ASX soars on interest rate cut speculation
The benchmark ASX 200 index gained 37.70 points or 0.43 per cent to 8844.80, after briefly touching a record intraday high of 88852.30 points.
The broader All Ordinaries also gained 41 points or 0.45 per cent to 9117.60.
The Aussie dollar last traded around US65.26c.
On an overall positive day, nine of the 11 sectors gained, led by the materials, consumer staples, healthcare and major banks.
Lithium miners led the gains with Mineral Resources up 12.18 per cent to $38.12, Pilbara Minerals soaring 19.69 per cent to $2.31 and Liontown Resources jumping 18.34 per cent to $1.
Investors bought the sector on the back of Chinese battery giant Contemporary Amperex Technology suspending production at one of its key mining sites.
Iron ore miners jumped after futures markets lifted the price of the commodity by 1.1 per cent after Beijing scrapped longstanding restrictions on the number of homes that city residents can buy in a suburban area.
BHP gained 1.64 per cent to $40.87, Rio Tinto finished 1.47 per cent higher at $115.29 and Fortescue soared more than three per cent to $19.42.
It was also a strong day for the big four banks.
CBA jumped 1.13 per cent to $178.60, NAB gained 0.86 per cent to $38.82, Westpac climbed 1.93 per cent to $34.31 and ANZ finished in the green up 1.17 per cent to $31.24.
Moomoo chief executive Michael McCarthy said Monday's jump was on the back of rates, with a refusal to move on them tomorrow afternoon likely to heavily impact the market.
'There are very high expectations of an interest rate reduction from the Reserve Bank of Australia tomorrow afternoon,' he said.
'Bank bill traders are pricing a possibility or a cut greater than 0.25 per cent.
'What many analysts seem to overlook is that just because the RBA can cut, doesn't mean it will cut.
eToro market analyst Farhan Badami said while the July pause took everyone by surprise, banks have already started moving to cut interest rates ahead of tomorrow's meeting.
'While the July pause was a surprise, a consecutive pause in August will be a shock,' he said.
'Three cuts before the end of the year are still expected, but there's very little wiggle room left in the calendar if the RBA heightens its degree of risk aversion any further.'
In company news, JB Hi-Fi chief executive Terry Smart will step away after more than two decades with the retail giant.
The announcement came at the same time as the electronics giant reported a 10 per cent growth in sales to $10.6bn for the last financial year, while net profits after tax jumped 5.4 per cent to $462.4m.
But the news of the big boss leaving the company outweighed the strong results with shares falling 8.39 per cent to $107.83.
Car classified business Car Group announced a 10 per cent increase in net profit after tax to $275m, in the 2025 financial year.
Shares finished up 0.54 per cent to $37.20.
Defence business DroneShield shares also finished higher after telling the market it launched SentryCiv, a subscription-based artificial intelligence powered counter drone system. This is aimed at the civilian market.
Despite initially surging, shares closed flat at $3.95 on the announcement.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
44 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Bets on Outsize Fed Cut Gain Steam as CPI Data Backs Doves
(Bloomberg) -- A largely benign US inflation report is bolstering the case for traders betting that the Federal Reserve will soon cut interest rates, with some seeing an increased possibility of an outsized reduction. For weeks, investors have piled into swaps, options and outright Treasury longs to wager that subdued inflation will allow the Fed to lower borrowing costs in coming months. Early vindication for that view came on Tuesday: shorter-term Treasury yields fell following the July inflation data, while swaps traders lifted the odds of a September rate cut to 90%. Sunseeking Germans Face Swiss Backlash Over Alpine Holiday Congestion To Head Off Severe Storm Surges, Nova Scotia Invests in 'Living Shorelines' New York Warns of $34 Billion Budget Hole, Biggest Since 2009 Crisis Five Years After Black Lives Matter, Brussels' Colonial Statues Remain For Homeless Cyclists, Bikes Bring an Escape From the Streets Bets that the Fed will reduce rates by more than 25 basis points in September also gained traction on Tuesday, with traders adding some $2 million in premium to a position in the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) that would benefit from such a move. In an interview Tuesday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested that the Fed ought to be open to a bigger, 50 basis-point cut next month. 'Today's inflation report was a bit stronger than we have seen over the prior few months, but lower than many have feared,' said Rick Rieder, chief investment officer of global fixed income at BlackRock, in a note. 'As a result, we expect the Fed to begin cutting rates in September, and it could be justified cutting the Funds rate by 50 basis points.' Tuesday's report was far from an all-clear for the Fed. Though a tepid rise in the costs of goods tempered concerns about tariff-driven price pressures, underlying US inflation accelerated in July by the most since the start of the year. With more than a month remaining until the central bank's Sep. 16-17 meeting, Treasury bulls will also need to weather another major inflation report as well as key employment data. 'September is not a done deal,' Claudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors, said on Bloomberg TV. 'We do not have the data that puts this one in the bag yet.' For now, however, bets on a dovish Fed are taking the spotlight. The options trade linked to SOFR September contracts — where premium now stands at roughly $5 million — could pay off as much as $40 million should they price in a 50 basis point rate cut for that month, Bloomberg calculations showed. Meanwhile in the cash market, investors unwound long positions in the build-up to the inflation data, shown by a survey of JPMorgan Treasury clients covering the week up to Aug. 11. Here's a rundown of the latest positioning indicators across the rates market: JPMorgan Treasury Client Survey In the week to Aug. 11, JPMorgan Treasury clients cut long positions by five percentage points, shifting into neutral with short positions unchanged over the week. The outright long positioning was subsequently reduced to the smallest amount in two weeks. Most Active SOFR Options In SOFR options across Sep25, Dec25 and Mar26 tenors over the past week there has been a jump in demand for strikes 96.25 and 96.125 across both Sep25 and Dec25 calls as traders look to target additional rate cut premium to be priced into this year's remaining Fed meetings. One recent flow has been a large buyer of SOFR Sep25 96.125/96.25 call spreads, targeting a half-point rate cut at the September policy meeting with the same structure also trading recently in the Dec25 tenor. SOFR Options Heatmap The 95.625 strike remains most popular across Sep25, Dec25 and Mar26 options, with a large amount of risk seen in the level via Sep25 puts and Dec25 puts. Other populated strikes include 95.75 and 95.875, where Sep25 puts are prominent. Recent activity around the 95.625 strike has been buying of the SFRZ5 95.875/95.75/95.625 put fly. The 95.75 strike has been used recently also via buying in SFRZ5 96.5625/96.6875 call spreads vs selling SFRZ5 95.875/95.75 put spreads. Treasury Options Skew Treasury options skew continues to trade close to neutral across the curve, with long-bond options edging back slightly to favor puts. Recent flows in Treasury options have included a position which targets a 10-year yield rise to approximately 4.33% ahead of Wednesday's close, for a premium of just over $1 million. CFTC Futures Positioning In the week to Aug. 5, asset managers aggressively added to net long positions with particular focus on ultra-long bonds, where the bullish positioning was extended by approximately $7.6 million per basis point in risk. On the flip side, hedge funds extended net short in ultra-long bond futures by around $8.2 million per basis point. (Adds Bessent comments in third paragraph) Bessent on Tariffs, Deficits and Embracing Trump's Economic Plan Why It's Actually a Good Time to Buy a House, According to a Zillow Economist Dubai's Housing Boom Is Stoking Fears of Another Crash The Social Media Trend Machine Is Spitting Out Weirder and Weirder Results A $340 Million New York Office Makeover Is Converting Boardrooms to Bedrooms ©2025 Bloomberg L.P. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
44 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Insurance Australia Group Ltd (IAUGF) (FY25) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Profit and ...
Reported Insurance Profit: $1.7 billion, delivering a margin of 17.5%. Underlying Margin: 15.5%, ahead of the 15% target. Final Dividend: $0.19 per share, total FY25 dividends $0.31 per share. Retail Customer Growth: Over 66,000 net new customers in retail businesses. Australian Retail Growth: 5% headline growth; 7.3% underlying growth excluding Coles portfolio exit. New Zealand Retail Premium Growth: 3.8% or 5.3% in local currency. Gross Written Premium (GWP) Growth: 4.3%, over 5% on an underlying basis. Net Claims: $1,088 million, $195 million below allowance. Expense Ratio: Increased 40 basis points; admin ratio on an ex levies basis increased to 12.2%. Investment Performance: Technical reserves income of $464 million; shareholders' funds contribution of $403 million. Capital Position: Strong earnings largest component of capital generation; final dividend payout ratio 65%. FY26 Guidance: Expected reported profit of $1.45 to $1.65 billion; insurance margin of 14 to 16%. Acquisitions: RACQ and RAC in WA to add around $3 billion of premium to IAG. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 3 Warning Signs with XKRX:263750. Release Date: August 13, 2025 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Positive Points Insurance Australia Group Ltd (IAUGF) reported a strong insurance profit of $1.7 billion, delivering a margin of 17.5%, benefiting from favorable experience in New Zealand. The company achieved a 15.5% underlying margin, surpassing its through-the-cycle target of 15%, indicating strong operational performance. IAUGF declared a final dividend of $0.19 per share, bringing the total FY25 dividends to $0.31 per share, reflecting a 12% increase from the previous year. The company successfully acquired RACQ and RAC in WA, funded through organic capital generation, which is expected to add significant premium growth. IAUGF's retail business saw a net increase of 66,000 new customers, demonstrating strong customer growth and retention metrics. Negative Points The exit of the Coles portfolio negatively impacted the Australian retail growth headline, reducing it to 5% from an underlying growth of 7.3%. The New Zealand commercial market experienced a softening, with premiums down 4% or 2.6% in local currency, indicating challenges in maintaining growth. The company faced higher technology and system investment costs, leading to an 8.6% increase in admin costs compared to FY24. IAUGF's underlying claims ratio was affected by higher theft claims in Victoria and increased third-party claims driven by credit hire activities. The company anticipates potential headwinds in the New Zealand commercial business, expecting it to remain flat or slightly negative in the coming year. Q & A Highlights Q: Can you provide more details on the GWP guidance, particularly for IIA and New Zealand, and the potential for negative growth in New Zealand? A: Nicholas Hawkins, CEO: We expect the retail business in New Zealand to grow, while the commercial segment faces headwinds, potentially resulting in flat overall growth. In Australia, the intermediated business is expected to see low single-digit growth, driven by small to medium-sized businesses. Q: Is there an increase in the long-term perils program maximum payout with the rise in the perils allowance? A: William McDonnell, CFO: The attachment point remains at our allowance, providing solid downside protection. The increase is primarily due to exposure growth, and we retain significant downside protection from the program. Q: Why was RACQ left out of the guidance, and are you still comfortable with the expected savings from reorganizing the reinsurance program? A: Nicholas Hawkins, CEO: RACQ was excluded from guidance as the transaction hasn't been completed yet, expected on September 1. We anticipate merging reinsurance programs by January 1, which should yield savings. Q: Can you discuss the trends in inflation and pricing across key portfolios like motor and home? A: Nicholas Hawkins, CEO: We're seeing moderation in inflation for motor and home, more so in New Zealand than Australia. Property inflationary pressures persist, particularly in Australia. Pricing is expected to reflect these trends, with low to mid-single-digit increases in motor and slightly higher in property. Q: How sustainable is the reinsurance profit commission benefit, and should it recur in FY26 and beyond? A: William McDonnell, CFO: The reinsurance profit commission is integral to our 15% margin target and is expected to be a recurring feature. It's calculated actuarially over the five-year contract, and we anticipate it will continue to contribute to our results. Q: What is the outlook for margins in FY26, particularly in retail and intermediated divisions? A: Nicholas Hawkins, CEO: We expect to maintain margins around the 15% target, with some ups and downs across divisions. New Zealand may see some margin pressure, but overall, we aim to sustain margins through organic growth and pricing strategies. Q: Can you elaborate on the investments in the tech platform and potential reinsurance options for the commercial business? A: Nicholas Hawkins, CEO: We're investing in modernizing technology for our commercial businesses, similar to our retail enterprise platform. This will enhance efficiency and capability. We're also exploring additional capital reinsurance options to manage volatility and improve capital efficiency. Q: How should we think about the impact of RACQ on the perils allowance once the acquisition is completed? A: William McDonnell, CFO: We will update the perils allowance after the acquisition completes, modeling it based on RACQ's exposure data. It is expected to be proportional to our existing Queensland exposures. For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. This article first appeared on GuruFocus.


Business Insider
an hour ago
- Business Insider
Data#3 Limited. (DTL) Gets a Buy from Macquarie
In a report released today, from Macquarie maintained a Buy rating on Data#3 Limited., with a price target of A$9.00. The company's shares opened today at A$7.65. Elevate Your Investing Strategy: Take advantage of TipRanks Premium at 50% off! Unlock powerful investing tools, advanced data, and expert analyst insights to help you invest with confidence. In addition to Macquarie, Data#3 Limited. also received a Buy from Morgan Stanley's Chenny Wang in a report issued on August 1. However, on August 2, TR | OpenAI – 4o reiterated a Hold rating on Data#3 Limited. (ASX: DTL). Based on Data#3 Limited.'s latest earnings release for the quarter ending December 31, the company reported a quarterly revenue of A$391.18 million and a net profit of A$22.35 million. In comparison, last year the company earned a revenue of A$443.55 million and had a net profit of A$21.42 million