World's biggest weather agency predicts heavier rainfall for Indian subcontinent, hotter years ahead worldwide
South Asia is expected to continue experiencing unusually wet weather between 2025 and 2029, a trend that has persisted in recent years except for 2023. The projection comes from the
World Meteorological Organisation
(WMO), which also warns that global temperatures are likely to reach new highs during the same period, with at least one year expected to surpass 2024—the current warmest year on record.
Rising global temperatures over next five years
In its latest Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update, the WMO said that global temperatures between 2025 and 2029 are likely to remain at or near record levels. The forecast shows an 80% chance that at least one year during this period will be warmer than 2024. Each year is expected to be 1.2°C to 1.9°C hotter than the 1850–1900 average.
There is also an 86% chance that at least one year in the five-year period will be more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. The likelihood that the five-year average temperature from 2025 to 2029 will cross this 1.5°C threshold is now 70%, up from 47% in last year's report.
WMO outlines broader impact
In a press release, the WMO said, "The
World Meteorological Organization Global Annual
to Decadal Climate Update (2025-2029) projects that global temperatures are expected to continue at or near record levels in the next five years, increasing climate risks and impacts on societies, economies and sustainable development."
The organisation further stated, "The report forecasts that the annually averaged global mean near-surface temperature for each year between 2025 and 2029 is predicted to be between 1.2°C and 1.9°C higher than the average over the years 1850-1900. There is an 80% chance that at least one year between 2025 and 2029 will be warmer than the warmest year on record (currently 2024). And there is an 86% chance that at least one year will be more than 1.5°C above the pre-industrial level."
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Earth's average temperature for 2025-29 likely to exceed 1.5 deg C limit: WMO
More frequent extreme weather events
The report warns that any further increase in temperature, even by a small margin, could worsen extreme weather. It could lead to more heatwaves,
heavier rainfall
, prolonged droughts, melting ice sheets, rising sea levels, and warmer oceans.
Continued wet conditions in South Asia
According to the update, the South Asian region has experienced anomalously wet conditions in recent years, apart from 2023. The WMO expects this pattern to continue throughout the 2025–2029 period.
The Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update is published every year by the WMO. It combines forecasts from WMO-designated Global Producing Centres and other contributing agencies.
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