2025 3M Open odds, picks: Is this the week Tony Finau turns it around?
Many of the game's top players are taking the next 2 weeks off ahead of the playoffs, resting and recovering from the trip to Europe for the Open. As such, Sam Burns (+1600), Maverick McNealy (+1800) and Chris Gotterup (+2500) are all among the favorites this week, with former U.S. Open champion Wyndham Clark (2500) and the always-popular Rickie Fowler (+4000) also teeing it up. Defending champ Jhonattan Vegas, who won at 17-under 267, opens at +6600.
TPC Twin Cities (par 71) is 7,431 yards long and originally opened in 2000 but it underwent a slight renovation in 2024 when five tees were expanded and bunkers were rebuilt, according to the PGA Tour. It only features 3 par-5s so scoring opportunities will be a little bit limited, but players still tend to go low here; the winner has been 15-under or better each year since 2019.
3M Open – Expert picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 2:25 p.m. ET.
Thompson missed the cut at the Open, but a few weeks ago he tied for 18th at the John Deere Classic and finished 34th at the Rocket Classic. Although he missed the cut here in 2023 in his tournament debut, he's a good fit for this course with his accuracy off the tee. He just needs to get the putter going before the playoffs.
This is a short number for Burns, who's the tournament favorite, but he's the top player in the field and in excellent form. Since tying for 13th at the RBC Heritage, he hasn't finished worse than T-30 in a start in the U.S. This is a golden opportunity for him to nab his sixth career win after finishing 12th, 32nd and seventh here in his last 3 starts.
Greyserman tied for second here in his debut last year and if not for a couple of missed cuts in the Scottish and British Opens, his odds would probably be shorter than this. But that just means this is a good time to buy some stock in a guy who's finished top 25 in 9 of his 22 starts this season, including a runner-up at the Rocket Classic in his last start in the States.
3M Open picks – Contenders
Hoey tied for eighth at the Barracuda Championship last week, which was his third straight made cut and second top-11 finish in his last 3 starts. He made the cut and finished 67th in his tournament debut last year and will look to improve upon that this week.
It's been a seriously disappointing year for Finau, who has just 5 top-25 finishes in 17 starts, but he showed signs of life at the Open Championship where he was in contention before fading on the weekend with rounds of 72 and 75. He won this event in 2022, finished third in 2020, seventh in 2023 and 12th last year, so he certainly knows his way around TPC Twin Cities. His worst finish here in 6 starts is a T-28 in 2021.
Grillo was the runner up in 2022 after also finishing third in 2020, notching a T-10 in 2023 and T-24 in 2024. He appears to enjoy playing TPC Twin Cities, given his success here, and his game has been in good form for a while. He finished second at the John Deere Classic, losing in a playoff to Brian Campbell. Grillo also impressed with a T-19 at the U.S. Open in June.
WATCH: Get ESPN+
3M Open picks – Long shot
Davis has missed 4 cuts and finished no better than T-57 in his last 6 starts, which makes it hard to feel very confident in him. But with such long odds at a course where he's come in 19th, 10th, 16th and 12th in 4 of the last 5 years, he's worth taking a shot on.
Play our free daily Pick'em Challenge and win! Play now!
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Golfweek:
Follow @camdasilva on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
41 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Katt Williams back in Memphis as part of broadcast team for FedExCup Playoffs event
Comedian Katt Williams will be back in Memphis for the FedEx St. Jude Championship − only this time, he will be part of the PGA Tour Live broadcast team. Williams will serve as an on-course correspondent during the first and second rounds (Aug. 7-8) of the tournament, the first event of the 2025 FedExCup Playoffs, at TPC Southwind. "I'll be walking alongside the world's best players as part of the marquee group coverage live Thursday and Friday morning," the 53-year-old Williams said in a video posted by PGA Tour Live on its social media channels. It won't be the first time Williams has ventured onto the course at TPC Southwind for the event. He was also on hand in 2024, but he kept a somewhat low profile. A three-minute video montage of the popular funnyman providing his insight, analysis and reverence for the game was subsequently published on the PGA Tour's website. "This is why this is the No. 1 sport. It's the sport of gods, but it's played by mortals," the unabashed golf fan remarked at one point. This time around, Williams will be part of the broadcast team, joining ESPN analyst Michael Collins to provide real-time coverage, commentary and, almost certainly, some comedy during the PGA Tour Live stream on ESPN+. The tournament will also air on Peacock. It won't be Williams' first foray into sportscasting. In August 2024, he was part of the PGA Tour Live broadcast team during The Tour Championship. Williams is no stranger to Memphis nor the Mid-South. He routinely performs in the area, most recently in Feburary 2025 at FedExForum as part of his Heaven On Earth tour. At various points, Williams' regular presence in the region has fueled rumors that he actually maintains or maintained a residence of some kind in the Mid-South. Commercial Appeal music writer Bob Mehr contributed to this report. Reach sports writer Jason Munz at follow him @munzly on X. This article originally appeared on Memphis Commercial Appeal: Katt Williams part of broadcast team for FedEx St. Jude Championship in Memphis
NBC Sports
an hour ago
- NBC Sports
Patrick Mahomes: "There's stuff we've got to get better at"
The last time the Chiefs lost the Super Bowl, they made it back to the AFC Championship. And then, the next year, they won the first of two more Super Bowls. Now, they've lost another Super Bowl. What's next for the team that has gone to five of the last six Super Bowls? 'There's stuff we've got to get better at,' Mahomes told Jarrett Bell of USA Today. 'Especially myself. There's plays on the football field that I didn't make last year, that I've made in previous years. At the end of the day, I'm going to do whatever it takes to win, whether that's passing for a lot of yards, not passing for a lot of yards. But I think if I play better, that's going to make it better for the team. So, I've got to be better at executing whenever the shots are there, making those throws. Because that's going to alleviate pressure on our defense and make them play more free and make the team play more free.' So what does the sting of a loss do to Mahomes's approach to the job? 'It just gives you a little extra in some of the workouts and those film sessions, to try to find the little things to get even better,' Mahomes said. 'You try to do that when you have success, but at the same time when you have success you can sometimes be complacent. Obviously, you don't want to lose the game, but it can give you a little bit more motivation to be even better.' There's another potential source of motivation. The Broncos and Chargers are on their heels. Some (including Chris Simms on Tuesday's PFT Live) have predicted the Chiefs will yield the AFC West title to the Denver Broncos. It could end up being a crossroads season for the Chiefs and Mahomes, in his ninth NFL campaign and the year he'll turn 30. His worst finish as a starter is losing in overtime of the AFC Championship. His best is three Super Bowl wins in seven seasons.
NBC Sports
3 hours ago
- NBC Sports
Report: 'Stuff in works' to prevent or deter Rory McIlroy, others from skipping playoff events
Rory McIlroy is the only absence from this week's 70-man FedEx St. Jude Championship, the PGA Tour's playoff opener at TPC Southwind in Memphis. McIlroy, at second in points behind Scottie Scheffler, is already guaranteed to qualify for both the BMW Championship and Tour Championship. And though the top 30 players in points after the BMW are paid out of the FedExCup bonus pool, McIlroy has a nearly 900,000-point cushion on No. 3 Sepp Straka while he's over 1.3 million points shy of Scheffler. In other words, McIlroy skipping one playoff event shouldn't affect his standing too much, if at all. Plus, he already collected $10 million in bonuses on Sunday. Points also are meaningless once players arrive at East Lake, which has been reverted to traditional, 30-man stroke play. But is this what the Tour wants – its stars opting not to appear in playoff events? Peter Malnati, a player director on the Tour's policy board, told Golfweek that he's 'very concerned' about McIlroy's opt-out of Memphis. Malnati also hinted at a potential rule change, which would require qualified players to compete in playoff events. McIlroy isn't the only player to skip such an event over the year; Tiger Woods did just that for the inaugural playoff event in 2007. 'I think there is stuff in the works, and I'll leave it at that,' Malnati told Golfweek. Added Jordan Spieth, a former player director, in the same report: 'You might have 1-2 guys do that for an event, but I don't think it will become a thing because they are still huge events against the best players in the world. I think they're trying to figure out how to make sure you don't skip both of them and ideally neither of them.' The winners of the FedEx St. Jude and BMW receive 2,000 points apiece, compared to 750 for majors, 700 for signature events, 500 for regular full-field events and 300 for additional events. If No. 70 Matti Schmid were to win Sunday in Memphis, he could move all the way to third in points.
