
Dateline may have earned keys to rare earths penthouse suite
Dateline's Colosseum project in California is 10 kilometres north of MP's Mountain Pass juggernaut and shares more than just a postcode. Recent geophysical data now reveals that Colosseum's rare earths signature could well be a carbon copy of Mountain Pass. If that holds true, Dateline may soon find itself basking in the afterglow of the most significant US government investment in the sector in decades.
The deal just struck between the DoD and MP positions the company as a national champion in rare earth magnet manufacturing, but what really raises eyebrows is the scope of the government's commitment.
It includes a $400 million equity stake, a $150 million loan for expansion at Mountain Pass and a 10-year price floor and offtake agreement that will transform MP into the Pentagon's preferred rare earths supplier. That's a vote of confidence loud enough to wake up Wall Street.
And for Dateline, this is where things get really interesting.
'It is a dual-commodity opportunity – it is not just a speculative play. Colosseum offers both immediate value and long-term potential,'
Bagdadhi told Bulls N' Bears.
Dateline's geophysics team recently wrapped up a magnetotelluric (MT) survey across the Colosseum project. The preliminary findings are enough to make a geo's pulse race. Colosseum exhibits the same triple anomaly characterising Mountain Pass: a gravity high, a magnetic low and a zone of intermediate resistivity. In rare earths exploration, that trifecta is the holy grail.
On one line, in particular, the survey detected a prominent resistive zone directly beneath mapped outcrops of rare earth-bearing fenite dykes. Fenites are considered classic pathfinders for carbonatite-hosted rare earth systems. It's the same geological breed that made Mountain Pass famous.
According to the US Geological Survey, the signature combination of gravity, magnetic and resistivity anomalies is diagnostic of such systems.
In essence, the ground underneath Dateline's feet is talking - and it's speaking the same rare earths dialect as its southern neighbour.
The implications are hard to overstate. Recently US CNBC article reported that the US Interior Department has green-lit development activities at – you guessed it – Dateline's Colosseum. Perhaps more significantly, it noted that Dateline could potentially become America's second rare earths mine after Mountain Pass.
That last part bears repeating: the second rare earths mine in the US could be Dateline's.
To be clear, Mountain Pass is the only rare earths mine in the US - and until recently, it wasn't even making magnets. Now, with a 10,000 tonne per annum magnet manufacturing facility in the works, and the Pentagon tipped to become MP's largest shareholder, every inch of geological real estate in the region is being re-rated, and Dateline is at the top of the pile.
And therein lies the rub for every other rare earth aspirant in the queue. While the market has been awash with hopefuls touting exploration plans in Africa, South America and Australia, Dateline already has boots on the ground, permits in hand and a dataset that screams potential - and official public recognition by the US government.
Dateline's surface geochemical program is already 75 per cent complete, with nearly 1000 soil and rock samples collected. Early assays have confirmed the presence of anomalous concentrations of rare earths, including cerium and lanthanum - another tick in the Mountain Pass similarity box. Those results are being processed in batches, with full assay data due in the coming weeks. Dateline intends to overlay the geochemical results with the geophysical model to pinpoint high-confidence drill targets.
Meanwhile, two separate 3D inversions of the MT data are being run - one in Colorado, the other in Perth - to build a subsurface model capable of visualising resistive features, such as carbonatite bodies and conductive zones that may reflect clay-altered, gold-bearing breccia pipes.
Dateline has also reprocessed gravity data that already shows distinct highs corresponding to the geophysical anomalies. The company is preparing a drilling campaign to test for rare earths and gold potential across the project.
Importantly, this isn't just a rare earths punt. The Colosseum project already has a JORC-compliant gold resource of 27.1 million tonnes at 1.26 grams per tonne for 1.1 million ounces, with more than 67 per cent in the measured and indicated categories. On updated economics, the project has a net present value of US$550 million (A$841.5 million) and an internal rate of return of 61 per cent based on a US$2900 (A$4437) gold price. Gold is now selling for more than $5000 an ounce.
So, while the rare earths narrative is clearly stealing the headlines, it's underpinned by a serious gold asset that - by itself - would be headline-worthy.
That shiny asset aside, Colosseum is about as close as you can get - geographically and geologically - to the most strategically backed rare earths operation in America. Its proximity, combined with a clear and growing dataset that points to Mountain Pass-style mineralisation, is no longer just a curiosity. It's potentially a front-row seat to the rare earth revival of the century.
Is your ASX-listed company doing something interesting? Contact:
matt.birney@wanews.com.au

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West Australian
3 days ago
- West Australian
Small caps are back baby
It's been a while since Dollar Bill put pen to paper. At first, it was deliberate. Then it became inertia. I also forgot the password to my trading account and took it as divine intervention. But markets have a way of dragging you back in - and lately, they've been anything but subtle. Something's stirring in small-cap land - and it's not just the usual background hum. Just two weeks ago, the United States Department of Defence quietly became the largest shareholder in MP Materials, which owns the Mountain Pass mine in California, the only rare earths operation of scale on US soil. A sometimes canny and mostly sober colleague of mine, Bill McConnell, wrote about it immediately in Bulls N Bears. He was onto it the very day it broke. Others chimed in later, perhaps a tad slow to the party, but that's not their fault. Most people get there eventually. Then Apple Inc jumped in, slapping another half a billion dollars on the table for equity, taking the total cheque for MP to a cool US$1 billion - all in under a week. MP's share price doubled, adding US$5 billion to its market cap pretty much overnight. That alone sparked the headlines, but for Dollar Bill, the real leg twitch came shortly after through a combination of events. The ASX 200 and the All Ords smashed record highs last week, the latter sailing through 9000 points for the first time. These weren't polite moves. These were rafter-shaking, hold-my-beer kind of surges. Also, copper prices punched out a new record peak this month at the same time that silver nudged just under US$40 for the first time in more than a decade. Gold remains stubbornly above the $5000 mark. Dollar Bill's even overheard a few stuffed suits at the club whispering about a revival in lithium - and for once, they might be onto something. Lithium doyen's Mineral Resources and Pilbara Minerals have both surged more than 50 per cent in the past month. And when the big boys start moving, the minnows tend to follow. Just take a look at lithium junior Galan, which has hiked from about 9c to 14c lately. Then there are the IPOs, those long-forgotten unicorns, which appear to be sniffing the morning air again. Apart from the odd ETF, 2025 has been a desert for new ASX listings - the driest year in more than a decade. But lately? There's been the sound of hooves… and they're moving. Since June, eight new floats have landed on the boards, most were modest, sub-$100 million raises, but that's exactly the kind of froth that signals early action. The most recent, Tali Resources, listed on a Friday and tripled by Tuesday. Then there's the capital raising frenzy. In just the past two months, Dollar Bill has spotted another eight raises , and every single one of them was either significantly or substantially oversubscribed. That sort of heat hasn't been seen in a while and it's starting to feel less like a fluke and more like a market waking up hungry. The standout? West Coast Silver, which set out to raise $3 million and ended up fielding $11 million in bids. Management reluctantly capped it at six. The raise priced at 11c - but when the stock resumed trading, it launched out of the gate at 17c. That sort of leap used to be the stuff of IPO fairy tales. Now it's turning up midweek. As for Dollar Bill? I had my hand in the jar, already having a few of these puppies tucked away in the back pocket but I slept through the final bid window. Not the first time I've missed the party while dreaming of champagne. Just this morning, Larvotto Resources lit up the boards with a $60 million raise - done virtually flat to its last traded price. If that's not a bellwether for risk appetite returning to small caps, I don't know what is. There's a scent on the wind, and I'd swear it smells like capital. Back to the IPOs, June saw more new listings than the previous five months combined and July is already on track to beat that again. If this keeps up, we could soon be watching an honest-to-goodness revival for small caps, not just in listings, but in appetite. Altogether, it's starting to feel like a genuine inflection point, or the world's most expensive coincidence. Mark Twain said history doesn't repeat, but it often rhymes. Right now? It's humming a very familiar tune. That's not a dead cat. That's a live wire. And, while the big end of town may be printing records, the real money, the real movement, looks to be shifting back to the forgotten corner of the exchange – small caps. Firstly, rare earths. This isn't a fashion play. This is geopolitics at its best… mining boots. It's about who controls the guts of the new economy – electric vehicles, chips, weapons and energy. So when both Apple and the Pentagon are betting billions on the same strategic metals that Aussie juniors have been betting on for some time, while commodities break records and the ASX roars - that's not background noise. That's the main event. For Dollar Bill, this isn't just gut feel. Shaw & Partners dubbed 2025 ' the year to feast on ASX small caps,' citing lower rates, valuation resets and looming earnings upgrades as rocket fuel. But let's dig a little deeper and talk numbers - the ones that matter. Not the polished ASX 200 charts they wheel out at charity lunches. I mean the back-row battlers. The drill campaign dreamers. The micro caps. People bandy about 'small cap' like it means something, but technically it covers ASX stocks ranked from 300 up to 101 - a $1 billion to $6 billion bracket. Not exactly minnows and not small cap but hey, that's the technical explanation. The real action lives in the ASX 'Emerging Companies Index' which includes those ranked with market caps ranked from number 350 to number 600, generally between $350 million and $1 billion. That's the real sharp end. And for years now, that's also the end that's been bleeding. From April 2022 to April 2023, the Emerging Companies Index fell 28 per cent. It was flat through April 2024, then down another 10 per cent into April 2025. Those three years of pain have driven Dollar Bill to the bottle. Meanwhile, the ASX 200? Down just 2 per cent across the same timeframe. Stats don't lie and these stats highlight the underperformance of small caps against the big board. But the worm might now finally be turning. Since April, right when Trump detonated his 'Liberation Day' hand grenade with sweeping tariffs, the Emerging Companies Index is up 22.6 per cent. That's better than the ASX 200's own stellar 19.2 per cent rise. That's not just recovery - that's outperformance. Dollar Bill says when the market's most bruised corner starts to beat the big boys, it pays to pay attention. In late 2024, Simon Conn at Investors Mutual was already calling it. A 'valuation disconnect,' he said, tipping rate cuts to trigger a shift back into quality small caps. The Reserve Bank chimed in cutting the cash rate in February and followed up again in May which coincided pretty much bang on with the outperformance in small caps – nice one Simon. Add to that the roaring commodities market, copper surging, silver going vertical on solar and tech demand - and that soundtrack is getting louder. Lithium doyen's Pilbara Minerals and Mineral Resources have both hiked about 50 per cent in a little over a month, and there are plenty of reports out there predicting a supply deficit for lithium again in 2026. Sure, yes, maybe it is all just coincidence. But generally speaking, elephants don't dance without dust, and there's a storm kicking up at the small end of the ASX. Dollar Bill has seen this movie and heard this tune before, and he's already snagged a front-row seat. The Dollar is no prophet, but rest assured — right now the monocle is getting a right proper polish. Is your ASX-listed company doing something interesting? Contact:

Sydney Morning Herald
3 days ago
- Sydney Morning Herald
Small caps are back baby
It's been a while since Dollar Bill put pen to paper. At first, it was deliberate. Then it became inertia. I also forgot the password to my trading account and took it as divine intervention. But markets have a way of dragging you back in - and lately, they've been anything but subtle. Something's stirring in small-cap land - and it's not just the usual background hum. Just two weeks ago, the United States Department of Defence quietly became the largest shareholder in MP Materials, which owns the Mountain Pass mine in California, the only rare earths operation of scale on US soil. A sometimes canny and mostly sober colleague of mine, Bill McConnell, wrote about it immediately in Bulls N Bears. He was onto it the very day it broke. Others chimed in later, perhaps a tad slow to the party, but that's not their fault. Most people get there eventually. Then Apple Inc jumped in, slapping another half a billion dollars on the table for equity, taking the total cheque for MP to a cool US$1 billion - all in under a week. MP's share price doubled, adding US$5 billion to its market cap pretty much overnight. That alone sparked the headlines, but for Dollar Bill, the real leg twitch came shortly after through a combination of events. The ASX 200 and the All Ords smashed record highs last week, the latter sailing through 9000 points for the first time. These weren't polite moves. These were rafter-shaking, hold-my-beer kind of surges. Also, copper prices punched out a new record peak this month at the same time that silver nudged just under US$40 for the first time in more than a decade. Gold remains stubbornly above the $5000 mark. 'Altogether, it's starting to feel like a genuine inflection point, or the world's most expensive coincidence. Mark Twain said history doesn't repeat, but it often rhymes. Right now? It's humming a very familiar tune.' Dollar Bill's even overheard a few stuffed suits at the club whispering about a revival in lithium - and for once, they might be onto something. Lithium doyen's Mineral Resources and Pilbara Minerals have both surged more than 50 per cent in the past month. And when the big boys start moving, the minnows tend to follow. Just take a look at lithium junior Galan, which has hiked from about 9c to 14c lately. Then there are the IPOs, those long-forgotten unicorns, which appear to be sniffing the morning air again. Apart from the odd ETF, 2025 has been a desert for new ASX listings - the driest year in more than a decade. But lately? There's been the sound of hooves… and they're moving.

The Age
3 days ago
- The Age
Small caps are back baby
It's been a while since Dollar Bill put pen to paper. At first, it was deliberate. Then it became inertia. I also forgot the password to my trading account and took it as divine intervention. But markets have a way of dragging you back in - and lately, they've been anything but subtle. Something's stirring in small-cap land - and it's not just the usual background hum. Just two weeks ago, the United States Department of Defence quietly became the largest shareholder in MP Materials, which owns the Mountain Pass mine in California, the only rare earths operation of scale on US soil. A sometimes canny and mostly sober colleague of mine, Bill McConnell, wrote about it immediately in Bulls N Bears. He was onto it the very day it broke. Others chimed in later, perhaps a tad slow to the party, but that's not their fault. Most people get there eventually. Then Apple Inc jumped in, slapping another half a billion dollars on the table for equity, taking the total cheque for MP to a cool US$1 billion - all in under a week. MP's share price doubled, adding US$5 billion to its market cap pretty much overnight. That alone sparked the headlines, but for Dollar Bill, the real leg twitch came shortly after through a combination of events. The ASX 200 and the All Ords smashed record highs last week, the latter sailing through 9000 points for the first time. These weren't polite moves. These were rafter-shaking, hold-my-beer kind of surges. Also, copper prices punched out a new record peak this month at the same time that silver nudged just under US$40 for the first time in more than a decade. Gold remains stubbornly above the $5000 mark. 'Altogether, it's starting to feel like a genuine inflection point, or the world's most expensive coincidence. Mark Twain said history doesn't repeat, but it often rhymes. Right now? It's humming a very familiar tune.' Dollar Bill's even overheard a few stuffed suits at the club whispering about a revival in lithium - and for once, they might be onto something. Lithium doyen's Mineral Resources and Pilbara Minerals have both surged more than 50 per cent in the past month. And when the big boys start moving, the minnows tend to follow. Just take a look at lithium junior Galan, which has hiked from about 9c to 14c lately. Then there are the IPOs, those long-forgotten unicorns, which appear to be sniffing the morning air again. Apart from the odd ETF, 2025 has been a desert for new ASX listings - the driest year in more than a decade. But lately? There's been the sound of hooves… and they're moving.