Breaking: ‘The Pitt' star Noah Wyle takes the lead in latest Emmy odds for Best Actor
The Emmy race for Best Drama Actor just received a shot of adrenaline.
For the first time since Gold Derby's 2025 Emmys predictions center opened in February, Noah Wyle is leading the odds in this topsy-turvy category. The Pitt star has overtaken Adam Scott (Severance), who has been in the No. 1 position since early March. Before that, Gary Oldman (Slow Horses) was the frontrunner.
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Max's real-time hospital drama has been on a major upswing since its final episodes streamed in April. In one buzzed-about moment, Wyle's character, Michael "Robby" Robinavitch, had a mental breakdown after a concert shooting brought dozens of patients into his emergency room, including his quasi-stepson's new girlfriend. Wyle is a five-time Emmy nominee for ER (1995-99), but this would be his first win.
For Best Drama Series, The Pitt is now tied with The Last of Us in second place, both behind Severance. Taylor Dearden as Melissa "Mel" King and Katherine LaNasa as Dana Evans have both made it into the Top 10 for Best Drama Supporting Actress; likewise Patrick Ball as Frank Langdon is in the Top 10 for Best Drama Supporting Actor.
Shows expected to win multiple trophies include The White Lotus in Best Drama Supporting Actress (Carrie Coon) and Best Drama Supporting Actor (Walton Goggins); Hacks in Best Comedy Series, Best Comedy Actress (Jean Smart), and Best Comedy Supporting Actress (Hannah Einbinder); and Adolescence in Best Limited Series, Best Movie/Limited Supporting Actor (Owen Cooper), and Best Movie/Limited Supporting Actress (Erin Doherty).
SEE 2025 Emmy Awards calendar: Key dates
Below are the current Emmy predictions in 16 top categories, updated May 7. You can see how the races have evolved over time by examining our previous Emmy snapshots on March 19, March 28, April 7, April 15, April 23, and April 29.
Gold Derby's Emmy odds are based on the combined forecasts of more than 2,400 people (and counting), including experts we've polled from major media outlets, editors who cover awards year-round for this website, and the mass of users who make up our biggest predictions bloc. Track the Emmy predictions by exploring all of our charts and graphs, and be sure to sound off in the TV forums.
Apple
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Severance — 9/2 2. The Last of Us — 11/2 3. The Pitt — 11/2 4. The White Lotus — 13/2 5. Slow Horses — 8/1 6. The Diplomat — 19/2 7. Andor — 14/1 8. Squid Game — 18/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Paradise, The Handmaid's Tale, The Day of the Jackal, House of the Dragon, Industry, High Potential
Erik Voake/CBS
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Kathy Bates (Matlock) — 82/25 2. Bella Ramsey (The Last of Us) — 4/1 3. Keri Russell (The Diplomat) — 5/1 4. Britt Lower (Severance) — 5/1 5. Elisabeth Moss (The Handmaid's Tale) — 19/2 6. Melanie Lynskey (Yellowjackets) — 13/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Keira Knightley (Black Doves), Helen Mirren (1923), Carrie Preston (Elsbeth), Zoe Saldaña (Lioness), Kaitlin Olson (High Potential), Sharon Horgan (Bad Sisters)
John Johnson/Max
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Noah Wyle (The Pitt) — 18/5 2. Adam Scott (Severance) — 37/10 3. Gary Oldman (Slow Horses) — 5/1 4. Pedro Pascal (The Last of Us) — 13/2 5. Sterling K. Brown (Paradise) — 7/1 6. Eddie Redmayne (The Day of the Jackal) — 16/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Jon Hamm (Your Friends and Neighbors), Diego Luna (Andor), Lee Jung-jae (Squid Game), Mark Rylance (Wolf Hall: The Mirror and the Light), Rufus Sewell (The Diplomat), Billy Bob Thornton (Landman)
HBO
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Carrie Coon (The White Lotus) — 39/10 2. Parker Posey (The White Lotus) — 5/1 3. Allison Janney (The Diplomat) — 6/1 4. Kaitlyn Dever (The Last of Us) — 8/1 5. Aimee Lou Wood (The White Lotus) — 21/2 6. Natasha Rothwell (The White Lotus) — 14/1 7. Patricia Arquette (Severance) — 18/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Isabela Merced (The Last of Us), Taylor Dearden (The Pitt), Katherine LaNasa (The Pitt), Dichen Lachman (Severance), Leslie Bibb (The White Lotus), Kristin Scott Thomas (Slow Horses)
HBO
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Walton Goggins (The White Lotus) — 4/1 2. John Turturro (Severance) — 9/2 3. Tramell Tillman (Severance) — 6/1 4. Jack Lowden (Slow Horses) — 15/2 5. Jason Isaacs (The White Lotus) — 15/2 6. Sam Rockwell (The White Lotus) — 10/1 7. Patrick Schwarzenegger (The White Lotus) — 18/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Jeffrey Wright (The Last of Us), Patrick Ball (The Pitt), Jonathan Pryce (Slow Horses), Zach Cherry (Severance), James Marsden (Paradise), Gerran Howell (The Pitt)
Max
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Hacks — 4/1 2. The Bear — 13/2 3. The Studio — 13/2 4. Only Murders in the Building — 7/1 5. Abbott Elementary — 17/2 6. Nobody Wants This — 19/2 7. Shrinking — 19/2 8. What We Do in the Shadows — 15/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
The Four Seasons, A Man on the Inside, Poker Face, Colin from Accounts, The Righteous Gemstones, Mid-Century Modern
Max
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Jean Smart (Hacks) — 3/1 2. Ayo Edebiri (The Bear) — 9/2 3. Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary) — 11/2 4. Kristen Bell (Nobody Wants This) — 6/1 5. Natasha Lyonne (Poker Face) — 9/1 6. Selena Gomez (Only Murders in the Building) — 12/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Uzo Aduba (The Residence), Kathryn Hahn (Agatha All Along), Bridget Everett (Somebody Somewhere), Wendi McLendon-Covey (St. Denis Medical), Tina Fey (The Four Seasons), Natasia Demetriou (What We Do in the Shadows)
Hulu
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Martin Short (Only Murders in the Building) — 17/5 2. Jeremy Allen White (The Bear) — 9/2 3. Adam Brody (Nobody Wants This) — 11/2 4. Seth Rogen (The Studio) — 11/2 5. Jason Segel (Shrinking) — 19/2 6. Steve Martin (Only Murders in the Building) — 19/2
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Ted Danson (A Man on the Inside), Steve Carell (The Four Seasons), Brian Jordan Alvarez (English Teacher), Matt Berry (What We Do in the Shadows), Luke Kirby (Étoile), Patrick Brammall (Colin from Accounts)
Max
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) — 31/10 2. Liza Cólon-Zayas (The Bear) — 9/2 3. Sheryl Lee Ralph (Abbott Elementary) — 6/1 4. Jessica Williams (Shrinking) — 15/2 5. Janelle James (Abbott Elementary) — 17/2 6. Catherine O'Hara (The Studio) — 19/2
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Patti LuPone (Agatha All Along), Meryl Streep (Only Murders in the Building), Meg Stalter (Hacks), Kathryn Hahn (The Studio), Linda Lavin (Mid-Century Modern), Chloe Fineman (Saturday Night Live)
Chuck Hodes/FX
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Ebon Moss-Bachrach (The Bear) — 19/5 2. Harrison Ford (Shrinking) — 4/1 3. Paul W. Downs (Hacks) — 9/2 4. Tyler James Williams (Abbott Elementary) — 15/2 5. Michael Urie (Shrinking) — 15/2 6. Ike Barinholtz (The Studio) — 21/2
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Bowen Yang (Saturday Night Live), Colman Domingo (The Four Seasons), Brett Goldstein (Shrinking), Timothy Simons (Nobody Wants This), Paul Rudd (Only Murders in the Building), Chris Perfetti (Abbott Elementary)
Netflix
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Adolescence — 15/8 2. The Penguin — 31/10 3. Dying for Sex — 13/2 4. Disclaimer — 17/2 5. Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story — 14/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Say Nothing, Black Mirror, Presumed Innocent, La Maquina, Zero Day, Sirens
Netflix
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Rebel Ridge — 43/20 2. Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy — 69/20 3. Out of My Mind — 11/2 4. Mountainhead — 6/1 5. Am I OK? — 12/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
The Gorge, Star Trek: Section 31, Swiped, It's What's Inside, The Parenting, G20
Macall Polay/HBO
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Cristin Milioti (The Penguin) — 2/1 2. Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) — 31/10 3. Cate Blanchett (Disclaimer) — 5/1 4. Renée Zellweger (Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy) — 19/2 5. Kaitlyn Dever (Apple Cider Vinegar) — 14/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Ellen Pompeo (Good American Family), Lola Petticrew (Say Nothing), Meghann Fahy (Sirens), Anya Taylor-Joy (The Gorge), Phoebe-Rae Taylor (Out of My Mind), Ari Graynor (Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story)
Max
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Colin Farrell (The Penguin) — 17/10 2. Stephen Graham (Adolescence) — 19/5 3. Kevin Kline (Disclaimer) — 13/2 4. Cooper Koch (Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story) — 13/2 5. Brian Tyree Henry (Dope Thief) — 13/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Robert De Niro (Zero Day), Nicholas Alexander Chavez (Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story), Jake Gyllenhaal (Presumed Innocent), Aaron Pierre (Rebel Ridge), Paul Giamatti (Black Mirror), Miles Teller (The Gorge)
Ben Blackall/Netflix
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Erin Doherty (Adolescence) — 9/2 2. Deirdre O'Connell (The Penguin) — 9/2 3. Jenny Slate (Dying for Sex) — 6/1 4. Lesley Manville (Disclaimer) — 15/2 5. Sissy Spacek (Dying for Sex) — 8/1 6. Christine Tremarco (Adolescence) — 13/1 7. Chloe Sevigny (Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story) — 15/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Leila George (Disclaimer), Angela Bassett (Zero Day), Edie Falco (The Parenting), Julianne Moore (Sirens), Joan Allen (Zero Day), Shohreh Aghdashloo (The Penguin)
Netflix
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Owen Cooper (Adolescence) — 18/5 2. Javier Bardem (Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story) — 9/2 3. Rhenzy Feliz (The Penguin) — 8/1 4. Ashley Walters (Adolescence) — 17/2 5. Rob Delaney (Dying for Sex) — 19/2 6. Peter Sarsgaard (Presumed Innocent) — 23/2 7. Brian Cox (The Parenting) — 25/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Jay Duplass (Dying for Sex), Kodi Smit-McPhee (Disclaimer), Jesse Plemons (Zero Day), Clancy Brown (The Penguin), Hugh Grant (Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy), Dulé Hill (Good American Family)
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'In the next six or seven hours, hell would break loose,' he wrote in one. In another, reflecting on the moment when he got hit in the arm by a piece of shrapnel, he wrote, 'Thank God, I made it to the beach without getting more' and described having a hole in his arm 'large enough to insert an egg.' Rochereuil says she was not trying to do a play-by-play historical reenactment or make a video game. D-Day: The Camera Soldier not only provides a glimpse at what it was like to be on Omaha Beach that day, but it also might appeal to viewers who, like Taylor-Rossel, may have had a hard time getting a loved one who served in World War II to open up about their experience. 'Parents are the closest people to us, but often we don't fully know who they were before we existed—like, what were their dreams? What were their fears?' Rochereuil says. 'Her story touches on something universal, which is a relationship that we can have with one parent.' 'The only way to connect people to history is by making it personal. It's no longer abstract. My hope is that immersive media will make history feel alive and relevant again'
