Havilah Resources' (ASX:HAV) Profits May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential

Yahoo

18-04-2025

Shareholders didn't seem to be thrilled with Havilah Resources Limited's (ASX:HAV) recent earnings report, despite healthy profit numbers. We think that they might be concerned about some underlying details that our analysis found.
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To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. Havilah Resources expanded the number of shares on issue by 7.1% over the last year. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out Havilah Resources' historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
Three years ago, Havilah Resources lost money. The good news is that profit was up 8.1% in the last twelve months. But EPS was less impressive, up only 5.7% in that time. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.
Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Havilah Resources can grow EPS persistently. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Havilah Resources.
Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted Havilah Resources' net profit by AU$2.3m over the last year. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. We can see that Havilah Resources' positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to January 2025. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
To sum it all up, Havilah Resources got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. And furthermore, it went and issued plenty of new shares, ensuring that each shareholder (who did not tip more money in) now owns a smaller proportion of the company. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Havilah Resources' statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (1 is significant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Havilah Resources.
Our examination of Havilah Resources has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.