
Foreigners pour billions into Taiwan, South Korea stocks on AI, growth optimism
Foreign inflows into most Asian equity markets have stabilised over the past three months as countries clinched better trade arrangements with the United States, calming tariff-related volatility and uncertainty in financial markets.
Overseas investors showed strong interest in Taiwan and South Korea for the third straight month in July, pouring $7.78 billion in Taiwan, the highest since the 2008 global financial crisis, and $4.52 billion in South Korea, the most since February last year, LSEG data showed.
The MSCI gauge of equities in Asia excluding Japan rose 2 per cent last month, its fifth consecutive month in green, while benchmarks in Taipei and Seoul advanced roughly 6 per cent each.
Taiwan and South Korea were the top destinations in the region for foreign capital, securing a cumulative $25.7 billion over the past three months as the two dominant Asian tech exporters benefit from a global surge in AI-related investments.
South Korea's shareholder-friendly reforms, political stability, and robust corporate fundamentals lured investors in 2025 after a dreary performance last year, though recent concerns over reforms to tax policy are posing new challenges.
Foreign investors also net bought $499 million worth of Thai equities in July, the first month of inflows since September last year, as they scooped up stocks at relatively cheap valuations after a prolonged period of heavy selling.
Even so, Thailand's uncertain political climate, challenging macroeconomic conditions, and an unnecessarily strong currency that undermines export competitiveness continue to impede any buildup of positions on these equities.
Thailand's benchmark SET index surged 14 per cent in July — its best month since November 2020 — but still not enough to erase steep losses suffered earlier in the year. The index remains 10 per cent in the red, ranking among the region's worst performers.
"We are cautious and underweight on Thailand as it remains in a fairly precarious position: high household debt, limited government spending, an uncertain political environment, and external negative events such as the conflict with Cambodia," said Kenneth Tang, senior portfolio manager at Nikko Asset Management.
"If Thailand can settle these issues, it will clear up the path for its recovery."
Indian stocks experienced sharp outflows of over $2 billion in July, the highest since February this year and snapping a three-month streak of net purchases.
Indonesia and the Philippines also logged net outflows of $570 million and $29 million, respectively, last month, while Vietnam attracted $326 million as investors bet on the country's strong growth prospects after it secured a comfortable tariff rate with the United States.
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CNA
7 hours ago
- CNA
South Korea's military has shrunk by 20% in six years as male population drops
SEOUL: South Korea's military shrank by 20 per cent in the past six years to 450,000 troops, largely due to a sharp drop in the population of males of enlistment age for mandatory service in the country with the world's lowest birthrate, a report said on Sunday (Aug 10). The dramatic decline in the pool of available males for military service is also causing a shortfall in the number of officers and could result in operational difficulty if it continues, the defence ministry said in the report. The report was made to the ruling Democratic Party member of parliament Choo Mi-ae, whose office released it. South Korea's military has steadily declined since the early 2000s when it had about 690,000 soldiers. The pace accelerated during the late 2010s and there were about 563,000 active-duty soldiers and officers in 2019. North Korea is believed to have an active-duty military of about 1.2 million, according to the latest estimate by the defence ministry in 2022. In the period between 2019 and 2025, the population of 20-year-old males declined by 30 per cent to 230,000, according to government data, the age when most men who pass a physical exam enlist for military service, which is now 18 months long. The military has cited improved capabilities as a key reason for shortening service periods, made possible by a military alliance with the United States and the development of a defence industry that has become a major exporter of arms. Able-bodied men served 36 months in 1953 when the Korean War ended in an armistice. South Korea's defence budget, at more than 61 trillion won (US$43.9 billion) in 2025, is larger than the estimated size of North Korea's economy. Still, the military is 50,000 troops short of the number of troops adequate for maintaining defence readiness, the ministry said. About 21,000 of the shortfall is in the non-commissioned officer ranks, it said. South Korea is one of the world's fastest ageing societies and has the lowest fertility rate in the world at 0.75 in 2024, which signifies the average number of babies a woman is expected to have during her reproductive life. Its population, which hit a peak of 51.8 million in 2020, is expected to shrink to 36.2 million by 2072, according to a government projection.


CNA
2 days ago
- CNA
Commentary: Espionage and tariffs can't tarnish TSMC's crown
TOKYO: An attempt to steal trade secrets from the world's largest chipmaker and renewed tariff threats on semiconductors are bending Taiwan's 'silicon shield'. But it's not breaking just yet. Still, heavy is the head of TSMC, whose technology everybody wants a piece of. Less than a day after news broke that TSMC fired several employees for a suspected attempt to obtain critical information on its cutting-edge manufacturing, US President Donald Trump threatened new chip tariffs 'of approximately 100 per cent'. On Thursday, Taiwan confirmed that TSMC is exempt from the latest levies due to its investments in the US. But Trump still sowed a lot of confusion after stating in an interview earlier this week that Taiwan was 'coming over and spending US$300 billion in Arizona, building the biggest plant in the world'. TSMC had previously only committed US$165 billion, suggesting negotiations might not be over. Trump likely realized that new, sky-high tariffs on TSMC would be a blow to US tech ambitions. Domestic titans at the heart of maintaining America's lead over China, such as Nvidia and Apple, are TSMC's biggest customers. And fresh levies would be an own-goal for the Stargate artificial intelligence infrastructure plans Trump announced earlier this year, which rely on hundreds of thousands of advanced chips. The news of a tariff reprieve helped drive TSMC's shares to a record on Thursday. TSMC's multi-billion-dollar expansion efforts in the US haven't always gone over well at home. Some patriotic Taiwanese want the chipmaker to keep core technologies within the self-ruled island as a safeguard from potential Beijing aggression. But expanding manufacturing to the US will only strengthen Taiwan's alliance with Washington and give its footprint room to grow. It's also worth recognising that TSMC and Silicon Valley are on the same side when it comes to countering China. MORE QUESTIONS THAN ANSWERS OVER LEAK Still, tariffs may not be the company's biggest headache. The potential corporate espionage is far more than a run-of-the-mill commercial intellectual property theft. It's being investigated under Taiwan's national security law and has the potential to spiral into a broader geopolitical spat. At this stage, there are more questions than answers. The scope of the leak, the perpetrator and the motive haven't been disclosed. Still, TSMC has said it was able to identify the issue 'early'. On Thursday, Tokyo Electron confirmed that a former employee was involved in the case, though said an internal probe hadn't found evidence of the confidential information being shared with a third party. Local prosecutors have made half a dozen arrests, and the people involved were reportedly targeting information on the company's 2-nanometer production – the most advanced chip manufacturing technology in the world. Besides TSMC, there are only three other companies that are actively trying to mass produce the cutting-edge chips: Samsung, Intel and Japan's long-shot startup Rapidus. Many of them rely on the same suppliers, such as Tokyo Electron. Acquiring the critical know-how for smaller chip node production can cost tens of billions of dollars in research and development. There are other reasons so few firms are capable of attempting this. Even with the R&D knowledge, it still requires massive investments in fabrication plants and tooling equipment, as well as access to a very limited supply of trained engineers to compete at scale. Taiwan and TSMC have spent decades building this foundation, and there aren't clear shortcuts to leapfrog the company's dominance – even unethical ones. Countries and companies have poured billions trying to eclipse TSMC's virtual monopoly on advanced chipmaking, but these hard-won gains can't be spread (or stolen) overnight. The firm is also no stranger to talent poaching and other attempts at IP theft; it's a systemic issue in an industry where the strategic importance is so high. The most recent case is spurring international whodunnit intrigue, but more importantly it shows that the company has beefed up internal security protocols to rapidly respond. CRUCIAL FOR TSMC TO MAINTAIN ITS EDGE It can't be overstated how important it is for TSMC to maintain its technology edge. Some 24 per cent of the most-recent quarterly revenue came from its 3-nanometer tech. Demand is already high for the company's next-generation nodes, set to go into mass production later this year. TSMC's dominance gives it the power to set prices at a time when the foreign exchange rate is unfavourable and trade uncertainty looms. This tech advantage has not just proven crucial for TSMC's business. It is giving Taiwan's government leverage via so-called semiconductor diplomacy. The potential leak gives new fuel to critics of President Lai Ching-te, who has had a rough few weeks. As the first chips-related case involving the National Security Act, it's imperative that authorities investigate and respond to the fullest extent of the law. Taipei must set a precedent with this case to deter any future attempts. As my colleague Howard Chua-Eoan has written, history shows us that technological secrets and monopolies have a hard time staying that way in the long run. For now, TSMC is selling the shovels during a global AI gold rush. Even tariff threats and espionage attempts can't tarnish its crown just yet.


CNA
2 days ago
- CNA
Global stock index sinks with dollar, bond yields after weak US jobs data
NEW YORK/LONDON :MSCI's global equities index sold off sharply on Friday and the dollar took a dive after weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data fueled economic worries and boosted bets for September interest rate cuts while investors also considered U.S. President Donald Trump's latest tariff announcements and key personnel changes. U.S. Treasuries were in demand after the Labor Department reported that the U.S. economy added 73,000 nonfarm payrolls last month, below economists' expectations for 110,000. June's job growth was revised sharply lower to 14,000 from 147,000. After the report, Trump said he ordered his team to fire the commissioner of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Erika L. McEntarfer, nominated by prior President Joe Biden for the role. Then the dollar index and U.S. Treasury yields lost further ground when the Federal Reserve said Governor Adriana Kugler is resigning early from her term on Aug. 8, causing some investors anxiety at a time when Trump has loudly disagreed with Fed rate policies. Late on Friday, traders were betting on an 87.5 per cent probability for a September rate cut compared with 37.7 per cent on Thursday, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. "The market is reacting to the possibility of the economy flipping into recession. The weak jobs data is piling on to weak earnings reports and weak guidance from some corporations," said Luke Tilley, Chief Economist, Wilmington Trust. MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe fell 12.23 points, or 1.32 per cent, to 917.39, suggesting its biggest daily drop since mid-April. The softer jobs data added to losses for the global index, which was already in the red after a host of tariff announcements from Trump the day before. On Thursday, Trump ordered tariffs ranging from 10 per cent to 41 per cent on U.S. imports from several major trading partners. He increased duties on Canadian goods to 35 per cent from 25 per cent for all products not covered by the U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade agreement. He set a 25 per cent rate for India's U.S.-bound exports, 20 per cent for Taiwan's, 19 per cent for Thailand's and 15 per cent for South Korea's. Mexico, however, got a 90-day reprieve from higher tariffs to allow for deal talks. On the earnings front, market heavyweight Amazon tumbled more than 8 per cent on Friday after its quarterly report showed cloud computing growth that disappointed investors. On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 542.40 points, or 1.23 per cent, to 43,588.58, the S&P 500 fell 101.38 points, or 1.60 per cent, to 6,238.01, for its biggest one-day percentage drop since May 21 and the Nasdaq Composite fell 472.32 points, or 2.24 per cent, to 20,650.13, its steepest one-day drop since April 21. Earlier, the pan-European STOXX 600 index ended down 1.89 per cent, its biggest drop since April 9. In currencies, the greenback reversed course to fall sharply after the data due to increased expectations for rate cuts. Earlier it had found support in fading hopes for U.S. rate cuts. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against major currencies including the yen and the euro, fell 1.37 per cent to 98.66, the euro was up 1.52 per cent at $1.1589. Against the Japanese yen, the dollar weakened 2.26 per cent to 147.32. "The way (the market) is going to interpret (the departures) is in a very dollar-negative way," Juan Perez, senior director of trading, Monex USA, referring to both the Kugler and McEntarfer news. "No matter what the economic picture in the United States, the one thing that holds the U.S. dollar strong in the eyes of the world is the authority and the independence of the Federal Reserve. Whenever anything comes to potentially put that into compromise then that's when the U.S. dollar spirals down." U.S. Treasury yields plunged on the jobs data and the increased bets for September rate cuts, and fell to fresh session lows in the late afternoon after the Kugler announcement. Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel, said Trump "is getting a bigger chance to appoint people whose views match his own" at the Fed. Regarding the BLS firing Tuz said "I don't like to see a bureaucrat fired just because the data that gets presented doesn't support the administration's policies." The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell 14 basis points to 4.22 per cent, from 4.36 per cent late on Thursday. The 30-year bond yield fell 6.4 basis points to 4.8211 per cent. The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve, fell 26.1 basis points to 3.69 per cent. In energy markets, oil prices sank about 2.8 per cent after the jobs data and on jitters about a possible production increase by OPEC and its allies. Oil had settled around 1 per cent lower on Thursday. U.S. crude settled down 2.79 per cent, or $1.93 at $67.33 a barrel and Brent settled at $69.67 per barrel, down 2.83 per cent, or $2.03 on the day. Elsewhere in commodities, gold prices rallied to a one-week high as investors sought safety after the weak jobs report, policy easing expectations and the latest tariff announcements. Spot gold rose 2.14 per cent to $3,360.45 an ounce.