logo
China's heavy reliance on Iranian oil imports

China's heavy reliance on Iranian oil imports

Straits Times24-06-2025
SINGAPORE - China is the main buyer of oil from Iran, which accounts for roughly 13.6 per cent of purchases in 2025 by the world's largest crude importer, leaving Beijing uniquely exposed to any supply disruption from conflict in the Middle East.
Beijing, which is also the biggest buyer of oil from Venezuela and a top importer of oil from Russia, has used purchases from the three countries facing various Western sanctions to save billions of dollars on its import bill in recent years.
How much Iranian oil does China buy?
China buys roughly 90 per cent of Iran's shipped oil, which has limited buyers due to US sanctions aimed at cutting off funding to Tehran's nuclear programme.
In the first six months of 2025, China purchased an average of 1.38 million barrels per day of Iranian oil, according to Kpler data.
In 2024, China's Iran purchases averaged 1.48 million barrels per day, or about 14.6 per cent of China's imports, according to Kpler.
Who are the main Chinese buyers of Iranian crude?
Chinese independent refiners known as teapots, clustered mainly in Shandong province, are the main buyers of Iranian crude, drawn by its discount to non-sanctioned barrels.
Teapots, which account for roughly one-quarter of Chinese refinery capacity, operate on narrow and sometimes negative margins and have been squeezed recently by tepid domestic demand for refined products.
China's big state oil companies have refrained from buying Iranian oil since 2018/2019, traders and experts have said.
How much cheaper is Iranian oil?
Iranian light crude traded at US$3.30 to US$3.50 a barrel below ICE Brent for July deliveries, Reuters reported on June 20, compared to discounts of around US$2.50 for June, three traders said, as teapots slowed buying and sellers looked to cut inventories.
Compared to non-sanctioned oil from the Middle East, Iranian oil currently trades at a roughly US$7-8 per barrel discount, according to traders.
Are US sanctions having an impact?
Washington reinstated sanctions on Tehran in 2018, and President Donald Trump's administration has imposed several new rounds of sanctions on Iran's oil trade since taking office in January.
Mr Trump's sanctions have included penalties on three Chinese teapots, which has led to curtailed buying from several mid-sized independents worried about being designated, Reuters reported.
One trader estimated that non-sanctioned oil has replaced about 100,000 barrels per day of Iranian oil to China in 2025.
What is Beijing's stance on the Iran oil trade?
Beijing rejects unilateral sanctions and defends its trade with Iran as legitimate.
Iranian oil imported by China is typically labelled by traders as originating from other countries, such as Malaysia, a major transshipment hub.
Chinese customs data has not shown any oil shipped from Iran since July 2022. REUTERS
Join ST's Telegram channel and get the latest breaking news delivered to you.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Chinese hotels turn to hawking food as guests tighten belts
Chinese hotels turn to hawking food as guests tighten belts

Business Times

time30 minutes ago

  • Business Times

Chinese hotels turn to hawking food as guests tighten belts

[SINGAPORE] Every evening, staff at Beiyuan Grand Hotel in Beijing set up street stalls selling freshly-cooked gourmet dishes trying to make up for falling revenue indoors as Chinese consumers and firms cut spending on travel, conferences and banquets. 'These days, it's not that people will come just because you lower prices or offer discounts — they simply don't come at all,' said Anwen Xu, its sales director, explaining the need to find new income streams. Beiyuan is among at least 15 high-end hotels nationwide hawking food outside in recent weeks, according to their social media and Chinese news sites. Their sales had been hit by weaker consumer demand, cuts to corporate and official travel budgets and a lack of banquet reservations, staff said. Xu said Beijing's moves earlier this year to reinforce austerity and discipline among public sector workers and party members, including bans on dining out in large groups and curbs on alcohol consumption, had also hurt business. Analysts say the hotel hawkers are another sign that deflationary pressures risk becoming entrenched in the world's second-largest economy, whose growth leans more on manufacturing and exports than consumption. Consumer prices were flat year-on-year in July. BT in your inbox Start and end each day with the latest news stories and analyses delivered straight to your inbox. Sign Up Sign Up 'These high-end dining establishments, especially five-star hotels, are having to make strategic adjustments to survive,' said He-Ling Shi, an economics professor at Monash University in Melbourne. 'What this phenomenon reflects is that China's overall economic situation is now facing a fairly significant risk of deflation.' Analysts also cite 3 yuan (S$0.50) breakfasts and supermarkets offering flash sales as deflationary signs. Shoppers gather near hawker stalls near Beiyuan Grand Hotel in Beijing, China, Aug 11, 2025. PHOTO: REUTERS China's catering revenue grew 0.9 per cent year-on-year in June, down from 5.9 per cent in May, official statistics showed. In the first half of 2025, accommodation industry profits in Beijing fell 92.9 per cent year-on-year, according to government data. 'The food and beverage business has been under considerable pressure,' said Wei Zheng, a staff member at Grand Metropark Hotel in Beijing, which began selling street food on July 10. 'Many hotels have adopted methods such as selling outside to increase revenue,' added Wei, noting the hotel earns an extra few thousand yuan a day hawking braised duck, fish stew or crayfish. Xu at Beiyuan said their outdoor bestseller was the hotel's signature crispy roast pigeon at 38 yuan (S$6.80) per bird, which is priced at 58 yuan on the menu inside. Since opening on July 28, the stall has sold about 130 pigeons a day, compared to about 80 previously. Within a few months, private dining-room use has fallen from full to about one-third, and average per-head spend inside has halved to around 100 to 150 yuan, Xu said. She added the outdoor stall operates with a 10 per cent to 15 per cent margin, which she said was better than the average caterer but still not enough to fully offset the fall in business indoors. 'Hesitant' consumers Yaling Jiang, founder of research consultancy ApertureChina, said consumers 'continue to seek value and novelty in an economic downturn' but are 'hesitant' when it comes to high-end spending. Shopper Seven Chen, who bought barbecue pork, said he understood what the Beiyuan hotel was trying to do, adding that he was also staying in fancy hotels less often than in the past. 'The main thing is people don't have enough income,' said Chen, who works in finance and lives nearby. Others adopting a street food strategy, according to their social media accounts, include the JW Marriott in Chongqing and Hilton Wuhan Riverside in Wuhan. The latter did not comment, while a Marriott staffer said the hotel sells dishes outside from 5 pm to 6 pm. They did not go into further detail. The five-star River & Holiday Hotel in Chongqing, says its daily revenue surged to 60,000 yuan from just a few thousand after setting up food stalls in its car park last month. Marketing and sales manager Shen Qiuya dismissed online criticism that the practice could erode brand value. 'Every industry is facing difficulties this year,' Shen said. 'Survival is the most important thing. Face isn't worth anything.' REUTERS

Trump's 50% tariff threatens India's manufacturing ambitions
Trump's 50% tariff threatens India's manufacturing ambitions

Business Times

time30 minutes ago

  • Business Times

Trump's 50% tariff threatens India's manufacturing ambitions

[NEW DELHI] India's largest shoemaker Farida Group had already staked out the land, a 150-acre plot in southern Tamil Nadu, for a sprawling new export plant. Then came a blow from Washington: US President Donald Trump announced he was doubling tariffs on Indian exports to 50 per cent. For Farida, which supplies brands such as Cole Haan and Clarks and depends on the US for about 60 per cent of its business, the impact was immediate. New orders stopped. The 10 billion rupee (S$146 million) project froze. 'With 25 per cent tariffs, you can still work, you can give some discount, negotiate with the buyer and make some adjustments in your profits,' Rafeeque Ahmed, the company's chairman, said. 'At 50 per cent, you don't have anything.' Farida is hardly alone. Trump's move would give India the highest tariff rate in Asia, threatening a manufacturing sector that Prime Minister Narendra Modi has spent a decade trying to build to take on the likes of China. The 'Make in India' campaign was supposed to lift manufacturing to 25 per cent of the economy. Last year, it stood at just 13 per cent – lower than the 16 per cent in 2015, according to World Bank data. The last few years did offer glimmers of the future Modi had envisioned. Apple scaled up iPhone assembly in India, making the country the second-largest smartphone producer after China. Pharmaceuticals and green tech have also gained ground. The US, whose policies and actions accelerated companies' adoption of a 'China Plus One' strategy to diversify supply chains, is now India's biggest export market and one of its top sources of foreign investment. BT in your inbox Start and end each day with the latest news stories and analyses delivered straight to your inbox. Sign Up Sign Up That progress is suddenly vulnerable. While the tariff hike spares smartphones and pharmaceuticals for now, it puts the rest of India's US$87 billion in US-bound exports on the line. 'Forget China Plus One right now. Companies are thinking India Plus One,' Ahmed said. 'They are making plans to move out of India.' India's Ministry of Commerce and Industry did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Trump says the tariff hike is punishment for India's purchase of discounted oil from Russia, which he argues helps fund President Vladimir Putin's war on Ukraine. But India was the only major economy to be hit with such 'secondary tariffs', even though China is the largest overall buyer of Moscow's crude. If the 50 per cent rate holds, Bloomberg Economics estimates US-bound exports from India could fall by 60 per cent and put nearly 1 per cent of gross domestic product at risk. Without exemptions for pharmaceuticals and electronics, the decline could reach 80 per cent. Even the earlier 25 per cent rate – already higher than in Vietnam, Malaysia or Bangladesh – was enough to threaten a 30 per cent drop in exports. For comparison, Chinese goods face about a 30 per cent US tariff. 'In addition to the economic challenge, politically it's difficult for Prime Minister Modi that India now pays a higher blanket rate than China,' said Alexander Slater, head of the India practice at consulting firm Capstone. China is pressing on other fronts as well. Beijing wants to limit tech transfers and equipment exports to India and South-east Asia, aiming to deter companies from relocating production, Bloomberg previously reported. China's rare earth curbs also hit Indian automakers earlier this year. At the same time, Trump's tariffs have opened the door for closer India-China ties. Direct flights may resume as soon as next month, and Beijing has eased restrictions on urea exports to India. On the factory floor, anxiety over the US tariff is palpable. Ajay Sahai, chief executive officer of the Federation of Indian Export Organisations, said that exporters could see demand fall 20 per cent in the short term. The timing could not be worse: summer 2026 orders are being placed right now, but with tariffs sitting at 50 per cent, buyers are baulking. 'I have been getting 80 to 90 calls every day concerning these issues from exporters seeking solutions and ways out,' he said. 'It's difficult to do business in such a tariff environment.' Some factories are slashing prices to hold on to customers. The only way to retain buyers is by giving huge discounts, said Sudhir Sekhri, managing director at apparel maker Trend Setters Group. Spring and summer orders account for roughly 65 per cent of his firm's revenue. In Mumbai, Sharad Kumar Saraf, managing director of Technocraft Group, which produces scaffolding, textiles and other goods, is running the numbers to reduce costs for buyers. About a third of its sales are headed for the US. 'Additional tariffs is unwarranted and uncalled for and will impact our trade severely,' he said. There's still the possibility for a reprieve. US and Indian officials are continuing trade talks, with the hopes of landing the first tranche of a bilateral trade deal this fall that could dial back tariffs. Trump will also meet Putin in Alaska this week to discuss Ukraine, any breakthrough there could strengthen the case for dropping America's oil-related levies. But time is not on India's side. The longer the uncertainty drags on, the more companies will start looking elsewhere. India's share in many of these product categories is small and US brands can shift their supply chains quickly if they decide to, said P Senthilkumar, partner at Vector Consulting Group. The tariff threat feels personal for Farida Group, whose shoe plants employ about 23,000 people, with over half producing for the US. Every paused shipment or cancelled order brings painful choices, whether to halt or slow production, or let go of staff who have spent years honing their craft. 'You can't take business decisions in such uncertainty,' said Ahmed. 'What will happen to workers? Shall I send them back? They have been with me for years, they are skilled workers, I can't just send them back.' 'Workers would be one of the biggest sufferers,' he added. BLOOMBERG

Chinese hotels turn to hawking food as guests tighten belts
Chinese hotels turn to hawking food as guests tighten belts

Straits Times

timean hour ago

  • Straits Times

Chinese hotels turn to hawking food as guests tighten belts

Sign up now: Get ST's newsletters delivered to your inbox People queue at a setup of stalls selling food to passersby next to Beiyuan Grand Hotel in Beijing, China, on Aug 11. SINGAPORE/BEIJING - Every evening, staff at Beiyuan Grand Hotel in Beijing set up street stalls selling freshly cooked gourmet dishes trying to make up for falling revenue indoors as Chinese consumers and firms cut spending on travel, conferences and banquets. 'These days, it's not that people will come just because you lower prices or offer discounts – they simply don't come at all,' said Ms Xu Anwen, its sales director, explaining the need to find new income streams. Beiyuan is among at least 15 high-end hotels nationwide hawking food outside in recent weeks, according to their social media and Chinese news sites. Their sales had been hit by weaker consumer demand, cuts to corporate and official travel budgets and a lack of banquet reservations, staff said. Ms Xu said Beijing's moves earlier in 2025 to reinforce austerity and discipline among public sector workers and party members, including bans on dining out in large groups and curbs on alcohol consumption, had also hurt business. Analysts say the hotel hawkers are another sign that deflationary pressures risk becoming entrenched in the world's second-largest economy, whose growth leans more on manufacturing and exports than consumption. Consumer prices were fla t year-on-year in July. 'These high-end dining establishments, especially five-star hotels, are having to make strategic adjustments to survive,' said Dr Shi He Ling, an economics professor at Monash University in Melbourne. Top stories Swipe. Select. Stay informed. Asia India, Singapore ministers discuss deeper tie-ups in digitalisation, skills, industrial parks Business More seniors remain employed after retirement and re-employment ages raised in 2022: MOM study Singapore askST: Will assets seized in $3b money laundering case be sold at public auctions? Singapore To Vers or not to Vers: How will this scheme affect HDB prices? Asia Malaysia's ex-economy minister says his son was jabbed with syringe in planned attack Business StarHub first-half profit falls 41.7% to $47.9m; telco eyes 'more aggressive stance' amid competition Business CapitaLand Investment first-half profit falls 13.3%, appoints new CEO of private funds Life Taylor Swift's new album, The Life of a Showgirl, will release on Oct 3 'What this phenomenon reflects is that China's overall economic situation is now facing a fairly significant risk of deflation.' Analysts also cite 3 yuan (S$0.50) breakfasts and supermarkets offering flash sales as deflationary signs. China's catering revenue grew 0.9 per cent year-on-year in June, down from 5.9 per cent in May, official statistics showed. In the first half of 2025, accommodation industry profits in Beijing fell 92.9 per cent year-on-year, according to government data. 'The food and beverage business has been under considerable pressure,' said Mr Wei Zheng, a staff member at Grand Metropark Hotel in Beijing, which began selling street food on July 10. 'Many hotels have adopted methods such as selling outside to increase revenue,' added Mr Wei, noting the hotel earns an extra few thousand yuan a day hawking braised duck, fish stew or crayfish. Ms Xu at Beiyuan said their outdoor bestseller was the hotel's signature crispy roast pigeon at 38 yuan per bird, which is priced at 58 yuan on the menu inside. Since opening on July 28, the stall has sold about 130 pigeons a day, compared to about 80 previously. China's catering revenue grew 0.9 per cent year-on-year in June, down from 5.9 per cent in May, official statistics showed. PHOTO: REUTERS Within a few months, private dining room use has fallen from full to about one-third, and average per head spend inside has halved to around 100 to 150 yuan, Ms Xu said. She added the outdoor stall operates with a 10 per cent to 15 per cent margin, which she said was better than the average caterer but still not enough to fully offset the fall in business indoors. Ms Yaling Jiang, founder of research consultancy ApertureChina, said consumers 'continue to seek value and novelty in an economic downturn' but are hesitant when it comes to high-end spending. Shopper Seven Chen, who bought barbecue pork, said he understood what the Beiyuan hotel was trying to do, adding that he was also staying in fancy hotels less often than in the past. 'The main thing is people don't have enough income,' said Mr Chen, who works in finance and lives nearby. A chef fries pigeons in hot oil in a metal fryer at a setup of stalls selling food to passersby next to Beiyuan Grand Hotel. PHOTO: REUTERS Others adopting a street food strategy, according to their social media accounts, include the JW Marriott in Chongqing and Hilton Wuhan Riverside in Wuhan. The latter did not comment, while a Marriott staff member said the hotel sells dishes outside from 5pm to 6pm They did not go into further detail. The five-star River & Holiday Hotel in Chongqing, says its daily revenue surged to 60,000 yuan from just a few thousand after setting up food stalls in its car park in July 2025. Marketing and sales manager Shen Qiuya dismissed online criticism that the practice could erode brand value. 'Every industry is facing difficulties this year,' Ms Shen said. 'Survival is the most important thing. Face isn't worth anything,' she added. REUTERS

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store