
Trumponomics: How US president Donald Trump has triggered a financial roller coaster; shaken global markets in 5 months
Ever since US President Donald Trump took office, five months ago, his economic policies have unleashed widespread volatility across global financial markets, triggering investor pullback, a weakening dollar, and a sharp divergence in global stock performance.
Here is a look at the financial roller-coaster rise:
Wall street
After years of dominating global markets, US stocks are now lagging behind — with Europe reaping the gains.
Since the start of the year, Wall Street's S&P 500 index has risen just two percent, while Frankfurt's main index has surged 16 percent. London and Paris have also outperformed, recording gains of eight and three percent respectively.
Kevin Thozet of investment firm Carmignac attributed the underperformance to President Trump's inconsistent stance on tariffs.
Thozet told AFP that the president's shifting stance on tariffs had fuelled significant uncertainty around how they might affect economic growth.
Dollar
The US dollar has shed 10 percent of its value against the euro over the past six months, its steepest decline in three decades, according to Robert Farago, analyst at British investment firm Hargreaves Lansdown.
While President Trump's tariff policies are seen as the primary driver, mounting concerns over the ballooning US debt, amplified by a costly presidential budget proposal, have further weighed on the currency.
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Though some have floated the idea of the Chinese yuan as a possible alternative to the dollar, ECB President Christine Lagarde recently highlighted the euro's potential for a stronger international role.
Still, significant hurdles remain for any currency seeking to challenge the dollar's dominance.
Debt
American debt has long been seen as a bedrock of the global financial system, with investors worldwide turning to US Treasury bonds as a safe haven.
But that confidence is starting to crack. JPMorgan Chase chief Jamie Dimon recently warned that the ballooning US debt is a "real problem" and that bond markets are entering a "tough time."
At the end of May, yields on 30-year US Treasury bonds crossed the key five percent threshold—an indication of waning faith in America's ability to manage its debt.
"I've always told clients they need US debt if they want an asset that remains intact even in a disaster, but I think that's no longer the case," said Alexandre Hezez, strategist at Banque Richelieu.
Adding to the concern, Steve Sosnick of Interactive Brokers noted that the dollar is weakening even as interest rates rise, "a sign that money is leaving the US."
Oil
Donald Trump made lowering oil prices a key priority in his efforts to curb US inflation.
In April, crude prices dipped below $60 a barrel, their lowest level since 2021. However, this drop was driven less by policy success and more by market fears. Investors, rattled by Trump's tariff moves, anticipated a global economic slowdown that would weaken demand.
More recently, rising tensions in the Middle East have pushed prices back up. The military escalation between Israel and Iran has driven oil back to around $75 a barrel.
Gold and crypto winning the game
Gold has traditionally been seen as the ultimate safe haven during times of uncertainty and 2025 has been no different. Soaring demand has pushed its value up by nearly 30 percent since the start of the year.
Much of this rally has been fuelled by major central banks, which are increasingly turning to gold over the US dollar to shore up their reserves.
At the same time, Donald Trump has thrown his weight behind cryptocurrencies. Alongside his personal investments, his administration has introduced measures to integrate digital assets more firmly into the financial system.
Bitcoin surged past the $100,000 mark for the first time shortly after the US election, capping off a nearly 60 percent gain over the past year.
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Indian Express
28 minutes ago
- Indian Express
As US eyes its airspace, Pakistan confirms: Trump, Munir had discussion on Iran
As anticipated by Delhi, US President Donald Trump and Pakistan Army chief Field Marshal Asim Munir had a 'detailed exchange of views' on the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict when they met over lunch at the White House. In a statement Thursday, the Pakistan Army said, 'A detailed exchange of views also took place on the prevailing tensions between Iran and Israel, with both leaders emphasising the importance of resolution of the conflict.' Asked if Iran was discussed with Munir, Trump said: 'Well, they know Iran very well, better than most, and they are not happy about anything.' 'It's not that they are bad with Israel. They know them both, actually, but they probably, maybe they know Iran better, but they see what's going on, and he agreed with me,' he said. In Islamabad, the Pakistan Army said the US President showed 'keen interest' in developing a mutually beneficial trade relationship with Pakistan on the basis of long-term strategic interests. According to Delhi's assessment, the US is enlisting Rawalpindi's support since it would want to use Pakistan's airspace, air bases and other infrastructure for launching any military offensive on Iran. This was the key focus of Trump's lunch with Munir which, according to sources, lasted for about two hours, and not one hour as scheduled. According to news agency Reuters, White House spokesperson Anna Kelly said Trump was hosting Munir after he called for the US President to be nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize for preventing a nuclear war between India and Pakistan. But sources indicated that the meeting was not arranged through routine diplomatic channels, and was the outcome of 'unorthodox efforts' by a group of advisers, businessmen and other influential figures. Sources said stronger counter-terrorism cooperation, engagement with crypto-linked influence networks, and targeted lobbying via Republican-aligned firms in Washington helped Pakistan secure the meeting. A source, who has been tracking the US-Pakistan relationship over decades, said, 'It is not rare but absolutely unprecedented for a military chief to be invited by a POTUS (President of the United States) for a meeting, let alone a meeting over a meal. All Pakistan military chiefs who visited the US and other capitals did so as Presidents.' In the past, US President George W Bush met Pakistan President General Pervez Musharraf in 2004. Munir's US visit began last Sunday and was his second since he took over as military chief in 2022. Trump was effusive about both Munir and Prime Minister Narendra Modi. He said he was 'honoured' to meet Munir and that they discussed the situation arising out of the Iran-Israel conflict. 'The reason I had him here, I want to thank him for not going into the war, ending the war (with India). And I want to thank, as you know, Prime Minister Modi,' he said. 'We are working on a trade deal with India. We are working on a trade deal with Pakistan.' Trump also recalled his meeting with Modi at the White House in February. He said he was 'happy' that 'two very smart people decided not to keep going with that war'. 'That could have been a nuclear war. Those are two nuclear powers, big ones, big, big nuclear powers, and they decided (to end the conflict),' he said. The US President was accompanied at the meeting by Secretary of State Marco Rubio and US Special Representative for the Middle East Steve Witkoff. Munir was joined by Pakistan National Security Advisor Lt Gen Asim Malik, who is also head of the spy agency ISI. Earlier, in his phone conversation with Trump, Modi had told the President that India and Pakistan halted their military actions following direct talks between the two militaries without any mediation by the US. The Pakistan Army, in its statement on the Trump-Munir meeting, said, the 'Chief of Army Staff conveyed the deep appreciation of the government and people of Pakistan for President Trump's constructive and result-oriented role in facilitating a ceasefire between Pakistan and India in the recent regional crisis. The COAS acknowledged President Trump's statesmanship and his ability to comprehend and address the multifaceted challenges faced by the global community.' 'President Trump, in turn, lauded Pakistan's ongoing efforts for regional peace and stability, and appreciated the robust counter-terrorism cooperation between the two states. Both sides reaffirmed their commitment to continued collaboration in the field of counter-terrorism,' it said. 'Discussions also encompassed avenues for expanding bilateral cooperation in multiple domains including trade, economic development, mines and minerals, artificial intelligence, energy, cryptocurrency, and emerging technologies. President Trump expressed keen interest in forging a mutually beneficial trade partnership with Pakistan based on long-term strategic convergence and shared interests,' it said. 'In a gesture reflecting the warmth of bilateral ties, Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir extended an invitation to President Trump, on behalf of the Government of Pakistan, to undertake an official visit to Pakistan at a mutually convenient date'


Time of India
32 minutes ago
- Time of India
RTI revelation exposes massive over-allocation of Hidkal dam water to industries
Belagavi: In a significant development that could intensify the ongoing opposition to the diversion of Hidkal Dam water to industries in Hubballi-Dharwad, activist and whistleblower Sujit Mulgund unveiled official documents revealing that industrial units received nearly 22 times more water than the original allocation. Mulgund shared a letter from the assistant executive engineer of the Karnataka Niravari Nigam Limited (KNNL), CBC subdivision No. 2, dated July 6, 2024. The letter, addressed to the executive engineer, discloses that only 0.1 tmcft of water was initially allocated to industries under the project report. However, the allocation surged to 0.2 tmcft gradually, and there is an additional fresh demand of 0.5 tmcft under the Bengaluru-Mumbai Industrial Corridor Project, part of the Suvarna Karnataka Corridor initiative. Crucially, the letter indicates that the excess allocation already far surpassed the sanctioned limit. If the additional 0.5 tmcft is approved, it would come at the cost of irrigation water meant for farmers, a point likely to fuel further unrest among farming communities. Last month, the Karnataka govt approved the controversial diversion of 0.5 tmcft from Hidkal Dam to industrial areas in Hubballi-Dharwad, sparking widespread protests across Belagavi and neighbouring districts. by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like Free P2,000 GCash eGift UnionBank Credit Card Apply Now Undo Farmers and civil society groups decried the move, arguing it threatens their livelihood and violates the dam's original purpose. Earlier, water resources minister MB Patil claimed that the water being diverted was within the allocated limits. However, Mulgund's findings—obtained through the Right to Information (RTI) Act—contradict the minister's statement. Pipeline construction for the water diversion began over four months ago—without formal approval, tenders, or even informing the local administration, including district minister Satish Jarkiholi. The work only came to light when local farmers discovered pipelines being laid across their fields. In response, several organisations launched protests under the slogan 'Namma Neeru, Namma Hakku', prompting the Belagavi DC to halt the work temporarily. Despite the opposition, the project resumed following a green signal from the state cabinet. Activist Mulgund sought further details under RTI—including the tender cost, official approvals, and progress reports—but KNNL denied the information, citing confidentiality. Constructed in 1961 and named after former prime minister Lal Bahadur Shastri, the Hidkal dam was built to provide irrigation and drinking water. Though it has a storage capacity of 51 tmcft, effective availability is only around 44 tmcft due to siltation and unusable reserves. Speaking to the TOI, Mulgund criticised the lack of transparency. "The RTI documents clearly prove that more water has already been diverted to industries than originally sanctioned. Any additional diversion will directly impact farmers in Belagavi, Bagalkot and Vijayapura," he said.


Time of India
32 minutes ago
- Time of India
Chandigarh tops India in school education report
Chandigarh: Chandigarh has secured the top position in the Government of India's Performance Grading Index (PGI) 2.0, an annual assessment of school education systems across states and union territories, for two consecutive years — 2022-23 and 2023-24 — emerging as the only state or UT to reach the Prachesta-1 grade in either year. No other region crossed into even the next higher grade band, making Chandigarh's lead both significant and solitary. Its overall score improved from 688 in 2022–23 to 703 in 2023–24, driven by gains in infrastructure, access, and governance. However, the data also reveals specific areas where Chandigarh did not lead the country, particularly in governance processes, teacher education, and learning outcomes—domains where other states and UTs outperformed it. In governance processes, it scored 76.7 out of 130, remaining in the Prachesta-1 band. In comparison, Gujarat scored 87.8, while Odisha and Haryana also performed better in this domain. These governance indicators include digital fund transfers, student and teacher attendance systems, and timely data reporting—areas where Chandigarh still has room to strengthen implementation. Similarly, in the teacher education and training domain, Chandigarh scored 85.7 out of 100, placing it in the Utkarsh category. by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like Godrej Majesty | Luxurious 3 & 4 BHK Homes at ₹2.39 Cr* Godrej Majesty Learn More Undo However, Kerala, with a score of 91.4, became the only state or UT to achieve the topmost Daksh grade in this domain. This suggests scope for further enhancement in teacher qualification standards and in-service training in Chandigarh. Even in access, where Chandigarh had previously achieved the Daksh grade (2022–23), its score marginally declined from 72.9 to 72.4 in 2023–24, falling into the Utkarsh range. By contrast, Puducherry retained the Daksh grade in access this year. Nonetheless, Chandigarh's overall leadership reflects robust progress across most domains. It scored 148.0 out of 190 in Infrastructure & Facilities and 216.5 out of 260 in Equity, placing it in the Atti-Uttam and Utkarsh grades respectively. This success builds on several initiatives: 100% retention at all levels, 450 co-located Anganwadi centres, expanded vocational training, kitchen gardens in all government schools, and the installation of sanitary pad vending machines in previously uncovered institutions. The UT also leads in digital readiness, having implemented digital attendance in all government schools and seeded over 98% of student records with Aadhaar in the UDISE+ system. Social audits were introduced under the PM POSHAN scheme in 2023–24, and all children with special needs (CWSN) were provided with assistive devices. Importantly, Chandigarh maintained a consistent score of 103.6 in Learning Outcomes for three consecutive years, though no state or UT showed improvement here due to the reliance on NAS 2021 data. While the PGI 2.0 results are not directly comparable to earlier PGI formats, Chandigarh has ranked first nationally for three years in a row under the updated methodology. The next round may bring further movement, as results from the 2024 PARAKH national assessment—expected in July 2025—will inform updates in the Learning Outcomes and Equity domains. PGI 2.0 continues to serve as a powerful tool for states and UTs to monitor school education quality, push reforms, and work toward the goals set by the National Education Policy 2020 and Sustainable Development Goal 4. BOX-Domain-wise scores Learning outcomes (out of 240) 2022–23: 103.6 2023–24: 103.6 Access (out of 80) 2022–23: 72.9 2023–24: 72.4 Infrastructure and Facilities (out of 190) 2022–23: 136.5 2023–24: 148.0 Equity (out of 260) 2022–23: 216.4 2023–24: 216.5 Governance Processes (out of 130) 2022–23: 74.0 2023–24: 76.7 Teacher Education and Training (out of 100) 2022–23: 84.3 2023–24: 85.7 Total Score (out of 1000) 2022–23: 688 2023–24: 703 Overall Grade 2022–23: Prachesta-2 2023–24: Prachesta-1 BOX- What Chandigarh did well 100% retention at all school levels Three-year pre-primary cycle introduced in all government schools Digital attendance implemented in all government schools 450 Anganwadis co-located with schools Vocational education expanded from 38 to 47 government schools Kitchen gardens started in all government schools Over 98% students Aadhaar-seeded in UDISE+ Social audits conducted under PM POSHAN scheme Assistive devices provided to all CWSN (Children with special needs) students BOX- Where others outperformed Governance Processes: Chandigarh scored 76.7 out of 130 (Prachesta-1), while Gujarat scored 87.8, outperforming it in digital systems and fund disbursals. Teacher Education and Training: Chandigarh scored 85.7 (Utkarsh), but Kerala crossed into the Daksh category with 91.4, indicating stronger professional development standards. Access: Chandigarh slipped slightly from Daksh to Utkarsh (72.4 out of 80). Puducherry retained Daksh, reflecting stronger gains in enrolment and early learning participation. No domain-level top grade: Chandigarh did not achieve Daksh (top grade) in any individual domain, while Kerala and Delhi each did so in one.