logo

CA Rudramurthy BV suggests a cautious, sector-specific approach; 5 insurance & defence stocks to bet on

Economic Times20-06-2025
CA Rudramurthy BV, MD, Vachana Investments, says CA Rudramurthy BV suggests monitoring Bank Nifty and Nifty closing values. Crude oil and dollar-rupee movements are also important. Financials, especially insurance companies like HDFC Life, SBI Life, LIC, and Max Financial, show promise. Defence sector stocks, specifically Bharat Electronics Limited (BEL) and Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL), are favorable. A cautious, sector-specific approach is advised.
ADVERTISEMENT We always feel that you have been positive on the markets indeed with your bullish stance. Today the Nifty once again crossed past the 25,000 mark. What does it mean and what should the investor strategy be like?
CA Rudramurthy BV: First of all, at index level, Nifty has made repeated attempts to break this 25,050 zone and now we are more or less closer to that. But I want to see whether we can close above 25,050 level and if yes, then I will say the move between 24,450 and 25,050, the consolidation of about 700-800 points is already done and dusted.
Pharma, chemicals offer contrarian bets in stock-specific market: Hiren Ved
We have to see whether we can close above 25,050, which is very crucial or again getting back to those support of 24,450, 24,500 cannot be ruled out. For me, even at the current market price, we are still in the range. I want to see a close of about 25,050 on Nifty and similar levels on Bank Nifty. Support is there at around 55,100 and below that, we have Bank Nifty strong support at 53,500 where the range is and on the upside, resistance is kicking in at 56,200. We are more or less there, but we are yet to close above 56,200 on Bank Nifty.
So, to make it very clear, Bank Nifty should close above 56,200 and Nifty has to close above 25,050 and then one can say we have decisively broken out or we have to still wait on. Look at Brent crude. Crude prices are trading above $76 per barrel on the spot level decisively and even if you look at dollar-rupee movement, the dollar-rupee is decisively trading above that 86.50. So, for me, Brent is yet to come down. Coming to dollar vs rupee, again the dollar is yet to come down. Trump will now say for two weeks he will do nothing and he will give space for the Iran-Israel war to continue, but tomorrow again Trump might post another tweet and there can be escalations this weekend. So, I am bullish, but I will be very cautious and I will be very sector specific and stock specific. Let us wait and watch and then take a call next week. But till then, be very sector specific and stock specific.
But speaking of being stock specific, what would be your calls? What are your long positions?
CA Rudramurthy BV: For me, definitely financials will continue to do good whether you want to pick up something like insurance companies or NBFCs which are all allied groups of financials, which can do very well. So, for me, insurance as a sector can perform very well.
ADVERTISEMENT Look at HDFC Life, look at SBI Life, and even LIC in the cash market to buy. For that matter, Max Financial also looks very good. For me insurance looks very strong and this can be the next big theme. And even defence for that matter can do very well, but you have to be very stock specific when it comes to defence. I like two stocks in defence – BEL and HAL – which still offer great value even at current market prices. I will be avoiding Mazagon Dock or Garden Reach and all other counters which are more or less there with high valuation, but BEL and HAL are very good at current market price.
ADVERTISEMENT
(You can now subscribe to our ETMarkets WhatsApp channel)
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Trump 'thinking about' tariffs on China over Russian oil imports: JD Vance
Trump 'thinking about' tariffs on China over Russian oil imports: JD Vance

India Today

time2 hours ago

  • India Today

Trump 'thinking about' tariffs on China over Russian oil imports: JD Vance

After slapping heavy tariffs on India for buying Russian oil, US President Donald Trump is now considering similar measures against China, Vice President JD Vance said Sunday. However, no final decision has been made yet, as the US weighs the complexities of its relationship with an interview on Fox News' Sunday Morning Futures with Maria Bartiromo, Vance was asked whether the US would target China with tariffs similar to those slapped on India for buying Russian responded, "Well, the president said he's thinking about it, but he hasn't made any firm decisions. Obviously, the China issue is a little bit more complicated because our relationship with China, just. It affects a lot of other things that have nothing to do with the Russian situation. So the president's reviewing his options and, of course, going to make that decision when he decides."CHINA'S INCREASING IMPORTS FROM RUSSIA According to the customs data, China's imports of Russian oil rose to over $10 billion in July, the highest monthly total since March. While overall imports from Russia this year remain down by 7.7% compared with the same period in defended its energy trade with Russia amid US threats of tariffs. The Chinese Foreign Ministry stated in a Friday briefing to Bloomberg News, "It is legitimate and lawful for China to conduct normal economic, trade and energy cooperation with all countries around the world, including Russia. We will continue to adopt reasonable energy security measures in accordance with our national interests."While Trump has targeted China's purchases of Russian oil, his senior adviser Peter Navarro downplayed the possibility of new tariffs on Chinese exports. Navarro warned that higher duties "may hurt the US."US IMPOSES TARIFFS ON INDIALast week, Trump announced an additional 25 per cent trade tariff on Indian imports after warning the country over its oil purchases from Russia, taking the total levy to 50 per cent. The new tariffs will take effect on August reacted strongly to the increased duties, condemning them as "unfair, unjustified and unreasonable." The Ministry of External Affairs stressed that India's energy imports are driven by market factors and aimed at securing energy supplies for its population of 1.4 billion."We have already made clear our position on these issues, including the fact that our imports are based on market factors and done with the overall objective of ensuring the energy security of 1.4 billion people of India," the ministry said in an official statement.- EndsTune InTrending Reel

How mining, manufacturing & power sectors weighed on India's industrial output since January 2024
How mining, manufacturing & power sectors weighed on India's industrial output since January 2024

The Print

time4 hours ago

  • The Print

How mining, manufacturing & power sectors weighed on India's industrial output since January 2024

A similar story played out for the power sector which saw sporadic contractions during this period, the most significant in May 2025 (-4.7 percent), suggesting overcapacity, misaligned demand, or temporary disruptions such as fuel shortages. Sectoral data shows the mining sector saw negative growth four times since January 2024—August (2024), April (2025), May (2025) and June (2025). New Delhi: The mining and power sectors have been weighing on India's industrial output, an analysis by ThePrint of industrial growth data of the period between January 2024 and June 2025 shows. Mining, for instance, saw sharp contractions during this period, from 10.3 percent growth in June 2024 to -8.7 percent growth in June this year. These were among the factors that weighed heavily on India's industrial output growth as it saw a 10-month low in June 2025, data from the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) showed. It also pointed out that the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) grew by a mere 1.5 percent in the month of June 2025, as against 1.9 percent the previous month—marking a decline for the third consecutive month. The IIP broadly tracks three key sectors: mining, manufacturing, and electricity. The monthly report, compiled by the Central Statistics Office (CSO), pegged the deceleration principally on poor performance in the mining and power sectors, both affected by the early onset of monsoon. In June 2025, mining output fell by a steep 8.7 percent, while electricity output fell by 2.6 percent compared to the previous month. Also Read: Smartphones, gems, pharma: Which Indian exports will be worst hit by Trump tariffs, which will be spared January 2024 to January 2025 Since January 2024, India's industrial output has been on a tumultuous terrain. It peaked in May 2024 when the industrial growth rate touched 6.3 percent before falling steeply to 4.9 percent the very next month. The fall in output was a result of contraction in manufacturing and power sectors. Compared to the previous month, manufacturing growth declined from 5.1 percent to 3.5 percent in June 2024, while growth in the power sector declined from 13.7 percent to 8.6 percent during the same period. Growth in the mining sector, on the other hand, went up from 6.6 percent in May 2024 to 10.3 percent in June of the same year. In August 2024, India noted a contraction of 0.1 percent in industrial output growth, marking the first such year-on-year contraction after October 2022. This was a result of negative growth in the power (-3.7 percent) and mining (-4.3 percent) sectors, and a slowdown in manufacturing to 1.2 percent from 4.7 percent the previous month. Industrial growth, however, picked up in November 2024, with IIP again touching the 5 percent threshold. After a minor hiccup in December 2024, industrial growth touched 5.2 percent in January 2025. While there isn't any universally agreed-upon 'ideal' IIP benchmark, a 3-5 percent annual growth rate is seen as healthy and sustainable. Return to path of decline Following the recovery in January, industrial growth once again embarked on a path of decline from February 2025 (2.7 percent), ultimately reaching a 10-month low in June 2025. It was 3.9 percent in March, 2.6 percent in April and 1.9 percent in May. Though the mining sector grew rapidly in the first half of 2024, registering 8.1 percent growth in February 2024 and 10.3 percent growth in June 2024, by August 2024, it had declined to 4.3 percent. This trajectory continued till June this year when the mining sector contracted by 8.7 percent. These fluctuations in the industry were caused by issues like domestic weather disruptions or mining-specific regulations, as well as external commodity pricing difficulties. Manufacturing has recovered more steadily than mining, despite its slow-paced growth. The sector hit a peak of 5.8 percent in January 2025 after plunging to a low of 3.6 percent in January 2024. Following a brief decline to 2.8 percent in February 2025, manufacturing growth was 4 percent in March 2025. But, this was short-lived. After falling to 3.1 percent in April 2025, it rose slowly until June 2025, when it averaged roughly 3.9 percent. This indicates the sector's capacity for adaptation and recovery and is possibly the result of supply chain support, government stimulus, and the post-pandemic normalisation of demand. However, the recovery's sluggish pace underlines persistent demand from weak export markets and widespread supply chain concerns. With notable double-digit growth in May 2024 (13.7 percent), the electricity sector dominated the growth charts for the majority of the time. These spikes frequently corresponded with the push for infrastructure and seasonal demand. The IIP data from January 2024 to June 2025 depicts the volatile state of the country's industrial sector, with major sectors seeing fast growth, abrupt decrease, and resilience. (Edited by Tony Rai) Also Read: GDP to IIP—Indian statistical systems have bigger problems than 'underestimating' population

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store