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Trump warns courts against knocking down tariffs, says duties are 'huge positive' for stock market

Trump warns courts against knocking down tariffs, says duties are 'huge positive' for stock market

CNBC7 hours ago
President Donald Trump on Friday warned U.S. courts against blocking his tariff policy, citing its "positive impact" on the stock market and saying such a move could cause a severe economic downturn.
"If a Radical Left Court ruled against us at this late date, in an attempt to bring down or disturb the largest amount of money, wealth creation and influence the U.S.A. has ever seen, it would be impossible to ever recover, or pay back, these massive sums of money and honor," Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform Friday morning.
"It would be 1929 all over again, a GREAT DEPRESSION," he added.
Trump's comments come as a federal appeals court is hearing arguments on how to handle his tariff policy. Former House Speaker Paul Ryan told CNBC this week that Supreme Court could end up disqualifying the duties being invoked under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act.
"If they were going to rule against the wealth, strength, and power of America, they should have done so LONG AGO, at the beginning of the case, where our entire Country, while never having a chance at this kind of GREATNESS again, would not have been put in 1929 style jeopardy," Trump said of the courts' potential actions around tariffs. "There is no way America could recover from such a judicial tragedy."
Trump cited the "positive impact" of tariffs on the stock market. However, markets this year have appeared to respond positively when Trump dials back on tariffs, and have reacted negatively when he has pressed the case for the duties.
When Trump announced the initial 90-day pause on "liberation day" tariffs in early April, the Nasdaq rose 7% in just a few minutes, while other major averages also posted strong gains that week. In addition, the market has seen sector-specific rallies such as when Trump backed off on his threats against chips. Companies such as AMD and Marvell, as well as Apple, then posted solid gains with the duties granting broad exemptions to any company that announces plans to add some manufacturing in the U.S.
The rallies often were short-lived as the president has frequently changed gears on his tariff rhetoric. Markets lately have been more stable around tariff news as investors view the president's views as continuously subject to change.
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3 reasons gold broke through another fresh record high
3 reasons gold broke through another fresh record high

Yahoo

time2 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

3 reasons gold broke through another fresh record high

Gold continued its record-breaking rally early Friday, briefly rising as high as $3,534 an ounce. Analysts say the main catalyst was a report that gold bars would be subject to tariffs. The precious metal has also gotten a boost from geopolitical tensions and economic concerns. It's a glittering year for gold. The precious metal broke through another record high on Friday, briefly rising to $3,534 before paring its gains. At its peak, gold prices were up 32% from levels at the start of the year — far outstripping the S&P 500's 8% year-to-date gain. Analysts on Wall Street are pointing to three catalysts that drove the latest leg up: 1. Trump's tariffs The US specified that gold bars are subject to tariffs, the Financial Times reported on Thursday, citing documents it reviewed from the Customs and Border Protection agency. A ruling letter dated July 31 from the agency said that one-kilo and 100-ounce gold bars would be grouped under a customs code that would subject to levies, the outlet said. That means gold bars could be subject to the 39% tariff on goods from Switzerland, which is one of the world's largest producer of gold bars. "The White House intends to issue an executive order in the near future clarifying misinformation about the tariffing of gold bars and other specialty products," a White House official told Business Insider in an email. Markets had previously assumed gold bars would be exempt from reciprocal tariffs, Helen Amos, a commodities analyst at BMO, wrote in a note on Friday. Trump's original Liberation Day announcement included a separate customs code that said "non-monetary gold, unwrought, in the form of bullion and dore" would be exempt from import duties, she noted. "If true, US citizens who tried to hedge the inflation impact of US President Trump's trade taxes by buying gold bars must pay those same taxes on their hedge. The ruling suggests gold imported between 9 April and 7 August was subject to tariff," Paul Donovan, the chief economist at UBS, wrote in a note. 2. Geopolitical tensions Tensions between the US, Russia, and China are fueling gold's rally, according to Samer Hasn, a senior market analyst at Hasn pointed to Trump's attempts to broker a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine, which has involved imposing steep tariffs on some of Russia's top trading partners, like India, and threatening to impose secondary sanctions on Russia if a ceasefire isn't achieved by Friday. China, another of Russia's top trading partners, has also yet to reach a trade deal with the US, despite the looming August 12 deadline before higher tariffs take effect. "As a result, the coming hours and days may play a key role in shaping market dynamics. Should negotiations with China and India falter, and no ceasefire in Ukraine materialize, geopolitical tensions could escalate beyond tariff threats alone. Such an outcome could renew the risk premium on safe-haven assets and most notably gold," Hasn wrote in a note. 3. Concerns about the US economy To top it off, investors have been fretting over the strength of the US economy, which has been flashing key signs of weakness despite robust GDP growth over the second quarter. Most recently, cracks have been appearing in the job market, with the US adding fewer jobs than expected in July. Job growth over the months of May and June, meanwhile, saw a large downward revision, signaling that hiring has been weaker than markets originally thought. That, combined with several inflation metrics ticking higher, has stoked fear among some investors that the US could be headed toward stagflation, a scenario where inflation remains hot and growth slows. That situation is thought to be even worse for policymakers to solve than a typical recession, as high prices prevent the central bank from cutting rates to give the economy a boost. "Even conservative platforms are increasingly voicing concern about long-term consequences and the false sense of optimism some economic figures may convey. Lingering concerns among investors are likely to continue supporting gold as a long-term safe-haven asset and sustain its broader upward momentum," Hasn said. Wall Street forecasters are generally bullish on gold, as uncertainty stemming from Trump's tariffs continues to loom over the US economy. In April, Goldman Sachs lifted its year-end gold forecast to $3,700, implying 6% upside for the precious metal from current levels. Ed Yardeni, a market veteran and the president of Yardeni Research, said he believed gold could climb as high as $4,000 by the end of 2025, implying a 14% increase. Read the original article on Business Insider Sign in to access your portfolio

Dip buys, stagflation talks, gold tariff scare: Market takeaways
Dip buys, stagflation talks, gold tariff scare: Market takeaways

Yahoo

time2 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Dip buys, stagflation talks, gold tariff scare: Market takeaways

Markets (^GSPC, ^IXIC, ^DJI) snapped back after last week's payroll-driven dip, with major indexes climbing and the Nasdaq hitting a fresh record. Yahoo Finance Markets and Data Editor Jared Blikre goes over the top trading day takeaways: last week's dip being bought, the continued conversation around stagflation, and a brief gold scare that rattled traders. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Asking for a Trend. US stocks closed out the week on a high note with the NASDAQ setting another record close. Let's get to it with Yahoo Finances Jared Blickery for the top trading day takeaways. Jared, what do you got first? That dip was bought. And what dip am I talking about? I'm talking about the one from last Friday. It was one week ago that I was standing here next to the other Josh and we're talking about, it was kind of a scary day. Yes. So let me just show you the S&P 500. I think we're going to start out with a five day. Let's move this to a 10 day so we can see that. So that's when we got that whole payroll scare. And it wasn't that the number itself was that bad, although it was below expectations. It was the revisions. And we've been talking about that a lot this week. So it looked like things were kind of bad, but look, that was bought. It was only a three and a half percent dip or something like that from those record highs. And we are right back up. The S&P 500 by the way, today missed a record high by just less than one point. It was really close. And then here is the five-day price action in the in the market in the sectors. So consumer discretionary is first, then tech, and then interestingly, we were just talking about this consumer staples. And you don't usually see the those two consumer sectors right at the top because staples is more defensive. Nevertheless, that's what we got this week. So we're going to count one for the bulls and the green. I just wanted to highlight too, something else kind of random that not so random, but I think this talks as to the cyclicality and the bullishness right now. Semiconductors did very well. And you take a, I don't think we have time for this, but you take a look at some of the semiconductor indices, they are right around their all-time highs and they're just kind of trying to break out, but they haven't. Contrast that with the software, and we see a lot of red here, but software isn't the leading indicator that uh semiconductors are. So that's where I'm going to kind of be focusing. So, so Sammies would lead, and then software sort of follows, is that? Yeah, because of the recurring revenue software has turned into a more of a staples play almost of the tech industry. If that makes any sense. And and you brought up, Jared, that dip bought. Of course that was off economic fears. When you think forward to the rest of the, we didn't get a lot of data this week. No. Next Tuesday we get CPI, and so this ties into that stagflation. I hear this word bandied about all the time, um in financial news, and we talked with a guest about lowercase S stagflation, not the 70s type. Uh this was Chris Wolfe on Stocks and Translation of Pennington Partners. Let's take a listen. By the way, smallest stagflation gets this more stubborn inflation because it rotates and a little bit weaker growth. And so that's not 70s style, but it's likely to be a conundrum for the Fed, because how far do you want to cut? We're not getting that much growth, and there's so much stimulus coming down the road in the next 18 months that, you know, the opportunity really is to see how that evolves, but I expect the rest of this year to be just like this with slowing growth and persistent inflation. Yeah, that was really interesting because he talked about inflation rotating. And so you have good sector rotation, uh good sector inflation, then services sector, and he was saying that has kind of the baton has been passed back and forth over the last few years, but we haven't seen it blow out of proportion like we did before. By the way, that episode is out on Yahoo Finance's site, so let's check that out. And and Jared, you, we're talking about inflation, we're talking about perhaps maybe some other things that move when we talk about inflation. What was going on in the in the alt space this week? I like that. I like that transition here. Gold had a little bit of a tariff scare. And I was looking at gold's record high yesterday, and I wasn't seeing a lot of news behind it, but this fell almost kind of under the radar, and it's uh there are a lot of wonky details in this story. Let's see if I can find GC equals. Oh, there we go, 2.4%. I will show you a ten, uh let's do a five-day view so we can see here, we got up to those record highs yesterday, then we fell off today. Apparently, there was uh a letter from the Customs and Border Patrol that indicated that gold, especially out of Switzerland, and this is uh worldwide, was going to be taxed if it had a stamp on it. And so the Swiss gold that comes to the United States that is used by the COMEX exchange in certain denominations, that was going to be taxed, or tariffed. But as it turns out, it looks like there's news that President Trump is going to somehow provide an exception for that. So we got the roll back there. Nevertheless, gold still hovering around $3,500 per ounce, still around that record high. So that just tells you the strength of the underlying market, regardless of all this tariff. My gold fun fact, Jared. I saw I saw someone pointing this out this week. Look at the year-to-date move, 30%, depending on what we consider an asset class. It's certainly outperforming stocks and it's one of the top asset classes this year. Hey, gold is one of the most hated asset classes ever by a lot of institutional investors. Nevertheless, you cannot argue with price. Only price pays, uh says some famous day traders. We'll be watching that uptrend in gold for sure, Jared. All right, that's going to do it for us here. Appreciate you joining us. Related Videos Why many strategists think the market rally will continue Barings' Burton on Tight Credit Spreads Patel and Catrambone's Outlook for the Fed Nasdaq closes 200 points higher, notches new record Sign in to access your portfolio

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