ($2 trillion) annually. For decades, this partnership thrived on low tariffs and deep economic integration, with US goods tariffs averaging 1.47 per cent and EU tariffs on U.S. products averaging 1.35 per cent, according to the Brussels-based Bruegel think tank. Trump's tariffs — starting with steel, then cars, and now a sweeping 15 per cent rate — have disrupted that status quo. With inputs from agencies


Time of India
19 minutes ago
- Time of India
Heineken sees beer sales dip but keeps profit outlook
Heineken, the world's second-largest brewer, reported a dip in beer sales for the first half of the year due to declining demand in Europe and the US, despite growth in Asian markets like Vietnam and India. Total sales reached 14.2 billion euros, with operating profits slightly exceeding expectations. Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Dutch brewer Heineken sold less beer in the first half of the year, it announced Monday, as a slump in sales in Europe and the US failed to offset better performance in Asia. Global beer volumes for the world's second-biggest brewer after AB InBev came in at 116.4 million hectolitres, compared with 118.2 million in the first six months of was also below the 117.0 million hectolitres expected in analysts' forecasts published by the company."Notable growth in Vietnam, India... and Mexico was more than offset by declines in Brazil, the US, and parts of Europe," said the firm in a company, whose brands include Amstel, Kingfisher, and Savanna cider, maintained its full-year outlook for a gain of between four and eight percent in operating profits, its preferred Chief Executive Officer Dolf van den Brink welcomed the deal clinched late Sunday between the EU and the United States that averted a possible trade war."I think it's good that the uncertainty ends that. Further escalation has been avoided. We have now clarity going forward for Heineken," he told said the impact of the tariffs -- a flat 15-percent rate for most EU goods into the US -- had already been baked into their profit all of its products -- 95 percent said the CEO -- were manufactured and sold in local markets, so tariffs do not apply."As such, the impact for us is manageable," he said total sales were 14.2 billion euros in the first half year, compared with 14.8 billion euros in the first six months of was roughly in line with firm said this represented "organic growth" -- stripping out the impact of currency fluctuations -- of 2.1 profits excluding exceptional items and amortisation -- the firm's preferred measure -- came in at 2.0 billion euros, fractionally above expectations.