
Thailand's next central bank chief champions rate cuts to revive growth
Growth in Southeast Asia's second-largest economy has stalled, tense negotiations with the United States over trade tariffs continue, industrial sentiment is tepid and critical sectors, including tourism and manufacturing, aren't firing.
"We must accept that the Thai economy is not doing so well," Vitai, who has been approved by the cabinet as the next central bank chief but awaits royal endorsement, told reporters last week.
"And what is worrying is the sluggishness that may be prolonged."
The 54-year-old, who currently serves as president and chief executive of the Government Savings Bank, Thailand's largest state-owned lender, has a prescription: more rate cuts.
The central bank late last month left the key interest rate unchanged, underlining the need to save some policy ammunition, after cuts in October, February and April. Those reductions brought the one-day repurchase rate (THCBIR=ECI), opens new tab to 1.75%, the lowest in more than two years.
"Proactive easing is important," Vitai told Thai financial daily Krungthep Turakij on June 20, when he was locked in the race for the top job with central bank insider Roong Mallikamas.
"It's not just another one or two cuts. We may have to reduce them for a long time and more deeply. So, from 1.75%, if you ask me personally, I think it can go down much further."
Thailand's ruling Pheu Thai party, which took power in 2023, has been at loggerheads with current Bank of Thailand chief Sethaput Suthiwartnarueput for not cutting rates enough to support a sluggish economy.
In May last year, before she became prime minister, Pheu Thai leader Paetongtarn Shinawatra said the central bank's independence was an "obstacle" in resolving economic problems, underlining the scale of the friction.
Vitai's stance will likely tone down some of that conflict, but it has also raised questions about his own ability to lead the central bank without succumbing to pressure from the ruling party - an issue he has publicly addressed.
"I am confident that I can make decisions independently, based on principles and prioritising the nation's interests, free from the influence of any groups," Vitai wrote on his Facebook page on July 8.
Vitai studied economics and law at Thailand's Chulalongkorn and Thammasat universities, and finance at Drexel University in the United States, and entered the Thai private sector, where he worked at Charoen Pokphand Group and budget carrier Nok Air.
A former colleague, who worked alongside Vitai at a private firm, described him as a team player who preferred to work with consensus.
"He is more of a practicalist than a theorist, focusing on getting the job done," he said, asking not to be named because he is not authorised to speak to media.
In 2018, Vitai was appointed the Secretary-General of the Government Pension Fund, which manages assets worth about 1.4 trillion baht ($43 billion), and two years later became the head of the Government Savings Bank.
Thirachai Phuvanatnaranubala, a former Thai finance minister, said Vitai's long experience as a government banker should help him manage relationships with senior finance ministry leadership.
"However, his lack of work experience and zero exposure to high level macro public policy is a cause for concern," Thirachai told Reuters.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


BBC News
an hour ago
- BBC News
How are trade deals actually negotiated?
Trade deals have never been more in the headlines, as Donald Trump continues to threaten countries with higher tariffs until they sign new agreements with the US. But how exactly are trade deals negotiated between nations, and has the US president's forceful actions changed how the talks are conducted?Former Canadian trade negotiator Jason Langrish says that Trump's tariff threats have undoubtedly worsened the tone inside the negotiating rooms."Lately, as we've gone into a nativist, nationalist phase, these trade deals have become more defensive and accusatory," he Langrish, who helped Canada sign trade deals with the EU and India, adds that this contrasts with how such agreements were previously reached. "Traditionally, trade talks were positive because you're taking an agreement that works between two countries and you're upgrading it."He points to the continuing trade talks between Canada and the US as an example of the change in atmosphere. Their two teams are currently working towards signing a new deal by a 1 August deadline."It's what we would call a defensive negotiation. Canada didn't ask for this, but it's something that we have no choice but to engage in." Another former trade negotiator, Karl Falkenberg, who represented the EU in talks for many years, says that Trump "doesn't recognise the rules of the game". Mr Falkenberg doesn't mean that as a complement, but Trump would surely take it as how exactly are trade talks conducted? What takes place in the rooms behind closed doors?"A chief negotiator is appointed on each side," says Mr Langrish. "Teams are put in place for each table, so there might be a table for tariffs, or regulation, and government procurement. Each of those tables would have its own sub-negotiator."Then he says, "it's off to the races", caveating that deals often take years to finalise. For Mr Falkenberg, a typical day in negotiations involves a morning and afternoon session, but he says he can "remember leaving the office at 5am in the morning"."If meeting the deadline is looking possible, people are prepared to sit through long hours - the longest I did was 24 hours," he TV political drama will often sensationalise conflict in negotiations, most in the business say that the real work happens quietly, over long hours of strategic give and take."Because, at the end of the day," says Mr Falkenberg, "as a negotiator you want to come to an outcome with someone else, so you need to build trust and connection". Wendy Cutler worked as a negotiator for the US Trade Representative's Office for 27 years. I ask her whether in that time, she was ever assigned a good or bad cop smiles and says: "I've played all the different roles, but I don't know which one I've been the most successful in."For Ms Cutler trust was her most important negotiation tool."You're not going to have 100% trust, because each side has their own national objectives in mind," she says. "But if you feel that you can informally share proposals with the other side, and that's not going to be leaked to the press, or get out to your stakeholders, it's easier to find a successful conclusion."But while the internal dynamics in the negotiating room do matter, what is happening in the world outside can often make or break a deal, says Mr Langrish. He points to those opposed to an agreement being made, such as a sector of the economy that may be negatively impacted, or domestic political opposition."It's not just the people who are for the advancement of the trade deal," he says. "There's also people and sectors that stand to lose and they have political clout as well. The political side is ultimately what slows things down." Ms Cutler adds that what must be making life difficult for US negotiating teams is the fact that Trump wants them to sign new deals with most countries in a very short window. She cites the April declaration by White House trade adviser Peter Navarro that the US would secure "90 deals in 90 days"."Trying to conclude 90 deals in 90 days has been a bridge too far even for Donald Trump," says Ms since April the US has announced agreements with the UK, Vietnam, Indonesia, Japan and the Philippines, as well as a partial agreement with China."I don't think from day one that the US government has had the appropriate bandwidth to deal with all the requests to meet and to negotiate with the whole range of countries," she advice to President Trump and his inner circle is to stop using social media. "Sometimes being too public in a negotiation can hurt progress in that it boxes both sides in and brings the tensions to the public, and therefore it's harder for each side to back down."In the meantime, as US tariffs seem to endlessly – and confusingly - go up and down, the world's trade lawyers are in hot trying to work out what they need to pay for their imports and exports are seeking them out and Mollie Sitkowski, a partner at US commercial law firm Faegre Drinker says: "This is the busiest I've ever been."


Reuters
an hour ago
- Reuters
South Korea Q2 economic growth fastest in more than a year
SEOUL, July 24 (Reuters) - South Korea's economy grew at the fastest pace in more than a year in the second quarter, beating market expectations, buoyed by rebounding consumer spending and a surge in exports driven by robust demand for technology. Gross domestic product expanded a seasonally adjusted 0.6% in the April-June period from a quarter earlier after contracting 0.2% in the preceding three months, advanced central bank estimates showed on Thursday. It was stronger than the median 0.5% increase forecast in a Reuters poll and the fastest quarterly growth since the first quarter of 2024. South Korea held a snap presidential election on June 3, after the constitutional court in early April upheld former President Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment over his failed martial law order, ending six months of political uncertainty. By expenditure, private consumption rose 0.5% over the quarter, while construction and facility investments each fell 1.5%, according to the Bank of Korea. Exports jumped 4.2%, led by semiconductors, after falling 0.6% in the previous quarter amid U.S. tariff uncertainty. It was the strongest quarterly performance since the third quarter of 2020. U.S. President Donald Trump's 25% "reciprocal" tariffs against South Korea introduced in early April are currently paused until August 1 for trade negotiations, while some industries like autos and steel have been hit by high product-specific tariffs. On an annual basis, Asia's fourth-largest economy grew 0.5% in the second quarter, compared with no growth in the first quarter and a 0.4% expansion expected by economists.


Reuters
an hour ago
- Reuters
South Korea Q2 GDP +0.6% q/q, stronger than expected
SEOUL, July 24 (Reuters) - South Korea's economy grew in the second quarter at the fastest pace in more than a year, beating market expectations, advanced central bank estimates showed on Thursday. Gross domestic product expanded 0.6% in the April-June period from a quarter earlier on a seasonally adjusted basis, after contracting 0.2% in the preceding three months. It was stronger than the median 0.5% increase tipped in a Reuters poll and the fastest quarterly growth since the first quarter of 2024. On an annual basis, Asia's fourth-largest economy grew 0.5% in the second quarter, compared with zero growth in the first quarter and a 0.4% expansion expected by economists.