
Stock market today: Trade setup for Nifty 50 to India-Pakistan news; Eight stocks to buy or sell on Wednesday
Stock Market Today: Profit-booking weighed on the Benchmark indices on Tuesday as Nifty-50 Index at 24,578.35 ended 1.39% lower. The Bank Nifty also corrected 0.8% to 54,940.80, while Auto, IT, FMCG stood among key losers though Pharma showed resilience and was a key gainer. In the broader markets mid and small caps also gained up to 0.8%
The short-term uptrend remains intact and the Nifty is expected to show bounce back from near the crucial supports of around 24500-24400 levels in the next few sessions. Immediate resistance is placed at 24800 levels, said Nagaraj Shetti, Senior Technical Research Analyst at HDFC Securities
Bajaj Broking expects the Bank Nifty to head towards 56,400 levels in the short term, while support for the short-term point of view is placed at 54,500- 54,000
Overall, while Tuesday's dip marks a natural breather after the sharp gains on Monday, investor focus remains on evolving geopolitical signals, institutional flows, and upcoming macro data. Investors will closely watch the India inflation data, along with the U.S. CPI data., said Siddhartha Khemka, Head - Research, Wealth Management, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd.
Sumeet Bagadia, Executive Director at Choice Broking, has recommended two stock picks for today. Ganesh Dongre, Senior Manager of Technical Research at Anand Rathi, suggested three stocks, while Shiju Koothupalakkal, Senior Manager — Technical Research, at Prabhudas Lilladher has given two stock picks. Schaeffler India Ltd- Bagadia recommends buying Schaeffler India at ₹ 3951.9 keeping Stoploss at ₹ 3813 for a target price of ₹ 4230
Schaeffler India is currently trading at ₹ 3,951.90 after rebounding from a key support zone. A bullish candlestick formed on the daily chart indicates a potential trend reversal and growing buying interest. A decisive move above the immediate resistance level of ₹ 4,000 could confirm the bullish momentum and pave the way for an upside target of ₹ 4,230.\
2. Nippon Life India Asset Management Ltd- Bagadia recommends buying Nippon Life at around ₹ 704.90 keeping Stoploss at ₹ 680 for a target price of ₹ 755
NAM INDIA is currently trading at ₹ 704.90 and is exhibiting strong bullish momentum. The stock has decisively rebounded from lower levels, forming a classic higher high–higher low structure, and has recently broken above its prior swing high, indicating a sustained uptrend. A strong bullish candlestick formation on the daily chart further confirms the ongoing rally. Notably, a breakout above the immediate resistance level of ₹ 720 could potentially open the path for a near-term move towards ₹ 755
3. Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company Ltd- Dongre recommends buying Cholamandalam Investment (CHOLAFIN) at around ₹ 1580 keeping Stoploss at ₹ 1545 for target price of ₹ 1640
In the latest short-term technical analysis, CHOLAFIN has shown a strong and consistent bullish trend, indicating the potential for an extended upward move. The stock is currently trading at ₹ 1580 and holding above a key support level at ₹ 1545. This support zone serves as a critical point for risk management. Given the bullish momentum, traders are advised to consider a buying opportunity with a stop-loss placed strategically at ₹ 1545 to manage downside risk. The target for this trade is set at ₹ 1640, suggesting a favorable risk-to-reward ratio and a continuation of the prevailing upward trend.
4, Canara Bank- Dongre recommends buying Canara Bank at around ₹ 105 with Stoploss at around ₹ 98 for a target price of ₹ 112
CANBK has exhibited a notable bullish reversal pattern, offering another promising opportunity for short-term traders. The stock is currently priced at ₹ 105 and maintaining a strong support at ₹ 98. The technical setup indicates the potential for a price retracement towards the ₹ 112 level. With the stock reversing from a support base and showing signs of renewed strength, entering at the current market price with a stop-loss at ₹ 98 offers a prudent approach to capturing the anticipated upside.
5. NTPC Ltd - Dongre recommends buying NTPC at ₹ 342 keeping Stoploss at ₹ 330 for a target price of RS 365.
NTPC , the stock is currently trading at ₹ 342 and appears to be in an oversold zone for short term. A bullish reversal pattern has emerged on the daily chart, indicating a potential recovery move. The critical support level lies at ₹ 330, which also acts as a key stop-loss point for this trade. With bullish cues signaling a possible retracement towards the ₹ 365 target, this setup provides a favorable entry opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on a technical rebound.
6. Jamna Auto Industries Ltd- Koothupalakkal recommends Buying JAMNA AUTO at around ₹ 86.54 for a target price of ₹ 91 keeping Stoploss at ₹ 85
The stock after indicating a higher bottom formation on the daily chart has witnessed a decent revival to move past the important 100 period MA at ₹ 84.40 level and has scope for further rise in the coming sessions. The RSI after cooling off from the highly overbought zone is currently well placed and has once again indicated a positive trend reversal to signal a buy and can carry on with the positive move further ahead. With the chart technically looking good, we suggest to buy the stock for an upside target of ₹ 91 level keeping the stop loss of ₹ 85 level.
7. Kalyan Jewellers India Ltd- Koothupalakkal recommends buying KALYAN JEWELLERS at around ₹ 554 for a target price of ₹ 575 keeping Stop loss at ₹ 542
The stock has indicated a strong pick up from the significant 50EMA level at ₹ 512 zone and currently has indicated a breakout above the previous peak level of ₹ 544 to improve the bias and expect for further rise. The RSI has indicated strength and is well placed signaling a buy to anticipate for another fresh round of upward move. With the chart technically well positioned, we suggest buying the stock for an upside target of ₹ 575 level keeping the stop loss of ₹ 542 level.
8. Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Ltd- Koothupalakkal recommends buying Garden Reach Shipbuilders (GRSE) at around ₹ 1914 for a target price of ₹ 2040 keeping Stop loss at ₹ 1870
The stock has witnessed a strong recovery with significant volume participation taking support near ₹ 1740 level indicating a series of higher bottom formation on the daily chart and once again with improving bias is anticipated to rise further. The RSI has once again indicated a positive trend reversal to signal a buy with further upside potential visible. With the chart looking good, we suggest to buy the stock for an upside target of ₹ 2040 keeping the stop loss of ₹ 1870 level.
Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, and not of Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.
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Indian Express
21 minutes ago
- Indian Express
RBI signals inflation is under control. But will its latest rate cut spur corporates and households to spend more?
'There are decades where nothing happens, and there are months where decades happen,' Lenin is said to have once remarked. He obviously would have had no inkling of what the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) was planning to do in the first six months of the year 2025. Yet, RBI actions could, albeit with some exaggeration, be categorised as worthy of the above statement. What has the RBI done? It just delivered a real Big Bang policy with a 50 bps (basis points) repo rate cut against consensus expectations of a 25 bps rate cut, and also doubled down with a surprise CRR (Cash Reserve Ratio) cut of 100 bps in four tranches of 25 bps to 3 per cent — a move that will release liquidity worth ₹2.5 lakh crore by December. Notably, it has injected a total of ~₹9.5 lakh crore of liquidity into the banking system since January. A little earlier, it had announced a dividend transfer of ₹2.69 lakh crore to the Centre. The RBI has also gone soft on some of the macro-prudential tightening norms. All of these measures cumulatively have surpassed the expectations of most stakeholders and forecasters. In the latest policy review, the RBI revised its CPI (Consumer Price Index) inflation estimate for FY26 down to 3.7 per cent from 4 per cent earlier. The CPI eased to a multi-year low of 3.2 per cent in April and is expected to remain below the RBI's 4 per cent target. On growth, the central bank retained its 6.5 per cent forecast for FY26 but cited global economic uncertainty, particularly due to renewed US tariffs and volatility in crude oil prices, as risk factors. So, what are the takeaways from the RBI's moves? The RBI has unabashedly turned pro-growth for now — and this may also seem like an acknowledgement of GDP growth weakness and the cloudy outlook due to global uncertainties. Moreover, the Governor averred that the central bank has been able to attain a victory over inflation for the time being. The RBI has opportunistically — and rightly so — chosen to use the space opened up by the low expected inflation trajectory to front-load its rate cuts, instead of spreading them over two policy meetings with cuts of 25 bps each. The CPI inflation prints are likely to hit sub-3 per cent in the next few months, thanks also to a favourable statistical base and improved supplies. Importantly, in what must be one of the quickest reversals in monetary policy stance, the RBI changed its stance back to 'Neutral' from 'Accommodative', announced in its April policy. The repo rate was around current levels only during the pandemic and in August 2019, and even the CRR has not been lowered to 3 per cent outside of the pandemic or a crisis. This is a clear signal that the RBI has concluded this rate cut cycle and will most likely remain on a prolonged pause, subject to evolving economic conditions. A few important questions remain. First, will this rate cut boost GDP growth and spur consumption and capex? Monetary policy works with lags and, assuming transmission by lenders, the fuller benefits may accrue in the year 2026. While the RBI has been on an overdrive to address the supply side of credit — cutting policy rates, infusing durable liquidity — the demand for credit remains a problem. Corporates remain flush with cash and, with their balance sheet strength, have the ability to tap market instruments rather than banks if they need funds. However, with huge global uncertainties and still iffy domestic demand, they may not be inclined to borrow to undertake big investments. As for households and consumption in general, the sentiment remains weak — in part due to the tepid wage growth cycle and the over-leveraging of the past. However, discretionary consumption segments, especially the high-ticket segments such as real estate and consumer durables or users of loaned funds, NBFCs (non-banking financial companies), will be among the immediate beneficiaries. While the RBI's aggressive moves are expected to support real GDP growth, nominal GDP growth is likely to remain subdued due to muted retail and wholesale inflation. This may weigh on top-line growth for corporates. Second, will lenders lower rates and transmit the rate cuts? With low organic demand for credit, most lenders are likely to adopt a wait-and-watch approach. Also, given the huge liquidity boost and the fact that around 60 per cent of the loans are linked to external benchmark-based lending rates (EBLR), one can expect lending rates to soften by 25–50 bps broadly over the next few quarters. While the repo rate cut may hurt the NIMs (net interest margins) of lenders, the CRR cut could act as a cushion, providing 7 bps relief, according to the RBI. The CD (certificates of deposit) and CP (commercial paper) markets are already beginning to see easing of yields, though this may not be so visible in the long end of the curve or in the 10-year yields. Third, from an external economy perspective, the repo rate — now lower by 100 bps at 5.5 per cent — while the US Fed remains on a pause, will reduce the interest rate differential. This could weigh on capital inflows in a volatile world and also put downward pressure on the Indian Rupee. Finally, why should the RBI have cut the CRR to 3 per cent — the floor mandated by current regulations — if liquidity was abundant, leaving the RBI with little ammunition in case of a global crisis? Clearly, the RBI is not banking on 'nudges' to the system and is counting on the money multiplier — in the backdrop of a larger monetary base and a huge liquidity gush — to shoulder probably a little more than its fair share of the responsibility of supporting growth. The writer is Group Chief Economist, L&T. Views are personal


India Today
34 minutes ago
- India Today
How the RBI repo rate cut will impact you: Five key takeaways
RBI cuts repo rate by 50 basis points to 5% in third consecutive reduction CRR reduced by 100 basis points to inject Rs 2.5 lakh crore liquidity Inflation eases to 3.2% in April, projected at 3.7% for FY26 The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has reduced the repo rate, or the rate at which commercial banks borrow from the central bank, by 50 basis points (or 0.5 percentage point) to 5 per cent. The action: This is the third consecutive rate cut by the RBI, after having reduced the repo rate by 25 basis points each in the last two MPC meetings. Meanwhile, the cash reserve ratio (CRR), or the percentage of a bank's total deposits that they must hold in liquid form with the RBI as reserves, was reduced by 100 basis points. The reason: RBI governor Sanjay Malhotra said inflation has softened over the past six months to well within the RBI's tolerance band of 2-6 per cent. The inflation outlook for the year was revised downwards from the earlier forecast of 4 per cent to 3.7 per cent. However, growth has not been as expected. There was a need to boost private consumption and investment, and to facilitate that, it was necessary to ease rates as well as frontload the rate cuts, he said. With the latest rate cut, the RBI has cut 100 basis points (one percentage point) since this February. Inflation outlook: CPI (consumer price index) headline inflation continued its declining trajectory in March-April, moderating to a nearly six-year low of 3.2 per cent (year on year) in April 2025. This was led mainly by food inflation, which recorded the sixth consecutive monthly decline. The RBI has projected CPI inflation for FY26 at 3.7 per cent. Policy impact: With the frontloading of the rate cut, there will be more certainty in the market. Together with the CRR cut, it is expected to release much-needed liquidity into the economy. The RBI has also changed its monetary policy stance from 'accommodative' to 'neutral'. A Bank of Baroda (BoB) note says this implies there will possibly be no further cuts as the room for that is limited. Banks will have to reduce their interest rates in tandem with the RBI cuts, which should lead to better offtake of loans to buy homes and durables, among other goods, as well as industrial loans. Rajani Sinha, chief economist of CareEdge, said the CRR cut would inject around Rs 2.5 lakh crore in durable liquidity into the system, which would bolster credit growth and further facilitate smoother transmission of the policy rate cuts, thereby supporting overall economic growth. Niranjan Hiranandani, chairman of the Hiranandani Group, said the liquidity infusion of Rs 2.5 lakh crore is set to drive capex (capital expenditure) expansion, stimulate demand and catalyse growth across sectors. For the real-estate sector, this rate reduction is set to bolster credit lending, accelerate buying velocity, and enhance development momentum, he said. 'The resulting decline in home loan interest rates will directly benefit homebuyers by improving affordability and cushioning their financial commitments. Lower mortgage rates make home ownership more attainable, driving greater demand and fostering stronger sales indices,' said Hiranandani. He added that this move could spur refinancing activity and strengthen investment interest in branded properties known for their attractive returns, particularly among Grade A developers. Growth picture: The Centre has estimated that GDP growth would be 6.5 per cent in FY25. The RBI expects growth to be the same, at 6.5 per cent, in FY26, too. The factors driving this are a rise in discretionary spending, healthy rural demand, improvement in urban demand, a revival in investment activity, export growth and above normal monsoon. Services are growing too. However, geopolitical tensions and weather-related uncertainties continue to be a downside risk, says the BoB note, maintaining a growth forecast of 6.4 per cent to 6.6 per cent GDP growth in FY26. Subscribe to India Today Magazine The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has reduced the repo rate, or the rate at which commercial banks borrow from the central bank, by 50 basis points (or 0.5 percentage point) to 5 per cent. The action: This is the third consecutive rate cut by the RBI, after having reduced the repo rate by 25 basis points each in the last two MPC meetings. Meanwhile, the cash reserve ratio (CRR), or the percentage of a bank's total deposits that they must hold in liquid form with the RBI as reserves, was reduced by 100 basis points. The reason: RBI governor Sanjay Malhotra said inflation has softened over the past six months to well within the RBI's tolerance band of 2-6 per cent. The inflation outlook for the year was revised downwards from the earlier forecast of 4 per cent to 3.7 per cent. However, growth has not been as expected. There was a need to boost private consumption and investment, and to facilitate that, it was necessary to ease rates as well as frontload the rate cuts, he said. With the latest rate cut, the RBI has cut 100 basis points (one percentage point) since this February. Inflation outlook: CPI (consumer price index) headline inflation continued its declining trajectory in March-April, moderating to a nearly six-year low of 3.2 per cent (year on year) in April 2025. This was led mainly by food inflation, which recorded the sixth consecutive monthly decline. The RBI has projected CPI inflation for FY26 at 3.7 per cent. Policy impact: With the frontloading of the rate cut, there will be more certainty in the market. Together with the CRR cut, it is expected to release much-needed liquidity into the economy. The RBI has also changed its monetary policy stance from 'accommodative' to 'neutral'. A Bank of Baroda (BoB) note says this implies there will possibly be no further cuts as the room for that is limited. Banks will have to reduce their interest rates in tandem with the RBI cuts, which should lead to better offtake of loans to buy homes and durables, among other goods, as well as industrial loans. Rajani Sinha, chief economist of CareEdge, said the CRR cut would inject around Rs 2.5 lakh crore in durable liquidity into the system, which would bolster credit growth and further facilitate smoother transmission of the policy rate cuts, thereby supporting overall economic growth. Niranjan Hiranandani, chairman of the Hiranandani Group, said the liquidity infusion of Rs 2.5 lakh crore is set to drive capex (capital expenditure) expansion, stimulate demand and catalyse growth across sectors. For the real-estate sector, this rate reduction is set to bolster credit lending, accelerate buying velocity, and enhance development momentum, he said. 'The resulting decline in home loan interest rates will directly benefit homebuyers by improving affordability and cushioning their financial commitments. Lower mortgage rates make home ownership more attainable, driving greater demand and fostering stronger sales indices,' said Hiranandani. He added that this move could spur refinancing activity and strengthen investment interest in branded properties known for their attractive returns, particularly among Grade A developers. Growth picture: The Centre has estimated that GDP growth would be 6.5 per cent in FY25. The RBI expects growth to be the same, at 6.5 per cent, in FY26, too. The factors driving this are a rise in discretionary spending, healthy rural demand, improvement in urban demand, a revival in investment activity, export growth and above normal monsoon. Services are growing too. However, geopolitical tensions and weather-related uncertainties continue to be a downside risk, says the BoB note, maintaining a growth forecast of 6.4 per cent to 6.6 per cent GDP growth in FY26. Subscribe to India Today Magazine Join our WhatsApp Channel

The Hindu
an hour ago
- The Hindu
Rupee strengthens 11 paise to close at 85.68 against U.S. dollar
The rupee pared initial losses and appreciated 11 paise to close at 85.68 (provisional) against the U.S. dollar on Friday (June 6, 2025), after the Reserve Bank cut the repo rate by a higher-than-expected 50 basis points to prop up growth. Forex traders said the rupee traded on a flat-to-positive note as the RBI surprised the market with a jumbo rate cut. Besides, the rate cut supported by a phased 100 basis points CRR reduction will lower the borrowing costs and boost growth. Moreover, a surge in the domestic markets supported the rupee at lower levels, with both the indices settling with gains of over 1%. At the interbank foreign exchange, the domestic unit witnessed heavy volatility. It opened at 85.91, registering a fall of 12 paise over its previous close. But soon pared the losses and saw an early high of 85.66 against the greenback. During Friday's (June 6, 2025) trade, the rupee also saw an intraday low of 86 and finally settled for the day at 85.68, up 11 paise over its previous close. On Thursday (June 5, 2025), the rupee snapped its two-day losing streak and closed 8 paise higher at 85.79 against the U.S. dollar. The RBI slashed the interest rate by 50 basis points on Friday (June 6, 2025), a third consecutive reduction, and unexpectedly reduced the cash reserve ratio (CRR) for banks to provide a major liquidity fillip to support the economy amid geopolitical and tariff headwinds. The central bank retained the GDP growth projection for the current fiscal year at 6.5%. It also changed its monetary policy stance to 'neutral' from 'accommodative', with Malhotra saying further action will depend on incoming data. 'The RBI policy decision today was pre-emptive and precise. The surprise CRR cut of 100bps despite a significantly high surplus liquidity signals a strong intent to fast-track transmission while the change in stance back to neutral reflects possible pause on future rate cuts,' Anurag Mittal, Head of Fixed Income at UTI AMC said. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading higher by 0.25% at 98.98. Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, fell 0.26% to $65.17 per barrel in futures trade. 'Any further rate cut by the RBI may also pressurise the rupee. However, a positive tone in the domestic markets may support the domestic currency at lower levels. Investors may now focus on the non-farm payrolls report from the U.S. USD-INR spot price is expected to trade in a range of 85.40 to 86.25,' said Anuj Choudhary — Research Analyst at Mirae Asset Sharekhan. On the domestic equity market front, the 30-share benchmark index Sensex recovered the initial lost ground and closed 746.95 points, or 0.92% higher at 82,188.99, while the Nifty settled 252.15 points or 1.02% up at 25,003.05. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) sold equities worth ₹208.47 crore on a net basis on Thursday (June 5, 2025), according to exchange data.