
Cold war-era Soviet spacecraft Kosmos 482 to return after 53 years in orbit
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A Cold War-era Soviet spacecraft is expected to make an uncontrolled reentry into Earth's atmosphere around May 10, marking the dramatic end of a failed mission launched more than five decades ago.
Kosmos 482, a 500-kilogram Venus lander launched by the USSR on March 31, 1972, was designed to reach the surface of Venus but never made it past Earth's orbit due to a rocket malfunction shortly after liftoff.
Originally part of the Venera program, it remained stranded in a highly elliptical orbit for 53 years.
According to Dutch satellite tracker Marco Langbroek, the capsule is now predicted to plunge through the atmosphere at roughly 242 km/h (150 mph).
The precise time and location remain uncertain, but the reentry zone spans between 52° north and 52° south latitude—covering regions from London to Cape Horn.
Built to endure the harsh conditions of Venus' dense, hot atmosphere, Kosmos 482's spherical descent capsule could survive reentry through Earth's atmosphere, experts say.
However, both Langbroek and Harvard astrophysicist Jonathan McDowell note that the risk to life is extremely low, likening it to the odds of being struck by lightning.
The capsule's heat shield could fail due to decades of exposure in orbit, causing it to burn up.
But if it remains intact, a half-ton metal object may descend at high speed. While much of the world lies in the potential reentry path, the odds favor an ocean splashdown.
Kosmos 482's return highlights growing concerns about aging space debris.
Though smaller than China's uncontrolled Long March 5B booster reentries, the event is a rare reminder of Cold War-era space missions still lingering in Earth's orbit.

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Cold war-era Soviet spacecraft Kosmos 482 to return after 53 years in orbit
Listen to article A Cold War-era Soviet spacecraft is expected to make an uncontrolled reentry into Earth's atmosphere around May 10, marking the dramatic end of a failed mission launched more than five decades ago. Kosmos 482, a 500-kilogram Venus lander launched by the USSR on March 31, 1972, was designed to reach the surface of Venus but never made it past Earth's orbit due to a rocket malfunction shortly after liftoff. Originally part of the Venera program, it remained stranded in a highly elliptical orbit for 53 years. According to Dutch satellite tracker Marco Langbroek, the capsule is now predicted to plunge through the atmosphere at roughly 242 km/h (150 mph). The precise time and location remain uncertain, but the reentry zone spans between 52° north and 52° south latitude—covering regions from London to Cape Horn. Built to endure the harsh conditions of Venus' dense, hot atmosphere, Kosmos 482's spherical descent capsule could survive reentry through Earth's atmosphere, experts say. However, both Langbroek and Harvard astrophysicist Jonathan McDowell note that the risk to life is extremely low, likening it to the odds of being struck by lightning. The capsule's heat shield could fail due to decades of exposure in orbit, causing it to burn up. But if it remains intact, a half-ton metal object may descend at high speed. While much of the world lies in the potential reentry path, the odds favor an ocean splashdown. Kosmos 482's return highlights growing concerns about aging space debris. Though smaller than China's uncontrolled Long March 5B booster reentries, the event is a rare reminder of Cold War-era space missions still lingering in Earth's orbit.


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Listen to article A Soviet-era spacecraft launched over 50 years ago is expected to make a fiery return to Earth this weekend between 8 May and 14 May, with experts warning of a remote risk to people and property. The Kosmos 482 probe was intended to reach Venus in 1972 but suffered an engine failure, leaving it stranded in low Earth orbit. For decades, it has quietly circled the planet — until now. The spacecraft is now in its 'final death plunge', said Jonathan McDowell, an astronomer at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics. While most predictions suggest the one-tonne craft will splash down harmlessly into water, McDowell said there's a slim chance it could strike land. 'There's a small but non-zero risk that it could damage property or injure someone,' McDowell said. The spherical lander, roughly one metre wide, was built to endure the extreme conditions of Venus' atmosphere, complete with a durable heat shield and parachute. As a result, it may not burn up during reentry. 'What I expect is instead of burning up and melting, it will reenter essentially undamaged,' McDowell said. The lander may hit Earth at speeds approaching 150 miles per hour if it survives the plunge. The Kosmos 482 mission originally carried scientific instruments designed to study temperature, pressure, and radiation. Though some parts separated and possibly landed in New Zealand shortly after launch, the main lander remained in orbit. The precise impact point is unknown. Satellite trackers estimate a vast potential zone stretching from Russia and Canada to southern South America. Experts continue to monitor the descent closely but emphasise that serious outcomes remain unlikely.