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Charting the Global Economy: A split Bank of England cuts rates

Charting the Global Economy: A split Bank of England cuts rates

Time of India11 hours ago
The
Bank of England
reduced interest rates to a more than two-year low in a closer-than-expected decision that leaves investors with what Governor Andrew Bailey called 'genuine uncertainty' on its next move.
In the US, the services sector effectively stagnated last month as sluggish demand and higher input costs prompted companies to reduce employment — the latest evidence of a slowing economy.
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Here are some of the charts that appeared on Bloomberg this week on the latest developments in the
global economy
, markets and geopolitics:
by Taboola
by Taboola
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Europe
Bloomberg
In a judgment that pitted the prospect of inflation hitting 4% against a weakening jobs market, five members of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee split 5-to-4 in favor of reducing rates by a quarter-point to 4% after deadlock forced it into an unprecedented second vote. The prospect of another reduction this year is now shrouded in doubt. It was the first time in the panel's 28-year history that two rounds of voting were needed for a presentable outcome on rates.
Bloomberg
German industrial production suffered its biggest drop in almost a year, raising the prospect that Europe's largest economy shrank last quarter by even more than initially estimated.
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US
Bloomberg
President Donald Trump declared plans for a 100% tariff on semiconductor imports while promising to exempt companies such as Apple Inc. that move production back to the US, triggering a scramble among trading partners and companies worldwide to make sense of the threat.
Bloomberg
The US services sector effectively stagnated in July as firms — faced with tepid demand and rising costs — reduced headcount. The Institute for Supply Management's index of services declined last month to 50.1, below all estimates in a Bloomberg survey of economists. Readings above 50 indicate expansion.
Bloomberg
The share of consumer debt in serious delinquency rose in the second quarter to the highest level since early 2020, reflecting a record surge in past-due student-loan debt. In a briefing with reporters, New York Fed researchers said student-loan delinquencies would likely continue to rise, eventually returning to pre-pandemic levels.
Asia
Bloomberg
China's export growth unexpectedly accelerated last month in the fastest gain since April, as demand from around the world compensated for the continued slump in shipments to the US.
Bloomberg
Japan's household spending rose in June for a second month in a show of some resilience despite persistent inflation. Outlays by households adjusted for inflation increased 1.3% from a year ago, led by spending on transportation and housing related costs.
Bloomberg
Vietnam's exports jumped more than expected in July, with buyers racing to avoid a 20% tariff on the country's exports to the US. The Southeast Asian nation, an export powerhouse that sells everything from coffee and clothing to engine parts, has been shipping more goods this year to buyers aiming to avoid US tariffs.
Emerging Markets
Bloomberg
Brazil is hosting COP30, the world's most important climate conference, this fall, while its state-owned oil company is moving a giant drillship to a site just over 100 miles off the coast of the Amazon rainforest in a desperate hunt for more crude — one it hopes will save the production of the nation's biggest export — from plunging in the 2030s. A discovery would support the nation's shrinking trade surplus, attract investments and boost royalty payments to a government afflicted by budget constraints.
Bloomberg
Indonesia's economy is growing at its fastest pace in two years. Not all consumers are buying it.
World
Bloomberg
Aside from the BOE, officials in Mexico and Lesotho lowered interest rates. Central banks in Armenia, India, Serbia, the Czech Republic, Madagascar and Romania held rates steady.
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Most richly-valued company in S&P 500 Index, Palantir's Tech Inc.'s gain nears 2,500%
Most richly-valued company in S&P 500 Index, Palantir's Tech Inc.'s gain nears 2,500%

Hindustan Times

timea few seconds ago

  • Hindustan Times

Most richly-valued company in S&P 500 Index, Palantir's Tech Inc.'s gain nears 2,500%

Palantir Technologies Inc.'s meteoric rise is pushing the company's valuation further into record territory, forcing bullish investors to bank on increasingly robust future growth to justify its current level. Palantir bulls are betting that the company's business performance will support its stock price over the long term, a path taken by many of today's Big Tech elite.(Bloomberg/Representative file image) Shares of the defense maker closed at another all-time high Friday, bringing gains since its 2021 debut to near 2,500%. The stock is up almost 150% this year, a rally underpinned by the company's growing use of artificial intelligence, business ties to the US government and most recently, a stellar earnings report. That surge has made Palantir eye-wateringly expensive compared to its peers: trading at 245 times forward earnings, it is the most richly-valued company in the S&P 500 Index. By comparison, chipmaker Nvidia Corp., another big gainer, trades at just 35 times forward earnings. Palantir is 'turning into a bit of a difficult valuation story to sell, but it's a great company,' said Mark Giarelli of Morningstar Investment Service, who has sell-equivalent rating on the stock. The valuation 'causes heartburn, but that's the story right now.' Plenty of Wall Street pros and retail investors alike are happy to hang on for now, wary of missing out on further upside. Still, it's getting hard for them to ignore the increasingly high bar Palantir must meet to justify its performance over the longer term. Damian Reimertz of Bloomberg Intelligence estimates the company would need to generate $60 billion over the next 12 months to trade at a comparable valuation to its peers. That calculation — based on a comparison of the software companies' enterprise value-to-sales ratio — is many times higher than the $4 billion in revenues Wall Street expects Palantir to earn in fiscal 2025 or the $5.7 billion analysts forecast for next year. Valuation is also a sticking point for Gil Luria, managing director and head of technology research at DA Davidson & Co. Luria praised Palantir's quarterly results and called it 'the best story in all of software' in a recent note. But he estimates that the company would have to grow at 50% annually for the next five years and maintain a 50% margin in order to get its forward price to earnings ratio down to 30, in line with the likes of Microsoft Corp. and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. Palantir's adjusted earnings per share are expected to grow at a 56% rate this year, falling to 31% and 33% in the next two years, respectively. In a broader sign of Wall Street's unease, more than twice as many analysts assign the stock sell or hold ratings than buy, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Still, Palantir's shares have become a must-own for portfolio managers concerned with beating performance benchmarks, said David Wagner of Aptus Capital Advisors, which holds shares of the company. 'There's a lot of investors that just can't ignore it,' said Wagner. 'They don't believe in the stock, but they're tired of it just hurting them on a relative performance standpoint.' 'Squint Your Eyes' Palantir bulls are betting that the company's business performance will support its stock price over the long term, a path taken by many of today's Big Tech elite. Online streamer Netflix Inc., for instance, traded north of 280 times forward earnings at a 2015 peak, and now stands at a forward P/E of 40. 'Definitely Palantir is part of that AI craze, but not everything that goes to a valuation of 200 is a bubble,' said Que Nguyen, chief investment officer of equity strategies at Research Affiliates, referring to Netflix. Brent Bracelin at Piper Sandler boosted his price target on shares to $182 from $170 following earnings and maintained his overweight rating. He is counting on the company to continue growing aggressively and sustain high free cash flow margins through 2030, aided by a market for defense spending estimated at $1 trillion in the US alone. 'You have to squint your eyes. You kind of have to believe that these audacious growth goals can be achieved,' he said. Of course, there are numerous examples of stock rallies that cooled when companies couldn't meet Wall Street's elevated expectations. Shares of Tesla Inc. are down nearly 20% this year, in part because the company's results aren't keeping pace with its lofty valuation of about 148 times forward earnings. While Palantir aced its most recent earnings report, its high valuation could exacerbate a selloff if the company stumbles in the future, said Morningstar's Giarelli. 'Palantir is trading at such a high multiple relative to everyone else that there's just so much gravity underneath their stock chart,' he said. 'There's a lot of room below the stock chart for it to reprice in a negative way because it's had such a stellar run.' For Mark Malek, chief investment officer at Siebert Financial, valuations remain a concern. Still, Palantir's potential for growth has kept him holding on to the stock. 'It's uncomfortable to buy it at these levels, but we're not afraid to buy when stocks are overvalued,' he said. 'Where else are you finding 30% growth rates out there?'

Vande Bharat Express enroute Amritsar from Mata Vaishno Devi Katra reaches destination after PM Modi flags off train
Vande Bharat Express enroute Amritsar from Mata Vaishno Devi Katra reaches destination after PM Modi flags off train

Time of India

time18 minutes ago

  • Time of India

Vande Bharat Express enroute Amritsar from Mata Vaishno Devi Katra reaches destination after PM Modi flags off train

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Samsung Galaxy S26 Ultra: Expected launch date, price, specifications, features, design & everything you need to know
Samsung Galaxy S26 Ultra: Expected launch date, price, specifications, features, design & everything you need to know

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