Analyst: Split votes likely without unity among Malay, Bumiputera parties in Sabah
"If Umno and GRS end up in multi-cornered fights against Parti Warisan, Pakatan Harapan and other local parties, votes will be divided, making it more difficult for any coalition to secure a stable majority," said Universiti Malaya socio-political analyst Datuk Prof Dr Awang Azman Awang Pawi.
He said Sabah Umno chairman Datuk Seri Bung Moktar Radin's reluctance to immediately support cooperation with GRS should not necessarily be seen in a negative light.
The analyst said Bung's hesitation reflected the current political landscape in Sabah, where trust, loyalty and grassroots strength remain crucial in forming a sustainable political coalition.
"In this context, Bung is not outrightly rejecting collaboration, but signalling that any partnership must be based on political sincerity, fair power-sharing, and respect for Umno's role as a party that still commands considerable support among Bumiputera Muslim voters," he said.
He added that Umno's history and grassroots influence further contributed to its strength.
"Bung's stance simply shows that Umno deserves recognition as a strategic partner and is not a junior player in politics," he said.
"For GRS, this statement serves as a reminder that forming a coalition without open dialogue, equality and mutual respect will not lead to long-term stability.
"If GRS disregards Umno's voice, it risks losing access to the party's extensive grassroots network, particularly in rural areas," he added.
However, the academic said the current situation also presents an opportunity for renegotiation.
"Sabah Umno has the chance to push for a fairer agreement, including more balanced seat allocations and strategic positions in the state government if victorious," he said, adding that other parties also have an opportunity to build an equitable and sincere alliance with Umno.
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