Microsoft calls US chip curbs a ‘strategic misstep' in global AI race
In a blog post, the tech giant's president Brad Smith wrote that Beijing is using the rules — designed to limit China's access to the cutting-edge technology used to power artificial intelligence — to argue that 'countries can't rely on the US, but China is willing to provide what they need.
Under the Biden administration's AI Diffusion Rule, even US allies such as Switzerland, Singapore and the UAE are subject to caps on the number of chips they can buy, forcing them to look elsewhere for the components needed for AI infrastructure, Smith wrote.
It comes as the Trump administration is looking to introduce even tougher versions of the controls, Bloomberg reported this week.
Exponential growth in demand for computing power means Washington faces a dilemma as US and international firms look to expand overseas, because not every AI-friendly jurisdiction is aligned with the US or insulated from China, a trade expert wrote for the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Countries barred from buying the chips they require may bristle at the US holding back their ambitions, and try to de-risk from Washington rather than China, he wrote. And international makers of advanced chips will be 'more than happy' to grow their market share at the expense of the US in response to the demand, a tech expert argued for the Brookings Institution.
Washington's curbs limiting Beijing's ability to buy chips may have the unintended effect of making China more self-reliant and a key exporter in its own right, tech writer Ben Thompson argued: 'The first thing the US should do… is let Chinese companies buy top-of-the-line Nvidia chips,' he wrote. Some analysts, for example, argue that Chinese startup DeepSeek's recent success shows that US controls aren't working and may even be 'counterproductive,' the South China Morning Post reported. But the picture may be more complicated: DeepSeek spent years stockpiling Nvidia chips before the controls took effect, so had the Biden administration moved more quickly, it may not have been as successful, a tech analyst told The New York Times.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
29 minutes ago
- Yahoo
AMAT Q2 Deep Dive: Strong Results Overshadowed by Weaker China Outlook and Demand Uncertainty
Semiconductor machinery manufacturer Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT) beat Wall Street's revenue expectations in Q2 CY2025, with sales up 7.7% year on year to $7.30 billion. On the other hand, next quarter's revenue guidance of $6.7 billion was less impressive, coming in 8.2% below analysts' estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $2.48 per share was 5.1% above analysts' consensus estimates. Is now the time to buy AMAT? Find out in our full research report (it's free). Applied Materials (AMAT) Q2 CY2025 Highlights: Revenue: $7.30 billion vs analyst estimates of $7.22 billion (7.7% year-on-year growth, 1.2% beat) Adjusted EPS: $2.48 vs analyst estimates of $2.36 (5.1% beat) Adjusted EBITDA: $2.36 billion vs analyst estimates of $2.27 billion (32.3% margin, 3.8% beat) Revenue Guidance for Q3 CY2025 is $6.7 billion at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $7.30 billion Adjusted EPS guidance for Q3 CY2025 is $2.11 at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $2.38 Operating Margin: 30.6%, up from 28.7% in the same quarter last year Inventory Days Outstanding: 141, down from 142 in the previous quarter Market Capitalization: $151.1 billion StockStory's Take Applied Materials delivered a better-than-expected second quarter, but the market responded negatively amid growing concerns about future demand visibility—particularly in China. Management attributed quarterly strength to robust demand for semiconductor systems and services, with CEO Gary Dickerson highlighting "record performance" driven by investments in advanced chip manufacturing and ongoing customer engagement. However, management was clear that the positive results were partly offset by uneven demand patterns and mounting external uncertainty, especially around Chinese capacity digestion and the impact of export license restrictions. Looking ahead, Applied Materials issued a cautious revenue forecast for the next quarter due to persistent uncertainties in China and nonlinear demand from leading-edge chipmakers. CFO Brice Hill noted, 'We are seeing customers take longer to commit to orders, leading to a shorter visibility window.' Management pointed to ongoing geopolitical and trade policy risks, as well as the timing of major customer investments, as key variables shaping the near-term outlook. The company continues to prioritize investments in AI-enabling technologies, but acknowledged that quarterly growth may remain uneven until these issues stabilize. Key Insights from Management's Remarks Management anchored their discussion on the interplay of strong technology demand and near-term macro headwinds, citing China and advanced logic as primary sources of uncertainty for the outlook. China demand digestion: The company noted that recent strength in China was expected to subside, with Brice Hill, CFO, explaining that 'lower business, especially given the restrictions in our Q4 guide, much like we experienced in Q2,' is anticipated due to capacity digestion following significant investments in 2023 and 2024. Advanced logic and DRAM momentum: Applied Materials reported sustained growth in leading-edge logic and memory technologies, with revenue from metal deposition and etch businesses benefiting from the industry's transition to advanced nodes like gate-all-around transistors and high-bandwidth memory (HBM). CEO Gary Dickerson highlighted that 'our strength in DRAM supported record results for our etch business.' Service business durability: The Applied Global Services unit continued its 24-quarter streak of year-over-year growth, supported by a high proportion of subscription-based services and comprehensive agreements for advanced chip manufacturing, demonstrating resilience even during periods of equipment order volatility. Backlog of export licenses: Management disclosed a mounting backlog of export license applications related to China, adopting a conservative outlook by assuming no approvals for the coming quarter. This reflects ongoing trade and policy uncertainties affecting both near-term revenue and supply chain planning. Market share gains in packaging: The company emphasized its leading position in advanced chip packaging—critical for AI and high-performance computing—anticipating that this segment will more than double in size over the next few years, supported by new product wins and expanded customer collaboration. Drivers of Future Performance Management expects several headwinds to impact upcoming revenue and profit trends, largely driven by external policy factors and shifts in customer investment timing. Continued China uncertainty: Management said the digestion of capacity in China, combined with a conservative stance on export license approvals, will suppress sales from the region for the next several quarters. CFO Brice Hill remarked that 'the business will be less than 2024' until utilization rates improve and regulatory clarity returns. Nonlinear leading-edge demand: The outlook for advanced foundry and logic business remains positive over the long term, but near-term growth is expected to be uneven. Management cited delayed capital commitments and increased concentration among leading-edge customers, making quarterly demand patterns more volatile and reducing order visibility. AI-driven investments and packaging: Despite near-term volatility, Applied Materials continues to invest in technologies enabling AI, including advanced packaging and backside power architectures. CEO Gary Dickerson expects these inflections to expand the company's addressable market and drive incremental market share over the next several years. Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters In future quarters, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) the trajectory of China-related equipment sales and progress on pending export license approvals, (2) the timing and scale of major customer investments in new logic and memory production nodes, and (3) developments in advanced packaging and AI-enabling product launches. Execution in these areas will be key to sustaining growth during a period of heightened industry and policy uncertainty. Applied Materials currently trades at $162.35, down from $188.16 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it's free). Stocks That Trumped Tariffs Donald Trump's April 2025 "Liberation Day" tariffs sent markets into a tailspin, but stocks have since rebounded strongly, proving that knee-jerk reactions often create the best buying opportunities. The smart money is already positioning for the next leg up. Don't miss out on the recovery - check out our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025). Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today. StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here. Sign in to access your portfolio
Yahoo
29 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Here is What to Know Beyond Why Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is a Trending Stock
Microsoft (MSFT) has recently been on list of the most searched stocks. Therefore, you might want to consider some of the key factors that could influence the stock's performance in the near future. Shares of this software maker have returned +2.1% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.3% change. The Zacks Computer - Software industry, to which Microsoft belongs, has gained 2.1% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term? While media releases or rumors about a substantial change in a company's business prospects usually make its stock 'trending' and lead to an immediate price change, there are always some fundamental facts that eventually dominate the buy-and-hold decision-making. Revisions to Earnings Estimates Rather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company's earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings. Our analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements. For the current quarter, Microsoft is expected to post earnings of $3.64 per share, indicating a change of +10.3% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed +3.2% over the last 30 days. The consensus earnings estimate of $15.32 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of +12.3%. This estimate has changed +2.4% over the last 30 days. For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $17.89 indicates a change of +16.7% from what Microsoft is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed +2.9%. With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is a more conclusive indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) for Microsoft. The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate: 12 Month EPS Revenue Growth Forecast While earnings growth is arguably the most superior indicator of a company's financial health, nothing happens as such if a business isn't able to grow its revenues. After all, it's nearly impossible for a company to increase its earnings for an extended period without increasing its revenues. So, it's important to know a company's potential revenue growth. In the case of Microsoft, the consensus sales estimate of $75.38 billion for the current quarter points to a year-over-year change of +14.9%. The $320.67 billion and $366.59 billion estimates for the current and next fiscal years indicate changes of +13.8% and +14.3%, respectively. Last Reported Results and Surprise History Microsoft reported revenues of $76.44 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +18.1%. EPS of $3.65 for the same period compares with $2.95 a year ago. Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $73.71 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of +3.7%. The EPS surprise was +8.96%. The company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters. The company topped consensus revenue estimates each time over this period. Valuation No investment decision can be efficient without considering a stock's valuation. Whether a stock's current price rightly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects is an essential determinant of its future price performance. While comparing the current values of a company's valuation multiples, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), with its own historical values helps determine whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of the reasonability of the stock's price. As part of the Zacks Style Scores system, the Zacks Value Style Score (which evaluates both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics) organizes stocks into five groups ranging from A to F (A is better than B; B is better than C; and so on), making it helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued. Microsoft is graded D on this front, indicating that it is trading at a premium to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade. Conclusion The facts discussed here and much other information on might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Microsoft. However, its Zacks Rank #2 does suggest that it may outperform the broader market in the near term. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research ( Zacks Investment Research

Yahoo
29 minutes ago
- Yahoo
BofA downgrades Applied Materials as mature-node weakness weighs on outlook
-- Bank of America downgraded Applied Materials to Neutral from Buy and cut its price objective to $180 from $190, citing a weaker-than-expected fiscal fourth-quarter outlook and growing exposure to sluggish chip equipment segments. The brokerage said Applied's heavy reliance on mature-node demand especially in China and softer spending from major customers such as Intel are weighing on visibility and could continue to hold back growth into 2025. It cut its fiscal 2026 and 2027 adjusted earnings estimates by 9% and 5% respectively, though it maintained its valuation framework at 18 times 2026 earnings. While Bank of America still views Applied as a high-quality supplier, it said the company is underperforming the wafer fab equipment (WFE) market and may be losing share to peers such as Lam Research and KLA. It estimates Applied lost roughly 200 basis points of market share in 2024 due to slower sales in areas like etch and deposition. Applied shares trade at a discount to Lam on 2026 earnings, and BofA said the stock could benefit if China licenses improve or Intel increases capital spending, but near-term momentum looks weak. Applied now expects its Semiconductor Systems segment revenue to fall 1% in calendar 2025 and rise 6% in 2026, lagging BofA's WFE growth forecast of 5% and 6% for those years. The bank also warned of potential longer-term competition from Chinese equipment makers in areas where Applied has historically been strong, such as CMP and ion implantation. Related articles BofA downgrades Applied Materials as mature-node weakness weighs on outlook The bull-case on airlines seems to be building Red Cat stock falls after Fuzzy Panda issues shorts, citing production failures Sign in to access your portfolio